Week 4 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/1/20 Recapping last week, these were bets put out in our article along with those given away in our members-only chatroom. Rams - Bills Over 47.5 (W) Ravens -3.5 (L) Ravens - Chiefs Over 53.5 (W) Broncos +6 (L) Texans +4 (L) 49ers - Giants over 42 (W) Overall Week 3 Record 3-3 Season Record 10-7 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Dallas Cowboys Opponent CLE Cowboys -4.5 It’s been a weird start for the Cowboys this season. They lost a barn-burner against a good Ram’s team, pulled out a shootout against the Falcons who give it up to everyone and then lost to Russell Wilson’s brilliance. Yes, they have a slightly negative point differential, but the two losses don’t look all that bad considering the opponent. I do think better things are in store for them going forward and they get a decent matchup against the Browns this week. Meanwhile, the Browns lost to the Ravens in Week 1, but then beat a couple of bottom-feeders in the Bengals and Redskins. So evaluating these two teams on strength of schedule would still have the Cowboys with a slight edge. The Cowboys have played the 4th hardest schedule to start the season with the Browns ranked 24th. And between that, and the public nature of the team, you are paying a little bit of a premium to bet on them this week. But that’s just what we’re going to do. The offense should have very little issue putting up points against a Browns’ defense due for some regression here. And the Cowboys defense has been much better against the run this season compared to the pass which should stymie some of the Browns’ attack. Chicago Bears Opponent IND Bears +2.5 Bears - Colts OVER 43 The Colts are 2-1 though their schedule has been about as easy as it gets with the Jaguars (loss) in Week 1 followed by a stumbling Vikings’ team and the brutal Jets. So sure, 2-1 seems okay but it isn’t like they’ve run the gauntlet. Meanwhile, the Bears haven’t exactly faced a murderer’s row either with wins over the Lions, Giants and Falcons. So while this is a matchup between the number one and number six ranked DVOA defenses so far to start the season, we also know that it isn’t schedule-adjusted yet. All this being said, the Bears made a quarterback...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 4 Game by Game Breakdown DraftKings and FanDuel Welcome to our game by game breakdown for week four, where James Davis and Doug Norrie break down every game on the main slate for FanDuel and DraftKings for week 4. Looking for our Week 4 cash game DFS NFL Podcast? Follow the link and take a listen! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! With the Steelers and Titans game getting postponed, we have fewer games to work with than we initially thought, but there are still plenty of intriguing DFS options available for us this week. With Henry getting bumped off the main slate and Michael Thomas potentially returning to cut into Alvin Kamara's targets, running back is starting to look pretty thin all of a sudden. Do we spend all the way up for Zeke? Can we get by with Josh Jacobs as an underdog against the Bills? What about some cheaper options in good match-ups, like Joe Mixon, or Darrell Henderson Jr.? It's never fun to have big question marks at running back, and the guys wade through the options in each game. Wide receiver offers us a ton of value across the board, with excellent high priced options like DeAndre Hopkins, all the way down to great cheap options like Will Fuller V or Tyler Boyd. Heck, we even have a well fleshed out mid-range of wide receiver options with the resurgence of Keenan Allen and Allen Robinson. For that reason, we'll likely be filling our wide receiver slot last based on where we need to pay up elsewhere. All in all week 4 is shaping up to be another barn burner, so be sure to turn in and hear the DFSR team's thoughts on each game for the NFL DFS main slate! Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 4 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel It's time for the Week 4 cash game DFS NFL Podcast with the guys breaking down every position for your cash game needs on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Week 4 is here, and Doug and James are back to break down their cash game plays on DraftKings and FanDuel. While there is less obvious value heading into this week, things are taking a pretty clear direction early on. The guys agree that you're likely going to want to pay up at quarterback this week, picking between names Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, and Russell Wilson. Running back is going to look a lot different this week as well with fewer obvious cheap value options this week. DFSR is looking to lean on high usage guys like Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Derrick Henry, while trying to find some cheap targets from Mike Davis. Since we're spending up heavily at running back and quarterback we'll likely middle out wide receiver with high target value options like Tyler Lockett, Amari Cooper, and even a resurgent Keenan Allen. Tight end looks disastrous as always, but the guys make the case for Jimmy Graham after Nick Foles took over at QB and his production exploded. