DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/16/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/16/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lance McCullers Jr. FD - P 8400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - TEX (Kyle Gibson) Park - HOUFD - 38.53 DK - 20.81 This is a good spot for McCullers facing off against the Rangers on Sunday. He’s opening as a -173 home favorite which represents some of the better win odds on the slate. Texas has been a middling offense on the season, but they are striking out 26% as a team which bodes well for McCullers’ upside. He’s striking out 10.4 batters per nine at a 29% rate. The walks are still a little of a concern, something he’s struggled with most of his career. But in terms of talent, he’s one of the better pitchers on this main slate and should be a top cash option. Dylan Cease FD - P 7400 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - CHWFD - 33.05 DK - 16.72 The Royals rank 22nd in team wOBA on the season and though they don’t strike out at higher volume, there also isn’t all that much pop in these bats. Cease opens as a -150 home favorite here and he’s really spiked his K rate on the season, striking out 32% of opposing batters and putting down seven or more in each of his last three games. This hasn’t always been part of his profile, but he’s throwing the fastball more and can get it up to over 96MPH. I like the matchup for the righty on Sunday. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - PHI (Chase Anderson) Park - TORFD - 12.73 DK - 9.66 He’s having a breakout season and is priced as such. But man is he ever a tough fade here on Sunday. The young superstar is sitting with an OPS right around 1.000 for the season, easily the best mark he’s seen in his time in the majors. He’s walking (17%) more than he’s striking out (16%) and is just one of the tougher outs in the game right now. We are going to be getting into some more Blue Jays in short order, but know that the Toronto stacking begins with Vlad-y. if Rowdy Tellez (FD $2200 DK $3300) moves up at all in the lineup then he’d be a lock at these prices. José Abreu FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5400...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/15/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/15/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - LADFD - 38.22 DK - 20.86 Miami ranks in the bottom third of the league this season in offensive wOBA as a team putting Bauer in position to really go pretty far in this game. He’s a huge favorite going in and will make for a tough fade on the evening slate even at these high prices. He’s striking out 12 batters per nine on the season and has an xFIP in the low threes. Again, you are going to need to really spend up to roster Bauer here, but considering the matchup it makes all the sense in the world. Carlos Rodón FD - P 11400 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - CHWFD - 38.41 DK - 20.75 Rodon has put it all together this season, showing off the upside many have been dreaming about for years from the lefty. He’s striking out batters at a 37% rate is rocking a 0.58 ERA even though the xFIP is about two runs higher. He’s throwing his fastball more and has reduced the slider use as well. He’s a -173 home favorite against the Royals. Kansas City ranks 22nd in the league in team wOBA on the season making this a good matchup for Rodon. He’s expensive, but it’s worth it on this slate. If you are looking to save some money on salary at pitcher, Ian Anderson (FD $8600 DK $9200) makes a reasonable option against the Brewers and their 26th ranked offense. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - LADFD - 11.07 DK - 8.15 The Blue Jays haven’t announced their pitcher yet for Saturday’s game which typically these the opposing bats in a really good spot. That should be the case with the Dodgers. After a down 2020 campaign, Muncy is right back to raking this season with an OPS over .900 thanks to some power and an absurd 23% walk rate. That’s just the very definition of a cash game play on this slate. Alec Bohm FD 2400 DK 3200 Opponent - TOR (Anthony Kay) Park - TORFD - 10.42 DK - 7.97 Bohm has been moved down in the order thanks to a slow start but does draw the lefty Kay on this slate....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/10/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/10/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alex Wood FD - P 8900 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Kyle Gibson) Park - SF FD - 34.89 DK - 18.25 Wood and Gibson are the two most expensive pitchers on the slate today, and while both are nice bounceback stories to start the season, I'm pretty firmly in the Wood camp here. He has better peripherals (nearly 1 extra K/9, and an xFIP a whole run lower), he's cheaper, and he arguably has the better match-up. The Rangers have the 6th highest K rate this season, and a wOBA .006 points behind the Giants. I'll grab Wood, and the savings, and feel pretty good about it. Tyler Mahle FD - P 8900 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PIT FD - 30.5 DK - 15.98 Speaking of incredible stories to start the season, have you glanced at Tyler Mahle's line so far? He's not going deep into games, but he's averaging 12+ K/9 with a 3.53 xFIP. That's incredible production. He's also got a great match-up with the Pirates, who have managed just a .291 wOBA this season, good for 2nd worst in the Majors. I think Wood is a little safer given the longer track record, but don't be surprised to see big Mahle ownership as well. