Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 16 Main Slate 12/24/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 16 Main Slate 12/24/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Justin Fields FD 8300 DK 7100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 23.16 DK - 23.16 It sure seems like Justin Fields is playing for his future as the Bears quarterback and we are happy to ride that through the final few weeks of the season. In Week 16, it works out perfectly with the Bears facing off against the Cardinals who have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Fields was inefficient against the Browns last time out, but that was a significantly more difficult lift. In the previous three games, Fields had run 12, 12, and 18 times and gotten enough done through the air to really give him upside. He for sure has that this time out against Arizona and on the main slate is the best QB option. Kyler Murray FD 7600 DK 6400 Opponent CHIProj Points FD - 19.85 DK - 19.85 Let’s go to the other side of the ball for our other cash game quarterback on this main slate. The Chicago Bears defense has been better lately, but I still like running with Kyler Murray here. He’s run 15 total times over the last two weeks, and last week got the pass attempts up to 39, completing them at a 67% rate. When it comes to the floor, Fields is higher because he just runs more, but Kyler is cheaper and in a good game environment for cash games. Consider Nick Mullens coming at just $5300 on DraftKings. Running Back Ty Chandler FD 6900 DK 5600 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 16.68 DK - 18.01 It looks like Alexander Mattison is going to sit again this week, and that should open up another week of huge opportunity for Ty Chandler. He played 81% of the snaps last time out, carrying the ball 23 times while also seeing four targets in the passing game. That accounted for 43% of the Vikings offensive plays. Minnesota is a 3.5 dog to the Lions this week, but the game’s 47-point total is the second-highest of the slate. We will want exposure here on both sides of the ball if possible. Zack Moss FD 6600 DK 6500 Opponent ATLProj Points FD - 17.63 DK - 19.08 Zack Moss left the game very early last week and never returned. It was a massive bummer for a guy who was massive chalk on the Saturday slate. But...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 15 Main Slate 12/17/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 15 Main Slate 12/17/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Brock Purdy FD 8400 DK 6800 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 21.3 DK - 21.3 Brock Purdy is in the MVP discussion for a reason, and he’s a fantastic cash game option again this week. While the FanDuel price is getting tough to fit, the DraftKings salary could make him a chalkier option once again. He’s averaged 314 passing yards per game over the last six weeks, and that even includes a 209-yard game mixed in there. He’s been unbelievably efficient, and the 49ers offense looks borderline unstoppable. The matchup against Arizona is one of the best around even with the Cardinals slightly better against the pass than the run. Jordan Love FD 8000 DK 6200 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 19.56 DK - 19.56 Jordan Love isn’t a name we might expect to see, but he draws such a good matchup that he needs to be in consideration for cash games on this slate. The Bucs are one of the worst pass defenses in the league this season and opponents have lit them up all year long. They rank among the worst in yards per pass attempt and passing yards allowed per game. Love has attempted 36 or more passes in four of the last five weeks, completing more than 65% during that stretch. He’ll also get out and run from time to time as well. The floor is high here because of the matchup and the DraftKings price makes him relatively easy to fit into lineups. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 10500 DK 9300 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 27.39 DK - 29.92 I think that the cash game running back options are going to be pretty clear-cut on this main slate with the closer decisions coming at quarterback and wide receiver. Christian McCaffrey is in another amazing spot this week, facing off against an Arizona team that owns one of the worst defenses in football. The 49ers are huge -13.5 road favorites, and CMC hasn’t carried the ball fewer than 16 times in the last five weeks. Sure, the one target against the Seahawks is “concerning,” but his usage has been off the charts all season, and he comes here with a massive floor. Kyren Williams FD 9600 DK 7500 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 23.1 DK - 25.09 Few other running backs have the kind of opportunity Kyren Williams carries right now. That...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14 Main Slate 12/10/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 Main Slate 12/10/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Justin Fields FD 7900 DK 6800 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 20.56 DK - 20.56 The quarterbacks coming in the upper salary tier are basically all in great spots this week and it could be tough picking between and among them. Really, I could have written up anyone in this group and it would have been fine. From that perspective, we could see ownership spread out some on both sites. But I do think Justin Fields has one of the higher floors here in a home matchup against the Lions. From a floor perspective, Fields has one of the higher ones around. He runs a ton, averaging 12.25 rushes per game over his last four. He hasn’t found the end zone with all that time on the ground, though that could be something of an outlier. Plus, the Bears will air it out if playing from behind which could, for sure, be the case against Detroit here. I especially like the price on DraftKings coming sub-$7K. Brock Purdy FD 8100 DK 6500 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 20.51 DK - 20.51 Man, who has been better than this guy over the last four weeks? In that span. Brock Purdy has completed 74% of his passes and averaged 288 yards through the air. Plus he has 11 total touchdown passes. It’s been a fantastic run and has actually vaulted him up into the MVP discussion. Now, he’ll get another great matchup at home against the Seahawks with the 49ers coming in as -10.5 favorites. There was a bit of a struggle two weeks ago in this same matchup, but even with that you saw the numbers posted above. He’s coming off a major chalk week on DraftKings and that could be the case again. