Week 10 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 11/12/20 Plenty of NFL betting action to get in on for Week 10 after a 2-1 record in the article. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Texans Opponent CLEHOU +3It’s tough taking teams who have been, well pretty bad this season. That’s definitely the case with the Texans who fired their head coach/GM midseason and sport a 2-6 record with the only two wins over the lowly Jaguars. That is far from a great resume though it’s worth noting they had a brutal stretch to start the season against the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers, and (to some extent) the Vikings.By opposing record, the Texans have the 8th most difficult schedule this season. It’s for sure been a rough go of it. But they remain an above-average DVOA offense and still have Deshaun Watson under center. This is worth something. The defense ranks poorly, but they’ve had the second-hardest schedule in terms of the offensive opponent which does help explain some of that. Meanwhile, the Browns' 5-3 record is a lot of smoke and mirrors. They have a -31 point differential on the season despite the 20th most difficult schedule on the season. Both the offense (17th in DVOA) and defense (19th) are below average this season. Records aside these two teams aren’t all that different with the Houston passing offense making up for the lack of effort on the defensive end. I’m a little concerned with the Houston motivation her considering the record has gone off the rails, but by the numbers, I see this as more of a pick’em. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent CARTB -5.5 It was a rough scene for the Buccaneers in Week 9 with them losing control of the game early against the Saints and ultimately getting dumpstered 38-3. It’s hard to know what to make of that game and whether it’s just a blip on the radar for a team that was 6-2 coming in. It’s not excusable, but one game doesn’t a season make. They struggled to get going on the ground and really couldn’t do anything on offense. But despite that performance, this Bucs team still ranks first overall in DVOA defense on the season and are well above average on offense. This is still a very good team that had a very bad week. Meanwhile, Carolina has sported one of the league’s worst defenses this season, ranking 26th while...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 10 Game by Game Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 10 NFL game by game podcast, where Doug and James discuss the DFS implications of every game on the main slate for FanDuel and DraftKings! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Things are certainly a little less certain heading into week 10 than they were in week 9, but we still have a lot to talk about heading into the weekend. There are a number of domino-effect situations, for starters. Which of the Seattle running backs is going to wind up playing, and will we know in time to set our lineups? Will Big Ben play against Cincinnati? What about the running back situations in Cleveland, Houston, and Washington? The list of situations to wade through is nearly endless this week. The most intriguing position this week seems to be wide receiver, where there is a slew of guys in the $5,500-$6,800 range that have similar recent production. The guys go game by game, constantly updating their list of which of these guys they prefer most. All in all, it could be a wild week 10, and this isn't an NFL DFS podcast you're going to want to miss. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 10 Cash Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 10 NFL cash game podcast, where Doug and James take an early look at cash game plays for week 10 of NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   James and Doug are back to take an early look at cash games for a much more sane week 10 on FanDuel and DraftKings. Quarterback is once again boiling down to finding the best high priced options, with Kyler Murray leading the DFSR pack so far. The guys go in-depth discussing whether you can consider Aaron Rodgers against Jacksonville, which could be a popular play this week as well. Running back is one big question mark at this point. If injuries break in a certain way, we have some phenomenal plays in Mike Davis, Duke Johnson, and Chase Edmonds. If they don't, we'll be left with a smattering of un-sexy midrange options. This position is a wait-and-see until later in the week. We'd really like to pay up at wide receiver this week, with Davante Adams headlining the week in a great match-up with the Jags. After Adams, we have two solid mid-range options in Cooper Kupp and Keenan Allen. If we can't pay up, there are discussions to be had about Terry McLaurin, Robby Anderson, or Sterling Shepard. Tight end is actually fairly clear this week, with Evan Engram looking like the best play unless Kenny Golladay misses another week, in which case TJ Hockenson would be in consideration once again. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 10 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Kyler Murray FD 8800 DK 8000 Opponent BUFProj Points FD - 25.92 DK - 26.73 Through eight games, Kyler Murray is currently the NFL leader in per game FanDuel scoring and is second for DraftKings behind only Russell Wilson. He leads all quarterbacks in rushing yards this season with 543 which ranks him eighth overall. He has 74 more yards than the next-closest signal-caller (Lamar Jackson) and his rushing touchdowns rank him third overall. It’s the gains on the ground which make up for him not throwing for a tremendous amount of yards or touchdowns through the air so far. But no matter. If he’s going to average 9.5 runs per game then the fantasy floor remains very high. This game projects to be a shootout with the 56 over/under the highest of any game on the week. The Bills’ defense ranks in the bottom third this season and they allow the 11th-most opponent plays per game. It’s hard to see Murray not paying this price. Aaron Rodgers FD 8400 DK 7900 Opponent JAXProj Points FD - 21.58 DK - 22.08 It’s going to be very enticing to run a full Packers game stack in cash on Sunday’s main slate. They are big (-14) home favorites against the woeful Jacksonville Jaguars and their bottom-feeding defense. Rodgers is coming just a bit cheaper than Murray on both sites. Unlike Murray, Rodgers has done his damage through the air this season with 24 touchdowns to just two interceptions. And over the last three games with his preferred target, DaVante Adams back and fully healthy Rodgers has thrown for 11 TDs, zero interceptions, and completed 71% of his passes. Jacksonville allows a whopping 8.4 yards per pass attempt this season, last in the league with no real hope of getting better. Grabbing as much Green Bay offense as you can this week is going to look like the right move. Daniel Jones FD 6700 DK 5200 Opponent PHIProj Points FD - 17.81 DK - 18.55 If looking to go a little cheaper on DraftKings, Danny Dimes could represent a way to cut some costs on this slate. Now let’s not kid ourselves, Jones isn’t all that good at throwing the ball. He is completing only 62% of his passes and has more interceptions (9) than touchdowns (8). But...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 9 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back The Chalk - David Johnson, Justin Jackson The Pivot Antonio Gibson FD 6200 DK 5800 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 15.03 DK - 16.73 Both Johnson and Jackson have favorable matchups this week and have been getting a ton of buzz. What stands out right away is that Antonio Gibson is projected slightly higher than both in our system yet it appears he could be much lower owned, especially considering he was held in check against the Giants in Week 6. The good news is that he is coming off a huge week in which he carried the ball 20 times for 128 yards and a touchdown. He isn't overly involved in teh passing game but does have five targets in three of his last four games and has now tallied double-digit DK points in five of his last six, topping 20 points twice. The combination of a projected Top 5-10 performance and projected low ownership outside the Top 10 has him as one of my favorite GPP pivots at the running back position. QB/WR Stack The Chalk - Justin Herbert/Keenan Allen(LAC), Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs(BUF), Russell Wilson/Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf(SEA) The Pivot Kyler Murray FD 8600 DK 7800 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 23.81 DK - 24.58 DeAndre Hopkins FD 8800 DK 8200 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 17.98 DK - 22.05 All three of the chalky stacks I listed above are great options in their own right but I also love the pivot to Murray/Hopkins who are both projected to be under 10% owned in GPP formats. That is great news as they are at or near the top of our projections on both sites. Kyler comes in having put up at least 24 DK/23 FD points in every game with a ceiling of 41 DK/38 FD points. For Hopkins, he has fit in nicely in Arizona and is one of just four players averaging double-digit targets per game and he has made the most of those targets leading the league with 704 receiving...