FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday, 1/7/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday, 1/7/21 The 11-game slate on Wednesday was completely nuts. The player pool was so big, that it made it tough to make the perfect lineup. In any case, it was a solid night with recommendations like Domantas Sabonis, Elfrid Payton, and Clint Capela. This Thursday slate is much more manageable though, with only five games on the ledger. These are my favorite types of nights for the NBA because there's enough diversity in the player pool while not being too overwhelming. With that in mind, let's get into it! Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $10000 DK - $9600 Opponent - PHI Proj Pts FD - 58.08 DK - 60.29 If the first game without Kevin Durant is any indication, Irving is about to be a freak for the next week. On Tuesday without him, Irving provided 29 points, six rebounds, five assists and three steals, doing that damage in just three quarters of action. That's still 50 fantasy points and he was well on his way to 60 or 70 if that game stayed competitive. That should certainly be the case here, with the Sixers entering this matchup as a 2.5-point favorite. What we really like is that he took 19 shots and posted a 31 percent usage rate which is likely his floor in this expanded role. Just keep using Irving as long as KD is out. Tyus Jones FD - $5400 DK - $5600 Opponent - CLE Proj Pts FD - 27.11 DK - 25.93 Jones has been starting at point guard ever since Ja Morant went down and he's been doing better than this price would indicate. In the five games since Morant's injury, Jones has scored at least 25 DraftKings points in four of them, averaging over 26 DK points per game. That doesn't sound too dominant but it's a really good floor from a player sitting in the mid-$5,000s. What adds to his intrigue here is the matchup, facing a Cleveland backcourt without Darius Garland and Dante Exum. We're also looking at a 4.5-point spread and that should force Jones into at least 30 minutes in what should be a close game. Dejounte Murray is a...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Tuesday, 1/5/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Tuesday, 1/5/21 Monday's slate was very annoying. Not only did Delon Wright barely play as one of my favorite values, Dante Exum also played just one minute after suffering an injury. That's just the craziness of NBA DFS and it happens to all of us at one point or another. We're ready to bounce-back here though, so, let's get into this Tuesday slate! Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $9700 DK - $9300 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 54.3 DK - 56.23 With Kevin Durant expected to miss a week of action, Irving might be the favorite for Eastern Conference Player of the Week. We say that because Irving's usage should be monstrous in the absence of KD. That's certainly been the case this year, with Irving posting a 33 percent usage rate with him off the floor while averaging 1.73 DK points per minute. That's one of the best rates you'll see, equating to 60.6 DK points if Irving plays the 35 minutes we expect. That's really not that far off of his production with KD, averaging 45.4 fantasy points per game anyway. Mike Conley FD - $7000 DK - $6900 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 35.11 DK - 37.08 Many people wrote off Conley after a disappointing debut season with the Jazz but he's returned to his All-Star form this year. In fact, Conley has at least 33 DraftKings points in four of six games this season, en route to a 36.3-point average. That means Conley's price is still about $500 below where it should be and it's clear that these sites haven't taken notice of his return to form. Getting to face Brooklyn isn't too bad of a matchup either, with the Nets sitting fifth in pace and 17th in points allowed. Jamal Murray just went off against Minnesota on Sunday and we like him in the same matchup today. Shooting Guard Zach LaVine FD - $8100 DK - $8000 Opponent - POR Proj Pts FD - 43.82 DK - 45.23 While Portland's backcourt is astounding on the offensive side of the floor, they can definitely be exploited on the other end. That was certainly the...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday, 1/4/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 1/4/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Before we get started, just note that Luka Doncic's status will determine a lot of where lineups are going to head today. If he's out, basically every remaining Maverick is in play from a DFS perspective. If he plays, you can't run them. You'll have to keep an eye out as it leads up to lineup lock. Point Guard Markelle Fultz FD - $5800 DK - $6500 Opponent - CLE Proj Pts FD - 37.77 DK - 38.01 Fultz has picked up right where he left off at the end of last season, helping us understand why Orlando was happy to pay the former number 1 overall pick handsomely. He's been a similar player in all but one way - he's shooting way more often. He's added 5 shots a game (a 50% increase!) in spite of playing just 2 more minutes per game, and has 8+ assists in each of the Magic's last two non-blowout affairs. While the Cleveland back-court is promising offensively, they still have significant