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 4100 Opponent - SD (Dinelson Lamet) Park - COL FD - 10.32 DK - 7.78 First base is pretty thin today, and while it isn't exactly accurate to say we're reaching to play a first baseman in Coors, it feels that way to some degree. Cron has fulfilled his sleeper status this season, raking to the tune of a .999 OPS at home this year. Dinelson Lamet doesn't present a great match-up on paper, but he only threw 30 pitches last game as the Padres continue to stretch him out. There is plenty of time for Cron to pay these paltry prices, and I'm fine taking his floor on a day like today. Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - LAA (Alex Cobb) Park - HOU FD - 9.04 DK - 6.93 Why are we running a 36 year old who came up at age 31 in a match-up where he doesn't even have the platoon in his favor? Well, Gurriel isn't your average big league...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/9/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/9/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 12500 DK - SP 11700 Opponent - ARI (Riley Smith) Park - NYMFD - 40.37 DK - 23.27 The stats are getting a little dumb here. He has 59 strikeouts in his first 35 innings, good for an absurd 48% K% and has a nearly 15:1 K:BB ratio. The ERA is sitting at 0.51 which is only slightly better than the 1.37 xFIP. He’s just the best pitcher in baseball right now which is really saying something considering the number of quality arms that are out there. He’s coming in as a -315 home favorite against the garbage-y Diamondbacks and will likely be chalk on this slate. There’s absolutely no reason at all to fade him here and deGrom deserves to be the highest-owned pitcher on this slate. It shouldn’t be close. Kenta Maeda FD - P 7400 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - DETFD - 36.1 DK - 19.09 Kenta Maeda is about 1.25 runs better on his xFIP than the 5.00 ERA meaning we are getting him at something of a discount thanks to early-season run bad. His BABIP allowed is 70 points higher than his career average and he’s running unlucky on the LOB% as well. The strikeouts aren’t where they’ve been the last couple of seasons, but the matchup against the Tigers is a good one. I like him here though think he’s a significant step below deGrom obviously. Lucas Giolito (FD $9600 DK $9500) is also a good value and is so much cheaper than deGrom on FanDuel that some might go this direction. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4700 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - KCFD - 11.42 DK - 8.64 Abreu has tuned up lefty pitching for his career with a 149 wRC+ and .926 OPS through his time in the majors. The matchup against Minor isn’t a perfect one, but he’s still in a good spot here to take advantage. the White Sox implied run line is pushing to around five runs and the platoon advantage really favors Abreu in this game. Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - ARI (Riley Smith) Park - NYMFD - 11.24 DK - 8.35 Alonso might never get back to the mid-.900s OPS guy we saw in his first season, but he also doesn’t...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/8/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/8/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - SF (Kevin Gausman) Park - SFFD - 41.13 DK - 22.36 Musgrove has been a total ace this season, throwing a no-hitter already and putting up some of the best numbers in the game. He’s striking out opposing batters 36% of the time and has a nearly 9:1 K:BB ratio. He’s a -135 road favorite against the Giants on Saturday. San Fran has been a patient team and rank in the top half of the league in terms of OPS, but that’s set to dip over the course of the season based on their lineup. Musgrove is a pretty easy cash play for the afternoon slate. Ian Anderson FD - P 7900 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - PHI (Vince Velasquez) Park - ATLFD - 38.57 DK - 20.41 The Phillies have been in the bottom third of the league in terms of offense this season and are dealing with some injuries as well. They are striking out 28% of the time as a team and offer a good chance to roster arms against them. Anderson is striking out about 10 batters per nine this season and owns a 3.11 xFIP. He’s a -175 home favorite in this matchup and is one of the better options on the evening slate of games. I don’t mind Lance Lynn (FD $10400 DK $9500) against the Royals. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - PIT (Wil Crowe) Park - CHCFD - 10.66 DK - 7.98 Wil Crowe has been horrible through his first 20 or so major league innings and the Cubs are in a great spot on Saturday. Crowe has actually walked more batters than he’s struck out and has an xFIP that’s pushing 7.00. Rizzo meanwhile hasn’t been displaying the power from earlier in his career, but he’s still walking as much as he’s striking out and he's tough to put down on strikes. This is just too good of a matchup to pass up for the Cubs. Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - PHI (Vince Velasquez) Park - ATLFD - 13.93 DK - 10.42 For the evening slate, it’s going to be tough fading the Braves who have such a potent top of the order. They are facing Vincent Velasquez who’s walking 15% of opposing...