DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 10/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 10/2/22 It saddens me to say this, but this is the final Sunday of the regular season. We have just three days remaining after today, and it's sad to see the everyday grind of baseball disappear. This might be an unpopular opinion, but I prefer regular season sports to playoffs when it comes to DFS. We get more games and more dynamics to discuss, and the familiarity of it always keeps me interested. I'm obviously excited for the postseason, but I'll miss the grind of every team playing every day. I might eat my words when we look at lineups, though, because teams will do wacky things on this final Sunday of the regular season. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD 10200 DK 10500 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK FD - 46.35 DK - 25.34 I have to admit that Ray's 2021 Cy Young campaign was one of the flukiest awards I've seen in sports, but this guy can still be a stud. The left-hander has been particularly good as of late, tallying a 2.72 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 10.5 K/9 rate since June 5. That's the ace we saw throughout most of last season, and we absolutely adore a matchup with the A's. Oakland ranks bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That's on full display when you see that Ray has a 1.82 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 12.8 K/9 rate in their four matchups this year. All of that has him and Seattle entering this sensational matchup as a -300 favorite! Shane Bieber FD 10600 DK 10700 Opponent - KC (Max Castillo) Park - KC FD - 43.34 DK - 23.78 The pitching selections on this slate aren't anything special, but these two aces are. Bieber is having a bounce-back season for the Guardians, generating a 2.91 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the year. His recent form is just as ridiculous, registering a 2.66 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 9.2 K.9 rate since May 14. That sort of form makes him enticing against anyone, but Kansas City is one of the best matchups in the sport. They currently rank 24th in runs scored, 21st in OPS, and 26th in xwOBA. He's faced KC twice this season, totaling a 0.71 ERA and 0.55 WHIP against them. Tyler Anderson (FD $8600 DK $8200) gets a revenge game against the Rockies as a -250 favorite. That's scary since Colorado has the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/1/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/1/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Ross Stripling FD - P 8000 DK - RP 7400 Opponent - BOS (Brayan Bello) Park - TOR FD - 27.36 DK - 15.06 With all the injuries to the Jays' starting rotation in 2022, Stripling could be considered the MVP of the team as he has been rock solid. He stepped into a regular spot in the rotation in early June and over 18 starts has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 18 starts for an impressive 2.80 ERA. He now faces a Red Sox team that has dropped seven of their last 10 games and was shut out in game one of the series on Friday night. Stripling offers us savings on this smaller slate allowing us to spend up for an expensive SP1 and/or some big bats. I will have exposure in all formats. Main Cristian Javier FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - TB (Shane McClanahan) Park - HOU FD - 41.62 DK - 22.39 Like we have discussed a ton recently, there is elevated risk with pitch counts this time of year but we just can't ignore how dominant Javier has been in the second half and specifically down the stretch. He has held opponents to just one earned run over his last four starts and tallied an elite 1.96 ERA over 11 second-half starts with a 30.4% K rate. The matchup isn't at the top of my list against the Rays who are all but locked into a wildcard spot but have struggled a bit lately losers of four of their last five going into Friday night while striking out over 27% of the time. At these prices, especially under $10K on DraftKings, Javier is my top pitcher on this slate. Catcher/First Base Early Luis Arraez FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3500 Opponent - DET (Drew Hutchison) Park - DET FD - 8.66 DK - 6.78 We talked about Arraez a ton this season as he led the league in hitting for a good portion of the year and he is also finishing strong. While he hasn't provided a ton of upside with a league-average 99 wRC+ in September, he has been very consistent with hits in 20 of 22 games while hitting .299 for the month. He and the Twins also get a plus matchup on Saturday against Drew Hutchinson who...
