Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/15/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Max Scherzer FD 12100 DK 12900 Opponent - CIN (Castillo) Park - @CIN FD - 16.12 DK - 10.51 While the teams returned to action yesterday giving us decent, but none too stellar starting pitching options, there are some decisions to be made today. We've got several potential Cy Young candidates on the mound beginning with the NL front runner, Max Scherzer. Mad Max begins his second half in Great American ballpark against the Reds, and while this might be a knock on most pitchers, for Scherzer it's just a minor blip on the radar. Scherzer has far too much going in his favor to let a small park deter us from locking him in. He's coming into the day with a 2.10 ERA, the lowest among all qualified pitchers, while also sporting a 0.78 WHIP and 35.5 K%. He's having no problem keeping the ball in the yard this season, his 0.91 HR/9 is among the top ten in baseball as is his 10.2 HR/FB%. The Reds for what it's worth strikeout only 20.8% of the time, which is just below average at this point in the season, but it's not every day they face an arm like Scherzer, capable of striking out 12.13 batters per nine. If you run multiple lineups and want to spread your starting pitching love around then have at it, that's what I'll probably do, but if you're only doing one lineup, you can't go wrong with Max. Corey Kluber FD 11400 DK 12200 Opponent - OAK (Blackburn) Park - @OAK FD - 42.55 DK - 28.1 Speaking of Cy Young candidates, if you were popping into DFSRland over the break you saw our staff picks for MVP, biggest bust, and Cy Young winner through the first half, and my top pitcher was the other CK. Corey Kluber has had an impressive start to the 2017 season, hindered only by some missed time back in May with a back issue. Here's a little snippet of my breakdown on Kluber from the Cy Young article. Kluber possesses the lowest xFIP among qualified starters at 2.65 and is right there with Sale and Scherzer trailing just behind them with a 33.5 K% and walking only 6.1% of the...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Luckiest / Unluckiest Hitters
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Luckiest / Unluckiest Hitters & Pitchers - 7/12/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Lucky Aaron Judge HR - 30 wOBA- .466 BABIP - .425 HR/FB % - 41.2% There is absolutely no way to bash Aaron Judge for what he has done over the first half of the 2017 season. He has been the best player in the game and is hitting bullets in what seems like every single at-bat. While it's really fun and exhilarating to watch, it won't last. Unfortunately, Aaron Judge is worse than the likes of Ted Wiliams, Mickey Mantle, etc. He's not going to put up these gaudy numbers for too much longer.The first big caution flag is the BABIP. For a guy who isn't very fast, a .425 BABIP is out of the water. It will fall back down to around .310 by the time it's all said and done and his wOBA will follow. You also see a 41.2% HR/FB rate that is nearly comical. A guy like Stanton, or even Barry Bonds, will hold a 25% number in their best seasons. 41% is unheard of and while there's a chance Judge is just that dominant, I find it hard to believe. Now to be clear, I still think Judge is an extremely dominant OF'er and a guy who will be around a long time in the pinstripes. I just don't think he's anywhere near the player a guy like Trout, Kershaw, Goldschmidt, or even Bryce Harper is. Mark Reynolds HR - 19 wOBA - .390 BABIP - .364 HR/FB % - 26% We go from a younging to and oldie in Mark Reynolds. It's great to see Reynolds hit well in Coors Field, where we often use him for DFS. The problem is the guy is on the downswing of his career and has no business rejuvenating like he has. He's already hit 19 homers on the season and is on pace to have one of his best seasons ever. Unfortunately, math has something to say. Reynolds has posted a .364 BABIP and 26% HR/FB rate. While those numbers aren't nearly as crazy as Judge, a guy who can barely run should hold a BABIP around .290. The Rockies have relies on Reynolds a ton with Cargo struggling and we may see him take a load off in...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/9/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/9/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Yu Darvish FD 9400 DK 11600 Opponent - LAA (Ramirez) Park - @TEX FD - 35.78 DK - 23.65 Clayton Kershaw is playing later in the day, so we'll touch on our favorite main slate pitcher first. Yu Darvish takes the mound at home against the Los Angeles Angels. Darvish has returned to form this season, sporting a 3.83 xFIP on a 9.62 K/9. He's about just as good against righties as he is lefties, but has been a bit unlucky against lefties to start the season. He's still a bit risky in Globe Life Park, but so is every other pitcher on this slate. He typically goes at least 7 innings against bad opponents and has gone 8 innings once. His opponent, the Angels, are nothing to worry about. Sitting at 27th in baseball, the Angels have posted a sad .304 wOBA against righties. There isn't a single guy that worries me in this lineup, though the likes of Pujols and Calhoun always do have upside in a hitter ballpark. With that being said, they both still strikeout over 23% and Pujols is a lot better against lefties. Once you move past those 2 guys, find me someone you're scared of. There are 4 aces on the hill in the main slate, so I do expect the ownership to be spread out plenty. Darvish is our favorite of the bunch and is probably the safest of the 4. His price is fine and on FanDuel, affordable for his talent. Let's touch on a guy who is very exciting to play on the late/all-day slate. Clayton Kershaw FD 12500 DK 13000 Opponent - KC (Duffy) Park - @LAD FD - 46.36 DK - 30.67 This one is pretty simple. If this match-up doesn't stand out on the slate, I don't know what does. Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers will host the Royals, who are an extremely inept offense. Kershaw is still the best pitcher in baseball and his price is actually a tad bit down from normal. With the ASB coming, I wouldn't be surprised to see Dave Roberts push him to 120 pitches if he's rolling. The Royals don't strikeout a ton (typically), but hold a mere .310 team wOBA against...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/8/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/8/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. New York Yankees Brent Suter is a very below average pitcher that is facing one of the top offenses in the league. The Yankees are undeniable and while I hate it as much as everyone, you can't let your bias hurt your wallet. Brent Suter is a lefty who has been very underwhelming in the minor leagues, striking out just 6-7 batters per 9 and walking nearly 3. He's allowed a 1.25 HR/9 in AA and typically, that rate goes up a ton in the majors. He has been pretty lucky with throwing strikes so far and his numbers suggest he will walk some guys. Once he does, his true colors will come out. The Yankees offense isn't too tough to figure out and especially with the absence of Matt Holliday. Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez are the 2 obvious options and I don't see a scenario where I fade either in a stack. After that, you can go absolutely anywhere. Didi Gregorious and Chase Headley are the 2 other options that will be higher in the order and are pretty cheap across the industry. Ji-Man Choi has a ton of power and in tournaments, go for it. This teams hits very well in Yankee Stadium and I have a hard time believing Brent Suter will shut them down. Main Stack - Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Didi Gregorious, Chase Headley Sneaky Stack - Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Brett Gardner, Ji-Main Choi Arizona Diamondbacks In the night cap, we have the Cincy Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are projected to put up 5.15 runs and that's something you can never ignore. Chase Field is the 2nd best hitting ballpark in baseball and we know how well the Diamondbacks hit there. Luis Castillo does have some solid stuff, but he struggles with control and will eventually start running into big innings. His minor league numbers were just fine and he has shown no reason to believe he is actually good. The Diamondbacks offense is extremely concentrated, so it's not difficult to stack them. Goldy, Lamb, and Peralta are all...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/8/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/8/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Luis Severino FD 9300 DK 11500 Opponent - MIL (Suter) Park - @NYY FD - 35.1 DK - 23.2 W touched on Stephen Strasburg in the main picks article and he's still the top option in both cash games and tournaments. We'll now look at Luis Severino, who is just a bit cheaper. Severino is absolutely an elite arm and has proven that all season long. Through 100 innings, he has sported a .299 wOBA against lefties and a .269 against righties. He's striking out over 10 batters per 9 innings and has held opposing batters to a 29% hard contact rate. He has dominated both sides of the plate and hasn't shown any peripherals to suggest regression. He's also at home, where he's held a combined .277 wOBA. He faces off with the Brewers, who are certainly one of the worst teams in the league. Against righties, they have struck out over 25% of the time, sitting 2nd in all of baseball. Ryan Braun and Eric Thames are the 2 bats to worry about, but they strike out a lot and even if they do connect, thy should make up for it with K's. Severino is always going to carry some risk and in Yankee Stadium, lefties can always run into luck. With that being said, he's also an amazing pitcher at this point and I'm willing to take the risk at home. Strasburg is still preferred, but don't be afraid to take a shot on Severino if you have a feeling. Aaron Nola FD 8900 DK 9900 Opponent - SD (Chacin) Park - @PHI FD - 33.34 DK - 22.04 Righties against the Padres has been a thing for what seems like 20 years. They actually don't hold the worst wOBA in the league against righties, but there pretty close. They have ranked 28th in the league with a .299 wOBA and 25.6% strikeout rate. Wil Myers is really the only guy to worry about and while the other 8 always have a chance of coming through, they are below average MLB hitters. Aaron Nola has been...