DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/22/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/22/22 This weekend has been wild. The amount of sports we have right now is mind-blowing, but we're going to keep grinding away in MLB. This sport is the biggest grind of them all, but it's the most rewarding if you stay with it. We've been doing that at DFSR and feel like we have an excellent read on the baseball landscape. The one thing we don't have a good read on is the weather, but who does? It's actually been snowing here in Denver and raining all over the east coast. Just be sure to check weather reports before submitting lineups! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - WSH (Aaron Sanchez) Park - MIL FD - 34.83 DK - 18.91 The Brewers have quietly developed the best rotation in baseball, and Peralta is a significant reason why. The right-hander has a 2.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP since the beginning of last season, striking out 243 batters across 180 innings. Those strikeout numbers are some of the best you'll see, and it's clear that Peralta is developing into an ace. The matchup with Washington is wonderful, too, with the Nationals ranked 19th in wOBA and 20th in runs scored. That was clear when Freddy threw seven one-run innings in their most recent matchup en route to 49 FanDuel points. We obviously don't mind that Peralta enters this matchup as a -250 favorite, either. Patrick Sandoval FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - OAK (Zach Logue) Park - LAA FD - 34.32 DK - 18.13 Sandoval was one of my top picks to break out this season, and it's hard to understand why more people weren't on him. This guy had a 3.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 10.3 K/9 rate over the final 12 starts of last season and has been even better this year behind a 1.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. It's his change-up that's gotten him to this point, and the A's won't be able to produce against him. The Athletics rank bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA. All of that has Sandoval entering this matchup as a -200 favorite, with Oakland projected for just 3.5 runs. Jose Urquidy (FD $7400 DK $6500) has seen his price drop massively with some horrific outings, but he still has a career WHIP sitting around 1.05. That should be much easier to duplicate...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - MILFD - 40.12 DK - 21.65 Don’t let the 5.35 ERA fool you, he’s been much better than this for the season and has run bad in a few key areas. He’s actually still striking out batters at a 29% clip for the season and the 3.39 xFIP is almost two full runs lower than the ERA. He has a BABIP against that’s 50 points higher than his career average and the 61% LOB is well below his career average as well. That’s a lot of bad luck in there and going to keep some folks away. But don’t worry about it. He’s been a solid pitcher this season and the matchup works for cash games as well. The Nationals have been terrible this season. Nestor Cortes FD 10200 DK 10600 Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHWFD - 39.95 DK - 21.84 Well, this guy has been a little piece of awesome this season. Cortes comes into the game with a 1.35 ERA (2.78 xFIP) and has had about as good a 40IP stretch as you’ll see in the majors. The K’s have spiked to over 11 per nine thanks in part to throwing a cutter much more than he ever has in the past. He’s a -214 home favorite against the White Sox, the best money line odds on the day and he’ll almost definitely be one of the chalkier plays for this slate. It makes sense considering what he’s doing on the mound so far this season. Justin Verlander (FD $10800 DK $10300) is looking like a strong option for the evening slate. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD 2600 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BALFD - 11.08 DK - 8.27 We have to try and find some cheaper options at the plate because there are some superstars we are going to want to pay for later. Choi helps with some of the salary concerns, especially on FanDuel where he’s coming at only $2600. He’s striking out a lot this season (33%) but the 14% walk rate plays and he still has an OPS in the mid-700s. Kyle Bradish does have some K stuff in his bag, which is a bit of a concern, but Choi is significantly better for his career against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/20/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/20/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Nestor Cortes FD 10200 DK 10600 Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHWFD - 39.95 DK - 21.84 Well, this guy has been a little piece of awesome this season. Cortes comes into the game with a 1.35 ERA (2.78 xFIP) and has had about as good a 40IP stretch as you’ll see in the majors. The K’s have spiked to over 11 per nine thanks in part to throwing a cutter much more than he ever has in the past. He’s a -214 home favorite against the White Sox, the best money line odds on the day and he’ll almost definitely be one of the chalkier plays for this slate. It makes sense considering what he’s doing on the mound so far this season. Eric Lauer FD 10400 DK 10400 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 38.12 DK - 20.03 Lauer has been another guy who’s had a completely out of nowhere season so far. His 2.52 xFIP is easily the best of his career, and all of a sudden he’s a strikeout machine. The dude has a 23% K rate for his career, but this season it’s jumped to almost 36%. It looks like there are two reasons for this. The first is he’s just throwing harder than ever before. The fastball is averaging 94 mph when it used to be around 92. And he’s also completely changed his pitch selection, throwing a cutter much mire, ditching the changeup and adding a slider as a bigger offering. It’s working and I think these gains are sustainable seeing as how he’s just augmented his approach. