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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/21/15

Posted by on May 21, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/21/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitchers Early Slate There's just a bevvy of big dollar pitching in the early slate. No one could fault you for grabbing Clayton Kershaw or Madison Bumgarner, but trying to get a win from either of them is such a dice roll. That's why I'll probably go for David Price - FD 10900 DK 9600 The Astros are striking out at the 8th highest rate in the MLB against left handers this season, and are in the bottom half of the league in terms of wOBA as well. Price has basically been Price-like so far this season - but the big news here is Scott Feldman. I think he's going to get positively run by the Tigers' tough offense, leaving Price in great shape to grab the W. It's just awfully hard to pass up on a huge K guy in a great match-up when the opposing pitcher is this lousy, so that's likely where I'll go for cash games. Late Slate Julio Teheran - FD 8200 DK 8800 What to make of Julio Teheran's sudden control issues? It's tough to say. Has a 24 year old pitcher just gone off the rails, and started walking almost twice as many guys? Is he hurt? No confidence? Or just a lousy string of games at a glaring time in the season? Barring any news, I'll take the latter. And if there were a time to turn it around, this would be it. Matt Garza has been a train wreck, and the Brewers have amassed the 5th highest strike out percentage against right handed pitching to go with the league's 7th worst wOBA. And for all of his bad luck, Teheran has still put together nearly a K per inning. His woes have made him quite affordable, so I'll get while the getting is good. Also considered: Clay Buchholz. The interesting punt: Kyle Hendricks - FD 6100 DK 6700 Don't look now, but Kyle Hendricks has been non-terrible, at least from a peripheral perspective this season. His BABIP allowed is about .15 points higher than his projected totals, and a couple of disastrous outings have his season ERA in shambles. And that could happen...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/17/15

Posted by on May 17, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/17/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Pitchers Stephen Strasburg - FD 8500 DK 9100 Strasburg and Kennedy! It's the "once bitten, twice shy" match-up of the century! I have to say, it's going to take an awfully steady hand to play either of these two on Sunday - but let me make a case for Strasburg. First of all - I'll direct you to this terrific article by Jeff Sullivan over at FanGraphs. He breaks down the fact that, indeed, something appears to be going on with Strasburg right now regarding his mechanics. That's all well and good, and it makes a lot of sense when you see how Sullivan breaks it down. But I think the case for Strasburg's demise is greatly exaggerated. First of all, no amount of mechanical change is going to cause a guy who's still striking out almost a guy an inning to have a .400 BABIP. You can't "earn" a BABIP like that. There might be good reasons it's higher than usual, but there's just no way he's a true-talent .400 BABIP guy. The truth, as always, lies between. And this might be a problem in terms of Strasburg's absolute value, but in daily fantasy baseball, we're primarily looking at his relative value. And Strasburg? He's pitching in the league's best pitcher's park, and facing an opponent in Ian Kennedy who's seen better days. On a day that lacks a lot of star-level pitching, I'll deploy Stras once again, if not totally confidently. Scott Kazmir - FD 8800 DK 7300 Baseball is all at once so cool and so incredibly frustrating. That Kazmir could return from the dead to be a strike out an inning guy after 6-7 years of ineffectiveness just amazes me. But here we are - he's on his second straight year of pitching well, and our projection system would have you believe that it's to be trusted. And this match-up is really something else. He'll be pitching in the friendly confines of Oakland against the White Sox, who have managed the league's worst wOBA. Even better? The White Sox are particularly bad at the one thing Kazmir struggles with - drawing walks. They've accumulated the second fewest walks...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/16/15

Posted by on May 16, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/16/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   Alert! There are early and late slates tomorrow. This write up will focus on the late slate, because the early slate is really small. If you want all of our early slate projections, grab a free three day trial of our projection system, listed above. Pitchers Max Scherzer - FD 11000 DK 12200 The man with the ridiculous 55 Ks against 6 BBs in 49 innings pitched doubles down on the absurdity by heading to the world's best pitcher's park. This has all the makings of a pitcher's duel, and Andrew Cashner makes a fine play in his own right, but that's the only thing that makes me think that Scherzer isn't also the highest upside play of the day. For safety, though? This is one of the easier picks I've ever had to make. Danny Salazar - FD 8700 DK 9300 The 48 Ks in 32 innings pitcher this year for Salazar are simply absurd. And with only 5 walks! It'd be fairly impossible for him to continue with this all season, but I'm starting to doubt myself a little on that one. The guy put up 11+ K/9 in AA and AAA, AND his first 50 innings in the majors. We could be witnessing the emergence of a super-duper-star pitcher, only we don't have to pay superduperstar prices just yet. And then there's Texas. They just aren't the team that has struck fear into the hearts of opposing pitchers this year. They're 25th in the majors in wOBA against right handed pitchers, which is pretty bad. Throw in a Colby Lewis resurgence that I don't buy, and I think Salazar could rack up huge K totals and a W once again. Matt Garza - FD 7300 DK 7700 If you're looking for a nice GPP play, take a hard look at Garza. First of all, the price allows you to spend up on a day where there are a lot of high priced hitters you may have your eye on. Next, there's the Mets of New York. They've managed just the league's 3rd worst wOBA against right handed pitching this season, and it's generally a sad state of affairs for...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/13/15

