DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/28/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/28/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - SDFD - 45.51 DK - 24.57 Musgrove is a -226 favorite going into the game on Saturday, the best money line odds on the day. That’s a good place to start with cash games seeing as how he’ll be facing off against one of the worst offenses in baseball. Musgrove isn’t K-ing guys at the same level he was at last year (of the year before) but he’s still going further into games and the lack of walks makes the innings upside all that much better. I like the DraftKings price better than FanDuel, but he’s in play on both sites. Gerrit Cole FD 10500 DK 10500 Opponent - TB (Corey Kluber) Park - TBFD - 39.93 DK - 22.46 He doesn’t have the same moneyline odds as Musgrove because the matchup against the Rays is much worse. But Cole is still one of the best pitchers on this slate and there aren’t a ton of high-quality arms going on Saturday. The Rays strike out around league average, but Cole is helped by the park here with Tampa really favoring pitchers and mitigating power to all sides. Cole is striking out around 11 batters per nine on the season and has been consistently keeping the walks to right around two per nine. He’s expensive but has been a safe arm with upside over many seasons now. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5800 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARIFD - 15.02 DK - 11.32 The Dodgers are getting a typical Freddie Freeman performance this season in that he’s an elite bat and is almost impossible (from an MLB perspective) to get out. He’s got an OPS pushing .900 because he’s tough to K (12%) and walks just as much (12%). He’s been one of the best hitters in baseball over the last few seasons and that didn’t change with him coming to LA. He’s very expensive on DK, but that’s to be expected. José Abreu FD 3000 DK 4300 Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHCFD - 10.57 DK - 8 Abreu isn’t putting up the same power numbers as last season when he smacked 30 home runs on his way to an .832 OPS. Things are down a bit this time...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/27/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/27/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Sean Manaea FD 9700 DK 10000 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PITFD - 42.08 DK - 22.87 Manaea comes in with the best win odds of the day, facing off against the Pirates as a -200 road favorite. Though the 4.04 ERA might scare you, know that the xFIP is lower and this is a guy striking out more than 10 batters per nine and going more than six innings per outing. The Pirates rank 24th in team wOBA this season and are striking out 24.2% of the time, 8th-most in the league. This is a pretty easy play all things considered. Jon Gray FD 7100 DK 5500 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 37.04 DK - 19.32 Gray’s DraftKings price is a total joke. He’s so cheap over there that I think he’ll easily be the chalkiest play on the slate for that slight. Gray’s 5.14 ERA is underwhelming, but the 3.72 xFIP is almost 1.5 runs lower. He’s striking out close to a batter an inning on the season and has run into some LOB% issues which look more like bad luck than anything else. Plus, he gets to face off against the Oakland A’s who, along with Detroit, occupy the basement in terms of team offense. They stink. Gray is in a tremendous spot here and will cost almost nothing. Shane Bieber (FD $8600 DK $9000) gets to face off against the aforementioned Tigers’ “offense” and could pile up K’s. Garrett Whitlock (FD $7000 DK $6800) is a heavy favorite over the Orioles. Catcher/First Base Will Smith FD 3400 DK 5300 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARIFD - 10.45 DK - 7.77 Smith should be hitting cleanup for the Dodgers on Friday when they face off against Madison Bumgarner and there’s a reason this squad has a 5.3 implied run line heading in. Bumgarner isn’t nearly as good as the 2.76 ERA would suggest, striking out fewer than six batters per nine and mostly getting lucky this year. Smith has been better for his career against righties, but the matchup is just too good here considering you can load up on bats with some of the pitching options coming on the cheaper side. Keibert Ruiz FD 3000 DK 4500 Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - COLFD - 10 DK - 7.67 Ruiz projects to hit second...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD 9900 DK 8700 Opponent - TOR (Hyun Jin Ryu) Park - TOR FD - 39.01 DK - 21.25 The options up top are not very appealing tonight so let's get things started with Ohtani who easily tops our PTS/$ projections. He has been elite on the mound lately averaging six innings per start while holding opponents to just five earned runs(1.50 ERA), striking out 33% of batters, and averaging 26.3 DK/ FD points per game. I am not in love with the matchup against the Jays but the good news is Shohei is catching them at the right time as they rank bottom three in runs scored, wOBA, and wRC+ since the start of May. All things considered, Ohtani is our top pitcher and in play in all formats. Martin Pérez FD 9700 DK 8300 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 31.28 DK - 15.55 This is a bit of a flashback season for Perez who has returned to Texas, after stops in Boston and Minnesota and is playing some of the best ball of his career. Since being limited in his first two starts, he has been near elite holding opponents to just three earned runs over his last six starts with a 31:8 strikeout to walk ratio. While the upside is somewhat limited with a lack of K's(20% K rate) he gets a terrific matchup against the A's who are ranked bottom five in runs scored, wOBA, wRC+, and strike out at the 6th highest(24.2%) rate overall. Perez is an excellent mid-tier option to pair with Ohtani and still leaves you lots of salary left for bats. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 3900 DK 6100 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 9.75 DK - 7.33 While it seems wild to start things off with Cron who is the most expensive option at first, he has actually been better than most of the superstars at the position(Vladdy, Freeman) to start the year. Cron leads all first basemen in home runs(12), is 2nd in RBI(33), and 4th in wRC+(151) and while he has been better at Coors he gets an elite matchup that cannot be ignored. He faces lefty Patrick Corbin who enters with an ugly Ag ERA after giving up 10 earned runs over his last two starts and more alarming is the fact he has given up...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/24/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/24/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 10600 DK 10100 Opponent - SD (Blake Snell) Park - SDFD - 43.31 DK - 24.61 On a day that has a bunch of solid pitching options, Burnes is the best of the bunch and continues to just put up elite numbers across the board. The K rate is down off his career average, but this is still a guy who strikes out batters at a 32% clip and this year is walking fewer guys than at any point in this run. The knock on him here has less to do with him and more to do with the opponent. Even though their team wOBA is in the bottom third, this is still a good offense at the top and Burnes is really at even win odds for the day. That does cut into his projection some. Sonny Gray FD 8200 DK 6800 Opponent - DET (Beau Brieske) Park - DETFD - 37.32 DK - 19.56 If looking for some better win odds, Sonny Gray could fit the bill considering he’s coming in as a -217 home favorite against the Tigers on Tuesday. Gray has flashed elite upside K stuff over the last few years with his issue being around the control. He still walks far too many guys (almost four per nine this season) which can cut into his overall innings. But the Tigers rank second-to-last in team wOBA this season, making them one of the better matchups for an opposing pitcher. Gray is a fantastic deal on DraftKings especially. As I said, there are a number of good arms to pick from today. Kevin Gausman (FD $9400 DK $9500) has had a fantastic move back to the AL East and has struck out 57 batters this season while walking only three. Walker Buehler (FD $9800 DK $9200) has a good matchup, but the K’s have fallen off some this season. George Kirby (FD $7000 DK $6000) gets to face off against the league’s worst offense in the A’s and does project to have some major league K stuff. He’s a solid DK SP2 flyer and is close to a cash play considering the price. Catcher/First Base Pavin Smith FD 2300 DK 3400 Opponent - KC (Jonathan Heasley) Park - KCFD - 10.36 DK - 7.94 The Diamondbacks have one of the better team implied run totals on the day at 5.0 and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 49.53 DK - 28.1 We didn't see the big upside game from Cole in his last start(5 K's) as we had projected but he was efficient in holding the Orioles to just two runs en route to his fourth win in his last five starts. Cole has been elite during that stretch posting a 1.67 ERA backed up by a 2.22 xFIP and 30% K rate. Tonight he gets another crack at this Orioles lineup that has dropped eight of their last 10 games while scoring under three runs per game. Cole is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Tyler Anderson FD 9000 DK 9400 Opponent - WSH (Joan Adon) Park - WSH FD - 33.39 DK - 17.27 There is not a whole lot of value on the mound tonight so a large portion of my salary cap will be going towards pitching. Anderson has seen his price reach a season-high but it is justified as he has started the season 4-0 and outside of one start, has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of his seven appearances. The upside is somewhat limited as he strikes out just 23% of batters while facing a Nats team that K's under 20% as a team but he and the Dodgers are huge -225 favourites against an offence who is struggling to score runs. Fire up Anderson in all formats tonight. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 13.24 DK - 9.95 The Yankees' offence once again gets the best matchup on the board Monday as they face Jordan Lyles for the fourth time already this season tagging him for eight earned runs over the last two meetings. Lyles has also really struggled against lefties giving up a .376 wOBA and four of his five home runs on the season. While Rizzo went into Sunday hitting just .230 on the season, he has been very productive for fantasy with a 147 wRC+, 10 home runs, 25 RBI, and 25 runs scored. He is my top play at first base in all formats tonight. Ty France FD 3400 DK 3700 Opponent - OAK (Zach Logue) Park...