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 10500 DK 9200 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 24.67 DK - 27.25 It feels like one of the highest floor plays you can make this week is to stack Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey in cash and just let the 49ers offense take you all the way there. After all, this group has put up points in bunches, and really it’s looked pretty easy for them of late. When these teams played two weeks ago on Thanksgiving, Christian McCaffrey went for 114 yards on the ground and another 25 through the air. He finished with a couple of touchdowns,...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 13 Main Slate 12/3/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 13 Main Slate 12/3/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks C.J. Stroud FD 8000 DK 8100 Opponent DENProj Points FD - 21.18 DK - 21.18 Another week, another chance to play CJ Stroud who has been one of the truly cool stories in the NFL this season. The 2nd overall pick is going to win Rookie of the Year and was even flirting (albeit prematurely) with the MVP odds as well. Now he’s a home favorite against the Broncos who, while better of late, still rank 25th in average yards per pass from opponents this season. This game has the second-highest total on the slate and for good reason. The Texans have been in shootouts and are clearly happy having Stroud sling it in games. The price has climbed with the performance so he is no longer a bargain. But he has a high floor all things considered. Kenny Pickett FD 6700 DK 5100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 16 DK - 16 I can’t even believe I’m writing this but I think you need to take a strong look at Kenny Pickett in cash games on DraftKings this week. There is a lot working in his favor. For starters, in the first game without Matt Canada as OC in Pittsburgh, the Steelers put up over 400 yards of offense, something they hadn’t done, well, at all. Pickett threw 33 passes, going for 278 yards and scrambled five times as well. With the offense having a new look and the matchup against a Cardinals defense that’s among the worst in the league, rostering him at $5100 on DK is a (gasp) safe play. Running Back Zack Moss FD 5600 DK 4600 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 18.96 DK - 20.19 Jonathan Taylor is going to miss significant time with the bad thumb injury and that should but Zack Moss all the way back in the feature role for the Colts. Go back to Week 5 when Jonathan Taylor was just coming back and we saw Moss play 80% of the snaps and carry the ball 20 times with two targets. And the weeks before that it was roughly the same story. Moss was the guy and the Colts were fine leaning all the way in on his usage. That should be the case here against the Titans and the price isn’t anywhere close to where it should be for the opportunity. He is likely the highest-owned player...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 12 Main Slate 11/26/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 Main Slate 11/26/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks C.J. Stroud FD 7700 DK 7700 Opponent JAXProj Points FD - 20.25 DK - 20.25 We could be in a situation where stacking a particular game in cash even on a bigger slate. CJ Stroud has been nothing short of amazing in his rookie season racking up 330 or more passing yards in each of the last three weeks and about to walk away with the Rookie of the Year. Now he’ll face the Jaguars in what could be another shootout and the price, unbelievably, hasn’t gotten all the way there yet. I like the FanDuel price a bit more than DraftKings all things considered. He’s priced just below the elite tier of Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, etc but has just as much upside as that group. Trevor Lawrence FD 7800 DK 6400 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.43 DK - 19.43 This game has the second-highest total on the slate so having some exposure here makes sense. We had Trevor Lawrence as a bounce-back candidate last week and that more than worked out. He threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns while also running in for two more. It was a slate-breaking performance from Lawrence who had been struggling a bit in the short-term. The DraftKings price is way too cheap in my opinion and if the rushing attempts hold then his floor is plenty high enough. Strongly consider Jalen Hurts here, especially on FanDuel. He could be a chalkier option there. Running Back Bijan Robinson FD 7400 DK 6500 Opponent NOProj Points FD - 18.95 DK - 20.72 Arthur Smith finally saw the light of day in Week 10 when he trotted Bijan Robinson out there for 75% of the running back snaps, giving him 22 carries and two targets as well. If this is the new plan (and let’s hope that it is) then he’s way, way too cheap on both sites. From the talent pedigree to the every down role, he has an incredibly high floor that is essentially script independent. Again, Smith can’t totally be trusted here, but for this game, I think we can run him out in cash against the Saints. Jonathan Taylor FD 7500 DK 6900 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 19.25 DK - 20.74 Jonathan Taylor gets a rougher matchup against the Bucs who have been only allowing 3.7 yards per carry to opponents this season, but there’s an...