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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/3/15

Posted by on May 3, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/3/15 Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitcher James Shields - FD 8600 DK 9900 DFSTR 8500 I gave you all Morrow against the Rockies in Petco last night, and as of this writing, I have no idea how that turned out. Regardless, Shields is a pitcher in a totally different league from Morrow, and he's been utterly lights out this season. The 12 Ks/9 are insane, and he's actually running bad in terms of homers allowed per fly ball, so his overall line could look even better. I made this case yesterday - but the Rox are 15th in the league in terms of road wOBA against righties, and Petco will obviously make them even worse than their standard outing. I think Matzek could also have a hell of a time against the new-look Padres' righty-stack, and I think this game actually could get out of hand in the Dads' favor. Johnny Cueto - FD 10600 DK 11000 DFSTR 9600 I think Shields has considerably more upside, but it's hard to ignore what Cueto can offer from a safety perspective. He's averaging more than 7 innings a start this season, and has posted a modest 7.6:1 K:BB rate in that time. Teheran is a fine starter on the other side in his own right, but he's struggled a bit this season, and he may have a tough time against the Reds' hard hitting left handers. But the opposing pitcher isn't usually a huge consideration with Cueto. If you can get a pitcher who's going like this, and find ways to fit the money in good elsewhere, it's usually a good buy. Everyone will play one of the above guys, but if you feel like going contrarian, Jason Hammel makes for an interesting play. His 23 Ks against 1 BB are fantastic, and throwing with that kind of control carries a lot of upside. Julio Teheran is also a system favorite, but the upside is limited by the fact that Cueto is just so good, and getting the win would be tough. Still, no one will play him, and he could make for an interesting GPP play.   Catcher Evan Gattis - FD 3200 DK 4000 DFSTR If you're a subscriber to our projection system, you hopefully kept a steady hand with Gattis as he struggled earlier this season. He's still a lefty killer like you read about (and just bombed a homer as I'm writing this),...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/2/15

Posted by on May 2, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/2/15 Wow! Massive day of baseball, to say nothing of the Kentucky Derby, Spurs/Clips game 7, and Floyd/Manny! Oy. With all these games going, you might as well have some action going. Let's get to the picks! Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitcher Early Slate Cole Hamels - FD 9700 DK 10000 DFSTR 9300 Hamels is my favorite play of all of the big money pitchers in the early slate, but I can't say it makes me feel fantastic. What I really like here is the combination of ballpark and skills. Hamels (for all of his weird location problems this season) is still a strike out an inning guy, and the Marlins have their fair share of guys who can strike out. Now, Hamels may struggle to get wins due to the Phillies awful offense (more on that in a minute), but I think he'll put up nice peripheral stats, and a win is absolutely in play. Francisco Liriano - FD 8700 DK 9000 DFSTR 8200 If you want the highest upside guy of the slate, look no further than Sr. Liriano. Francisco has put up a sterling 30 Ks in 24 IP, though the 12 walks are certainly troubling. That's why we'll call this an "upside play." There is a lot to like here, though. The Cardinals have struck out the 5th most against left handers this season, while putting up the league's 8th worst wOBA and 3rd worst ISO. What does this mean? Well, Liriano could escape his mistakes relatively unscathed while putting up a huge strikeout total. On the same token, I'd say Lackey makes a reasonable upside play as well. Off board: Dan Haren. The Phils have put up a straight up sad 63 runs this season (good for league worst), and that means their opposing pitcher should always get consideration, ESPECIALLY away from the Phillies home park. Also considered: Corey Kluber. Late slate Brandon Morrow So Morrow was bad against the Rockies in Coors, but everyone is bad against the Rockies in Coors, so I won't hold it against him. Besides that start, he has three solid starts under his belt this season, and reasonable peripherals to back them up. Petco is truly the greatest pitcher's park known to man, and it really couldn't be any different than where the Rocks are used to hitting. To give you a little clarity on the subject - the Rockies go from a fantastic...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/1/15

Posted by on May 1, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/1/15 Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitcher Lance Lynn - FD 8100 DK 8300 DFSTR 7900 Lynn had been fantastic before having some BABIP problems against Milwaukee, and I suspect that will continue against Pittsburgh on Friday. The Pirates are way better against left handers, and they've managed just a .282 wOBA against righties while also walking the fewest times of any team in the league. AJ Burnett isn't a a bad pitcher (and probably makes a fine play for GPPs), but St. Louis' bats have been so much better than Pittsburgh's that I like them to give the Cards the edge in helping Lynn get a win. Max Scherzer - FD 10500 DK 12000 DFSTR 11100 Matt Harvey - FD 10300 DK 11200 DFSTR 8800 It's pretty brutal that the two best pitching plays of the day (by far) are facing one another. There's probably some argument to just split your double ups and 50/50s with these guys and be done with it. The Mets and Nats are 22nd and 23rd in the league in wOBA vs. right handed pitchers, which makes each a plus match-up for a hard throwing righty. Both Scherzer and Harvey are positively transcendent. The problem here is that only one of them can win, and there's some chance that neither of them will win. Still, though - either would be the play of the day if the other wasn't pitching, so it felt like I should include them here. Ian Kennedy - FD 7300 DK 8200 DFSTR 6900 Well, Kennedy's first start was about as bad as it gets. And he's facing the Rockies? What's he doing here!? Well, a couple of things. First, he was kind of underratedly great last season - striking out 207 guys against 70 walks in 203 innings pitched. Next, San Diego is the best place to pitch in the majors. I'm not saying this is a cash game play, but the Rockies actually have the second fewest walks against righties this season, and their free-swinging ways might not translate to the large confines of Petco. Also considered: AJ Burnett, for GPPs. K per inning guy for a bargain.   Catcher Salvador Perez - FD 2700 DK 3600 DFSTR 5400 Perez's price still isn't where it should be, as he's a sub $3,000 player on FanDuel in spite of showing plus power and average for the position. He's .45 wOBA points better against left handed...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/26/15

