Daily Fantasy Golf Showdown Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. This week the PGA Tour visits TPC Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. I previewed the course and some key stats for the full tournament in my early week article and will now combine that research with some stats and info from the first two rounds and give you some players I am targeting for Round 3 and 4 Showdown contests. With no finish position points for Showdowns(except Round 4), I have adjusted my model to really emphasize Birdie or Better %. Once you grab a copy of sheet in chat make sure to also check out my tutorial video going over the stats I use, how you can customize your own model, and how to best utilize the tool. When breaking down the top stats I use a combination of my own cheatsheet and the tools over at FantasyNational.com, including the live leaderboard. Let's get into the picks. Showdown Picks Xander Schauffele After opening with three bogey's in his first five holes, Xander rebounded in a big way going bogey-free over his final 13 holes with a whopping seven birdies. After two rounds, he ranks 7th in SG: Ball Striking(4th OTT, 33rd APP) while only ranking 43rd in SG: Putting gaining about a .5 stroke per round less than his long term form in that area. He came into this event ranked high in my model thanks to some plus form to start the season(3 Top 10's in 4 events) and top course history with Top 20 finishes in each of the last two years. He is my top player to build around this weekend in Showdown and may be worth a live outright bet at 14-1. Webb Simpson Webb is #1 in my Round 3 model after re-adjusting the stats model a bit. He had a huge bounce-back in round two with a bogey-free round and eight birdies while hitting 78% of fairways and 89% of greens. The biggest difference from round one to two was the putting as he gained over two strokes today and lost over two strokes yesterday. Like Xander,...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. This week the PGA Tour travels to Phoenix, Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open and one of the biggest parties in golf........for the fans. That's right, thousands of people lining up before the sun comes up to not just get into the course, but specifically the iconic 16th hole that is completely enclosed like a stadium. It is a fairly straight forward 163-yard, Par 3 but with 20,000(grandstands only) raucous fans surrounding, it is much more difficult than it appears. This year's field is another strong one led by Arizona State alum and #3 player in the World, Jon Rahm. He has yet to win this "home event" but has finished T16 or better in all four career trips including a T5 back in 2015 as an amateur. Joining him are nine other players inside the Top 25 OWGR including the winners from each of the last four years in Rickie Fowler(2019), Gary Woodland(2018), and Hideki Matsuyama(2017, 2016). The host course for this event is TPC Scottsdale which is a Par 71 setup that stretches out to 7,261 yards. In terms of difficulty, it has ranked middle of the pack(21st, 32nd, 33rd, 20th, 22nd) over the last five years and has generated a very consistent winning score between -14 and -18. It is definitely "gettable" with just one of the Par 3's over 200 yards, six of the 11 Par 4's are also under 450 yards including the driveable 17th hole. The remaining five par 4's fall between 450 and 500 yards with four of them exceeding 470 yards. The three Par 5's are all in the same range(558, 558, 552 yards) and are, by far, the easiest holes on the course making up for between 33% and 38% of the overall birdies each year and all three have above average to high eagle rates being reachable by almost the entire field. From a stats model perspective, one thing I have been doing this season more than others is keeping my model fairly consistent on a week to week basis. I have...

