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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 5

Posted by on Oct 10, 2020 in featured, Football Strategy |

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 5 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Kyler Murray FD 8300 DK 7200 Opponent NYJ Proj Points FD - 22.46 DK - 23.23 Jamison Crowder FD 6300 DK 5800 Opponent ARI Proj Points FD - 11.69 DK - 14.39 The quarterback position is very interesting this week in terms of ownership with Kyle Allen starting and just $4,100 on DraftKings. We saw this play out last season in Week 3 when he was the same price against Arizona and put up four touchdowns and nearly a 10x return. Then there is Teddy Bridgewater who will take on some ownership coming off a monster week and he is still cheap on both sites. Finally, in the top tier, we have Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson who will be chalky with excellent matchups. In terms of pricing, Kyler Murray sits right in the middle of Prescott and Watson on both sites which has me thinking he will be much lower owned. If that is the case, I am even higher on Murray than I was earlier in the week as he has been elite topping 24 fantasy points and returning at least 3.4x value on DraftKings in each of the Cards four games. The Jets present a tougher matchup as they rank 8th in fantasy points per game given up to QB's but have early only faced one QB in Josh Allen who did run for 57 yards and a TD. That is where Kyler's upside lies and he also has arguably the best wideout in the game lining up on the outside. To capitalize on the upside in a game, I like pairing my core stack with a pass-catching option on the other side in hopes the game is a shootout. Early on in the season, there has been a high % of GPP-winning lineups constructed around games stacks, so I will be including some of these options going forward. This brings me to Jamison Crowder of the Jets who has controlled...

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DFS NFL Podcast – Week 5 Game by Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Oct 8, 2020 in Podcast |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 5 Game by Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel Welcome back for our week 5 NFL game by game breakdown, where Doug and James go game by game on the main slate for FanDuel and DraftKings. Looking for our Week 5 cash game DFS NFL Podcast? Follow the link! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's hard to remember a time with less certainty in the NFL. We've got whole games in jeopardy, big stars with injury tags, and a number of teams with incredibly unusual starts to the season. God, it's great to have sports in our lives again. In this week's game by game breakdown the guys discuss how this week is shaping up. Is there any running back value to be had here? Can we trust Kareem Hunt given what we saw from D'Ernest Johnson last week? Will Damien Harris continue to shoulder most of the carries for New England? Or are we better off playing it safe with the likes of Mike Davis and James Conner? There's a lot to discuss there. Wide receiver poses challenges of its own. The guys were bullish on Terry McLaurin in the cash game podcast yesterday, but with Kyle Allen taking over as his QB do they feel the same way? Will the change in coaching staff in Houston be good or bad for the Texans' offense in the near term? What on Earth can we make of the Falcons' receiving corps after what we saw last week? The position is sort of a mess. Tight end adds a few question marks too, with Kittle potentially getting Jimmy G back (is that good or bad?) and likely being in a different game script this week as well. With all these question marks, this isn't a podcast you'll want to miss. Enjoy! Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

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DFS NFL Podcast – Week 5 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Oct 7, 2020 in Podcast |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 5 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel It's time for the Week 5 cash game DFS NFL Podcast with the guys breaking down every position for your cash game needs on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Week 5 is here, and Doug and James are back to break down their cash game plays on DraftKings and FanDuel. With the league swirling with uncertainty surrounding Covid-19, we should understand that these are preliminary looks at cash game selections. That being said, we do have a number of good options this week. Quarterback looks to be a position we are going to pay up at again, with the usual suspects all looking like great plays in good match-ups. The guys discuss whether we can trust Dak's production given the wild game scripts the Cowboys have played, whether we can take a little savings and play Deshaun Watson, or even turn to Teddy Bridgewater on DraftKings. Running back features a few interesting cheaper options in Mike Davis, Kareem Hunt, and Jerick McKinnon, with some nice expensive options in Ezekiel Elliott and Derrick Henry (if the Titans play, of course). Wide receiver was more of a mixed bag, with Amari Cooper ($7,800 on FD) being the only expensive wide receiver entering into consideration. It looks like another week where we'll fill out our cash game rosters with cheaper or midrange options like Robby Anderson or Terry McLaurin. Tight end looks to be a one man show this week, with George Kittle feeling a heck of a lot safer than the rest of the cheaper options. There's a chance we pivot to Jonnu Smith if the Titans actually play, but for now it looks like the rare week where we'll be paying up at tight end. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

