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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate 11/23/23

Posted by on Nov 21, 2023 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate 11/23/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Dak Prescott FD 8500 DK 6800 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 22.36 DK - 22.36 The Cowboys come in with Thanksgiving’s biggest point total as -11 home favorites against the Commanders. Prescott is coming off a rougher game against the Panthers from the statical side, but it was also an easy win for Dallas and the starters were pulled in the 4th quarter. The three games before that saw him throwing for more than 300 yards in each with 11 total touchdowns to just two interceptions. Now he’ll face a weaker defense from Washington and there’s a reason the Boys are big favorites. Dak has a high floor and the DraftKings price doesn’t make you think too hard. Brock Purdy FD 7700 DK 6100 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 18.02 DK - 18.02 With the 49ers offense back at full strength in the skill position department over the last couple of weeks, Purdy has been awesome, completing 78% of his passes and throwing six touchdowns to no interceptions. It’s been as efficient as a quarterback can really and he’s coming off a week that saw him as the chalk QB option on DraftKings. That could be the case again here considering there’s savings off of Dak in order to fill out the rest of the lineup. Running Back Tony Pollard FD 7200 DK 6700 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 17.6 DK - 19.64 It happened folks! Tony Pollard actually found the endzone again in Week 11 after not touching pay dirt since Week 1. He was also as efficient as he’s been all season, averaging more than five yards per carry on his 12 carries. Plus there were five targets in the passing game as well. Now, he’s coming into this one in the running back sweet spot again as big home favorites against a bad defensive line. Let’s run Pollard out there again and hope he can keep it going. Zach Charbonnet FD 5800 DK 5300 Opponent SFProj Points FD - 16.3 DK - 17.97 It’s not amazing rostering running backs from big underdogs, but if the back projects to be used in all facets of the game then it makes it a bit easier from a script standpoint. That should be the case with Zach Charbonnet who projects to be the workhorse for Seattle with Kenneth Walker likely not playing. Charbonnet saw 85% of the...

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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 11 Main Slate 11/19/23

Posted by on Nov 16, 2023 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 Main Slate 11/19/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Sam Howell FD 7700 DK 6300 Opponent NYGProj Points FD - 19.64 DK - 19.64 The top QBs, in terms of overall scoring, aren’t on this slate and CJ Stroud who’s been amazing has really shot up in price. It leaves us in an interesting spot at the position for this week. I think we can turn to Sam Howell who is in a great spot at home against the Giants. Big Blue stinks, just got lit up by Dak Prescott and has basically called it on the season. Meanwhile, Washington is still (somehow) kind of in the NFC playoff hunt and could use a layup win here. Howell has attempted 42 or more passes in each of the last four weeks and has averaged a few rushes as well. His price doesn’t break the bank on either site and I think we can stack him with a Commanders’ running back as well for cash. Trevor Lawrence FD 7000 DK 6000 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 18.52 DK - 18.52 This one is going to take a little stomach to manage, but there’s definitely a case to be made for Trevor Lawrence in cash. He’s had a bad run of late, running up against the Saints, Steelers, and 49ers in the last three weeks. But now he’ll face a below-average Tennessee Titans secondary who rank well below average against the pass. The Titans are something of a funnel defense and this is a get-right spot for Lawrence who shouldn’t be as bad as he’s been in recent weeks. Plus, we are getting him on a price drop as well. Kyler Murray FD 7600 DK 6100 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.01 DK - 19.01 Kyler Murray’s return paid dividends even if the efficiency wasn’t amazing. He attempted 32 passes, completing 19 and going for 249 yards. Plus he scrambled six times for 33 yards and a touchdown. This week he’s up against the Texans who’ve had no problem getting into shootouts this season. Opponents play at an above-average pace and the conditions here line up well for cash. Kyler hasn’t been totally price-corrected for what we can expect from him going forward, and not throwing any TDs last week kept the salaries relatively in check. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 10000 DK 9300 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 22.79 DK - 25.62 Christian McCaffrey is second in...

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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 10 Main Slate 11/12/23

