Week 13 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/1/20 Enjoy gambling online? Check out Jackpot City Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots available to play, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer.   Tennessee Titans Opponent CLETitans -6 This line started at -4.5 (which we got in early on) and then climbed to -6 in the span of about 36 hours. It isn’t enough. The way things are trending, you’ll likely be able to get it at -5.5 when you read this. That works too obviously. The thing here is the Browns are the biggest smoke and mirrors team in the NFL. They are 8-3 with a negative point differential. Read that again: They are 8-3 and have been outscored by 21 points this season. The reason for this is they have played the second-easiest schedule in the league. They have one win against a team with a record of better than .500 (the Colts). When they’ve played actual *good* teams, like the Ravens and Steelers, they’ve been smoked. They rank 19th in defense, non-schedule adjusted which is a travesty considering their offensive opponents have ranked their D as the second-easiest schedule. Should I keep going here? Sure, Tennessee’s defense is no great shakes, but the offense ranks 3rd overall. The Browns are average or below on both sides of the ball. Absolutely love the Titans here not giving enough because the opponent has a mirage of a record.   San Francisco 49ers Opponent BUF49ers +2.5 The 49ers have played most of the season without their original starting quarterback and have had basically every running back get hurt at some point. They’ve had injuries on the defensive end as well with guys like Richard Sherman just coming off the IR last week. And yet, in spite of bad runs all around on the injury front and a 5-6 record on the season, they still have a positive (+7) point differential. That’s because the coaching is among (or just is) the best in the league. This week is a little weird with the 49ers having to move out of California and into Arizona because of COVID-related regulations. After three-straight tough games against the Seahawks, Packers, and Saints they pulled out a win over the Rams in Week 12. San Fran has the 9th-ranked defensive DVOA on the season and have held opponents to 20 or fewer points in eight of their 11 games this season. Meanwhile, the Bills has merely a +17 point differential despite playing the 19th most difficult schedule (SF is 6th...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back The Chalk - Wayne Gallman, Salvon Ahmed The Pivot  Nyheim Hines FD 5700 DK 4600 Opponent TEN Proj Points FD - 9.04 DK - 10.73 I will start off with a perfect example of recency bias and how we can attack it in GPP formats. At his highest ownership of the season last week(12-13% in GPP), Hines let everyone down with just 33 total yards and eight fantasy points. He is now in the same price range as projected chalk value running backs Wayne Gallman and Salvon Ahmed which should easily have his ownership back down in the 5% range and if that's the case, I definitely want a piece of the action. He went off two weeks ago against these very Titans and at these prices has hit 4x or greater value on DraftKings three times. It is a crowded backfield but the low ownership also means we don't need a ton of exposure to get leverage on the field.   Wide Receiver The Chalk - Tyreek Hill, Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, Justin Jefferson The Pivot Calvin Ridley FD 8100 DK 7100 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 15.33 DK - 18.39 The wide receiver position provides us an excellent opportunity for leverage in top tier as Calvin Ridley sits right in the middle of multiple chalk plays in terms of pricing. He made his return last week against a very good Saints defense adn caught five of nine targets for 90 yards. He and teh Falcons now get a home matchup vs. the Raiders in a game with the second-highest total(55) on the slate. As for the matchup, the Raiders have allowed the 12th most receiving yards and 15th most fantasy points to the wide receiver position. Since the game when the Raiders completely shut down the Browns, things have gotten worse as they have given up the following to the opponents top pass catchers over the last three weeks:...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 12 game by game podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 12 NFL game by game podcast, where Doug and James tell you all you need to know about the games on the main slate for NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   James and Doug are back to break down every game on the main slate of FanDuel and DraftKings for week 12. For a three-game slate, Thanksgiving presents us with a number of solid cash game options. We've got Watson holding it down at quarterback, Zeke and (hopefully) Swift at running back, and a number of reasonable receivers between Pittsburgh, Houston, and even Washington. We're keeping an eye on the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game to make sure it goes, of course, but it doesn't look like a bad slate all things considered. Sunday's slate is actually fairly robust as well, since there are no more byes for the rest of the season. We have two strong quarterback options in Josh Allen and Kyler Murray, with a little Taysom Hill if we wind up needing some savings on DraftKings. Running back is probably the most difficult position to break down at this point, with Salvon Ahmed being the only truly exciting option available at this point. We're hoping to be able to run Kalen Ballage, but we need to keep an eye on the potential Austin Ekeler return. Wide receiver is very deep this week, if a bit expensive. It will be tough to decide between Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, and Tyreek Hill - and it's going to be tough to pay for all three of them. All in all there is much to discuss, so don't miss the DFSR boys breaking it all down! Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 12 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Kyler Murray FD 9100 DK 8200 Opponent NEProj Points FD - 25.11 DK - 25.93 Murray suffered an AC joint injury in the Seattle game, but after being checked out he returned to action and the Cardinals are assuming he'll play in this one against the floundering Pats. Deshaun Watson just embarrassed this Patriots defense in week 11, paying him price before halftime. Given that Murray is currently a rich man's version of Watson, he should be able to cook here. It's the best fantasy player of the year against the league's worst defense per DVOA - what more could we realistically ask for here? Josh Allen FD 8600 DK 7600 Opponent LACProj Points FD - 23.06 DK - 23.88 Not that anyone is really sleeping on Allen at this point, but it's certainly worth bringing him up for cash consideration given that he's significantly cheaper than Murray on both sites. Allen hasn't scored as many fantasy points per game as Murray this year, but Vegas totals suggest that the Bills are favored to score the most points of any team this week. It makes sense - the Chargers combine a mediocre defense with a fast-paced offense, letting other teams score the 8th most points per game this season. I could certainly see running Allen out there in a week where every dollar matters thanks to a relative lack of punt plays. Also considered: Taysom Hill! He was actually very efficient through the air, and his typical ground excellence saw him punching in two rushing touchdowns. Running Backs Kalen Ballage FD 5500 DK 5800 Opponent BUFProj Points FD - 14.73 DK - 16.59 Ballage was the highest owned running back in week 11, and while his final stat line doesn't jump off the page, the floor is looking pretty darn excellent at this point. He got 25 opportunities in the competent Chargers offense, including 7 receptions. Now, playing him this week depends on the status of Austin Ekeler, who has been activated off the IR and has been practicing in a limited fashion. If Ballage happens to be the RB1 again, he'll ply his trade against Buffalo, who has quietly been a bottom 10 team in terms of DVOA against the run this season. The Chargers have a solid 24 point total this week, and...

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for Thanksgiving Day on FanDuel and DraftKings Week 12 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Deshaun Watson FD 8700 DK 7400 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 22.23 DK - 22.96 Watson is right back to being the fantasy-QB1 type we were used to last season. Since Bill O’Brien was fired after Week 4, Watson has been the fourth-highest fantasy scoring quarterback behind only Kyler Murray, Justin Herbert, and Patrick Mahomes. That’s rarified air, and he’s coming off his best week yet with 344 yards and two touchdowns through the air and another 36 yards and a touch on the ground against the Patriots. The Lions are the 25th-ranked defense on the season allowing opponents to do damage on both the ground and through the air. Watson is far and away the cash game quarterback on this slate and I suspect he’s chalk on both sites. Alex Smith FD 6700 DK 5400 Opponent DALProj Points FD - 18.91 DK - 19.92 Since taking over for Kyle Allen 2.5 weeks ago Smith has returned to his previous efficient self, completing 71% of his passes. The touchdowns haven’t exactly followed with only two over the last three weeks as compared to four interceptions. But those picks are a little lumpy with three of them coming in the game against the Giants when he came in for Allen. The yards aren’t going to accumulate in big ways because he’s still reliant on under throws and doesn’t stretch the field all that much. But he’s facing the 20th-ranked defense this week and a team in the Cowboys who rank 21st in opponent plays per game. This is a pace-up matchup for the Redskins and Smith isn’t cost prohibitive. Also consider Lamar Jackson whose price has continued to drop this season. With the running backs banged up and Baltimore in a precarious playoff position, it stands to reason we see Jackson get out in the run game more this week. The problem is the matchup against the Steelers who own the best defense in football through 11 weeks.  Running Backs Ezekiel Elliott FD 8500 DK 6800 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 15.8 DK - 17.14 The Cowboys actually looked like a functional offense on Sunday, stealing a somewhat surprising win over the Vikings. Will it carry over? They face a Washington defense that’s been surprisingly good this season, ranking 7th in DVOA though is significantly...