Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 15 Saturday Slate
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 15 Saturday Slate The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Derek Carr FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 1.56 DK - 1.56 By default, Derek Carr is our top quarterback on Saturday. Baker Mayfield tested positive for Covid, Carson Wentz faces the #2 overall defense in New England, and Mac Jones is coming off a two-attempt performance and is averaging just 20 attempts per game over his last five. Volume has not been an issue for Carr who is averaging 40.1 attempts over his last three games and has been accurate, as well, completing 70% of those passes. The matchup doesn't jump off the page as the Browns have allowed the 7th fewest passing yards but do rank 20th in DVOA against the pass. Making the matchup more appealing this week is the fact the Browns are not only dealing with injuries but also a C-19 breakout which has both starting safeties and two of their top three corners questionable. Fire up Carr in all formats. Mac Jones FD 7000 DK 5200 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 13.72 DK - 14.25 There is much less safety with this pick as Jones is coming off an almost unbelievable three-pass-attempt performance against Buffalo. While that is likely a one-off due to the wind and heavy run gameplan, Jones has still been inconsistent in his rookie season but what I do like is the potential 4-5x upside and his price which allows you to load up at RB/WR/TE. The matchup is also very intriguing as the Colts rank Top 5 in run defense but 17th in DVOA against the pass. It is very risky as the floor is very low but for GPP formats, I am on board considering the upside and ability to spend up elsewhere. Running Back Jonathan Taylor FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 22.01 DK - 23.42 With Derrick Henry out with injury, the often underrated Jonathan Taylor has quickly taken on the "best running back in football" tag, and for good reason. He has rushed for 100 or more yards in seven of...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Game Stack - Dallas Cowboys/Washington Football Team Dak Prescott FD 8100 DK 6700 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 22.83 DK - 23.67 CeeDee Lamb FD 7800 DK 7200 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 12.63 DK - 15.24 Antonio Gibson FD 7400 DK 6000 Opponent DAL Proj Points FD - 12.32 DK - 13.33 Let's get things started this week with a game that is perfect for a multi-entry game stack. There are a ton of different ways to run this one but the above stack is by far my favorite. Let's start with the Cowboys passing game which ranks 8th in passing DVOA and 4th in passing yards per game coming into Week 14. The schedule has also been kind to them as of late facing some weaker defenses against the pass and this week is no different facing a Washington defense that ranks 30th in DVOA against the pass, have allowed the 4th most passing yards and most fantasy points to QB's, and the 6th most receiving yards and 3rd most fantasy points to wide receivers. Prescott has been a bit inconsistent lately(under 15 fantasy points twice in the last three games) but that has helped create a buy low with the price and looking at ownership projections, he could also be outside the Top 5 this week. I love pairing him with Lamb who has been not only the most consistent of the Cowboys wideouts but also shown the most upside with 19+ DK points in five of his last seven games. On the other side of the ball, there are multiple options and it really comes down to if you think Washington can keep this game close and I agree with Vegas that it will. This has Antonio Gibson at the top of my Washington exposure list. He comes in red-hot totaling 111 and 146 scrimmage yards in each of the last two games and has averaged 27 touches a game over the last four. The one hesitancy here is that the Cowboys rank 2nd in fantasy points against wideouts as...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14 – Main Slate
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14 - Main Slate Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one-week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL and NBA - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Patrick Mahomes FD 8500 DK 8000 Opponent LVProj Points FD - 26.35 DK - 26.96 After stumbling some to start the season, the Chiefs have turned things around of late, winning their last five in a row against a more difficult part of their schedule overall. Mahomes has been up and down from a fantasy perspective, throwing for fewer than 300 yards in all but one of the last six games, with no touchdowns in the last two. The price hasn’t dipped as much as we would like on the back of these weaker performances, but I also don’t think we need to read all that much into them either. This is a decent enough matchup against the Raiders who are about league average against the pass (worse against the run). Fire up Mahomes here with the idea that the touchdowns come back around. Taysom Hill FD 7700 DK 5600 Opponent NYJProj Points FD - 22.59 DK - 23.27 We are in an interesting spot with Hill here. On the one hand, there’s his hand. He’s dealing with a finger injury that’s definitely affecting his ability to throw. So on that front, not good. On the other hand, he’s coming