Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/21/16
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/21/16 Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other stacking targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider. Now’s your chance to get DFSR Pro with MLB Optimal Lineups, Projections and Player Cards. Or try a free trial of our base package with projections for every player. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL as well! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there! Stacking in DFS MLB is such an important concept if you’re looking to take down a big tournament on FanDuel or DraftKings. It’s also a good way to diversify cash games because the variance in baseball can mean wild swings (ahem) in the scoring on a particular slate. The concept is easy. You want to pile players from one or two teams into your lineups because those guys compound scores by helping each other score runs when the going is good. Stack Targets Early Slate Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pat Dean(Twins) If you're looking for some serious firepower then this is the stack for you. The Blue Jays rank 8th in the league in home runs hit off of left-handed pitchers, and they've got plenty of guys who know how to crush bad pitching. Speaking of bad pitching, let's take a look at Pat Dean, who will be making his first big league start this afternoon. Although he's got a K/9 of 7.88 right now, prior to being called up to the majors he didn't have a K/9 much above 5 since he was in single A all the way back in 2011. This is big for the Blue Jays, who have a tendency to strikeout at a rate above the league average. For this particular stack I like the usual suspects in Josh Donaldson, Troy Tulowitzki, and Jose Bautista, and these three guys can be paired with either Justin Smoak or Russell Martin (depending on who's hitting in a more advantageous lineup spot, although I tend to lean...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/19/16
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/19/16 Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other stacking targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider. Now’s your chance to get DFSR Pro with MLB Optimal Lineups, Projections and Player Cards. Or try a free trial of our base package with projections for every player. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL as well! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there! Stacking in DFS MLB is such an important concept if you’re looking to take down a big tournament on FanDuel or DraftKings. It’s also a good way to diversify cash games because the variance in baseball can mean wild swings (ahem) in the scoring on a particular slate. The concept is easy. You want to pile players from one or two teams into your lineups because those guys compound scores by helping each other score runs when the going is good. Stack Targets Cleveland Indians vs. Tim Adleman(Reds) My favorite stack of the day has to be the Cleveland Indians offense going up against the inexperienced Tim Adleman in the hitter's haven that is Great American Ballpark. Adleman has only thrown 16 big league innings in his career, and while his numbers suggest he's doing a decent enough job, there are definitely areas in his game that can be exploited (namely his struggles against left-handed hitters). Although it is a small sample size of only 29 batters faced, Adleman is allowing lefties to hit .346/.414/.615 against him, and has already given up two home runs. Because of this, I would suggest stacking as many left-handed Indians as you can. Our system likes Carlos Santana (OPS of .874 vs right-handed pitching), Jason Kipnis (.909 OPS vs right-handed pitching), Tyler Naquin ( .316 batting average vs right-handed pitching), and Francisco Lindor (who is better against southpaws, but still good against righties). Combine all of that with the fact that Great American Ballpark is second only to Coors Field in terms of...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/17/16
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/17/16 Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other stacking targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider. Now’s your chance to get DFSR Pro with MLB Optimal Lineups, Projections and Player Cards. Or try a free trial of our base package with projections for every player. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL as well! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there! Stacking in DFS MLB is such an important concept if you’re looking to take down a big tournament on FanDuel or DraftKings. It’s also a good way to diversify cash games because the variance in baseball can mean wild swings (ahem) in the scoring on a particular slate. The concept is easy. You want to pile players from one or two teams into your lineups because those guys compound scores by helping each other score runs when the going is good. Stack Targets Minnesota Twins vs. Mike Pelfrey(Detroit) Another day, another article that picks on Mike Pelfrey. I promise that we don't have anything personal against the guy, he's just really not what we consider to be a serviceable big league pitcher. What you need to know about Pelfrey is that he's got an ERA and an xFIP closing in on 6, he's allowed almost as many walks as he has strikeouts, and has already given up 6 home runs this season. I know he had a decent outing against Baltimore his last time out, but I think that was more of a fluke than a sustainable trend. Comerica Park is actually an above average hitters park (which surprised me), and for what it's worth Pelfrey's ERA balloons to 7.04 when he's at home. For the Twins stack, our system really likes Joe Mauer, Brian Dozier, Trevor Plouffe, and Miguel Sano. Each of these guys has struggled a bit this season, but who better to have a break-out game against than one of the worst big league starting pitchers?...