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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 82 – 2/6/16

Posted by on Feb 5, 2016 in Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 82 - 2/6/16 Editor's Note: Welcome MMA contributor Shaun Ihasz. Give him a follow on Twitter @ShaunEyeHas Fantasy MMA is active for a second straight week! Our picks are here just in time for Ryan Bader to read them – assuming he’s woken up from the nap he took on Saturday thanks to Rumble Johnson. Anyway, UFC Fight Night 82 was supposed to be a PPV (UFC 196) but injuries have changed the card more times than we can count. What’s left is a Fox Sports 1 event with massive favorites and from a DFS perspective, very limited value plays. This intro has already lasted longer than the Johnson/Bader main event so let’s just get down to business. Playing other daily fantasy sports like NBA or NHL. Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces all of our picks. Sign up now and get our lineup construction tool for FanDuel & DraftKings. Click here to sign up Vegas Favorites ($10,500+) Misha Cirkunov ($11,000) The biggest favorite (almost -875 at time of writing!) and most expensive fighter available is a must-play. It’s simple really, Cirkunov consistently hits the jackpot for DFS players, first-round finishes. In his last five fights, the Lativan has stopped all of his opponents inside of five minutes. Better yet, he’s fighting Alex Nicholson, a kid making his UFC debut with no experience fighting anywhere other than Florida or Georgia. I can smell a first round TKO, the only downside is Cirkunov will probably be the highest owned fighter in any format. Play him or you will probably be starting in a hole. Ovince St. Preux ($10,700) I love watching “OSP” fight and just like Cirkunov he has a habit of finishing people. The Knoxville MMA product is 5-2 in his last seven fights with, you guessed it, all of those wins coming via stoppage. Those two losses were to Glover Texiera and the still groggy Ryan Bader, who in all seriousness are two of the top guys in the LHW division. St. Preux steps into the cage with Rafael Cavalcante, 1-3 in his last four fights and a guy whose ranking of #13 at Light Heavyweight is as rational as an Ozzy Osbourne sentence. Caution: I’m staying away from Joseph Benavidez. Yes, his only two losses are against the (IMO) best pound-for-pound fighter on the planet in Demetrious Johnson. But, it’s a flyweight fight and Benavidez fits the stereotype of the division – fast action, no finishes. He should win, but I don’t like the fantasy value for his $10,800 salary. Mid-Range Targets ($9,000-$10,400) Derrick Lewis ($9,700) This is where things get dicey. “The...

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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC on Fox 18 – 1/30/2016

Posted by on Jan 29, 2016 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC on Fox 18 - 1/30/2016 Editor's Note: Welcome MMA contributor Shaun Ihasz. Give him a follow on Twitter @ShaunEyeHas The card for UFC on FOX 18 at the Prudential Center is not filled with flashy names or a title bout (the main event is expected to produce a #1 contender), so we'll have to dig a little deeper. Usually Fantasy MMA is all about finding the underdogs who will put up points along with the one or two favorites you expect to take care of business.  But on this card, there is a surplus of value plays and a real struggle to find your dominant fighter. Playing other daily fantasy sports like NBA or NHL. Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces all of our picks. Sign up now and get our lineup construction tool for FanDuel & DraftKings. Click here to sign up I know, I know this card has the incredibly talented and future face of the UFC in 19-year old Sage Northcutt. He was my top pick heading into the week until he got a new, more experienced, opponent on eight days notice AND stopped his weight cut as his bout will now be at welterweight rather than lightweight. Northcutt will probably win but an $11,000 price tag is just too high for someone I'm not all-in with. I won't consider using him, hopefully I don't regret that. Oh...and for those clamoring for an Anthony "Rumble" Johnson pick. I can't do it. Ryan Bader is too good and (trust me) too underrated. I expect Rumble to be heavily owned and for a lot of people to pay dearly with his $10,900 salary. Vegas Favorites ($10,500+) Randy Brown ($10,500)  There's a reason this kid is a big-time favorite in his UFC debut: six fights, six finishes, and no one has gotten to the third round with him. He matches up with Matt Dwyer, 1-2 in the UFC and aside from William Macario, has beat a bunch of guys who bag groceries in their spare time. This is the opening bout of the event and Brown is also a relative unknown...for now. No big wins on his resume either, but he has a reputation as an aggressive fighter and it's hard to argue with all those finishes. Brown is probably better suited for GPP play but I'll have him in a few cash game lineups as well. Tarec Saffiedine ($10,600)  I told you this card was light on favorites. Saffiedine is vanilla as vanilla gets. "The Sponge" has five wins in his last six fights, all by decision. This is a stronger play if you think the...

