Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback The Chalk - Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Ben Roethlisberger The Pivot Aaron Rodgers FD 9000 DK 7000 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 17.6 DK - 18.01 I am going to start at the quarterback position this week as I feel there is some terrific leverage here. First of all, I see all three chalk quarterbacks listed above being popular this week, especially Herbert in an elite spot vs. the Jets. This should help push Rodgers ownership down which was already projected lower due to the matchup vs. the Colts who rank 2nd in passing yards per game allowed and 1st in fantasy points allowed to the QB position. I am not worried for multiple reasons starting with the fact the Colts have only played against one team(TEN #2) ranked inside the Top 15 in DVOA passing offense and only four teams ranked inside the Top 20. Three times they have given up 20+ DK points to a QB and they were Stafford(Week 8), Burrow(Week 6), Minshew(Week 1) and Aaron Rodgers is *cough cough* a much better quarterback than all three of those(very tough to get that out being a Vikings fan). For Rodgers, outside of the Tampa game, he has been terrific this season tallying 19+ DK points in every game, scoring 25+ six times, and 29+ four times. He is gifted an elite wideout in Davante Adams and an elite running back in Aaron Jones who is also a top pass-catching back. Finally, I found this very interesting from Zach Kruse on Twitter and it aligns as GB is ranked #3 in pass protection while the Colts pass rush is ranked 15th this season. #Packers QB Aaron Rodgers when kept clean in the pocket in 2020, per @PFF: – 83.7 adjusted completion percentage (5th) – 25 touchdown passes (1st) – 130.0 passer rating (1st) Kept clean on 77.2% of dropbacks (2nd) — Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) November 20, 2020 I am absolutely...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 11 Cash Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 11 NFL game by game podcast, where Doug and James tell you all you need to know about the games on the main slate for NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   James and Doug are back to break down every game on the main slate of FanDuel and DraftKings for week 11. With Christian McCaffrey going down, it looks like Dalvin Cook and Davante Adams will be the default pay-up options in all formats. We don't believe that it opens up Mike Davis as an interesting cash game play, but he's a great big tournament play. The guys go through the long list of cheap running backs, discussing how you might prioritize each in various formats this week. And there are a lot of them, with Kalen Ballage, JD McKissic, Salvon Ahmed, Damien Harris, DeAndre Swift, Duke Johnson, and potentially Giovani Bernard being playable this week. That's a long list, but the guys believe there are some clearly better options than others. There are some other questions to answer this week as well. To what degree do we trust Jameis in cash games, and how does he impact the Saints' offense? How do we handle opportunity projections for teams that played in windy conditions last week? The guys answer all these questions and more on the week 11 game by game podcast. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 11 Cash Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 11 NFL cash game podcast, where Doug and James take an early look at cash game plays for week 10 of NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   James and Doug are back to take an early look at cash games in week 11 on FanDuel and DraftKings. Quarterback has a few options that we haven't considered much this season in Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson. Herbert has had a surprisingly high floor this season, and has a great match-up with the terrible New York Jets. Jackson hasn't been the guy he was last season, but the upside is still there with him getting 10+ carries a game. The guys discuss the pros and cons of each. Running back presents a bevy of cheap options, and the difficulty this week is picking between them. DFSR feels like Ballage and McKissic are the best options, but people will certainly dabble with Harris, Ahmed, and even Duke Johnson. If you run two cheap guys, you're going to have room for a top tier play, and it will be tough to choose between McCaffrey and Cook. Wide receiver is actually fairly tough this week. Davante Adams is a great play (as usual), but can you afford him alongside McCaffrey or Cook? Thankfully there are some good cheap options, with each of the Steelers wide receivers looking good, Brandin Cooks in a bounceback, and others. Tight end is a disaster as always, and DFSR is leaning toward Hayden Hurst as a high floor way to get away from a bad position cheaply. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Week 11 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 11/18/20 After another strong Week 10, going 2-0-1 (HOU miracle push) and 4-1-1 over the last two weeks, we have Week 11 lining up for some solid NFL betting value. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Tennessee TitansOpponent BALTitans +6.5 Titans +240 .5 units This is an interesting game between two 6-3 teams who’ve reached their respective records in decidedly different ways. For starters, the Ravens haven’t had anything close to the offensive punch we saw in 2019, ranking 24th in DVOA on that side of the ball. Lamar Jackson appears to have regressed to his personal mean and the numbers have dropped dramatically off his MVP season. But on the defensive side of the ball, they’ve been stout once again, ranking 6th and even better against the rush at 3rd. That, for sure, could be a problem for Tennessee who wants to get things going with Derrick Henry early. On the other hand, we have the Titans who’ve made hay on offensive ranking 4th overall and, most importantly, 2nd in their passing attack. This is an important piece here against Baltimore who’ve been worse in their passing defense. All things considered, the Titans have a balanced offensive attack that can exploit holes in the Ravens’ front. Sure, the Titans’ defense has been an issue this season ranking 24th overall. But when it plays out through the numbers, these teams are closer to even than the 6.5 spread would indicate. Take the Titans’ points here in what should be a closer game.   Arizona CardinalsOpponent SEAARI +3.5 ARI +140 Here we have another road team getting points. Let’s take them. This season, home teams have a slight advantage when it comes to scoring, but it’s ever so slight. On the season, they are outscoring visitors by less than half a point per game. It’s not nothing, but it’s a far cry from what we’d seen in say 2018 when that number was more like 2.2. Arizona is coming off the Hail Mary win over the Bills in Week 10 and are now in a three-way tie at the top of the NFC West. They have the best point differential of the group (which includes Seattle) though arguably have played the easiest schedule. But this is still a team with a top-10 defensive DVOA and the 12th ranking on offense. The losses to the Panthers and Lions...

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 11 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 8400 DK 7300 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 23.36 DK - 23.9 The bad news first. Lamar Jackson hasn’t been anywhere close to what we saw from the electrifying quarterback in 2019. There’s been a steep drop-off this season in the passing yards even though the efficiency has been relatively in the same range. The TDs aren’t keeping pace either, though those numbers were definitely due to regress some from what we saw. Where he’s way behind last season is the rushing yards. Last season he was averaging more than 80 yards per game, but this season it’s only around 52. But that’s ticked up to 71/5 yards per game over the last four and this week he gets a bottom-third defense in the Tennessee Titans. It’s also a big-time pace-up matchup with the Titans allowing the second most opponent plays per game, trailing only Seattle. If there’s a breakout spot for Jackson, this looks like it. We aren’t getting him at any kind of huge discount, but the price has dropped since the beginning of the season. Justin Herbert FD 8500 DK 6800 Opponent NYJProj Points FD - 22.32 DK - 23.43 Since taking over for Tyros Taylor in Week 2, Herbert has been nothing short of fantastic from a fantasy perspective. In fact, in that time span he ranks as QB5 in raw fantasy scoring behind only Murray, Allen, Mahomes and Wilson. That’s such an impressive list and is nothing short of amazing considering he wasn’t even the starter Week 1 and it took a punctured lung to get him in there. The accuracy is decent at 67% but he’s getting it done in the red zone through the air with 19 passing touchdowns as well as on the ground with three rushing TDs. This week the Chargers get the garbage Jets who rank 29th overall in defensive DVOA and dead last against the pass. Herbert’s price has come up for good reason, but he’s still very much a play here in a choice matchup. Alex Smith FD 6600 DK 5300 Opponent CINProj Points FD - 16.78 DK - 17.66 If looking for a cheaper play, especially on DraftKings the hero story of Alex Smith could be a place to turn. Two years from nearly losing his leg and his...