The Blue Jays the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/30/22
Corbnin Burnes and the Blue Jays the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 10300 DK 10500 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 46.55 DK - 26.63 The Brewers are still in the Wild Card fight here and this time of year, that’s about all you can ask for when it comes to starting pitching. There are a lot of ways to pay up today and there are too many big arms to avoid playing all of them. So we’ll take Burnes here. He’s struggled at times in the second half of the season, but this is still a guy with a strikeout rate close to 11 per nine and he’s facing off against the 27th-ranked offense in the league. He’s not a huge favorite because he’s going against Alcantara, but the run line in this game is so, so low. Jack Flaherty FD 7900 DK 7400 Opponent - PIT (Johan Oviedo) Park - PITFD - 36.64 DK - 19.62 This is a somewhat tricky spot because the Cardinals aren’t playing for a ton here so Flaherty could really be managed. But he’s coming real cheap on DraftKings on a day where that matters and he’s a -204 home favorite against the Pirates. Pittsburgh ranks third-to-last in team offense this season and they strike out close to 26% of the time. Flaherty has been a mixed bag this season, but he’s coming off a nine-strikeout performance against the Padres last time out. In the effort to get some bats in, I think he is okay in cash. Very strongly consider Logan Gilbert who is a -224 favorite at home against the lowly Oakland A’s. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOSFD - 12.78 DK - 9.62 Alejandro Kirk FD 2300 DK 4800 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOSFD - 11.43 DK - 8.67 We aren’t going to be able to play all of the big bats on this slate, but we can start things off with the Blue Jays. They are facing off against Nick Pivetta who brings in a 4.48 ERA and does allow the long ball. Guerrero isn’t having the same kind of season he had last time out with the OPS *only* sitting at .813. But this is a guy who does have 30 home runs and is tough to put down on strikes at just...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/29/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Ranger Suárez FD - P 9200 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - CHC (Javier Assad) Park - CHC FD - 32.08 DK - 15.88 The final week of the regular season can be a nightmare for DFS, especially pitching, trying to figure out pitch counts and team's motivations. That shouldn't be an issue here as the Phillies are still alive and chasing the final NL wildcard spot. While Suarez lacks elite upside with a 19.7% K rate, he has provided a very solid floor allowing just one earned run in his last two starts lowering his ERA to 2.55 in the second half. Better yet, he gets a plus matchup against the Cubs who have struggled to a .280 wOBA/79 wRC+ over the last two weeks while striking out over 27% of the time. Fire up Suarez in all formats on the early slate. Main Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - LAA FD - 47.97 DK - 26.58 He isn't going to win the Cy Young or the MVP in 2022 but Ohtani has improved in almost every single area when it comes to his performance on the mound. He already has five more wins(14), an ERA(2.47) over half a run better, and is striking out almost 4% more batters. He has been especially dominant down the stretch allowing just four earned runs over his last five starts(1.13 ERA) and now faces a bottom five offense in the A's who has struck out 26% of the time over the last two weeks. Lock and load with Ohtani in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Triston Casas FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 2200 Opponent - BAL (Mike Baumann) Park - BOS FD - 9.92 DK - 7.48 It has taken some time for the prized Red Sox prospect to prove he belongs in the majors but is finishing the season strong and went into Wednesday night with hits in five of his last six games. He has also flashed some big power with three home runs in that time and gets a plus matchup against Mike Baumann(4.32 ERA/4.44 xFIP) and a struggling O's bullpen that has posted a 6.10 ERA over the last two weeks. Casas hits down in the lineup but is near min price on both sites and allows us to load up on bats elsewhere....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 9/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 9/28/22 Next Wednesday is the final day of the regular season. It's been a fantastic run up to this point, and it's been awesome grinding DFS every day. That can be the most grueling aspect for many DFS players, but it helps give you an edge that can't be valued. It's also fun to watch these clubs battle for the few playoff spots remaining, and it makes many of these matchups competitive. With that in mind, let's start with the AL Cy Young favorite. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 11200 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - HOU FD - 39.98 DK - 22.41 It's crazy to see a 40-year-old post a season like this after missing the last two years. It was always apparent that this would be a first-ballot Hall-of-Famer but to have a 1.82 ERA and 0.84 WHIP after missing two years is ridiculous. His consistency has been colossal, scoring at least 27 FanDuel points in 24 of his 26 starts this year. That's the All-Star we've become accustomed to, and he should have no issues with Arizona. The Diamondbacks sit 24th in OBP, 23rd in OPS, and 25th in xwOBA. All of that has JV entering this matchup as a -200 favorite, with the D'Backs projected for fewer than three runs. Taijuan Walker FD - P 8700 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - MIA (Jesús Luzardo) Park - NYM FD - 38.77 DK - 20.03 Carrasco was a huge disappointment on Tuesday, but we're going right back to the well with a Mets pitcher at home against Miami. That's a recipe that should work more often than not, and we believe Taijuan will provide some elite value. The right-hander has allowed four runs or fewer in 25 of his 27 starts, totaling a 2.77 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in those outings. The two duds were against the Phillies and Braves, so facing Miami should keep the prior trend churning. Over his last six starts against the Marlins dating back to last season, Walker has a 2.42 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. He also enters this matchup as a -190 favorite in a game with a seven-run total. George Kirby (FD $9200 DK $8400) is one of the best pitchers in the AL, and he should post another quality start against a 23rd-ranked Rangers offense. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3300 DK -...