Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and StarStreet 7/31/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and StarStreet 7/31/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Try a free 3-day trial to our Lineup Construction Tools for FanDuel and DraftKings. Or, as a SPECIAL OFFER get a free month of this premium service by making a first-time deposit to our partner ScoreStreak. Check out our exclusive ScoreStreak picks for details on this offer. Pitchers Today is the kind of day that I don’t think you’ll see one pitcher at more that 18% owned in any format. Kind of making that number up, but it’s meant to illustrate that the pitching decisions today are real tough, and real close. Our system is having trouble picking out a clear cut favorite. There a good plays, but no one ringing it a fantastic multiplier considering price and opponent. Johnny Cueto - FD 10300 DK 9300 DD 19000 SS 30400 Going to be real tough fitting Kershaw into any team you make today unless you want to punt offense nearly across the board. I’m willing to spend on Cueto though even if his ERA is a full run lower than the xFIP (2.08 to 3.08). Our system doesn’t recognize this kind of difference, but it does pick up on the idea that Cueto is a little higher priced because of the run-hot ERA. We aren’t getting him at any kind of discount. That being said, he’s putting together a great season striking out more than a batter an inning, keeping the walks down and continuing to rock the dreads. The Marlins have power, but with that comes a ton of K’s. If Cueto can keep the ball in the ballpark (easier in Miami than in most places) he could rack up a ton of points on strikeouts. Yordano Ventura - FD 7000 DK 6400 DD 13700 SS 17700 We are dabbling around the margins of value for sure today. Like I said, the pitching will be spread out today as everyone works to find those little pieces of info that will help inform decisions about who to start on the mound. Yordano makes a cheaper play who doesn’t necessarily have a ton of upside, but can earn you enough points for a cash. His xFIP is in the mid 3’s and he strikes out about eight batters per nine. He can limit the walks and the Twins are a middle-of-the-road wOBA team against righties. They strike out 21% of the time and Kaufman Stadium depresses power all the way around....
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/31/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/31/14 Breaking News! We are offering a new bonus for first time deposits on ScoreStreak. For the next week, if you make a first time deposit to ScoreStreak through DFSR you will receive one month of our Lineup Construction Tools for FanDuel and DraftKings. It's easy. Just make a first time deposit on ScoreStreak and then sign up for our Lineup Construction Tools. We will credit you the half month of our winning projections for free. You'll also receive an additional $10 to play with on ScoreStreak. If you have any questions, just email us dailyfantasysr@gmail.com or shoot us a tweet @dailyfantasysr Total Bases Miguel Cabrera Good God! That's John Danks' music (hat tip Bill Simmons)! Miggy is a lefty murderer. Like really, he once committed murder against a left handed pitcher, and now they fear him, and so he hits really hard balls against them. Well, not really. But Danks is truly awful at this stage in his career, and while Miggy hasn't been MIGGY, he's still plenty of bat to put a total bases hurting on Danks. Nelson Cruz Skaggs sounds like something you could contract in Aruba after a 3 day bender, but no one will be happier to wake up to a surprise case of Skaggs than Nelson Cruz. The dude has been straight bombing this year, and should run a train on Skaggs and his utter lack of peripheral success. Hits Ian Kinsler Read Miggy's writeup, and apply it to Kinsler. He hasn't been himself either, but it's not because he can't hit bad left handed pitchers. He's had some poor BABIP luck that shouldn't continue forever, and he'll likely be on base for the inevitable Miggy extra base hits. Starlin Castro It's hard to look at Pedro Hernandez's name and not feel the bile rise in your throat. I get it - I feel the same way. Castro has had a wonderful bounceback year, posting a wOBA that builds upon his promising early career numbers. The beauty of Castro? He couldn't care less about walking, and is pretty tough to strike out. Should be a lock for at least a hit. Strikeouts Clayton Kershaw While the Braves are a pretty decent hitting team, they strike out a ton, and Kershaw strikes out 11 guys per 9 innings. 11! And he pitches deep into games. I just tried to imagine playing someone else in my top pitcher slot, and I literally couldn't. So yeah, start Clayton. Johnny Cueto The Marlins have had some success at the dish this year, but the beauty of Scorestreak is that we couldn't care less. We just care about the...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and StarStreet 7/30/14 – Late Slate
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and StarStreet 7/30/14 - Late Slate Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Try a free 3-day trial to our Lineup Construction Tools for FanDuel and DraftKings. Or, as a SPECIAL OFFER get a free month of this premium service by making a first-time deposit to our partner ScoreStreak. Check out our exclusive ScoreStreak picks for details on this offer. Pitchers Jesse Hahn - FD 6900 DK 9300 DD 16400 SS 27800 Hahn is putting together a fantastic season. Too bad it’s on a terrible team that can rarely get him any wins. If it weren’t for that little (kind of big) issue I’d be even higher on the guy. But he’s got a chance to grab one against Joe Kelly and the Cardinals today. The Cards are below average against righty pitching and while they don’t K a ton, they also have very little power. This latter piece will show itself even more going in San Diego. Hahn’s K-ing more than a batter an inning. The xFIP is a run behind his crazy low ERA, but it’s not dissuading me any. Zack Greinke - FD 9800 DK 10600 DD 19000 SS 30000 The Braves stink against righty pitching. In some ways this play feels a little safer than Hahn in that Greinke might be a bit more in line for a