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DFS NFL Podcast – Week 15 cash game podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Dec 16, 2020 in featured, Injuries, News |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 15 cash game podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 15 NFL cash game podcast, where Doug and James take an early look at DFS cash game lineups for week 15 on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Another week, another great cash game podcast from the DFSR team. Quarterback comes down to a decision between Lamar Jackson in the best possible match-up with the Jags, and a host of cheap guys in interesting match-ups. The guys discuss the pros and cons of paying up for a known commodity, or trying to ride the upside of a cheaper option like Jalen Hurts. Running back features two obvious plays in Cam Akers and Derrick Henry, and a whole lot of question marks after that. Doug and James discuss a few of the other potential options while acknowledging that you might be waiting until later in the week to solidify a third running back. Wide receiver offers Brandon Aiyuk and Michael Thomas as a nice one-two punch at the top of the position, with a few cheap punt options to consider after that. Can we depend on the cheap Dolphins receivers if Parker misses this week? The guys discuss whether we've seen enough to think about it. Tight end basically comes down to Kelce or bust, with even the reasonable cheap options carrying question marks. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

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Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15

Posted by on Dec 15, 2020 in featured, News, Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 8200 DK 7500 Opponent JAXProj Points FD - 24.46 DK - 25.05 Though they are 8-5, the Ravens are still very much in a fight for their playoff lives over the home stretch of the season. Luckily, they get a dream matchup in Week 15 against the Jacksonville Jaguars who rank dead last in the league in defensive DVOA and are slightly worse against the pass than the run. Jackson has 50 or more rushing yards in each of the last seven weeks and 218 in just the last two weeks. In that span, he has five rushing touchdowns after only scoring one in the first five weeks. We’ve seen a return to the 2019 fantasy Lamar Jackson and he has the highest floor of any quarterback this week. It will cost you, but for cash games it hard to get much safer than Jackson against the Jags this week. Jalen Hurts FD 6900 DK 5900 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 19.77 DK - 20.83 We wrote Hurts up as a cash game play in Week 14, especially on DraftKings where he was coming very cheap. It paid off. In his first game as a starter, taking over for Carson Wentz, Hurts led the Eagles to a stunning upset over the New Orleans Saints and their top-2 defense. Hurts wasn’t all that efficient through the air, completing only 57% of his passes (17-30) but he did throw a touchdown. Where he really put it up was on the ground, carrying the ball 18 times and piling on 108 yards. That should be the plan this week as well. The matchup against the Cardinals is more favorable than New Orleans, but this is still a top-10 defense. That being said, Hurts’s ability to run gives you a solid baseline and the DraftKings price is still sub-$7k. Taysom Hill FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent KCProj Points FD - 22.89 DK - 23.65 We liked Hill for cash as well last week and things were looking real rough to start against the Eagles. Hill was as bad as humanly possible in the first half. But, while playing from behind in the second half he managed to dial things up and finished with 291 yards passing and two touchdowns. This week should be another chance to...

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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14

Posted by on Dec 12, 2020 in featured, Football Strategy |

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! QB/WR Stack The Chalk - Patrick Mahomes/Tyreek Hill, Justin Herbert/Keenan Allen, Aaron Rodgers/Davante Adams The Pivot Kyler Murray FD 8100 DK 7200 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 21.88 DK - 22.63 DeAndre Hopkins FD 8200 DK 7600 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 16.25 DK - 19.94 Christian Kirk FD 5500 DK 4700 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 6.89 DK - 8.46 While I will likely have heavy exposure to the chalk stacks above as they are all in great spots, I love pivoting the Cardinals in bigger GPP's like the Milli Maker. Going off recency bias, you likely think I am crazy here but going off the beaten path can often create a very unique core that would allow you to solo take down a GPP. Kyler has struggled to get the yardage and production we were accustomed to seeing early in the season but is coming off a stretch of three games in which he faced the Rams and Patriots which are tough pass defenses and an improved Seahawks pass defense. That stretch of below-average performances have helped lower his price on both sites and we have seen him hit 6x value on DK at these prices a few times already. It helps he has one of the best wideouts in the game to throw to and despite Hopkins showing a ton of frustration, he still put up 19 points last week and like Murray, his price is down leading to big PTS/$ upside. If you want to go even lower owned with this stack, roll out Christian Kirk. He is more of a deep shot threat and doesn't see the target share to make you feel warm and fuzzy but is most likely 1-2% owned and with a high 13.0 aDOT, he only needs a couple catches to crush his value. Looking at the matchup, the Giants have been better as of late during their four-game winning streak but...