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 4 Week 3 was a roller coaster, with far fewer injuries than week 2, but plenty of surprises nonetheless. What can we learn from week 3 while not overreacting? Let's go position by position and pin down the best cash game plays right now, understanding that things might change as the week progresses. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Russell Wilson FD 9000 DK 7800 Opponent MIAProj Points FD - 26.25 DK - 26.8 I mean what else can you say about the guy at this point? He’s been simply spectacular to start this season, exceeding expectations which is pretty amazing considering he came into the year ranked no worse than third in any active quarterback list. He’s already thrown 14 touchdowns to only one interception and has completed 77% of his passes. He’s *only* fourth in passing yards but that’s also because the offense has been so hyper-efficient that they don’t need to throw a ton of volume. Among the top-ten quarterbacks in passing yards, Wilson has the second-fewest attempts (103). This week he’ll get his easiest matchup yet as a 6.5 road favorite over the Dolphins. Miami held Gardner Minshew in check in Week 3, but gave it up to Josh Allen (QB3) and Cam Newton (QB7) in previous weeks. This is a smash spot for Wilson once again and could be even more so if Chris Carson is out and they rely on the pass even more. Kyler Murray FD 8400 DK 7000 Opponent CARProj Points FD - 24.29 DK - 25.08 Murray was a chalk play in week 2 on both FanDuel and DraftKings, but disappointed in a surprising loss at home to the Lions. He completed only 23 of his 35 passing attempts and threw three interceptions. He did end up with two passing touchdowns, but the Lions also held him to his fewest rushing yards (29) of the season. Look for a bounce-back game against the Panthers who haven’t had to face all that much pressure from opposing quarterbacks to start the season. They’ve played Derek Carr, Tom Brady, and Justin Herbert in the first three weeks. Murray will offer a different kind of challenge. They are a bottom-third defense and Murray still has a very high floor considering how he scores his points. I’m fine going back to him in cash games this week. Joe...

  Week 3 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 9/24/20 Recapping last week, these were bets put out in our article along with those given away in our members-only chatroom. Cardinals -6.5 (W)Vikings +3 (L)Giants-Bears Over 43 (L)Panthers +9 (L - This one was brutal)Dolphins +6 (W)Chargers +9 (W)Patriots-Seahawks Over 45 (W)Saints-Raiders Over 48.5 (W)Overall Week 2 Record 5-3 Season Record 7-4 Also check out our Week 3 cash game plays as well as our Week 3 injury breakdown. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Baltimore RavensOpponent KCBAL -3.5OVER 53.5 (-115)The Ravens have picked up this regular season right where they left off last year: dominating. They are already +49 on the season through two games, 19 points better than the next-closest team. Sure, it was the Browns and Texans, though I’d contend those aren’t really bottom-feeders. The Ravens have just had no issues making easy work of mostly everyone over their last 18 regular-season games.   Meanwhile, the Chiefs came out gunning to start the season against the aforementioned Texans, but barely squeaked out a victory over Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2. It took overtime, a stop and a long field goal to bring home the W. This bet isn’t an overreaction to that performance, but rather some recognition that Baltimore has a gameplan which is problematic for the Chiefs. Namely, they can control the ball for long stretches and KC hasn’t solved one of their bigger “weaknesses” from last season: stopping the run.   Expect Lamar Jackson and company to keep the ball on the ground consistently with a lot of different looks. KC allowed 167 yards on the ground to the Chargers in Week 2 and 124 to Houston in Week 1 on close to six yards per carry. But even that said, there are still a lot of paths to hitting the over as well. A tight game almost assuredly has both teams keeping their feet on the proverbial gas and it stands to reason KC will want to air it out to keep the pressure on the Baltimore attack to take it to the air. BroncosOpponent TBBoncos +6 Over the last two+ seasons, the average away team score when coming into Denver is a meager 18.8 points. Part of that is a solid Denver defense in the last couple of years, but it’s also just really tough to fly in and play in the Denver...