so, so cheap on DraftKings and has shown the ability to make up for a lot on the ground in the run game. Last week, he ran 11 times for 101 yards. Sure, he completed less than 50% of his passes, but also managed a couple of TDs through the air. On DK, in the mid-$5K range I think you just have to play him against the Jets and hope he racks up a ton of yards with his legs. Running Back Javonte Williams FD 6700 DK 5900 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 20.56 DK - 22.24 With Melvin Gordon out of the lineup, it was all Javonte Williams for the Broncos. Sure, they lost to the Chiefs, but for our purposes, we don’t care all that much about the outcome. Williams played 78% of the snaps, and got 32 total looks with 23 carries and nine targets. That’s elite (elite!) usage and this week gets a much better matchup. Denver is -8 home favorites against the 29th defense in the league in the Lions. This is a smash spot again for Williams if Gordon...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 13
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 13 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back/Defense Stack Alexander Mattison FD 8700 DK 7600 Opponent DET Proj Points FD - 20.24 DK - 22.59 MIN FD 4600 DK 3200 Opponent DET Proj Points FD - 7.92 DK - 7.92 I never like writing up my favorite team and not because I am biased. It's more due to the fact they seem to play up or down to their opponents and have been very inconsistent, hence a 5-6 record. The reason this stack shows up at #1 for me this week is that it can be used in all formats as the Vikings are in a great spot here checking all the boxes. They are pretty much in a must-win situation sitting as the 7-seed and no better matchup than against the winless Lions who will also be without their best player, D'Andre Swift. With Dalvin Cook ruled out, Alexander Mattison will once again take on the lead role in the backfield and he has a track record in this situation. His last three starts with Cook out(Week 5, week 3, & week 16 2020), he has averaged over 150 yards from scrimmage and that includes heavy involvement in the pass game. I project him getting 18-20 touches for a floor with upside of 25+. He is likely a little lower owned on FanDuel where he is the 3rd most expensive option at the position(6th on DK). I like stacking the defense with Mattison in this matchup, especially with Swift and his late game fantasy explosions out of the equation. The Vikings D has actually provided a decent floor all season as they have tallied multiple sacks in every game with at least one interception in six of their last seven games. I will have exposure to this stack in all formats this week. Projected Low Owned Leverage Stack Taylor Heinicke FD 7100 DK 5600 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 20.31 DK - 21.21 Terry McLaurin FD 7200 DK 7400 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 15.01 DK - 18.31 If you are one to look at ownership projections and try and make some leverage pivots, this one is...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 13 – Main Slate
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 13 - Main Slate Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one-week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL and NBA - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Jalen Hurts FD 8000 DK 7000 Opponent NYJProj Points FD - 23.83 DK - 24.63 I get that he was a trash pile last week, but the same can be said of a number of different play-callers. Hurts didn’t get into the endzone through the air or on the ground. But this week, Hurts gets the gift of facing the Jets, the league’s worst defense overall in terms of DVOA. And they are equal opportunity bad, 30th against the pass and 31st against the run. From this perspective, there shouldn’t be much in the way of resistance when it comes to Hurts piling up points. I get that he’s been inefficient through the air, especially over the last couple of weeks, and that’s a problem especially with the passing touchdowns. But the good news is that Hurts has 55 or more rushing yards in each of the last six weeks. That makes up for a decent amount of the passing problems and I think on that end, this will be his easiest matchup in a while. Derek Carr FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 20.72 DK - 21.44 If you are looking to save a little on DraftKings on this slate then Carr might be the way to go. Washington is a bottle defense, ranking 30th in DVOA against the pass, but 7th against the run. Carr is coming cheaper on DK all things considered though some of that is, for sure, on the performance. He’s got less than a 2:1 TD: INT rate on the season (17:9) even with the completion percentage still sitting around 67%. Being down Waller doesn’t help, but he should face little resistance from the Washington secondary. I think he’s a fine option for cash. Going the other way, I think Taylor Heinecke could be a solid DraftKings play in this matchup. Running Back There are a lot of viable running backs this week. In some ways, I almost wish we could play six RBs instead of some of the WRs out there. Let’s wade through some of the early value on this slate at the position. Elijah Mitchell FD 7600 DK 6000 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 19.07 DK - 20.77 He came back last game with some question marks about how he’d be able to...