Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, Yahoo, Victiv and DraftKings 7/24/15
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, Yahoo, Victiv and DraftKings 7/24/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers There's a pile of great pitching today, and no one will blame you if you play Scherzer against the Pirates, or Archer against the ever striking out Baltimore Orioles. Corey Kluber - FD 11000 DK 11500 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- CWS (Quintana) L Park- @Cle Kluber has been one of the unluckier aces this year. And he is an ace. His 10.15 K/9 and 1.85 BB/9 prop up his 6th best in the majors 2.71 wOBA. He's a monster. His 5 wins and 3.38 ERA do absolutely zero justice to what he can do for you, and while they don't depress his price that much, it's enough to make him an excellent points per dollar buy for your 50/50s and double ups. Today, he'll get a very nice match-up as well. The White Sox have the 6th lowest wOBA against right handed pitching in the majors, and while Quintana won't be a push-over for the Indians, I still like Kluber for safety here. Michael Pineda - FD 9600 DK 9000 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- Min (Hughes) R Park- @Min So, I recommended Pineda in his last start, and he was God awful. I get it. But, there's still a lot to love here. Pineda is just a hair behind Kluber on the league's xFIP list, and with a strikeout and inning and pinpoint control, he should be able to handle the Twins. While the Twins aren't as good a match-up as the White Sox (they're the 10th worst team in the league vs. RHP), they're plenty bad, and their starter is noticeably worse than Jose Quintana. Phil Hughes is giving up hard hit balls and striking out no one, and the Yanks should be able to make him pay for his pitch-to-contact-and-pray approach. Andrew Cashner - FD 7300 DK 7200 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- Mia (Haren) R Park- @Sd Cashner's game log looks a little weird due to rain-outs and what not, but I'll catch you up on what you missed. Before it started raining in his last start, Andrew Cashner had been spitting hot fire, recording eight strikeouts over 4 2/3 while allowing just an unearned run. He's been a little bit...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, Yahoo, Victiv, and DraftKings 7/20/15
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, Yahoo, Victiv, and DraftKings 7/20/15 Hey all! Monday's slate brings us the exact opposite of what we saw on Sunday. A short slate, and lots of bad pitching. Good times! In this article, I'll lay out a few guys at each position, but it won't be an exhaustive list of every good play. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Note: You can obviously play any of the Rockies guys against Nick Martinez today. He's one of the very worst pitchers in the league, in the toughest place to hit. I'm not going dwell here, though - feel free to choose some Rockies and do work. Pitchers Gio Gonzalez - FD 9400 DK 8100 Victiv Yahoo Matt Harvey - FD 10500 DK 11100 Victiv Yahoo It seems to me that the big question facing daily fantasy baseball players on Monday's slate will be: "Whom do I start in double ups - Gio, or Harvey?" Harvey, in spite of a few disastrous performances this season, still has a lot of notches in the axe he uses to cut down opposing teams. Sure, he's probably not fully recovered from surgery yet (at least command wise), but he's still striking out a guy an inning with a 3.30 xFIP. The issue is those pesky Nats. They're an above average team against right handed pitching, and won't make it super easy on Harvey to have a good outing. On the flip side, you have Gio Gonzalez. He's an erratic pitcher who's traded some strike-outs for groundballs this season, but he's still been effective enough if you've deployed him properly. Taking him against the Mets would be one such appropriate deployment. The Mets have paired the league's 7th lowest wOBA against left handed pitching with the 3rd highest K rate, making this a potentially huge start. The problem with either guy, of course, is that the other is pitching. These are easily the two best pitchers on the slate (considering Burnett has a tough match-up with the Royals), so you could even just split your cash game lineups between them. I'm honestly not sure what I'll do just yet. An off beat punt might be Andrew Heaney. He was a legit prospect, and has been shredding squads out there. While the Sox are tough to strike out, they're in the bottom third of the league in terms of wOBA against left handers, and it's way harder to hit in Anaheim than it is to...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo, and Victiv 7/19/15
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo, and Victiv 7/19/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers It's a crazy day to choose a starting pitcher. FanDuel has 9 guys priced over $10,000, which has got to be the most since opening day - and I"m not even sure there were that many going that day. And the odd thing? On a points per dollar basis, our projection system really doesn't love any of them. Now, obviously it's going to play out that some of them have elite games. No doubt about it. What we're saying is that it's quite hard to differentiate one from the other. If I had to choose one, it'd be Dallas Keuchel - FD 10400 DK 10300 Victiv Yahoo 51 It's kind of weird to write this name given the level of pitching today, but here we are. Keuchel is a very interesting guy. His 2.72 xFIP is absolutely elite, but he puts it together in a way that none of the other creme de la creme pitchers