Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 5 Sunday 10/13/24
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 5 Sunday 10/13/24 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 9500 DK 7800 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 27.11 DK - 27.11 This game has the second-highest total on the slate, and Lamar Jackson has been the best fantasy player in the NFL this season. Do we need much more explanation than that? Probably not. Through five games, Lamar has eight touchdowns through the air and three on the ground. He’s completing 66% of his passes and the 53 rushing attempts are second among QBs. The Commanders are a bottom-third defense and are second-worst in the league in opponent yards per rushing attempts. This is a dream spot for Jackson. Jordan Love FD 8500 DK 6600 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 21.84 DK - 21.84 More of a DraftKings play than FanDuel because of the pricing, I do like Jordan Love in this matchup against the Cardinals. Arizona owns the 7th-worst defensive DVOA in the league this season, and this game’s 47.5 total is the third-highest of the slate. I do wish Love ran a bit more just to provide a safer floor, but the Packers should be able to work against this defense. Running Back Saquon Barkley FD 9200 DK 8200 Opponent CLEProj Points FD - 20.65 DK - 22.07 We want to target running backs at home as big favorites. That’s the case with Saquon Barkley who’s very expensive but is also coming off the bye in Week 6. He ranks 10th in rushing attempts despite playing one fewer game than everyone above him on the list. And he’s seeing plenty of work in the passing game as well. In the right game script, he’s a smash play against an average Cleveland defense. Derrick Henry FD 9100 DK 8000 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 19.43 DK - 20.08 It’s expensive, but stacking Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson in cash games would appear to have a tremendous floor, especially considering what the Commanders let up on the ground this season. Only the Bills are allowing more rushing yards per play. Henry has averaged 20.5 carries per game over the last four, putting up a crazy 526 yards in that stretch. He hasn’t lost a step, and this is a sick spot. Rico Dowdle FD 6100 DK 5900 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 12.21 DK - 13.87 It sure looks like he’s the RB1 in Dallas, and Ezekiel Elliott is looking increasingly old. He carried...
2018 NFL Fantasy Preview – Team Target Redistribution 7/13/18
2018 NFL Fantasy Preview - Team Target Redistribution 7/13/18 When it comes to fantasy football, you likely fall into one of two categories. Either you’ve been going HAM since the Super Bowl following every single piece of off-season news, the Draft and working out value scenarios in your head OR you are just starting to do some cursory research now because you got the reminder email that your friends’ league is deciding on a draft date soon. It’s tough to exist in the middle ground. Today we are going to look at some of the off-season moves by examining teams that lost the biggest target shares because of personnel changes. These are teams that, theoretically, have made room for new faces to take over the receiving duties and possibly hit on some value. This is a free preview os DFSR premium content coming this fall under our PRO package. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizer as well as our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Dallas Cowboys Lost Dez Bryant (132) Jason Witten (82) Kept Terrence Williams (77) Cole Beasley (63) Added Allen Hurns - from JAX (56) Deonte Thompson - from BUF/CHI (68) Tavon Austin - from LA (22) A Poo-Poo Platter of Tight Ends Things got really weird, real fast in Dallas with the Cowboys releasing Dez Bryant back in April making him a free agent. That, coupled with Jason Witten’s retirement, move 214 targets off the board in 2018. It stands to reason that A: they’ll pass a bit less because a full season of Ezekiel Elliott probably means Dallas runs a bit more and B: someone is going to step up in a big way. It’s tough to get consensus, right now, on how the Cowboys’ depth chart will shake out. Different *Depth Chart* sites are all over the board meaning it’s likely anyone’s guess right now. If we had to take the depth chart closest to the consensus we are likely looking at Allen Hurns and Terrance Williams at the primary wideouts with some combination of Beasley and Austin lining up in the slot. Hurns averaged 5.6 targets per game for the Jaguars last season and it stands to reason the upgrade from Blake Bortles to Dak Prescott could improve on the 69% conversion percentage. Prescott, even with a step back after his rookie campaign completed 63% of his passes while Bortles was around 60% in 2017. Hurns’ last two seasons were injury-shortened though in 2015 he put up a 64/ 1,031/ 10 season on 104 targets. the industry, as a...
Congrats to DFSR User Andrew Morris for Winning the DK Million!
