DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/8/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/8/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - NYYFD - 41.27 DK - 23.33 Cole was masterful again last year, striking out more than 12 batters per nine, rocking an xFIP under three, and getting through games in an ultra-efficient manner with a 6:1 K:BB ratio. I don’t love setting things up here against the Red Sox in Yankee Stadium, but he’s almost just too good a talent to pass up. The Yankees have had a longer leash with his pitch counts in the past and he won’t totally break the bank for you considering the strikeout upside. He's an especially good deal on DraftKings coming less than $10K. Shane McClanahan FD - P 8700 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - BAL (John Means) Park - TBFD - 38.22 DK - 20.68 McClanahan enters Friday as one of the biggest moneyline favorites on the day at -184 with the Tampa Bay and Baltimore game also having the lowest total at 7.5. That’s a good place to be for a starting pitcher and the young lefty is coming off an excellent rookie campaign in 2021. He struck out more than ten batters per nine and sported a 3.23 xFIP along the way. The one knock is that he didn’t average a ton of innings per start which does cut into the upside. But if we learned anything from the first set of games, starting pitchers by and large are on short strings to start the season. He is coming way too cheap on both sites. Max Scherzer FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 38.98 DK - 21.99 On the evening slate, it sure looks like we are going to want to roster Max Scherzer even as one of the more expensive arms going. The Mets' big off-season signing brings high expectations here especially considering they are going to now be without another ace Jacob DeGrom for some time. Simply put, Scherzer has been one of baseball’s best arms going on almost a decade now and continues to put up some of the most dominating numbers in the game. He’s struck out 12 batters per nine like clockwork and, for the most part, has really limited the walks as well. The Mets are -182 road favorites against the Nationals...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 10/3/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 10/3/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Hyun Jin Ryu FD 8000 DK 7700 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 36.78 DK - 19.34 It’s a must-win day for four of the American League teams vying for the Wild Card and the Blue Jays are one of them. They come in as ridiculous -400 home favorites against the Orioles and Bruce Zimmermann, one of the biggest favorites you will ever see. We are going to have a bunch of them in the picks today. Ryu has had a fine enough season, with an xFIP under 4.00 and decent peripherals. He has some, but not much, K stuff and he isn’t a lights-out arm. It’s just tough to walk away from these win odds on Sunday. Tyler Anderson FD 8100 DK 8500 Opponent - LAA (Reid Detmers) Park - LAAFD - 36.85 DK - 18.36 Anderson is another one coming in a must-win situation for the Mariners and gets a very good matchup against the Angels. Los Angeles has about one bat in the lineup that scares you and there is a reason this game comes in with a low 7 over/under. Anderson is a -180 home favorite, though like Ryu isn’t one to dial up the strikeout stuff. He’s a flyable pitcher who needs to keep the ball in the park. The Angels are middle of the pack against lefties this season and Anderson is in a good spot. The upside just might be limited. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4000 DK 6200 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 19.53 DK - 14.82 We are stacking Blue Jays bats almost for sure on this slate. With an implied run line pushing towards seven and a choice matchup in a must-win game, you have to like the top of this order. Guerrero would be all the MVP talk if it wasn’t for Ohtani and is capping off a season with a .992 OPS and 46 home runs. This is elite for any player and almost historic for a dude in his age-22 season. He’s one of the best hitters in the game and priced as such. But I want all of the Blue Jays on this slate. Carlos Santana FD 2600 DK 2700 Opponent - MIN (Charlie Barnes) Park - MINFD - 10.44 DK - 7.77 Santana had a rough year at the plate for sure, but it’s worth noting that...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/2/21 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/2/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD 9900 DK 10300 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DETFD - 40.98 DK - 22.32 We are rounding out the season here and there are teams like the White Sox who have definitely taken their foot off the gas. They have a playoff spot locked up and these games are more about prep than anything else. We saw that with Lance Lynn on Friday who went only 84 pitches in the win. That could, for sure, be the case with Giolito here. But he still comes in with the best win odds and is a -284 home favorite against the lowly Tigers. It is something to monitor, but Giolito has had a fantastic season and the K stuff should be there even if the innings are a bit lower. Chris Flexen FD 9100 DK 8900 Opponent - LAA (Jhonathan Diaz) Park - LAAFD - 33.21 DK - 17.68 The Mariners are technically (somehow) in the Wild Card hunt in the American League despite a -49 win differential on the season. But alas, luck plays a factor and here we are. Flexen is -177 home favorite and this game only has an eight over/under. He doesn’t have much in the way of K stuff this season, but the Angels stink and this is a must-win for the Angels. That isn’t the case for almost anyone else on the slate. I don’t want to run Corbin Burnes into the Dodgers’ lineup nor Julio Urias into the Brewers considering those two teams aren’t really pressing right now. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 3200 DK 4600 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - OAKFD - 12.77 DK - 9.79 The Astros are another team with everything locked up here so who knows which way they go with their lineup. In an ideal world, Gurriel is hitting cleanup against Blackburn and is still coming at a lower price on FanDuel. He is going to finish the season with an OPS around .840 and has 14 home runs. The 2019 power doesn’t look like it’s coming back, but that’s the case for a lot of guys. He puts the ball in play nearly 80% of the time and makes for a high-floor cash play. Mitch Garver FD 3100 DK 4200 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 11.61 DK - 8.68 Garver should be in the three...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 10/1/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 10/1/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers The decisions at starting pitcher are tough tonight as Kershaw is likely on a pitch count, the White Sox and Astros, with their divisions locked up, won't be pushing Lynn or Valdez and Sandy Alcantara tops the salary on DraftKings. There are a few spots that do stand out so let's get started. Ranger Suárez FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIA FD - 30.04 DK - 15.32 The Phillies have been getting a glimpse into their future as Suarez has been making a strong case to open the 2022 season in the rotation. Since they fully stretched him out in late August, he has been spectacular holding opponents to just seven earned runs over seven starts while striking out 45(27%) and walking eight. Tonight, he and the Phillies are -120 favorites against a Marlins team that ranks in the bottom third offensively. At these prices, Suarez is my top pitcher in all formats. Steven Matz FD 8000 DK 8700 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - BAL FD - 37.07 DK - 19.7 Continuing with the balanced approach, we have Steven Matz who won't be limited tonight as the Jays are in do or die mode in the final three days of the season. Matz has been a welcome addition to the rotation this season and has impressed with a 3.88 ERA/3.95 xFIP and has been terrific down the stretch allowing two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 starts. He now faces a bottom-five offense in Baltimore to close out his season and hopefully help the Jays playoff push. I will have exposure in all formats and will be pairing him with Suarez in cash games. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK 5500 Opponent - NYM (Tylor Megill) Park - NYM FD - 13.54 DK - 10.13 There is some risk in rostering players from teams who have locked up their playoff spot but this is a great spot that I want to get exposure to on this slate. Freeman has been closing out the season strong hitting .320 with a .386 wOBA in the month of September and now gets a plus matchup against rookie Tylor Megill who has really struggled against left-handed bats(.413 wOBA against). The Braves are one of my top teams to target tonight and Freeman is my top overall play at...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/30/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - NYY (Corey Kluber) Park - TOR FD - 40.6 DK - 21.63 The Jays can make the American League wildcard race even crazier with another win against the Yankees tonight and the good news is they are sending their ace to the mound. On top of the playoffs, Ray is also in the running for the Cy Young and got some help there with his offense getting to Cole last night. For Ray, the floor is high as he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 21 of 31 stars and he also has a ton of upside with a slider that is creating a 24% swinging-strike rate and 58% K rate. It won't be easy against the Yankees bats but on this slate, Ray is my top pitcher in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - MIN FD - 31.83 DK - 17.27 Things get interesting at Sp2 on DraftKings tonight with no pitcher really standing out above the rest. While the price is going parabolic, I am on rookie Joe Ryan who has more than impressed since being called up in September. He has gone at least five innings in all four starts, held opponents to just six earned runs(2.45 ERA/3.54 xFIP), and has struck out 25(32%) while walking just three. He now gets a matchup against a below-average Tigers offense as a -185 favorite and is my top SP2 and one of my top overall pitchers on this slate. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 3900 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 11.82 DK - 8.78 This is much more about DraftKings tonight as Alonso's price has dipped into the $3K range. It's as if he is priced based on his average(.258) and not by his production as he enters the night with a .357 wOBA, 129 wRC+ with 35 home runs, and 89 RBI. The matchup is also above-average as Cabrera has struggled to a 5.79 ERA/5.49 xFIP through his first six starts and it comes down to control walking 3+ in five of those six starts. That should help the Mets get on base for Alonso who has a ton of upside. GPP only on FanDuel but a great PTS/$ value in all...