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Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 5

Posted by on Oct 6, 2020 in featured, News, Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 5 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Dak Prescott FD 8700 DK 7400 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 25.86 DK - 26.71 The Cowboys' season is getting a little out of hand at this point. They are 1-3 to start the year despite scoring the second-most points in the league through four weeks. They’ve had to get into shootouts with the defense allowing, by far, the most points in the league at 146. Some of that is poor play, some is ill-timed turnovers. But overall it’s been a mess for Dallas. I was on record before Week 4 that Dak’s passing attempts per game were unsustainable. Whoops. He chucked up 58 on Sunday for 502 yards, four touchdowns and a loss. They come in Sunday as -9 favorites against the Giants in what should be another smash spot for the offense. Again, it doesn't seem like this kind of volume can continue, but it's also getting tougher to bet against it with each passing week. Dak needs to be at, or near, the top of the list simply because the volume is just out of this world. Deshaun Watson FD 7900 DK 6900 Opponent JAX Proj Points FD - 23.14 DK - 23.92 On the one hand, Watson has been pretty bad to start the season, losing his first four games with a 2:1 TD:INT rate. He's also barely getting involved at all on the ground with only 17 total rushing yards. And now the Texans have fired Bill O’Brien. So it’s been kind of a dumpster fire. But they did have a very tough schedule through the first quarter of the season and now get their easiest matchup yet. The Jaguars are the 29th-ranked defense, but at dead last against the pass according to DVOA. They are allowing 8.4 yards per pass attempt (third-worst) and a 77% opponent completion percentage which is the highest in the league. If Watson is going to turn it around, this is the game. He’s priced a bit lower because of the early season returns and this could be the time to buy low. Teddy Bridgewater FD 7100 DK 5900 Opponent ATL Proj Points FD - 18.43 DK - 19.09 Bridgewater continues to look more comfortable under center in his first year with the Panthers, guiding the team to wins in back-to-back weeks. In fact,...

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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 4

Posted by on Oct 3, 2020 in featured, Football Strategy, Uncategorized |

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 4 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Lamar Jackson FD 9600 DK 8100 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 22.89 DK - 23.43 The chalk at the quarterback position this week should fall on Russell Wilson, Dak Prescott, Kyle Murray, and even Josh Allen to an extent. That leaves a huge hole in ownership at the top of the salary where the last two league MVP's sit. I lean Lamar Jackson here with the new unknown in the Pats/Chiefs game as Cam Newton came down with a positive COVID test. Stay tuned for more news there. For Lamar, on top of all the other quarterbacks in great spots his performance against the Chiefs on Monday Night Football helps drive that ownership projection down, as well. The Chiefs are really the only team to hold that has held Lamar in check(twice) over the past two years so I am really not too concerned. While the matchup may not seem that great on the surface as Washington ranks 5th in passing yard per game allowed, they rank 19th in fantasy points per game allowed to QB's. As you would suspect, a lot of that ranking also comes from rushing as they have given up the 9th most rushing yards to QB's and that is where a ton of Lamar's upside lies. I would not be surprised to see Lamar rebound in a huge way rushing for 100+ yards and tallying multiple touchdowns leading to a spot in the optimal GPP lineup this week. The best part is that at low ownership we don't need a ton of exposure in our multi-entry builds to have more than the field. Let's buckle up and hope for more post-game interviews like this. Devin Singletary FD 6000 DK 5900 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 10.59 DK - 12.16 At the running back position, Devin Singletary is another player who is projected to have low ownership despite a terrific matchup. With rookie Zack Moss ruled out in...

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