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD 3400 DK 3600 Opponent - BOS (Michael Wacha) Park - BOSFD - 13.12 DK - 10 France has been a sneaky-good hitter over the last couple of seasons and this time around is no different. He’s putting up a .871 OPS with eight home runs already while putting the ball in play around 82% of the time. And facing off in a righty-righty matchup against Wacha is no issue either considering he’s right around platoon neutral for his career. The ISO is lower against righties but the walk rate is higher, evening things out a bit. He should be hitting second in the Mariner’s lineup here on Friday. Dominic Smith FD 2500 DK 3300 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 10.02 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Jordan Montgomery FD 8100 DK 7800 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BAL FD - 34.07 DK - 18.16 We have options on this early slate but with some of the top pitchers in tougher matchups, I am going to lean on Jordan Montgomery as the Yankees are heavy favourites here. He hasn't popped off for one of those slate-breaking performances this season but he has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts while averaging 13.8 DK/25.3 FD points per game. The matchup is what really stands out however, as he faces an Orioles team that is 27th in wOBA and 28th in wRC+ against left-handed pitching while striking out at an ugly 28% rate in the split. All things considered, Monty is my top play on the mound on this early slate. Main Zac Gallen FD 10600 DK 10300 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHC FD - 34.75 DK - 18.19 Gallen is arbitration-eligible after this season and is about to get paid based on his early start to the season. He has been elite with five plus pitches and comes in tied with Pablo Lopez with a league-leading 1.05 ERA and has seen an uptick in K's recently with 16 over his last two starts(27% K rate on the season). He gets a matchup against a below-average Cubs offense that strikes out over 25% of the time against right-handed pitching. Even with the high price, I am on board in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Hunter Dozier FD 2700 DK 4400 Opponent - CHW (Vince Velasquez) Park - CHW FD - 9.54 DK - 7.25 The early slate picks are going to be heavily tilted towards this White Sox/Royals game as both offences get favourable matchups. At first, I like taking the value with Hunter Dozier who was moved up the lineup at the start of May after a solid start to the season and comes in having got on base in eight of his last nine games. He has been better against lefties but still above-average against righties(108 wRC+) and faces Velasquez who has reverse splits and has given up a .458 wOBA to righties. Dozier is my top PTS/$ option at first on the early slate. Main Ty France FD 3200 DK 3800 Opponent - BOS (Rich Hill) Park - BOS FD - 11.64...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/18/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/18/22 The fantasy baseball season has been terrific! It's been fun watching these pitchers and lineups adapt to the new environment, but it feels like the offenses are starting to come around. Baseball is all about grinding away night after night, and we have to do the same thing as these players. It's not always going to work out every night, but putting yourself in the best position to succeed should put you ahead of the pack. These articles are a good starting point for any slate, and we love the pitching recommendations for this card. With that in mind, let's start with last year's NL Cy Young winner. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10300 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - MIL FD - 41.37 DK - 22.94 Burnes took down NL Cy Young honors last year, but this has been one of the best pitchers in baseball for three years now. CB has a 2.25 ERA and 0.93 WHIP since 2020. His strikeout numbers are even more impressive, recording 379 whiffs across those 272 innings. We love that when looking at his recent form, throwing at least six innings in each of his last six starts en route to a 1.33 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 rate in that span. Some of you might be worried about a matchup with the defending champs, but they rank 21st in OBP and dead-last in K rate this season. The most strikeout-heavy team facing one of the best strikeout pitchers makes Burnes one of the safest plays out there. Sonny Gray FD - P 8200 DK - SP 6700 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 41.25 DK - 21.95 This DraftKings price is silly. Gray has been an $8K player on both sites for most of his career, totaling a 3.61 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his nine-year career. That's pretty good, and we love this recent resurgence, registering a 3.49 ERA and 1.16 WHIP since 2019. His Ks have been on the uptick, too, striking out 452 batters across those 381 innings. His pitch count was held back earlier on, but 82 pitches in his most recent outing mean he should be close to a full workload. That looks even better with Sonny slinging a 2.16 ERA and 16.2 K/9 rate over his last two starts. Facing Oakland in a revenge game...