win (though I think Alex Wood is still decent). Greinke’s been fantastic this season with an xFIP well under two and striking out more than a batter an inning. Oh, and did I mention that the Braves stink against righties? Strongly consider Alex Wood on the bounceback Catchers Brian McCann - FD 2900 DK 4200 DD 7300 SS 5300 Was getting tired out getting burned by Yankees. They couldn’t get to Nick Martinez early, but turned it on later. Colby Lewis isn’t as bad as Martinez, but he still isn’t good. The park in Arlington caters to hitters and McCann’s prices are still in the buy zone. He’s remained consistently low thanks to some bad luck to start the season. His Babip is low, but the batted ball profile remains in line with his career averages. Wilin Rosario - FD 3000 DK 4100 DD 7500 SS 6600 One of the best hitting catchers when it comes to facing lefties, Rosario has the advantage of playing half of his games in the atmospheric equivalent of a zero-gravity chamber. But even when factoring for park he still hammers southpaws. Is...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/30/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/30/14 Breaking News! We are offering a new bonus for first time deposits on ScoreStreak. For the next week, if you make a first time deposit to ScoreStreak through DFSR you will receive one month of our Lineup Construction Tools for FanDuel and DraftKings. It's easy. Just make a first time deposit on ScoreStreak and then sign up for our Lineup Construction Tools. We will credit you the half month of our winning projections for free. You'll also receive an additional $10 to play with on ScoreStreak. If you have any questions, just email us dailyfantasysr@gmail.com or shoot us a tweet @dailyfantasysr Total Bases Miguel Cabrera Mike Trout Going very much the chalk line here with total bases. That's fine in a situation like ScoreStreak in which they've eliminated the salary constraints. It doesn't always mean we should just throw these guys out there on a given day just because of their names. But today it makes sense with them facing Kevin Gausman and Hector Noesi respectively. Both pitchers are lower K guys with mid 4's xFIPs. Cabrera and Trout don't need to be targeted in platoon split situations because they are Hall of Fame talents who still rake, rake, and rake some more. Like I said before, the chalk line in ScoreStreak can be a solid play on a given day and this is a great spot to utilize the lack of salaries. Hits Tigers or Yankees I really never make blanket statements like this, but these two teams are all over the top of the list from our system and I'm having trouble delineating among their respective upsides. But guys like Ian Kinsler, Torii Hunter, Jacoby Ellsbury, Brett Gardner, and even Austin Jackson offer shots at multiple hits in their matchups. To make a case for one guy over another is tough considering their projections all fall in a similar range. If a gun were at my head (which one really is) I'd lean toward the Tigers only because Colby Lewis has a little more strikeout potential. Strikeouts Max Scherzer David Price Holy moly today's a tough day to play ScoreStreak. Typically our system does a nice job separating the clear plays on a given slate. It's not the case today. In each of the categories there are solid options and they all fall within a few decimals of each other for the respective outcomes. Strikeouts are no different with these two guys narrowly edging out King Felix, who I suppose you can include in the last spot. Picking the dude to hit nine K's though is tough. I don't see anyone as a clear favorite from that...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/29/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/29/14 Breaking News! We are offering a new bonus for first time deposits on ScoreStreak. For the next week, if you make a first time deposit to ScoreStreak through DFSR you will receive one month of our Lineup Construction Tools for FanDuel and DraftKings. It's easy. Just make a first time deposit on ScoreStreak and then sign up for our Lineup Construction Tools. We will credit you the half month of our winning projections for free. You'll also receive an additional $10 to play with on ScoreStreak. If you have any questions, just email us dailyfantasysr@gmail.com or shoot us a tweet @dailyfantasysr Total Bases Mike Trout Going the best player in baseball against a middling pitcher. Trout is a generational talent. That we already know. His OPS is close to 1.000 and he's good enough on even the reverse side of the split that I don't worry about the righty-righty matchup. Tillman sucks. He's struggling this season with a 5.70 K/9 and xFIP in the mid 4's. Trout is basically a baseball God dressed in a mortal's uniform. Corey Dickerson Wondering where he ranks in terms of qualified batters against righty pitching this season? Number one with a 1.032 OPS. Even with an inflated Babip, that number is no joke and outranks a bunch of other guys you'd label as "superstars". He's having an incredible season, no way about it. Today he faces off against Edwin Jackson who has a tendency to get bombed all over the ballpark. Hits Jacoby Ellsbury Our system has loved him all season long and while I think his outward projections are a little inflated, there's no denying that his stock today should be considerably higher than normal. Nick Martinez is total trash and yes, I know he held the Yankees scoreless last time around. It was an aberration. Martinez K's less the four batters per nine and walks the same amount. His xFIP is in the high fives. I'm all over this play. Ben Revere Not a guy I've ever played before, but our system likes him today against Dillon Gee. Revere has two specific things going for him in this format. He never ever walks. And he rarely strikes out. Both of these outcomes combines to about 10% of his at bats. That means the other 90% of the time the ball is getting put in play. That's exactly what we are looking for when we can get paid just on hits. Strikeouts Stephen Strasburg Going for nine K's here without even thinking twice about it. I'll be talking more about Strasburg in our other picks today, but he makes a sensational start...