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DFS NFL Podcast – Week 14 game by game podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Dec 11, 2020 in Podcast |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 14 game by game podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 14 NFL game by game podcast, where Doug and James tell you all you need to know about the games on the main slate for NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   James and Doug are back to break down every game on the main slate of FanDuel and DraftKings for week 14. As is typical in 2020, this week has gotten a lot more interesting as time has gone on. We have a number of wide receivers in Carolina headed to the COVID-IR, which has opened up some value there. Christian McCaffrey has been ruled out, which opens up Mike Davis as a value option. There are some core strategic discussions for this week as well. If we can only pay up at one spot, should we pick Davante Adams or Derrick Henry? Is it reasonable to run Devontae Booker out there again if Josh Jacobs were to miss another week? Can we really trust Aaron Jones in a great match-up with Detroit given that Jamal Williams is still lurking? And what do we make of running backs who could be poised for a lot of opportunity in potentially weird game scripts, like Myles Gaskin, James Robinson, or Dalvin Cook? This is a tricky week, so make sure to tune in as the DFSR team breaks it all down. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

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Week 14 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/10/20

Posted by on Dec 10, 2020 in NFL Betting, Sports Betting |

Week 14 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/10/20 We are starting Week 14 off with some action on the Thursday night game between the Rams and the Patriots.   Los Angeles RamsOpponent NERams -4.5 The Patriots are coming off a massive, 45-0 stomping of the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13. And they have played better of late, winning four of their last five. But two of those wins were against a couple of the worst teams in the league, the Chargers and the Jets. They also somehow dropped one to the Texans. And of course, they still own a bottom-third defense. The Rams are an incredibly balanced team on the season. They rank 4th in offensive DVOA and 5th on defense. And the best part of their offensive game, running the ball, lines up well against the Patriots’ biggest deficiency: stopping the ground game. The Patriots rank 28th against the rush on the season. It stands to reason Sean McVay and company will grind down New England with the rush. All season, New England has tried to grind down teams with their own running game, trying to use Cam Newton’s legs while also leaning on guys like Damien Harris. And of late it’s worked having won four of their last five games. It hasn’t felt great (ever) betting against Bill Belichick, but let’s do it here. WIN   New Orleans SaintsOpponent PHISaints -7 The Saints head into Philadelphia this week with at least one more game of Taysom Hill under center. In the last three weeks, Hill has gone 3-0 though admittedly it wasn’t the toughest run of competition. They beat the Falcons twice and the Denver practice squad once. That being said, it doesn’t get much harder this week against the Eagles and Jalen Hurts’ first start. On the Hill side, there hasn’t been much of a drop-off in the offensive efficiency for the team and though the offense looks different, they’ve still managed to put up points relatively speaking. Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled this season (understatement) and are now moving to a rookie quarterback in Jalen Hurts. Though Hurts did put tip yards through the air in his Week 13 debut, he was incredibly inefficient going 5-12. The Eagles likely reduce some of their sack issues, but it’s hard to imagine the offense taking a big leap here. New Orleans has the second-best defense in the league and should take advantage of Hurts’s inexperience.   Indianapolis Colts Opponent LVColts -3 Though the Colts and the Raiders are only separated in the standings by one game (Indy 8-5, LV 7-5) the seasons have been very different on paper. The Colts have outscored opponents by 55 points while...

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