Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/20/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/20/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks. Pitchers I broke the plays into the two slates. The early slate has most of the pitching. The late - hitting. I'm listing the evening slate first because it's the bigger one. Garrett Richards - FD 8600 DK 10600 DD 18550 DFSTR 10200 If I were to hone in on a cash game play for the evening slate I think I'd favor Richards. He's had an excellent season with an 8.84 K/9 and 2.77 xFIP. The Red Sox put up a .302 wOBA against righties and strike out close to 21% of the time against righties. I don't love him pitching in Fenway, but the park does at least suppress power to lefties and the Red Sox have been starting some weak lineups of late. Doesn't feel great, great but in a rough evening slate for pitching Richards seems like the play. Alex Wood - FD 8000 DK 7300 DD 15750 DFSTR 8200 Pitching for the evening slate is a bit all over the map. It's hard to hone in on one solid, safe play. Each of the arms comes with a risk. Wood is one such example. I really like his numbers this season as he's striking out close to a batter an inning and turned in some big performances. The problem is the Pirates are damn good bad against lefties, ranking in the top five bottom third of the league in team wOBA when facing southpaws. (I had been quick referencing the righty splits instead of lefty. Our system had the multiplier high on Wood because of this I just glanced at the wrong team splits page.) Tanner Roark - FD 7700 DK 8700 DD 15650 DFSTR 9400 The Nationals are such a heavy favorite in the evening slate that it's tough leaving off Roark. His numbers this season are decidedly average with a 3.77 xFIP. His peripherals are fine considering his 3:1 K:BB ratio and he keeps his walks on the lower side. The Diamondbacks rank in the bottom half of the league against righties. It's tough finding safer plays in the evening grouping of games. Shooting...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/20/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/20/14 DFSR has partnered with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. New users who deposit through DFSR will get an extra $10 to play with. We are putting in picks every night and giving you some of our top plays each day. Two are on us, the third is all you. Or go your own way. As always, if you are new to daily fantasy baseball, make sure read our Free Baseball e-book. It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do. Total Bases Nelson Cruz Adam Jones Going with a couple of O's today against the righty Noesi. While it's a bit odd buying Cruz in a reverse split, you'll see why in a moment. Cruz's .800 OPS this season in the righty platoon split shows he can at least get the ball in play and for his career he slugs close to .500 against RHP. Meanwhile, for his career Jones is actually better against right handed pitching. That hasn't played out this summer, but historically his wOBA is about 17 points higher against righties. That lines up with Hector Noesi's career splits that have him getting rocked by righties. Right handed bats OPS around .800 against him. Both guys walk very little against righties making the total bases expectation higher in a solid matchup. Hits Brian Dozier He's getting Babip squeezed this season with that number about fifty points lower than his career averages. Even with the bad luck he's been above average against lefty pitching this season. For his career he has an OPS over .800 with a 129 wRC+. T.J. House pitches to contact and doesn't strike out an inordinate amount of batters. I'm liking the upside on Dozier today and think he could be in for multiple hits from the two hole in the lineup. Michael Brantley Man Ricky Nolasco just reeks of average, ho-hum pitcher. His K rates are always on the low side (6.16 K/9 this season) and his xFIP just lives in the fours. I'm always on Brantley when he's facing a low K righty because dude is just near impossible to strike out. That means hits baby, hits. A great daily play in this...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/19/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/19/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks. Pitchers Stephen Strasburg - FD 9700 DK 10200 DD 20850 DFSTR 9000 Was all over him in a big way last time out and he only solidified why in that performance. Nothing has changed in how I feel about Stras except in a positive way. He was dominant last time out and I've been firmly in the camp that he's been massively unlucky this season. He's striking out more than 10.5 batters per nine and walking only two. The D-Backs aren't a cellar-dwelling squad but they're below average against righties. Historically, Stras has pitched better at home and I'm loving him in every format today. To spend significantly less money on him than Scherzer is a no-brainer for me. Hisashi Iwakuma - FD 9200 DK 9900 DD 20250 DFSTR 9700 Iwakuma's been an artist this season as it appears he's made it a religion of some sort to never walk