Ja Morant plus Bucks Without Giannis Highlight the DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks – Friday, November 11, 2022
Ja Morant plus Bucks Without Giannis Highlight the DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks - Friday, November 11, 2022 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard/ Shooting Guard Ja Morant FD - $1000 DK - $10000Opponent - MINProj Pts FD - 50.94 DK - 55.45 We are going to get to all of the Bucks guys shortly, but things start off with Ja Morant who comes in leading the Grizzlies, the team with the highest implied total of the slate. They are facing off against the Timberwolves who are playing the second-fast pace in the league this season with a defense that’s outside the top 10. Ja is scoring 29 points a game thanks to some run hot from outside the arc (45%) and the rest of his stats are in line with previous seasons. He’s a superstar and there aren’t a ton of upper price tier payoffs on this slate. I think he’s the guy and this game should be up and down the court. Jevon Carter FD - $5100 DK - $5300Opponent - SAProj Pts FD - 28.62 DK - 29.38 The Bucks are going to, once again, be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday (along with Khris Middleton who’s yet to play this season). That’s going to again open up significant bumps for almost every remaining player who stands to see real minutes. Last game Jevon Carter was one of those guys. He played 45 minutes in the double-overtime win over the Thunder and finished with a slate-breaking 36 points and 12 assists. The price has climbed, but not enough especially on FanDuel and he’s likely to be one of the most popular plays on the slate. Devin Booker FD - $9000 DK - $9400Opponent - ORLProj Pts FD - 47.74 DK - 51.24 Cameron Payne FD - $5200 DK - $5700Opponent - ORLProj Pts FD - 30.6 DK - 33.27 I’d be much more inclined to play Booker if Chris Paul is out again, and that’s 100% the case for Cameron Payne on this slate. CP3 sat out last game and is dealing with heel soreness. If he were to sit out again we know that all of the backcourt production will go to these two. Last game, Booker played 38 minutes, took 23 shots...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Thursday 11/10
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 11/10 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Guards Brandon Ingram FD - $8200 DK - $8700 Opponent - POR Proj Pts FD - 42.59 DK - 43.58 I will preface by saying that our system is all over Luka tonight and while I agree with the projection, his price makes it very hard to fit on a smaller four-game slate with a lack of value. At this time, I am looking at a more balanced build and it starts with Brandon Ingram who has been very consistent this season. Remove the game where he left early with an injury and he has played at least 31 minutes in all five games and has gotten a ton of usage averaging 19.4 shots per game in that time. The high floor comes with his contribution in almost every category as he is averaging 25.4 points, 6.4 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 2.0 blocks+steals, and 44.7 DraftKings points per game. The Trail Blazers are 10th in defensive efficiency but have been leaky to guards ranking 26th in fantasy points against. I will have exposure in all formats. Dennis Smith Jr. FD - $6600 DK - $6100 Opponent - MIA Proj Pts FD - 29.34 DK - 30.24 De'Anthony Melton FD - $5600 DK - $6000 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 33.3 DK - 34.34 I group these two together as they have very similar situations on Thursday. Both have teammates(Ball, Hayward, Harden) out of the lineup creating an opportunity for others to thrive in their absence. Both also have other teammates who likely get the biggest bump in usage(Rozier, Maxey) but come at a much higher cost so on this smaller slate I settle here. Let's start with Dennis Smith who outside the game he got hurt early on, has provided a consistent floor for fantasy as a starter averaging 10.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 6.9 assists and 2.9 steals+blocks for an average just over 32 fantasy points across nine games. The Hornets are big dogs in this one but there should be another 12-18 shots for Smith and the Heat do struggle most against guards ranking 24th in fantasy points allowed to the position. For Melton, he has been getting starts with James Harden out and has seen mixed results. He dropped a huge 39-point fantasy game against the Knicks but was held to 24 fantasy points in a low-scoring loss...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Wednesday, 11/9
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 11/9/22 This is the weirdest week of NBA DFS that I've ever seen. We had every team in action on Monday, and no one playing yesterday. The NBA took the day off so people could vote, but it's leaving us with another full card here. That means the player pool is massive once again, and we have hundreds of players to pick from. There have been a ton of injuries over recent weeks, though, and that'll surely be a major theme in this article. Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and NHL Projections as well. Plus, our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Luka Doncic FD - $11800 DK - $12500 Opponent - ORL Proj Pts FD - 63.9 DK - 66.84 I'm not so sure it's possible to fade Doncic right now. This is the best player in fantasy, scoring at least 56 DraftKings points in every game this season. To put that in perspective, only one other player has an average higher than Luka's floor! It's no surprise when you see Doncic's league-leading usage, falling just shy of a 40 percent usage rate. That led to his absurd 66-point average, making Doncic the safest play on every slate. We're certainly not worried about a matchup with the Magic, owing a 24th OPRK against opposing point guards. They have nobody to cover Luka, and we fully anticipate him flirting with another 30-point triple-double. Fred VanVleet FD - $8500 DK - $8100 Opponent - HOU Proj Pts FD - 41.27 DK - 41.27 VanVleet is my favorite play of the day. The reason we love him is this expanded role. Toronto just lost Pascal Siakam to a groin injury, and it should force FVV into a monster role. He had a usage rate just shy of 35 percent with Sia off the floor last season, averaging 1.4 DK points per minute in those circumstances. He's shown that this year, posting a 52-point average in the two games since Sia went down. The simple fact is, FVV is going to play 40 minutes, take 15-20 shots and handle the ball on every possession. That makes him especially enticing against Houston, surrendering the second-most fantasy points to opposing PGs this season. Russell Westbrook (FD $7500 DK $7300) has at least 35 DK...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Monday 11/7
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 11/7 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Guards Terry Rozier FD - $7900 DK - $7700 Opponent - WAS Proj Pts FD - 39.29 DK - 40.11 The injury bug has hit the Hornets in a big way to start the season but they did get Terry Rozier back on Saturday and he stepped right back into a major role. He played 36 minutes, took 24 shots and while he shot just 37.5% from the field, he did drain six 3's and put up 39 DK/33 FD points. He should get heavy usage once again on Monday and gets a plus matchup against the Wizards who rank 24th in defensive efficiency and 29th in fantasy points against guards. At a sub $8K price tag, I will have exposure in all formats. CJ McCollum FD - $8200 DK - $8500 Opponent - IND Proj Pts FD - 37.54 DK - 38.34 Speaking of good matchups, the Pelicans who have arguably the best one on the board Monday and that is good news as McCollum's price is now comfortably sitting in the mid $8k range on both sites. I am not concerned as this game has a very high 235.5 total as the Pels as head into Indy to face the Pacers who are 5th in pace, 26th in defensive efficiency, and have allowed the most fantasy points to guards. McCollum has also been very consistent lately averaging 23.7 points, nine rebounds, and 4.3 assists over his last three games while posting 40+ fantasy points in each. All things considered, he is a player that will be in my player pool in all formats. Tyrese Maxey FD - $8000 DK - $7800 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 41.24 DK - 42.72 De'Anthony Melton FD - $5600 DK - $5300 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 35.81 DK - 35.21 This pairing might not have as good of a matchup of the guys mentioned above but the value is still there and it comes down to added opportunities with James Harden out. In his first game out, Maxey took on a huge role taking 29 shots and while he only shot 34% from the field, he dropped 31 points and added seven assists for 44 FD/47 DK points. You have to think the shooting will regress back towards the mean and we know the usage is going to...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Sunday 11/6
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday, 11/6/22 If you played DFS over the weekend, you probably had a headache at some point. That Friday card was one of the craziest things I've ever seen, with dozens of big-name players getting ruled out. It feels like that's the way the NBA is headed, and following the news will put you way ahead of the field. The good news is that we have no team playing a B2B, which should limit some absences. We also have just three games making up this tiny Sunday card, but there's still plenty to discuss! Head on for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and NHL Projections. Plus, our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Ja Morant FD - $9900 DK - $10100 Opponent - WAS Proj Pts FD - 49.34 DK - 51.24 Ja just had his worst game of the season, but we need to look at the game script. Memphis was up by 40 points in the second half in that win over Charlotte, limiting Morant to a season-low in minutes. He still provided his elite per-minute averages, dropping 33 DK points across 24 minutes. That brings him to an average of 47 DraftKings points across 31 minutes a game. That's the highest total among all the healthy players, making Morant impossible to fade on a three-game slate. He's simply doing everything for this Grizzlies offense with Jaren Jackson Jr out, and we certainly don't expect him to struggle against a 25th-ranked Washington defense from last year. Reggie Jackson FD - $4700 DK - $5300 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 22.87 DK - 23.91 I might be an idiot for riding Reggie, but he will eventually have some ceiling games at a diminished price tag. R-Jax was well above $6K in a similar role last season, and this offense needs him to do more in the absence of Kawhi Leonard. The usage is still there for him to be a stud, with Jackson averaging 13 shots and 32.3 minutes over the last six outings. That's the same role we saw when he was $1,000 more last year, and it's just a matter of time before the shots start falling. He averaged 29 DraftKings points across 31 minutes a night last year, and a total like that would be impressive from such...