defensive struggles, and Fultz looks like a great value to me here. Elfrid Payton FD - $5300 DK - $6000 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 34.08 DK - 35.8 Stacking the Atlanta game has been a winning strategy so far this season, so we'll at least consider keeping the ball rolling with the relevant Knicks today. Payton's minutes have been up and down, which is why his fantasy points per game don't look great, but in close games, he's been playing a very active 33+. He'll likely draw Trae Young here, which could lead to another 19/8/5 type night like he just put up against the Pacers. It's a little closer on DraftKings at the higher price point, but he gets a full green light from us on FanDuel. Keep an eye on Evan Fournier's status. He missed practice on Sunday, and if he doesn't suit up Michael Carter-Williams would be in play in spite of his limited production on 30+ minutes last game. Shooting Guard James Harden FD - $11400 DK - $11100 Opponent - DAL Proj Pts FD - 56.92 DK - 60.4 You'll likely have to pay up...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Sunday, 1/3/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday, 1/3/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Mike Conley FD - $6600 DK - $6900 Opponent - SA Proj Pts FD - 35.88 DK - 38.06 Conley has turned into the guy we hoped he'd be from the moment he joined the Jazz, contributing across multiple categories en route to being a great high floor mid-range point guard. He's shooting 3 more times a game, and making 7% more of the shots he takes. He's basically improved upon his last good year in Memphis, and I'm sure Jazz fans have to be delighted. The Spurs are building upon the up-tempo game they ran during the bubble, playing the 12th fastest pace this year. Conley is still too cheap for this new production, and I'll happily run him in cash games. Kyrie Irving FD - $9500 DK - $9000 Opponent - WAS Proj Pts FD - 51.18 DK - 53.67 Well, if you thought Durant joining the Nets was going to slow down Kyrie's usage, you are looking mistaken. Kyrie is shooting almost exactly the same number of shots as he was last year, with the big difference being that defenses can't just sell out to stop him anymore. He hasn't paid these prices just yet, but that should come as he finally puts together a game where he's not running terribly from the field and he plays his full run of minutes. And Washington? Yikes. They're rocking the league's 3rd fastest pace and 5th worst defensive efficiency. Kyrie is a great play in any format. Also considered: Steph Curry. It's basically a challenge play between him and Kyrie, but I'll lean into Kyrie on the basis of the match-up. Shooting Guard Paul George FD - $8000 DK - $8700 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 44.02 DK - 45.89 George's price is still being depressed by a number of weird games that saw him lose his minutes to start this season, but we know from the Clippers' three close games that he should be good for 36 minutes in close games. He's averaged 40 fantasy points a minute in 32 minutes a game this season, which you'd be happy with here. Phoenix has been an...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Saturday, 12/2/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Saturday, 12/2/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our NFL Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard De'Aaron Fox FD - $8000 DK - $9400Opponent - HOUProj Pts FD - 44.56 DK - 44.91 These guys played on Thursday evening and put up 241 combined. This should, once again, be a pace up, low defense matchup. Fox finished with 22 points, six assists, and five rebounds in his 35 minutes. In a rematch, that’s probably a low line. It’s worth it to note that he shot 9-23 from the field. That crazy usage should carry over in this matchup and it’s realistic to think the points tick up here. Fox is close to a lock in cash games on FanDuel where the price is kind of a joke. DraftKings is closer. Malcolm Brogdon FD - $7500 DK - $7400Opponent - NYProj Pts FD - 41.55 DK - 43 Aaron Holiday FD - $3700 DK - $3800Opponent - NYProj Pts FD - 24.16 DK - 24.43 With TJ Warren out of the Pacers’ mix for the foreseeable future, there’s usage to go around for this team. That’s well-timed with the matchup against the Knicks on Saturday. It didn’t totally bear out on Thursday against the Knicks with Brogdon putting up only 13 shots, but in general over the last year plus, Brogdon goes from a full-strength 24% usage to 27% when Warren is off the court. The price didn’t move all that much on the implied uptick in opportunity and though the Knicks have found some defensive identity this season, it’s hard to imagine it sustains with this personnel. Meanwhile, Holiday got the start for Warren on Thursday playing 22 minutes on the wing. He had some foul trouble and it was a blowout which led to only 22 minutes. But he still put up 12 points and two assists with some other stats around the fringes. It’s an unspectacular play, but he’s cheap which often fits a need on these kinds of slates. Shooting Guard Victor Oladipo FD - $7200 DK - $6700Opponent - NYProj Pts FD - 35.83 DK - 37.33 With Warren out of the mix on Thursday, Oladpio put up 14 shots against the Cavs in 34 minutes. He put up his most...