Posted by on Nov 9, 2023 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 10 Main Slate 11/12/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Joe Burrow FD 8200 DK 6800 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.5 DK - 19.5 Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes are on byes while Lamar Jackson is facing up against the Browns. That leaves some of the bigger fantasy QBs out of the cash mix but there are plenty of ways to go here. Joe Burrow is clearly over the calf injury and has been humming with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions total over the last four weeks. He’s facing a below-average Houston Texans defense allowing more than average opponents plays from scrimmage this season. I like Burrow’s price on DraftKings a bit more and think there’s a chance that pairing him with Joe Mixon (who we’ll get to) could be the move in cash on this slate. Taylor Heinicke FD 7000 DK 5100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 18.17 DK - 18.17 Taylor Heinicke got his first start for the Falcons in Week 9 and the team promptly lost an embarrassing one to the Cousins and Jefferson-less Vikings. He completed only 55% of his passes but did get 268 yards while also adding another 20 on the ground. The key here is less about Heinicke and more about the matchup. The Arizona Cardinals rank 28th in pass rush and 31st in overall defense according to PFF. For his DraftKings price, I think he makes a cash game play even though I hate the Falcons in general on a week-to-week basis. Running Back Joe Mixon FD 7700 DK 6200 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 16.33 DK - 18.41 With our running backs we love to have home favorites as a good place to start. Check and check for Joe Mixon with the Bengals -7 in Cincy against the Texans. Houston is below average against the run this season and Mixon is unchallenged in the backfield for this team right now. He’s not efficient on the carries, going for fewer than four yards a touch so far, but he’s always on the field and Burrow will target him in the passing game. I really like his price on both sites considering the opportunity. Tony Pollard FD 7800 DK 7300 Opponent NYGProj Points FD - 17.88 DK - 19.96 Ugh, when do we quit this guy? Just when you think he’s got the perfect scenario, the production just doesn’t come. And yet here we are in Week 10 with...

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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 9 Main Slate 11/5/23

Posted by on Nov 1, 2023 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 9 Main Slate 11/5/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 8600 DK 8200 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 21.84 DK - 21.84 For Sunday’s main slate of games I think we are going to want to pay up for one of the stud (“safe”) quarterbacks to get things started in cash. That’s going to mean either Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts who I think you can prioritize depending on the site. Lamar Jackson is $400 cheaper on FanDuel in the matchup against the Seattle Seahawks. He is QB5 in FanDuel scoring on the season thanks in large part to the 380 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground. Seattle is good against the run and has a good pass rush so it isn’t like this is some kind of layup game. But Lamar has such a high floor because of what he does on the ground. And he also has weapons now. Jalen Hurts FD 9000 DK 8000 Opponent DALProj Points FD - 22.52 DK - 22.52 And then there is Jalen Hurts who is $200 cheaper than Lamar Jackson on DraftKings. He goes against Dallas who has an elite defensive pass rush, but the game as the highest over/under on the slate at 46. It should still be a good spot for Jalen Hurts who is fantasy’s QB2 on the season. He gets out and runs more than nine times per game, has six rushing touchdowns and is a big-time threat every time Philly is down and close. Plus, we will talk about stacking him with AJ Brown here shortly. There are some backup quarterbacks getting starts this week. One who could be interesting is Taylor Heinecke for the Falcons. He’s $5K on DraftKings and gets a good matchup. Running Back Bijan Robinson FD 7100 DK 6100 Opponent MINProj Points FD - 14.86 DK - 16.99 After the Bijan debacle of Week 7 that saw him barely play after getting sick pregame, things bounced back in Week 8. He played 74% of the snaps, got 11 carries and five targets in the offense. It was bad because Desmond Ridder looked rough, but there’s going to be a change there now. The Falcons are -3 home favorites against the Vikings who have a good run defense but might not be able to keep the offense on the field without Kirk Cousins. I like the deal we are getting on Bijan here for sure....

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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 8 Main Slate 10/29/23

Posted by on Oct 25, 2023 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 8 Main Slate 10/29/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 8400 Opponent DENProj Points FD - 25.82 DK - 25.82 Patrick Mahomes is just such a tough fade right now and this week is lining up for the Chiefs to really pile it on. For starters, Mahomes is QB3 in DraftKings scoring on the season behind only Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts. And then you factor in that he is playing the Denver Broncos who grade out at 25th in pass rush and 30th in coverage according to PFF. This game has the highest total on the slate and Mahomes controls the offense. He’s expensive, for sure, but the floor is just so, so high right now. And the matchup is perfect. Brock Purdy FD 7200 DK 5600 Opponent CINProj Points FD - 18.07 DK - 18.07 Brock Purdy is coming cheap on DraftKings where I think you can consider him in cash games. The Bengals have a good pass rush but rank consistently low in coverage. Cincy is below average in opponents yards per pass attempt and are about average in opponent pace. This is a good spot for Purdy even without Deebo Samuel in the mix. He’s gotten out and run a few more times in the last couple of games and has been historically efficient with this offense. I think he has a higher floor in cash games. Running Back Alvin Kamara FD 8300 DK 7300 Opponent INDProj Points FD - 21.75 DK - 25.82 Alvin Kamara is 18th in running back usage (carries + targets) this season which doesn’t sound all that impressive until you remember that he’s played about three games fewer than just about everyone above him on the list. And his receiving targets alone are second among RBs overall behind only Josh Jacobs. This is just outrageous opportunity for Kamara and it makes him basically a must-play on DraftKings because of the full PPR scoring. Derek Carr is fine checking down all day long and Kamara has been the primary beneficiary. This is a pretty easy play in this spot. Tony Pollard FD 7600 DK 7500 Opponent LARProj Points FD - 18.01 DK - 20.11 We are getting dared to play Tony Pollard at these prices and he enters Week 8 with a chance to actually show why he went so high in drafts this season. The Cowboys come out of the bye as -6.5...

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