Posted by on May 13, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/13/15 There are so many baseball players that it's impossible to give you all of the reasonable plays on a given day, so I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.   An awkward edit: FanDuel didn't post their early slate until late, and I wrote the whole picks without even realizing there were early games. I don't have it in me to do a full write-up for each of the positions, but I'll highlight a good play at each position on the slate below the main section.   Pitchers Cole Hamels - FD 9400 DK 10100 Hamels' control has become sort of a problem this season, but there is a LOT to love in this match-up. First, Hamels. He's still a K per inning guy, even if he's been wild. But the real kicker? I'm not sure I've seen a better match-up for a left handed pitcher since I started writing about daily fantasy baseball. They've struck out in a staggering 29% of their at bats against left handed pitching this season. 29%! Couple that with the 3rd lowest wOBA against left handed pitching, and you have an ideal spot for any pitcher. Now, there's modest risk here, because Francisco Liriano could just as easily cut the Phillies to bits, and at a maximum, only one of them can get a win here. But frankly, I'll take either of them, with the nod going to Hamels just because of how bad the Pirates have been. James Shields - FD 8700 DK 9500 Shields has had some tough BABIP luck this year, but the 55 Ks to 12 BBs are enough to make me think that the ERA will come around shortly. The Mariners, for all of their left handed bats, have managed the 10th worst wOBA vs. right handed pitching this season, and have posted a K rate north of 20%. And unlike the above guys, Shields has a pretty nice match-up against the clearly "not there yet" Taijuan Walker. Should be a great spot to get a win, and Safeco's pitcher's park reputation is well deserved. I suspect he'll be quite a large play tomorrow, even if I'll be grabbing Hamels. Matt Harvey - FD 10300 DK 10400 There's a nice case to be made for Harvey tonight if you want to spend up for safety. The Cubs have posted the league's...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 5/10/15

Posted by on May 10, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 5/10/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster.     Pitchers Danny Salazar - FD 7800 DK 8600 DFSTR 3100 I feel like Salazar needs a good nickname, so I'm going to call him Sa-lazer. Nailed it. Feel free to use it wherever. This is a great spot for the Indian's diminutive right hander. First of all, his already great K rate has gone up to a staggering 12.81/9 this season, and he's also improved upon his control. I still feel like he's running bad with BABIP, also. The Twins have the 5th worst K% against righties (22.4%), and Trevor May isn't going to strike fear into the hearts of the hitters trying help Sa-lazer get the W. I love him for both safety and upside today. Garrett Richards - FD 8700 DK 10200 DFSTR 3100 It's been sort of a weird start to the season for Richards. The peripherals (19 Ks to 12 BBs in 24 IP) are looking pretty bad, and he's been able to get by largely on luck so far. But this early in the season, I don't know that we can say anything has necessarily changed. That makes this a solid buying opportunity. The Astros, while they've managed to hit the ball hard against right handed pitching this season, still have the 2nd worst K % in the majors (23.7%) against right handed pitching. And Richards' strong suit is really depressing SLG - he allowed the lowest slugging percentage in the league last season. He's also up against Scott Feldman, which makes a win more likely than usual. If you trust the year to dates... Michael Pineda looks interesting against the O's. Third worst K rate in the league, and they're trotting out the shell of Bud Norris. Obviously some bruisers on that team that could make Pineda pay, but it wouldn't shock me if he put up another monster as well. I won't be playing Felix Hernandez at all. Potentially unpopular opinion, since it's a nice park - but the As have struck out just 16% of the time against righties this year, and they're 7th in the majors in wOBA vs. RHP.   Catchers Brian McCann - FD 3200 DK 4000 DFSTR 6300 Bud...

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