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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin

Posted by on Oct 24, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin On Saturday, October 24th, there will be some MMA action over in Ireland as UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin is set to go off. The big news right now is that Joseph Duffy has pulled out of the main event against Dustin Poirier and that the fight has been cancelled, but that doesn’t mean that there will not be other fights this date. Here, we’re going to take a look at some of the most important fights to consider for your daily fantasy roster. If you haven’t drafted one yet, or you just want to get a second opinion, this guide should prove to be a valuable resource as we break down the fights for you. Nicolas Dalby v. Darren Till This fight has a bit of an oddity associated with it when you start looking at DraftKings salary in comparison to fantasy point averages. Dalby it the more expensive player at $10,100, but he has only averaged 58.5 fantasy points. Till is priced at only $9,300, but is averaging 83.5 points. This indicates that Dalby is the favorite for this fight, but that Till has been more lucrative as a fantasy fighter in the past. If Dalby is the favorite for this fight, this looks like it will not be Till that scores the most points, but this fight is a bit too close on paper to tell for certain. When a fight is that close on paper, the cheaper fighter is almost always the correct choice, so Till is a very attractive choice here. Louis Smolka v. Paddy Holohan Smolka, “Da Last Samurai,” is the favorite for this fight, but only barely. He’s priced at $9,800, compared to Holohan’s $9,600. Both fighters have won three of their last four fights, and both are pretty close in expected fantasy point value. Smolka ranks in at 63.3 while Holohan is at 59.8. Because Smolka is a favorite at less than $10,000, he’s a strong pick, but because these two fighters are so close in projected talent, either could be a good choice if your own analysis sways you toward Holohan. It’s for this reason that the Smolka-Holohan fight looks like it will be the most exciting matchup of the night now that the Duffy-Poirier fight is off the list of events. Stevie Ray v. Mickael Lebout Ray is a huge favorite for this fight, and his steep price tag is a reflection of this. Ray is priced at $11,000 right now, but has averaged 101.5 fantasy points per fight. He’s 18-5, and won his last two fights in either the first or second round by KO/TKO. He’s...

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UFC 191 Fantasy Picks

Posted by on Aug 19, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 191 This week we've got Rich from Win Daily Fantasy here to give you some MMA picks for Sunday's events. UFC 191 will not be one of the biggest cards for the MMA, but it still looks to be an exciting one. There are a couple big fights set for Sunday, August 23rd, and lots of little ones that could go either way. It’s those smaller matches where you will find the most value for your daily fantasy sports leagues as there is less mainstream info out there to help the public form their opinions. Let’s start by looking at the two biggest fights scheduled for the night, pick a winner, and then highlight a couple where there’s some big opportunity to upset the competition in your fantasy leagues. Max Holloway v. Charles Oliveira Holloway is the favorite here. He’s priced at $10,600 at DraftKings, while Oliveira is at $8,800. There’s a 17.5 fantasy point differential between the two, but Oliveira has had some pretty convincing victories recently. A lot of Holloway’s value comes from the fact that he had a first round victory 3 fights ago, and this has boosted his fantasy point status a lot. This is a fight that could go either way, and although Holloway is the favorite, it’s a little too close to tell at the big price difference here. One key strategy could be to take Oliveira for cheap and then hope, but that’s up to you. It seems to have positive expected value, but there is a risk involved if it backfires. Erick Silva v. Neil Magny Silva is the favorite at $10,400. Magny is priced at $9,000, which indicates that the experts aren’t quite as sure about the outcome of this match as they are the main event. That creates opportunity for fantasy players as Silva is a strong fighter, valued at cheaper because of the closer talent of Magny. His average fantasy point value seems low compared to his last 4 fights, too, where he has won them all in the first round except for one. He is a good value and a solid choice for your roster. Magny is a good fighter, but doesn’t have the same takedown speed as Silva, giving him a disadvantage. Now, let’s look at some of the undercard fights where you can clean up by outsmarting the competition. Marcos Rogerio de Lima v. Nikita Krylov Lima is the top fantasy point scorer in this match, has won both of his most recent fights in the first round, and is valued at under $10,000 ($9,900). Krylov had a first round loss a few fights ago, and seems like a...

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