anyone. His 0.78 BB/9 rate is just plain ridiculous. He's benefited a great deal from pitching in Safeco Field and this game is in a much better hitter's park. But the Phillies have been brutal against righties this season coming in at 28th in team wOBA on that side of the split. Iwakuma won't give you an inordinate amount of K's but he makes up for it a bit in volume. Never walking anyone allows him to go later into games. Scott Kazmir - FD 8400 DK 8200 DD 18200 DFSTR 8000 The xFIP is still trailing the ERA by about a half a run and the strikeout numbers won't blow you away, but I'm buying on Kaz today because the Mets are just so, so bad against lefties. They rank second to last in team wOBA and strike out 24% of the time. That latter number is astronomically high and increases Kazmir's K expectation on the day. Things are lining up to make him a decent mid-tier option. Tsuyoshi Wada - FD 6300 DK 7300 DD 11850 DFSTR 5900 His last four starts have been solid and today he's in another nice spot against the Giants. San Fran comes in...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/19/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/19/14 DFSR has partnered with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. New users who deposit through DFSR will get an extra $10 to play with. We are putting in picks every night and giving you some of our top plays each day. Two are on us, the third is all you. Or go your own way. As always, if you are new to daily fantasy baseball, make sure read our Free Baseball e-book. It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do. Total Bases Mike Trout Been up here a lot lately, but that's mostly because he's the best player of his generation. So he has that going for him, which is nice. Had been slumping a bit, but started to come out of it last night. He should have more opportunity to pad his stats with a matchup against Allen Webster today. Webster's been heavy doses of garbage in his time in the majors, walking more than he strikes out and putting up an xFIP in the sixes. Angels should be able to get to him early and often today with Trout doing some major damage in Fenway. Salvador Perez I try not to overrate Coors Field, and I think our system does a decent job of properly weighing Coors' effect on a given player on a given day. So I don't typically just make blanket recommendations about playing guys when they visit Denver. But Salvador's in a good spot against the lefty Matzek. Perez has had a rough go of it against lefties this season thanks in part (but not completely) to a depressed Babip. I think you can play him today with the idea behind separation in a bigger field because I doubt many others will be on him. Hits Jose Altuve Dude's a hit machine this season. One amazing stat is that against lefties he has an OPS over 1.000 with having hit only three home runs and never taking any walks. That's amazing. This is large part to a contact rate (and inflated Babip) that are off the charts. He's tearing it up this season and lefties just can't get him out. Capuano's been (annoyingly) decent this season,...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/17/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/17/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks. Pitchers Jon Lester - FD 10300 DK 11900 DD 20900 DFSTR 12200 Lester brings his incredible peripherals to Atlanta, where he’ll face the swing-happy Braves. The Braves are the 4th easiest team to strike out in all of the majors. This one has all the makings of a game where Lester goes deep into the game and racks up a lot of Ks in the process. He is opposed by Mike Minor, a talented pitcher who can't seem to get it together this year. A win seems likely. While the price is pretty high, it will be tough to invest more dollars at a better multiplier today. Adam Wainwright - FD 9700 DK 9200 DD 20050 DFSTR 6000 There's still a lot to love about Wainwright today. The guy has been his classic beast of a self (some recent blips aside) - owning some of the very best peripherals and ERA in the league. He's facing Odsrisamer Despaigne, who has managed just 36 Ks against 22 BBs in 59 IP this year. The lineup against him is making a run at one of the worst team wOBA performances ever. I love Wain for both safety and upside. Danny Salazar - FD 7100 DK 7000 DD 13750 DFSTR 0 If you're interested in trying to catch lightning in a bottle, you could do a lot worse than Danny Salazar. Our projection system actually likes him for a similar points output to the aces today, and while I'm not personally quite so bullish, it makes a compelling case. Baltimore does strike out a decent amount, and Kevin Gausman has been a peripheral disaster this year as well. You're running the risk of Salazar sinking your whole squad, but in the chance that he puts it together - you could win your league on the upside of the more expensive bats you could afford. Jake Arrieta - FD 7400 DK 8000 DD 14450 DFSTR 5300 Arrieta has emerged as a star this year, and the Mets are one of the 3 worst hitting teams in the majors. Rafael Montero has been horrendous this...