Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/7/18
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/7/18 We're now just over a full week into the season. Thanks to off days, and some weather postponements, we've really shuffled the pitching rotations, so it's not all aces or all scrubs. We've got a nice healthy mix of dominant arms to lock in and weak arms to target against. Our MLB lineup optimizer has been hard at work crunching all the numbers. With a majority of the games happening this afternoon, we'll focus most of our attention on the early games while giving you some plays to consider on the evening set of five games. So let's check out the top picks at each position. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Trevor Bauer FD 8600 DK 9400 Opponent - KC (Ian Kennedy) Park - CLE FD - 37.77 DK - 19.55 We'll open things up today with Trevor Bauer leading the Indians against the Royals in his home park. Progressive Field is an average hitters park, leaning slightly in favor of the pitcher and Bauer was quite comfortable pitching there last season, as he held an xFIP over one point lower in home games versus on the road. Bauer was strong through five innings to open the season up in Seattle last weekend, surrendering two earned runs on five hits while fanning seven. The Royals were a bottom ten offense against RHP last season and didn't strike out a ton either, a trend that continues this season as they've struck out only 9.5% of the time against righties to open up the campaign. This coupled with Bauer's tendency to get into trouble early severely limit the upside, but with the tribe coming in as -205 favorites. Bauer should present more than enough safety on a modest price tag to get us where we need to be in cash games. Sonny Gray FD 8200 DK 9000 Opponent - BAL (Chris Tillman) Park - NYY FD - 35.1 DK - 17.89 The Yankees continue their weekend series with the Orioles in the Bronx today and will turn the ball over to Sonny Gray. Like Bauer, Gray got into trouble early on in his first game of the 2018 campaign, scattering ten baserunners over 4 innings, but managed to limit the damage to only one earned run. The early exit resulted in a no-decision but Gray did...
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/2/18
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/2/18 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Early Jameson Taillon FD 8200 DK 8800 Opponent - MIN (Lance Lynn) Park - PIT FD - 30.09 DK - 15.55 Welcome to Monday baseball! With this being the 5th day of MLB season, we are working with some very bad pitchers. When Charlie Morton and Jameson Taillon are the two most expensive, you know things are going to get rough. We’ll kick things off on the early slate with Jameson Taillon. The up and coming ace posted a 3.67 xFIP in 2017 and followed it up with some strong peripherals and batted ball rates. Tonight, he sees a Twins lineup that’s pretty polarizing. With plenty of power in these bats, they strikeout their fair share. Taillon will likely be on a pitch count around 100 max, so there is always a limited ceiling early in the year. These Twins can obviously put numbers on the board, but Taillon is clearly the best pitcher to choose from and fits the match-up pretty nicely. With just four other games on this slate, Taillon should end up 30-40% owned in the morning. Main Charlie Morton FD 8500 DK 11100 Opponent - BAL (Chris Tillman) Park - HOU FD - 33.87 DK - 17.92 While we have a lot more games on this main slate, the pitching doesn't get any better. At all. Charlie Morton is the most expensive option on the board and while he's a great pitcher, it's tough when he's your best option. We will look at him, though, as he's in a pretty solid spot against a K-friendly Orioles. While it's been just a few days, they already hold a 28% strikeout rate It can't be a surprise with guys like Chris Davis leading off and Pedro Alvarez and Colby Rasmus in the backend. The middle of the order hitters like Schoop, Mancini, and Jones all strikeout a lot as well. Morton, a righty, was a reverse splits pitcher in 2017. He obliterated lefties to the tune of a .249 wOBA and 32.8% K rate. Against righties, a very different story with a .345 wOBA and 20% K rate. He spent his offseason working on it, but so does everyone else. It's still up in the air whether or not we will see change, but even if we...