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/12/16
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings- 5/12/16 Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other stacking targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider. Now’s your chance to get DFSR Pro with MLB Optimal Lineups, Projections and Player Cards. Or try a free trial of our base package with projections for every player. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL as well! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there! Stacking in DFS MLB is such an important concept if you’re looking to take down a big tournament on FanDuel or DraftKings. It’s also a good way to diversify cash games because the variance in baseball can mean wild swings (ahem) in the scoring on a particular slate. The concept is easy. You want to pile players from one or two teams into your lineups because those guys compound scores by helping each other score runs when the going is good. Stack Targets Baltimore Orioles vs. Mike Pelfrey(Detroit) This is far and away the best stacking option of the night. We've got the team with the second highest slugging % and OPS against right-handed pitching going up against a guy who's allowing lefties to hit over .400, has an xFIP of over 5.00 and has as many walks as strikeouts on the season. Did I mention the game is in Baltimore, one of the more hitter friendly parks in baseball? Talk about a recipe for disaster (at least for Pelfrey that is). Because of the splits, I would go ahead and plug Matt Wieters and Chris Davis into your lineups to take advantage of Pelfrey's inability to get left-handed hitters out (you can go Alvarez over Davis if he gets a start, but I personally like Davis more). From there you can really go a number of different ways as our system really likes Jonathan Schoop, Manny Machado, and Adam Jones quite a bit. If you can afford it, I'd personally pay up for Machado and Jones, both of...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy for FanDuel and DraftKings – Pitcher Wins
Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy for FanDuel and DraftKings - Pitcher Wins Can you believe it? Baseball season is almost here and with it comes months of waiting for that Coors lineup to post, sweating out weather reports, stacking against David Holmberg and everything else that makes the summer great. At DFSR we're going to lead into baseball season with some strategy articles to get your mind spinning on all the nuances that comes with daily fantasy baseball lineups. If you want a lot of these ideas condensed into one place, make sure to download a copy of our free baseball eBook. There's a nice shiny link below. And while you wait for MLB, you can get a jump start on our membership package. Right now we've got projections for NBA and NHL running everyday and FanDuel and DraftKings NBA Optimal Lineups in our DFSR Pro package. Click here to get started. Now let's start looking at the baseball season. Calculating a Pitchers Expected Win The ever-elusive win. Many sites have it weighted in such a way that the simple W can swing your team in and out of the money quickly (I suppose the HR has the same effect). So we need a functional and realistic way to determine pitcher win expectancy. The Vegas money line gives us some indication of how much the nerds in Sin City think a certain team will win the game. And Vegas being smart and all, I think we can trust money lines almost as much as any other predictive measurement. A -200 line for a dude like Clayton Kershaw against say the Giants tells us roughly that the Dodgers are a 66% favorite to win the game. But unfortunately can’t just give the whole win to the blonde beauty Clayton. A team’s win, while likely to go to a starting pitcher, isn’t his to own. The Hardball Times did some research back in 2009 into how often a starting pitcher accounts for a team’s win. With this in mind we went and looked at the trends over the last two years. In that last two seasons we’ve seen (via FanGraphs) that in a given game, a starting pitcher will get the win about 75% of the time. A single starting pitcher, if all things are equal, can expect to get a win about 37.5% of the time. That means in an evenly matched scenario on FanDuel, a pitcher walks into a game with only 4.5 expected win points. Just getting started with MLB DFS? Click the banner below to get rolling But seeing as how not all starting pitchers are created equally (I’m looking at you Nick Martinez) and games are...