How he leveraged DFSR's tools and his own skills to take down the DraftKings NFL Sunday Million Sunday was a crazy night in our corner of the daily fantasy football universe. Our entire chat room was sweating DFSR user Andrew Morris, who managed to take down the Sunday Million with only a single entry. How did he do it? A combination of luck and skill, of course. Let's take a look at his line-up. Andrew is going to come on our NFL Podcast on Thursday to share his thought process, but here's a little information to get you started. Right away we see guys that were showing up in our optimal cash game line-ups, like Le'Veon Bell, Jarvis Landry, Taylor Gabriel, Emmanuel Sanders, and Zach Ertz. Our projection system had picked Bell out as a clear must play, even at those prices, where the last 4 looked like big time values relative to their match-ups and current roles with their teams. It turned out that it was mandatory to play Bell if you wanted to win a big tourney this weekend, and doing so helped Andrew effectively eliminate the 75% of the field that chose not to play him. Andrew also happened to get good separation by playing Ertz and Landry at less than 5% each. One interesting thing about our line-up optimizer is that it doesn't actually care how highly owned a guy is going to be, and while this introduces some amount of risk for 50/50s, it can also help find diamonds in the rough for big tourneys. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Then, Andrew brought his own special sauce to the occasion. He locked in Kirk Cousins, DeSean Jackson, and Jeremy Hill. Hill wound up being fantastic in a brutal weather game, and the Cousins/Jackson pairing provided very solid value on excellent prices while also giving Morris a bit of further separation on the field. For his defense, Andrew did an excellent job of taking a defense that had a match-up worthy of being a chalk play that was slightly under-owned as compared to some of the more obvious plays (like the Jets or Bengals). Grabbing the Falcons against the erratic Rams was a real shark move, here. The Rams had a low total on the day, sure, but they also were likely to be playing from behind. Playing from behind means more chances need to be taken, and Atlanta capitalized by delivering a pick 6 and then knocking the ball loose from Goff's hands and running a fumble back for a TD as well. And the result? Andrew Morris brought home the million. Listen - no optimizer is going to be a one-click win button...
Overlay Alert! DraftPot $100K NFL Week One Contest and Special DFSR Offer
Overlay Alert! DraftPot $100K NFL Week One Contest and Special DFSR Offer If you hate salary caps and love overlay then this is the spot for you. DraftPot's Week One NFL $100K Touchdown Contest is less than a quarter fill with only a few hours until kickoff. We've got exclusive DraftPot Week One NFL picks to get you started. Just click sign up through DFSR and Draftpot gives a 100% matching bonus up to $1000. Click the banner below. Plus we have a special offer. Get a free month of DFSR projections by signing up and depositing at least $10 through our link above. This is open to current DFSR users as well as new signups. Just sign up and make your deposit. Then drop your DFSR email and Draftpot username in the form below. We'll refund the first/next month....
Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 10 – Draftster
Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 10 - Draftster Welcome, Draftster fans! If you haven't heard of Draftster yet, you're in luck. They're a forward thinking player in this space, and we think they're destined to make some huge waves. Also, if you sign up through deposit code: DFSR you can get 100% deposit bonus up to $500. That's about as good as it gets in the industry. Click the banner below to get rolling. check out Draftster for an exclusive 100% deposit bonus up to $200. Click through the banner and use promo code: DFSR Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, Draftster, and DraftKings. And now - for the next month - you can get access to our Football projection tools AND our baskeball projection tools for the same price! Sick deal. We have our general picks for Week 10. Draftster has a ton of cool stuff going on Now including the Terrell Owens $2500 Challenge and a whole host of Freerolls Quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers -$8000 Not exactly hopping out on a limb here with Rodgers, but on a short slate that's totally fine. Chalky-chalk is sometimes the way to go and when the options are limited choosing safety is perfectly acceptable even if the points/$ don't exactly crush it out of the box. Rodgers is facing a Bears team ranked in the bottom third in the league against the pass. The Packers are featuring a number of different weapons in the passing game, especially with the emergence of DaVante Adams. The over under on this game is the highest of the week and I'm happy to get extra money in on the guy if it's going to be a shootout. I don't need to quote stats for you here. Rodgers is among the elite quarterbacks in the league in a game that should be high-scoring. Do it. Colin Kaepernick - $6600 If you played him last week and got burned rest assured you weren't alone. He's been disappointing relative to projection and our system has been wrong on the guy. But I'm in the firm camp that some of this is a little run bad, especially when it comes to his rushing touchdowns. If you believe that a scrambling and mobile quarterback like Kaep won't run his way into the end zone, then you should stay away. But if you believe there is some regression coming with the rushing TDS, then he could crush these prices. The Saints allow the 27th most passing yards per game so he...