Daily Fantasy PGA Showdown Strategy and Picks for DraftKings – Farmers Insurance Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. Welcome back golf fans. If you are familiar with my work, you know I do a weekly article breaking down the course, key stats, and provide some core plays for DraftKings and FanDuel for full tournament contests. You may have also noticed that since the calendar flipped to 2020, I have also been providing not only the cheatsheet I have for years but have also started providing a DraftKings showdown sheet for each round of the tournament. For those of you knew, I just wanted to go over some of the scoring differences between the three contest formats on DraftKings(regular full tournament, one-round showdown, weekend golf). I will then go over my strategies for both Showdown and Weekend Golf and provide a few picks for the final two rounds at the Farmers Insurance Open. Scoring & Strategy The first thing to note is you are playing Showdown and/or Weekend Golf is that there are no finish position points handed out to golfers making it scoring heavy with a few bonuses. While Weekend Golf awards fewer points for eagles and the same amount of points for birdies, Showdown awards more points in every area while also punishing you more for bogey or worse. The bonuses on Showdown are also two points more for Bogey Free round and three-birdie streak. In terms of strategy, there are multiple things that go into it and like every week changes, so does every round. First of all, with no leaderboard points to worry about, it comes down to scoring so Birdie or Better % gets a huge boost in my model, no matter the course or setup. This week and the other weeks with multi-course rotations also adds an additional element that can provide an edge. The North Course at Torrey Pines played between 2.5-3 strokes easier than the South Course so that had me targeting almost exclusively North Course players for the first two days. I also start feeling more comfortable as the week goes on as the data sample size grows. I often look for players who are gaining...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Farmers Insurance Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. The small California swing continues this week as the PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open. As it always does, this year's event draws a loaded field led by Tiger Woods who has won this event seven times along with a victory at the 2008 US Open. Joining Tiger are Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, and defending champ Justin Rose, all of which rank inside the Top 10 in the Official World Golf Rankings. One of the big draws this season is the fact the South Course will host the 2021 US Open. Much like last week, we get a multi-course rotation but more traditional as each player will get a round at both Torrey Pines South and North courses before the cut(Top 65 & ties) is made on Friday. Those making the cut will then play their final two rounds on the South Course. Even with the renovation on the North course back in 2016 which opened the course up while adding over 200 yards in length, there is still a one to two-stroke difference in average scoring. This is especially important when playing Round 1 & 2 Showdown contests as you will want to concentrate most of your core on players playing the North course. In terms of stats and player profiles that fir the course, distance is king this week. It comes down to the fact that everyone is going to miss fairways(average driving accuracy just over 50% last five years combined) and then combine that with thick, penal rough and the bombers get an advantage using less of a club on approach. This all depends on the weather, of course, as windy conditions like we saw in 2016 can bring the shorter players back into play. This doesn't mean we shouldn't immediately dismiss shorter hitters, it just means tread lightly and make sure those players have good long irons especially from the rough and/or a good around the green game. Speaking of that weather, which can change how we approach key stats and ultimately build...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. The American Express After an exciting Hawaii swing that saw both Justin Thomas(Tournament of Champions) and Cameron Smith(Sony Open) win in a playoff, the PGA Tour heads to La Quinta, California for The American Express. The event has taken on a new sponsor this year and you may be more familiar with one of its many former names(Desert Classic, CareerBuilder Challenge, Humana Challenge, and Bob Hope Classic). With the combination of this being a Pro-Am event and the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship on the European Tour, we get a weaker field that includes just 11 of the Top 50 players in the world. With a large amount of players on the course due to the Pro-Am, this event is also a three-course rotation with each player/Amateur getting one round on each course(La Quinta Country Club, Nicklaus Tournament Course, Stadium Course). The cut of Top 65 and ties will be made after Saturday's third round with all players making the cut playing their final round on the host Stadium course. All three courses are Par 72 setups and while all three have consistently ranked outside the Top 30 in difficulty, the Stadium Course is the hardest of the three. Either way, I will be keeping my model fairly simple this week and concentrating more on the approach shots and iron play when breaking down the ball striking metrics and looking for players who excel on the Par 4's, especially from 400-450 yards. Par 5 scoring and overall birdie or better % will be weighted very high as well with an average winning score of -23 over the past five years. With the three-course rotation, we do have some interesting strategies we can employ for both tournament contests as well as the showdown contests. For starters, on the full week contests, I will be looking very closely at players who will be playing the Stadium course on Saturday giving them(if they make the cut) back to back rounds on the harder course which has shown to be advantageous in the past. Also, for Showdown contests try...