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/1/18
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/1/18 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Jose Quintana FD 8800 DK 11700 Opponent - MIA (Dillon Peters) Park - MIA FD - 37.94 DK - 20.38 Welcome to Sunday Baseball! This is day four of the MLB season and we're running short at pitcher. We fortunately have some decent options, but it's certainly the worst day so far. We'll kick it off in Miami, who will host Jose Quintana and the Cubs. Quintana dominated in two different cities in 2017 and was quietly one of the better pitchers in the league. He posted a 3.73 xFIP with an elite 9.23 K/9. He's been effective against both sides of the plate, but is definitely better against lefties. He faces off against a Marlins team that is absolutely one of the worst lineups in the league. We won't be looking at any team stats after just three games, but you should know what's going on when Starlin Castro and Justin Bour are in the three and four hole. This game is also in Marlins Park, which is one of the friendlier ballparks in the league for pitchers. Quintana is extremely safe in all formats and the top pitcher on this slate. Luke Weaver FD 7800 DK 8000 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - NYM FD - 33.3 DK - 17.59 Luke Weaver had an incredible 2017 season and put himself in the mix as another star Cardinals pitcher. He posted a ridiculous 2.93 xFIP and 10.04 K/9. He's only 24 years old and going to get better as the years go by. Tonight, he faces off with the Mets. They hold the 3rd lowest implied team total on the slate and it's no surprise. They have some solid hitters and have a lot of power, but they strike out a ton and hit lefties a lot better. Citi Field is friendly to pitchers and ranked 20th in 2017 for righty power. The only problem I can find here is the match-up with Matz and the win uncertainty. Where the win matters on FanDuel, I like Quintana and Hill more. With that being said, I think Weaver has a huge ceiling and could strikeout 10 without issue. On a day with a bunch of so-so pitchers in average match-ups, Weaver is fine in all formats. Rich Hill...
Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 10/20/17
Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 10/20/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point guard Eric Bledsoe FD - $7500 DK - $7400 Opponent - LAL Proj Pts FD - 41.21 DK - 42.21 We're going to see the price of Bledsoe go up before it's too long. Seeing just 29 minutes in the blowout against the Blazers, he looked phenomenal. Outside of his typical turnover issue, he was a force throughout his 29 minutes of court time, filling up the stat sheet. Assuming this game with the Lakers stays close and Bledsoe gets to 35 minutes, he will be knocking on value's door early. With the Suns having 2 primary ball-handlers, I assume Lonzo Ball and Jordan Clarkson will share responsibilities. We don't know a ton about how Lonzo will be as an NBA defender, but neither are considered lock-down and it's a big reason why the Suns backcourt is in a prime position. This late night affair with the Lakers currently holds a 220 over/under with just a 3 spread, so Vegas is expecting a wire to wire shootout. Bledsoe thrives in the open floor and should have no problem getting into transition early and often. You probably want some exposure to this game in one way or another, and Bledsoe is your safest option of all. Jrue Holiday FD - $6800 DK - $6100 Opponent - GS Proj Pts FD - 37.48 DK - 37.87 The Pelicans host the Warriors tonight in what should be a very interesting game. With Draymond Green presumably out, it should stay close. I know the Warriors are great, but if you can explain to me how they plan to stop AD + Boogie without Draymond, I'm all ears. Holiday will benefit in a huge way if this game stays close, matching up with the Warriors weak link on defense in Stephen Curry. With Rondo out for at least 4 weeks, Holiday will hold the PG position down and figures to be a very valuable DFS asset. This up-tempo game with the Warriors will work into his style of play perfectly and I can't see a way he avoids value in 34+ minutes of work against this defense. He will defer to AD and Boogie, but shooting won't be a problem for Holiday. He's a well-respected member of...
Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 10/19/17
Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 10/19/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point guard Russell Westbrook FD - $11800 DK - $11000 Opponent - NY Proj Pts FD - 56.11 DK - 59.46 Who else? We had to wait 2 whole days for Westbrook to appear on a slate, but here it is. We may not see the same fantasy goodness as last year (averaging in a triple-double) with the addition of 'Melo and Paul George, but his usage should only go down 2 or 3%. If you remember correctly, this $11-12K price is actually about $1000 cheaper than he was on most nights in 2016. We have just 3 games on the slate and Westbrook is the clear top choice at any position. Looking at the match-up, it's juicy. The Knicks weren't horrible against the PG last year, but they also didn't have Ramon Sessions at the helm. Sessions will have no chance of staying with Westbrook and neither will Ron Baker or Courtney Lee, who I presume will take a shot at some point. Westbrook will do what he wants with the ball and whether that's score 40 or get the offense flowing, it will happen. He's the safest play on the board with a floor around 50 and a near GPP-must on such a short slate. If Westbrook has one of his classic 85 FP games, you may not be able to make it up at any other position. Westbrook should be very popular, but I won't be getting cute. Kyle Lowry FD - $8600 DK - $7900 Opponent - CHI Proj Pts FD - 41.93 DK - 43.47 If this was a full 15-game slate, we'd likely ignore both Lowry and DeRozan. It's not that these are bad match-ups at all, but they aren't exceptional and the Raptors should win this one pretty easy. Of course, that's tough to predict, but do yourself a favor and look at the Bulls starting lineup. Ya, U G L Y. Lowry is figured to be guarded by Jerian Grant, who's actually a pretty decent man defender. He's just an absolutely atrocious defender when it comes to off-ball and screens. The Raptors offense has a ton of both and Lowry should get more than enough separation to do his work. I don't think this is...