Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/28/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/28/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Max Scherzer FD 11600 DK 12700 Opponent - NYM (deGrom) Park - @WSH FD - 43.43 DK - 28.63 Today we are going to start right at the top with Max Scherzer and his elite arm. After posting a 20 win season in 2016, he looks even better to start the 2017 campaign. Through four starts, he has a record of 3-1 and in the one loss he allowed just one earned run and struck out 10 batters in six innings but had zero offensive support. He shouldn't have to worry about the offense tonight as the Nats bats are coming in red hot having scored double digits in three straight games in Colorado. He is also posting an elite K rate over 10 for the sixth straight year and his 3.38 xFIP is also on par with his career numbers. The most impressive thing I noticed when diving into his stats was that he is allowing just under 50% fewer home runs per nine innings this year with a career-low 6.5% HR/FB rate. If you are not yet sold on Scherzer he also ranks 3rd in the league right now with an elite 15.9% Swing Strike Rate. He is safe in all formats. Marcus Stroman FD 9100 DK 9100 Opponent - TB (Snell) Park - @TOR FD - 31.98 DK - 21.06 After Scherzer, things get a bit tricky tonight. From a PTS/$ perspective, I like Stroman who is pitching at home and the Jays currently sit as -150 favorites. The only issue I see with Stroman is that he goes about getting batters out with extreme movement on his pitches which help create an elite ground ball rate(57.8%) but gives him very little K upside as he sits with a below average 5.59 K/9 rate through four starts. The good news is that he doesn't walk anyone(1.55 BB/9) and doesn't give up the long ball(5.9% HR/FB rate). He is coming off a fantastic start on the road vs. the Angels where he picked up the complete game with five strikeouts and just one walk. He will go up against a Rays team he beat in his first start of the season, striking out five batters in 6.1 innings. They Rays can hit right-handed pitching(8th in wRC+) but provide a boost...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/27/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/27/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Early Noah Syndergaard FD 11500 DK 12700 Opponent - ATL (Dickey) Park - @NYM FD - 40.67 DK - 26.68 I wrote yesterday about Syndergaard against the Braves, before he was scratched. Here's that with a few slate-specific adjustments. Thor gave up 3 early runs to the Phillies last time out but regained his composure and ended up going 7 innings and striking out 10. This match-up with the Braves is actually quite similar. They are known to have lower than average K rates and are both teams that focus on making contact. With that being said, they don't see Noah Syndergaard every day. He is extremely special and can strikeout the best of them. Freddie Freeman and Ender Inciarte are really the only 2 lefties to worry about as Freeman has great pop and Inciarte can be a menace on the bases (Syndergaard is horrible at holding runners). Outside of those two, this lineup is filled with guys like Brandon Phillips, Tyler Flowers, and Dansby Swanson. Syndergaard is a clear number 1 option and I will likely end up with 100% exposure in cash games. This Braves team has struck out at a 5.7% higher clip so far in 2017 than they did in 2016. While the sample is surely too small to conclude anything, it makes sense. They added Matt Kemp, Brandon Phillips, and Swanson, who all hold 22%+ K rates against righties. Syndergaard is expensive and you will have to sacrifice elsewhere. Luckily, there is some strong value on this early slate. Carlos Martinez FD 9200 DK 8900 Opponent - TOR (Latos) Park - @STL FD - 35.51 DK - 23.32 Like Syndergaard, Carlos Martinez was supposed to pitch yesterday. The game got postponed early and Martinez had his start moved back to tonight. Carlos Martinez has been a bit inconsistent to start the season, but it's expected/. He's always been a bit up and down and one thing that we haven't seen in the past is the stable strikeouts. In the past, he would struggle due to not having his putout pitch. Even in the start against the Brewers last week, Martinez was able to strikeout 7 in just 5 innings. Martinez has seen a slight increase in BB/9 and...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Washington Nationals / Colorado Rockies Yep, obviously. These teams each scored 100 runs last night and you never know, they could do it again tonight. This is Coors Field here and even when it's cold, the ball absolutely flies. On the Rockies side, you have to love everyone from 1-6. Trea Turner and Daniel Murphy are my two favorites, with Bryce Harper and Adam Eaton coming in next. Tyler Chatwood isn't a horrible pitcher but he does struggle in Coors and Washington is a very good offense. Vegas currently has an 11.5 over/under and the Nats are sitting at a 5.63 implied run total. I do think they will be extremely highly owned, so you can always fade. This is baseball. On the Rockies side, I don't like it just as much. Tanner Roark is a pretty decent pitcher and does induce a lot of groundballs. With that being said, this is still Coors Field and the Rockies currently have the highest run total on the board. Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez are the top 2 options with Arenado and Parra coming next. They should be a bit lower owned as I don't see anywhere near the amount of attention on them around the industry. With how great Coors Field is, you can be burned if you don't have exposure. With that being said, there are some really nice spots elsewhere. Let's take a look. Arizona Diamondbacks I was all in on the Diamondbacks last night and it ended up pretty well. They get just as good of a match-up tonight against Trevor Cahill, if not better. These Diamondbacks bats are really good and MUCH better in Chase Field. Jake Lamb and David Peralta are definitely my favorites with Goldschmidt and Pollock following closely behind. Trevor Cahill really hasn't been that. He had an inflated wOBA with the Cubs last season and ended up with a 4,56 xFIP. Cahill and the Padres have an amazing home stadium for pitching. They move into Chase Field, which ranked 2nd worst for right-handed pitchers in 2016. Looking lower in the lineup, Brandon...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Dylan Bundy FD 8100 DK 7800 Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @BALFD - 32.64 DK - 21.5 With Syndergaard being scratched and the Cardinals game being washed out, we look towards Dylan Bundy. Bundy has been terrific all season long, posting a combined ..236 wOBA along with a 17% hard contact rate. Bundy is a huge prospect and while a lot of people thought it would take him a few years to put it together, it looks like that process may have been hurried. With that being said, the sample size is extremely small this year and I'm a bit hesitant to go all in. The Rays do strikeout a ton and have ranked top 3 against righties for 2 straight seasons. His price is very low on both sites and I don't know if I see a way around him on DraftKings. They have much a much stricter salary cap than FanDuel and pitching is pretty hard to come by. Camden Yards is a hitter's ballpark and the Rays do have a chance to hit an HR or two. While we aren't expecting a clean slate, I do think Bundy strikes out 6 or 7 and goes long enough for the win. Bundy is currently my top option in both cash games and tournaments with Syndergaard and Martinez being out. Johnny Cueto FD 9600 DK 11100 Opponent - LAD (Wood) Park - @SFFD - 34.62 DK - 22.77 With Syndergaard out, I have no problem going with Johnny Cueto, who is generally safe. Even when he has a bad start, he eats a ton of innings and ends up striking out enough batters to get it done. The Los Angeles Dodgers are a good team against righties but also moves into AT&T Park, which is likely the absolute worst stadium in the league for hitting. Dating back to 2016, Cueto sported a .276 combined wOBA along with an elite 24% strikeout rate. The price is high, though still cheaper than you would be paying for Syndergaard. While Cueto really isn't a guy I'm in love with, you don't...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/26/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Noah Syndergaard FD 11500 DK 12600 Opponent - ATL (Dickey) Park - @NYM FD - 41.41 DK - 27.19 While we have a few big names on the hill, this isn't a great pitching slate. The Mets and Braves rained out last night and the Mets have elected to skip Gsellman and give Syndergaard his start on normal rest. Thor gave up 3 early runs to the Phillies but regained his composure and ended up going 7 innings and striking out 10. This match-up with the Braves is actually quite similar. They are known to have lower than average K rates and are both teams that focus on making contact. With that being said, they don't see Noah Syndergaard every day. He is extremely special and can strikeout the best of them. Freddie Freeman and Ender Inciarte are really the only 2 lefties to worry about as Freeman has great pop and Inciarte can be a menace on the bases (Syndergaard is horrible at holding runners). Outside of those two, this lineup is filled with guys like Brandon Phillips, Tyler Flowers, and Dansby Swanson. Syndergaard is a clear number 1 option and I will likely end up with 100% exposure in tournaments. This Braves team has struck out at a 5.7% higher clip so far in 2017 than they did in 2016. While the sample is surely too small to conclude anything, it makes sense. They added Matt Kemp, Brandon Phillips, and Swanson, who all hold 22%+ K rates against righties. Syndergaard is expensive and you will have to sacrifice elsewhere. Luckily, there isn't a game in Coors and you shouldn't have trouble finding value. Syndergaard is a guy I can't recommend fading in any format. Syndergaard has been scratched. Robert Gsellman will start in his place. Carlos Martinez FD 9200 DK 8900 Opponent - TOR (Latos) Park - @STL FD - 35.51 DK - 23.32 Carlos Martinez has been a bit inconsistent to start the season, but it's expected/. He's always been a bit up and down and one thing that we haven't seen in the past is the stable strikeouts. In the past, he would struggle due to not having his putout pitch. Even in the start against the Brewers...