DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/28/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/28/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 11400 DK - SP 12800 Opponent - LAA (Jose Suarez) Park - LAA FD - 39.29 DK - 22.58 Where do you even begin with a guy like Verlander? He netted his 20th win of the season against this same Angels team last Sunday, and is now sitting on 288 Ks against 42 walks on the season. Those are Cy Young numbers. He wasn't spectacular against the Angels the last time around, but a pitcher of his caliber against an already bad team missing arguably the best player ever is a surefire cash game play. If there's a fly in the ointment here, it has to be the same as it is for every playoff-ready team - they could have every incentive to pull him early. The main slate is bad enough that maybe you try it, but you simply have to understand you're playing with fire no matter who you run out there tonight. Robbie Ray FD - P 9300 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - SD (Garrett Richards) Park - ARI FD - 35.75 DK - 19.18 If you're simply averse to running pitchers that are heading to the playoffs, what do you think about running Robbie Ray out there one more time for old time's sake? Ray got up to his old ones this season, striking out batters at an astounding rate of 12 per 9 innings, while also walking batters at an astounding rate of 4.33 per 9 innings. Still, that's a good enough package for DFS purposes, even if his long plate appearances keep him from going deep into too many games. It's a terrific match-up with the Dads, who has struck out at the fourth highest rate against lefties this season. It's the end of the season, right? Get some excitement in your life with Robbie Ray until we have to go into the playoffs and constantly smash good pitchers into good hitters, and vice versa. Mike Foltynewicz FD - P 8900 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - NYM FD - 27.7 DK - 14.33 Foltynewicz is coming off of his best start of the season, where he went eight shutout innings against the Giants his last go-round. The Braves are another playoff team, which is scary, but grabbing pitchers from playoff teams is sort of what you often need to do if you want to roster...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/25/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/25/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 11500 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - CHW (Ross Detwiler) Park - CHW FD - 45.77 DK - 25.37 Figuring out pitching down the stretch has been a challenge with teams who have clinched with no need to push players and teams out of the running looking to avoid unnecessary injuries. Good news for us tonight is that Cleveland falls right in the middle with a ton to play for as they are in a tight race with the Rays and A's for the final two wildcard spots. The price has actually come down after his last start where he held the Phillies to two earned runs and added seven strikeouts and no walks. He has been impressive all season with a 3.23 ERA and matching 3.23 xFIP to back it up and in a matchup against the White Sox as a -290 favorite, is in play in all formats. Jacob Waguespack FD - P 6100 DK - SP 6200 Opponent - BAL (Gabriel Ynoa) Park - TOR FD - 31.68 DK - 16.21 To fir Bieber and his near $12K price tag without going "all value" with the bats, we are going to need to dig deep for an SP2 and one that stands out is Jacob Waguespack of the Jays. He isn't going to go deep into games and his upside is limited(18.5% K rate) but he has recorded a 10%+ swinging-strike rate in three of his last four starts. He is also a -165 favorite against well below-average Orioles offense(I know they are putting up runs as I write this) and only needs about 10-14 DK points to hit his floor and he has done this in nine of his 15 appearances this season. Also Consider: Jon Lester(CHC) as a -190 favorite against the Pirates without their core bats Catcher/First Base Carlos Santana FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - CHW (Ross Detwiler) Park - CHW FD - 13.12 DK - 9.78 Roberto Perez FD - C 2800 DK - C 3900 Opponent - CHW (Ross Detwiler) Park - CHW FD - 10.03 DK - 7.57 Like I mentioned above, the Indians are in a battle for the final Wildcard spot and the offense is doing everything they can to get them there averaging over 6.5 runs per game over the last week. They are once again near the top of the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/19/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/19/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Eduardo Rodriguez FD - P 9300 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - BOS FD - 33.3 DK - 17.53 We have two small slates today but the good news is that the pitching is actually pretty good. It starts with the early slate and Eduardo Rodriguez who checks almost every box. He and the Red Sox are are early -175 home favorites in a plus matchup against a Giants team that has posted a league-low .276 wOBA and 70 wRC+ over the last month while striking out just over 25% of the time. ERod has also been red-hot down the stretch holding opponents to one or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts and has also ramped up the swings and misses with 29 K's over his last three starts. He is our top projected pitcher on the early slate and with a price tag under $10K on both sites, is the top play in all formats. Also Consider: Madison Bumgarner(SF) vs. a Red Sox team that could be without both Mookie Betts and J.D> Martinez once again Main Mike Clevinger FD - P 11800 