Posted by on Apr 26, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/26/15 Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitcher Jake Arrieta - FD 9600 DK 9000 DFSTR 3100 With Saturday's rain out, Arrieta will get the call against the Reds. And a fine call that is, to get. The Reds have the 6th lowest wOBA in the majors against right handed pitching, which is not very good. Arrieta gets little credit for being ace caliber, but we're looking at 28 starts in the majors in the last two years with a 2.73 xFIP, which is awfully good. It's not totally clear as of this writing if DeSclafani or Marquis will get the start, but either way Arrieta should be a significant favorite to pull a win in a very nice match-up. Lance Lynn - FD 8400 DK 8800 DFSTR 8100 It's a gruesome day for pitching, my friends. To that end, Lance Lynn stands out from both a safety perspective. He's better than a K an inning so far this season, had a solid outing against the Brewers the first time they met, and Mike Fiers has struggled to keep opposing hitters in the park this season. In a slate that's devoid of any real ace, Lynn's the best we can grab after Arrieta. Brandon Morrow - FD 6200 DK 6800 If Lynn's the standard for safety for tomorrow, I'll submit Morrow as his upside based counterpart. The overall line isn't going to blow you away, but this early int he season, pitcher lines demanding additional parsing. Morrow was fantastic against the Giants, good against Arizona, and then pretty bad against Colorado in Coors. All told - that's a great start to the season. The Dodgers have been fantastic in their own right, but this is a great park to pitch in, and a nice price to boot. The real deal sweetener is the opposing pitcher. Scott Baker was decent in the minors this year, but last pitched effectively in 2011. Nice spot for a win, and potential other goodies as well. Catcher Buster Posey - FD 3800 DK 4800 DFSTR 7200 SpTradeX B These are the DFS moments that you wait for. Posey's price is depressed by some bad BABIP luck to start the season, and his peripheral stats (more walks than Ks, for instance) suggest that these trends won't last. Furthermore, he'll get literally his perfect match-up. Posey has put up a ridiculous .961 OPS against left handed pitching over the course of his career spanning...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/19/15

Posted by on Apr 19, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/19/15 Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitcher Note: It's kind of splitting hairs to choose a pitcher Stephen Strasburg - FD 9800 DK 10100 DFSTR 3100 It's been a pretty lousy start to the season for Strasburg, but have hope! In this contest he gets the double dip of facing a bad offense and a bad pitcher, and I think this will be his much awaited turnaround. The Phillies were the 4th worst team in the majors against right handed pitching last season (a meager .294 wOBA) and are a year older with no fresh faces to make things better. It's odd to say of a guy who's kinda sucked so far this year, but Stras looks among the safest plays available today. Adam Wainwright - FD 9400 DK 9500 DFSTR 3100 Wainwright has flashed his characteristic fantastic command of the zone this year in a small sample size - putting up 10 Ks against just the 1 BB. And for their supposedly great left handed bats, the Reds were just behind the Phillies when it came to producing against right handed pitching last season. If you're spooked by Stras' first two starts, I could totally see a case for putting Wainwright in the #1 overall slot, but I gave the nod to Strasburg because while Wainwright's opposing pitcher (Mike Leake) is real bad, Dave Buchanan is a transcendent fantasy match-up. Also considered: Matt Harvey. He's been the best of these three this season, but I'll take the other two on the basis of match-up. Random upside play: Brandon McCarthy. It'd be easy to miss what he's done from a peripheral standpoint this season because the ERA is a mess, but homey has 19 Ks against 1 BB in just 12 innings. Now, the Rockies are a damned bad match-up, but LA was the 5th hardest place to hit in the league last year (compared to Coors, which was the easiest). Some chance for a big game here, and I doubt many will play him.   Catcher Brian McCann - FD 3100 DK 3800 DFSTR 5900 McCann has been roughly .25 wOBA points better against right handed pitching over the course of his career, and Matt Andriese posted a 4.24 FIP in the minors last season. I'm sure he's a better pitcher than, say, I am, but our projection system isn't sure he'll be able to hold up against the lefty-heavy Yankee lineup. Could be a...

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