do. His 7.47 K/9 is nothing extraordinary, and his 2.23 BB/9, while good, is not out of this world either. Where Keuchel butters his bread? Groundballs. His 64.1% GB rate is the 2nd best in the major leagues, and it means he's as big a favorite to go deep in a game as anyone. The other great thing here is the match-up. The Rangers have oddly become one of the very best match-ups in the league for left handed pitching. They've struck out at the 7th highest rate of any team against left handed pitching, and they've got the 6th worst wOBA. They're also about .020 wOBA points worse when they're on the road. While Gallardo has a sparkly ERA, his 79 K/40 BB in 113 IP paints a much worse picture. All in all, I like Keuchel best among the big dollar plays. Cole Hamels - FD 9800 DK 10100 Victiv Yahoo 51 In the next tier down, price wise, Cole Hamels looks like a darn good play. While the Marlins have hit left handed pitching pretty well this season, they've struck out at the 10th highest rate of any team against left handed pitching, making them a nice team to go for...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 7/18/15
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 7/18/15 We're back after the dullest week in sports. Thank goodness. I'm too eager to write much of a preamble. Let's do it. Full disclaimer - this is a double slate day, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays in the second (and main) slate, while giving you a play per position at the early slate. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Early Slate Michael Pineda - FD 9700 DK 10400 Victiv Yahoo Revenge game? Nah, it's not that. It's just that Pineda isn't as dead as many (including me) left him. While his ERA looks like his break-out 2011 year, he's actually been more than a full run better than that, xFIP wise. He's pitching like a true #1, and making the Pineda/Montero swap look ridiculous, even if it is years later. And then there's his former team. They've struck out at the 4th highest rate against right handed pitching this year, and managed the league's 6th worst wOBA against righties. It also helps his case that Iwakuma has gotten torched on his short innings this year. If I play the early slate (I may not - it's my son's birthday!), Pineda will be my guy in every format. I'll pass on Clayton Kershaw. The Nats just aren't that good a match-up, and frankly, Pineda has been comparable at almost $3k less on FanDuel. Late Slate Jon Lester - FD 8900 DK 9800 Victiv Yahoo Solid pitcher meets great match-up. Lester 3.14 xFIP is nearly the best of his career, and he's still up around a K per inning pitcher. And then there's the Braves. The offensively mascotted team from Atlanta has been the 2nd worst team against left handed pitching this season - outdone only by the White Sox's historical futility. The young Manny Banuelos has a nice looking ERA, but he's walked 4 batters since his last strike-out. There's some chance he's not ready, and the Cubs have some power bats that could make him pay. Tyson Ross - FD 8400 DK 8900 Victiv Yahoo Taking a pitcher against the Rockies! Live a little. Let's get your big concerns out of the way - in spite of the Rockies' strong overall line this season, they've been awful on the road. They've paired the league's 4th highest K rate with the 5th...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 7/12/15
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 7/12/15 Full disclaimer - this is a massive slate, and there's no way I could ever possibly list every decent play today. So, I'll do my best in highlighting whom I believe to be the elite plays. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Francisco Liriano - FD 10000 DK 9700 However you want to slice it, Francisco Liriano is back to pitching like a true ace. It may have taken 9 years to return near the form he flashed in 2006, but here we are. Liriano has matched 2014's elite K/9 Rate and shave off 1.5 BB/9 while maintaining his elite ground-ball rate, and he has opposing hitters flummoxed. And today just happens to be the very perfect match-up for his skills. The Cardinals have paired the league's very highest K% rate against left handed pitching with the 5th worst wOBA, making them a true push-over for pitchers like Liriano. What's more, they'll be starting the non-prospoect Tim Cooney, who is basically a below league average pitch to contact guy. It's amazing that we're here, but we're here: Liriano seems to be the safest pitcher on the board, and he has arguably the highest upside as well. Johnny Cueto - FD 11000 DK 10900 Cueto will be a huge play today. His credentials are well-known at this point - so I won't bore you there. He's a fantastic pitcher. Miami is a great place to pitch. So why list him below Liriano? Well, the Marlins are terrible against right handed pitching (the 3rd worst wOBA in the majors), and have the 8th highest strikeout rate. So it's not them. Basically, it comes down to Cueto's price and the opposing pitcher. Dan Haren is much better than Tim Cooney, and Cueto costs $1k more than Liriano. Don't get me wrong - I love the guy, and won't blame you if you grab him in 50/50s. I'm just taking a stand and saying Liriano is my guy. Rubby De La Rosa - FD 6600 DK 7200 If you want to buy basically every big $ hitter today, Rubby De La Rosa looks pretty interesting to me. First of all, he's been wildly unlucky. His xFIP is 1.6 runs better than his ERA. He is striking out nearly a guy per inning this year, and has flashed good control to go with it. Basically, he's allowed a wildly unsustainable 19% HR/FB rate (8% ahead of his previous levels),...