Week 2 NFL Betting Picks 9/17/20
Week 2 NFL Betting Strategy 9/17/20 Last week we gave out three bets in our Member’s only chat. BAL -7.5 (W), LAR +2.5 (W) and CAR +130 .5 units (L). This week let’s put some of them live. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Arizona CardinalsOpponent WASARI -6.5 Arizona handled some business on Sunday, taking down the 49ers on the road in one of the bigger upsets of opening weekend. Though was it really all that surprising? This is a team that worked to upgrade a major area of need (WR) in the offseason while giving up a guy who basically dragged them down while on the field (David Johnson). It was almost additional by subtraction just on the DJ part but they also got back a top 3 WR in football for their efforts. It paid off. Kyler Murray was even freer to be a playmaker with the Hopkins threat looming and a full season of Kenyan Drake is also a major upgrade. All of this plus they handled a major area of weakness, defending the pass, against an admittedly beat-up 49ers’ WR group. And the run defense was strong, holding Raheem Mostert to 3.7 yards per carry (15/56) after he finished at a 5.6 YPC clip in 2019. Meanwhile, Washington pulled off an upset win over the Eagles in Week 1 thanks in large part to continually pressuring a foot-in-cement Carson Wentz and facing an Eagles’ team that played with its third-string RB from the second quarter on. Dwayne Haskins was still a moderate mess (17/31 for 178 yards) and the running game averaged a putrid 2.2 yards per carry on 36 attempts. Washington is still a bad team and now need to fly across the country to play the Cardinals. This line appears a little too built on Washington's Week 1 win. Minnesota VikingsOpponent INDBet: Minnesota +3, Minnesota +142 (.5 units) What exactly did we see from the Colts that rate them as a three-point favorite against anyone, even if it is at home in Week 2? They lost Marlon Mack with an Achilles tear, admittedly not a line mover but not all that great from a top-down perspective. And they are coming off a Week 1 loss to a team who everyone universally agreed (except for them I suppose) would be the worst team in football this season, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The defense looked rough, allowing Gardner Minshew to complete...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 2 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/16/20
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 2 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/16/20 It's time for the Week 2 cash game DFS NFL Podcast with the guys breaking down every position. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The DFSR team is back with their cash game picks for week two of NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. It's a nice and full main slate of games with plenty of great options at every position, so this week looks like one where we're trying to find the cream of the crop rather than settling for merely good plays. Except for tight end. Screw tight end. The guys agree that Kyler Murray is the chalk QB option out of the gate, but nod to a few other options that are at least worth consideration. At running back there are two excellent $8,000+ options in Derrick Henry and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, with some cheap options to fill things out. Wide receiver is very deep, with great options across multiple price points. The big question there will surround where we want to allocate our funds. Tight end is a disaster as usual, where the expensive guys are too expensive and the cheap guys are very risky. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 2
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 2 Week 1 is in the books, with offenses looking a lot crisper than defenses after a weird preseason. Will week 2 look similarly? Let's take a look at our position by position picks to find out. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Kyler Murray FD 8000 DK 6100 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 21.97 DK - 22.72 The Cardinals pulled off one of the upsets of Week 1 with a win over the defending NFC champs, the San Francisco 49ers. And Murray was every bit as good as what the Cardinals expected when they drafted him number one overall. He completed 26-40 passes for 230 yards while tacking on another 91 yards on the ground on 13 attempts. That led all quarterbacks on the ground on Sunday and is coming off a season in which he was second overall in QB rushing yards. This is part of his game and it gives him such a high floor any given week. The Washington front seven is good and they’re coming off a surprise win of their own over the Eagles, but the Cards have the fourth-highest implied total on the main slate at 26.75. And, somehow, Murray is the 11th-most expensive quarterback on DraftKings. That’s simply too low. It’s closer on FanDuel where he’s 4th most expensive at $8K. But in terms of projection and overall tools, he’s just a fantastic cash game play for Week 2. Dak Prescott FD 8300 DK 6800 Opponent ATLProj Points FD - 21.68 DK - 22.4Yup, I know it was a rough scene in Week 1 for Dak and the Cowboys with a loss to the Rams. Dak was mediocre if unimpressive considering the hype coming in around him and Dallas this season. But one week should not a complete overreaction make and I love where we are getting him going into Week 2. Atlanta is coming off an opening game in which Russell Wilson carved them up for an 89% completion percentage, 322 yards, four touchdowns while tacking on 29 rushing yards. It looked incredibly easy for Wilson against a team that ranked in the bottom third of passing defenses last season. Dak still has fantastic weapons in the WR corps and there’s reason to expect the Cowboys try to light it up early in their first home game after a down week. Matthew Stafford...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 1
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 1 Welcome back football fans. The 2020 season is actually happening and we are extremely excited to bring you our weekly articles, podcasts, and suite of fantasy tools. In this article, I will be looking at some plays who may not necessarily be optimal going in but have big upside and could be very low owned, leading to a huge GPP payday. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Aaron Jones FD 7800 DK 6900 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 14.75 DK - 16.22 It is pretty clear where people will mostly be going at running back this week. Paying up for Christian McCaffrey and pairing him with Antonio Gibson or going a bit more balanced and pairing Josh Jacobs with Austin Ekeler. I definitely favor the latter in week one and that creates a pivot with Aaron Jones who falls right in between Jacobs and Ekeler on DraftKings. He is likely going to be around 5% owned and while he does have competition for touches(Williams & Dillon) he had that last year for the most part and still flashed huge upside. Also of note, Jones had a nice 16% target share in the redzone for the Packers. While there is risk with Jones and possibly fading one of the other backs, you don't have to have a ton of exposure here to have more than the field and maximize on another Aaron Jones ceiling game. Stefon Diggs FD 6600 DK 6400 Opponent NYJ Proj Points FD - 11.2 DK - 13.31 John Brown FD 6100 DK 5600 Opponent NYJ Proj Points FD - 9.63 DK - 11.53 Even with a new shiny weapon in Stefon Diggs, the Bills are barely getting any fantasy attention.......against the Jets. This immediately grabs my attention as those Jets ranked 17th in passing yards per game allowed and 23rd in fantasy points per game allowed to wideouts. Diggs was explosive downfield in Minnesota with a 14.9 aDOT(average depth of target) which was 8th-highest in the league(of WR with 50+ targets). Brown was a go-to for Josh Allen in 2019 as he commanded a 25% target share in the offense leading to his second career 1,00-yard season(first with BUF). The matchup doesn't jump off the page but the projected low ownership and high upside certainly do making the Bills stack one of my favorite for big GPP contests in week one. GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF...
Podcast: DFS NFL Week 1 Game-by-Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/10/20
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 1 Game-by-Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/10/20 The DFSR team on their DFS NFL Podcast is back with a game by game breakdown for every single contest on the NFL main slate for DraftKings and FanDuel. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The theme throughout the podcast remains the same: trusting known situations. With so much uncertainty leading into the season, Doug and James talk about how we should expect to see guys in new situations take a little while to get on the same page. There is a lot of buzz for guys like Henry Ruggs III, or Tom Brady, or Todd Gurley, but those aren't necessarily situations you need to be a week early on. There are a lot of spots where we can get value, and dream on big upside at the same time. We don't have space to discuss it all here - you'll have to jump into the podcast to hear where DFSR sees things heading early in the season. As always, you can head over to https://www.dailyfantasysportsrankings.com/deals to get a free trial to the projections that power these podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...