DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/8/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/8/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - CIN (Justin Dunn) Park - NYM FD - 41.78 DK - 22.97 Despite Jacob deGrom making just two starts this season, the Mets have a Top 5 starting rotation in terms of ERA(3.58) and a lot can be attributed to Chris Bassitt who came over from Oakland in the offseason. While the strikeout upside has been league-average(24%), he has been very consistent going into the sixth inning or deeper in eight straight starts thanks to a near-elite walk rate(6.6%). The Reds have been sneaky good recently winning six of their last eight but still rank bottom 10 in wOBA and wRC+ while striking out nearly 25% of the time and have been considerably worse against right-handed pitching. All things considered, he is our top arm on this slate. Zac Gallen FD - P 9600 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - PIT (Tyler Beede) Park - ARI FD - 32.01 DK - 17.13 Gallen has been one of the few bright spots for the rebuilding D-Backs in 2022 thanks to a somewhat transformation in his game. He is throwing fewer fastballs and more offspeed and while that has hurt his overall K upside(23.3% K rate), he has been more consistent with fewer walks, flyballs, and home runs which has led to a 3.31 ERA overall. What really stands out here is the matchup as he faces a Pirates team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.267) and wRC+(70) in the second half while striking our nearly 26% of the time. Finally, he is in play on both sites tonight but especially stands out on DraftKings where the price is back in the sub $8K range. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 6200 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BAL FD - 14.65 DK - 11.04 We definitely have some tough decisions to make on this smaller slate as we have a plethora of high-priced talent and it starts at first base. First up is Vladdy who extended his season-long hit streak to 18 games on Sunday and in that time is hitting .420 with a .487 wOBA, 223 wRC+ and surprisingly has also added four stolen bases! On Monday, he gets a matchup against Jordan Lyles who has been better in the second half but still sits with a 4.40 ERA/4.45 xFIP and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/9/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/9/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 10600 DK 9500 Opponent - OAK (Adam Oller) Park - OAK FD - 41.24 DK - 23.03 The Giants opted to keep their ace rather than trade him at the deadline and will now focus on the NL wildcard. Rodon enters the second half with an above-average 3.06 ERA but what really stands out for fantasy is the elite 32% K rate and 14% swinging strike rate. On Saturday he faces an A’s team that has been better in the second half but still ranks bottom five overall and bottom three against left-handed pitching. All things considered, Rodon is my top play on the mound tonight, especially on DraftKings where the price remains under $10K. Nathan Eovaldi FD 8300 DK 7300 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC FD - 34.19 DK - 18.62 After getting lit up in his final two starts before the break, Eovaldi bounced back in a big way on Monday holding the Astros to four hits and just two unearned runs over 6.1 innings. He will look to carry that over into a terrific matchup against the Royals who have dropped eight of their last 11 games while scoring just 2.8 runs per game and striking out 28% of the time. Despite the matchup and his latest start, Eovaldi comes to us at a season-low price on DraftKings making him our top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4100 DK 5300 Opponent - MIN (Dylan Bundy) Park - MIN FD - 12.73 DK - 9.59 Vladdy has put his slow start in the rearview and is back to his 2021 MVP-like status as he enters the night with a 16-game hitting streak and is now hitting .318 with an elite .406 wOBA since the start of June. He and the Jays now get a plus matchup against Dylan Bundy who struggled going into the break giving up three or more earned runs in four straight starts in July(6.98 ERA). The price has come back up but Vlad is still only the fifth most expensive play at first base(on DK) tonight. I will have a ton of exposure in all formats. Brandon Belt FD 2500 DK 3000 Opponent - OAK (Adam Oller) Park - OAK FD - 10.95 DK - 8.16 There is most certainly a path to paying up for two stud pitchers on this slate and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/5/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/5/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Dylan Cease FD - P 10900 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - TEX (Glenn Otto) Park - TEXFD - 41.93 DK - 23.47 Cease comes in as a -178 road favorite against the Rangers on this slate and makes for the top overall raw points pitcher going. He’s having a Cy Young-worthy season with a 2.01 ERA (3.02 xFIP) while striking out batters at a better than 33% clip. The Rangers are a below-average offense on the season and strike out, as a team, more than 23% of the time. This is lining up for another big outing by Cease. Robbie Ray FD 9400 DK 8900 Opponent - LAA (Patrick Sandoval) Park - LAAFD - 38.99 DK - 21.09 Though the ERA is sitting at 4.11, the xFIP is more than half a run lower and he draws one of the better matchups of the day against the Trout-less Angels on this slate. Ray comes in as a -211 home favorite against an offense ranked 26th in the league despite having Trout and Ohtani at the top of the lineup. Ray has been inconsistent this season which is a bit worrisome but the matchup is just too good here to pass up. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 2400 DK 3300 Opponent - CLE (Hunter Gaddis) Park - CLEFD - 10.93 DK - 8.44 Gurriel isn’t having an amazing season, but there are some things going for him here. He’s coming cheap on both sites and should be hitting cleanup for the Astros. He’s facing off against Hunter Gaddis who is making his major league debut in this game as well. Gaddis has flashed strikeout stuff in the minors, but control has been an issue. And Gurriel makes a lot of contact, putting the ball in play about 82% of the time. Plus, he’s shown some speed on the base paths with eight stolen bases this season. Ji-Man Choi FD 2800 DK 3600 Opponent - DET (Bryan Garcia) Park - DETFD - 11.39 DK - 8.49 Choi should also be in the cleanup spot for the Rays and like Gurriel, is coming on the cheaper side on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He strikes out a lot more, but the .769 OPS plays and he does walk about 14% of the time. Bryan Garcia has struggled in the majors, striking out fewer than seven batters per nine while walking 5.3 per nine....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/4/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/4/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD 11200 DK 10400 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CLEFD - 37.4 DK - 20.63 While I think Verlander is the top cash game option on the main slate, I do want to warn that we shouldn’t be totally fooled by some of his stats this season. He has a 1.81 ERA but the xFIP is much higher at 3.47. He’s striking out fewer than a batter per inning and has gotten lucky on BABIP and LOB%. All that being said, he’s still the best play on this slate which is really weak on pitching. I don’t feel amazing about the matchup, but again this is more about lack of options than about a solid case for Verlander. Noah Syndergaard FD 7700 DK 7600 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 35.35 DK - 18.19 José Quintana FD 7700 DK 6700 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHCFD - 34.38 DK - 17.61 I’m putting these two guys together here because there are a number of similarities between them. Thor will start for the Phillies and is coming in as a massive -239 favorite against the now Soto-less Nationals. And Quintana is a -150 favorite against the Cubs though has a lower opposing run line. Neither dial the K’s up all that much, but the matchups play. Pairing either with Verlander on DK works because of the price points which don’t break the bank. But again, neither is close to an ace right now either. I think I would lean Quintana here on DK because you get the $900 savings and that means something. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 3100 DK 4000 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 13.13 DK - 9.75 J.T. Realmuto FD 3300 DK 4700 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 11.65 DK - 8.89 The Phillies have the highest implied run line on the slate at 5.6 facing off against Paolo Espino. The latter has a lower K rate and though he’s been around baseball forever, doesn’t have much in the way of put away stuff. Hoskins is have a solid year though hasn’t made quite the gains that were expected. He still has a .799 OPS and 20 home runs but we might just never see the power numbers he put up very early in his career. While better against lefties, he...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/3/22 How wild was that trade deadline? The Padres went full-on beast mode and added across the board, making them one of the most dangerous teams in baseball. That will have San Diego and Los Angeles battling all season, leaving the rest of the NL West in shambles. In any case, it's still anyone's ring to take down, and it'll be fun to watch these final 2-3 months play out. With that said, there were a ton of moves yesterday, and it's unclear who will be ready to suit up here. Keep an eye on lineups and only play if you can be face-first on your computer screen up until first pitch! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11300 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - LAA FD - 38.35 DK - 21.15 Many people were speculating that Shohei would be on the move at the trade deadline, but any reasonable person knows LA couldn't trade the most valuable player in baseball. We'll use Ohtani on the mound today because he's been one of the best pitchers in the sport. Shohei has a 1.73 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 13.8 K/9 rate over his last eight starts. Those are averages you'd usually see from an elite reliever, making him tough to fade behind that ridiculous K rate. Facing Oakland is outstanding, too, with the A's ranked 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. Look for him to be a -200 favorite in this spot, with the A's projected for a minuscule run total. Blake Snell FD - P 9100 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - SD FD - 34.55 DK - 18.87 Snell was horrible through his first 10 starts, but the former Cy Young winner has been hitting his stride for a month now. Over his last five starts, Snell has a 2.81 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 14.0 K/9 rate. That WHIP isn't great, but it doesn't matter when you're striking out three batters every two innings. That should be even easier to do against the Rockies, with Colorado owning the worst road offense in baseball last season. They've been better this year, but it's scary with Snell posting a 2.94 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 12.6 K/9 rate at home since 2020. The oddsmakers certainly love Snell, projecting San Diego as a -300 favorite in this spot, with Colorado...