DK - SP 11400 Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - CLE FD - 47.88 DK - 26.53 We don't exactly get a discount for the top pitcher on the main slate as Mike Clevinger is $11K+ on both sites but what we do get is an elite ace in a must-win situation as the Indians as in a tight race with the Rays for the final Wildcard spot. Clevinger is a huge reason the Indians are in this position as he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts(2.17 ERA/3.18 xFIP) and has also provided a ton of upside striking out 33% of batters with a ridiculous 15.4% swinging-strike rate. Enough value plays should arise where we can load up on Clevinger in all formats. Also Consider: Jack Flaherty(STL) as a GPP pivot off Clevinger or J.A. Happ(NYY) against an Angels team without Trout Catcher/First Base Early Jose Osuna FD - 3B 2800 DK - 1B/OF 4100 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - PIT FD - 9.1 DK - 6.98 The pickings are extra slim on this small, three-game slate especially considering four of the six pitchers are above...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/18/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/18/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12100 DK - SP 12800 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - HOU FD - 52.55 DK - 29.76 Just like last night, there is a huge gap in talent between the top pitcher in Cole and the next tier of pitchers propping him up as easily the top choice from a raw points perspective. He is in a dead heat with teammate Justin Verlander for the American League Cy Young award and Cole has most definitely made his case striking out 10 or more batters in six straight and nine of 11 starts since the All-Star Break and has also posted an elite 1.90 ERA/2.27 xFIP in that time as well. To top it off, he also gets a plus matchup against a Rangers team that has posted wRC+ 13% below league average over the last couple weeks and strikes out just over 25% of the time against right-handed pitching for the season. Fire up Cole in all formats. Aaron Civale FD - P 8500 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - CLE FD - 36.56 DK - 19.88 From our top projected player in raw points to one of our top projected players from a PTS/$ perspective. Civale flew through the Indians minor-league system after being drafted in the third round in 2016 and he is quickly proving why he in the show in 2019. He has gone at least five innings in each of his first eight major-league starts and has yet to allow any opponent score more than two earned runs on him. The elite ERA(1.93) is obviously run-hot for the kid as he sits with a 4.56 xFIP but digging deeper the xwOBA(.270) is only slightly higher than his wOBA(.266) and his xSLG(.316) is over 30 points lower than the LSG(.347). The best news here and the reason why the Indians are early -300 favorites is the matchup against the Tigers who have scored the third-fewest runs since the ASB with an ugly .299 wOBA, 83 wRC+, and 27% K rate. All things considered, Civale is in play in all formats tonight. Also Consider: Jake Odorizzi(MIN) as a 0275 home favorite against the White Sox or Dylan Bundy(BAL) as a mid-range SP2 option on DraftKings Catcher/First Base Trey Mancini FD 3900 DK 4900 Opponent - TOR (Clay Buchholz) Park - TOR FD - 11.02 DK - 8.48 At...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/12/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/12/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Lucas Giolito FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11900 Opponent - KC (Jorge Lopez) Park - CHW FD - 42.14 DK - 21.95 Early in the season it looked like Giolito would be in the CY Young mix and while he hasn't been quite as good in the second half, he has still been very good. He has had a bit of an issue with the long ball(13 homers in 11 starts) but has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in seven of those 11 starts for a 3.44 ERA/.345 xFIP. More good news as his K rate has also increased by 4% in the second half(34%) and while he faces a Royals team that is getting healthy again, he has been dominant against lefties(.246 wOBA/.333 SLG) and is likely to face five today. All things considered, Giolito is my top pitcher in all formats on the early slate. Also Consider: Yu Darvish(CHC) Main Patrick Corbin FD - P 10000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - MIN (Kyle Gibson) Park - MIN FD - 33.72 DK - 18.47 The main slate is a tough one for pitching in that Verlander is $12K+ on both sites, Rich Hill is coming off an extended absence due to injury, and even Brendan McKay in the mid-range will likely be limited once again. This has me turning to Patrick Corbin who is $2K cheaper than Verlander on both sites and is also having himself a terrific season entering the night with a 3.16 ERA/3.64 xFIP and has also provided upside with a 28% K rate backed up by a 14% swinging-strike rate. He draws a tough matchup against the Twins but he is coming at his cheapest point in awhile and is a core play for me in all formats. Also Consider: Tyler Mahle(CIN) as a cheap SP2 option on DraftKings Catcher/First Base Early Brandon Belt FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 3700 Opponent - PIT (Joe Musgrove) Park - SF FD - 10.38 DK - 7.83 I will be loading up on the top-priced pitchers today which sends me down the value path, for the most part, when it comes to my bats. At first base, I am looking at Brandon Belt who is maybe having a down season overall but has been productive lately since being moved back up the lineup with his in four of five starts with three...