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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/26/14

Posted by on Aug 26, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, Uncategorized | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/26/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks.   Pitchers Johnny Cueto - FD 10200 DK 11400 DD 19050 DFSTR 10800 Even with xFIP trailing the ERA by about a run I'm still content to play Cueto in cash games today at higher prices because his peripherals have been solid this season and even with a little luck he's still been a damned good pitcher. The abnormally low ERA has his price inflated a tad though it's in an acceptable range considering the Cubs are about as bad as it gets against righty pitching. They rank only above the Padres in team wOBA and San Diego is catching them. Cueto will most likely be a big cash game play because the rest of the field has its question marks. Alex Wood - FD 7900 DK 8200 DD 15750 DFSTR 8600 Another guy with a great matchup. The good news on Wood is he's coming with very similar peripherals as Cueto against an equally crappy team, but at significantly lower prices. Wood is striking out more than 8.5 batters per nine and walking less than three. The xFIP is in the low 3's over an extended run this season. The Mets are brutal against lefty pitching, coming in at 28th in the league against lefties. I see Wood as much better for the dollars on a day when pitching is weaker across the board. Madison Bumgarner - FD 9600 DK 10000 DD 20600 DFSTR 11600 He's a little lower on the list, but I think he makes a real solid play today. The Rockies are a totally different team away from Coors. On the road they rank in the bottom third of the league in team wOBA. After a brutal game against the Pirates, Bumgarner's last four starts have been tight and his last game against the Cubs was a GPP delight. James Paxton - FD 5500 The Rangers hit lefties well, but he's coming so cheap on FanDuel that the risk is completely acceptable. He has solid strikeout and walk rates to go with a low threes xFIP. Cheap enough with the other factors. Jason Hammel - FD 6600 DK...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/26/14

Posted by on Aug 26, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/26/14 DFSR has partnered with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. New users who deposit through DFSR will get an extra $10 to play with. We are putting in picks every night and giving you some of our top plays each day. Two are on us, the third is all you. Or go your own way. As always, if you are new to daily fantasy baseball, make sure read our Free Baseball e-book. It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do.   Total Bases Jose Abreu He's been destroying lefty pitching this season to the tune of a .995 OPS on that side of the split. This is thanks in large part to a crazy 43% Hr/FB ratio over his first season. The second number is clearly not sustainable over the long term so expect a dip in OPS. That being said, bad hitters wouldn't rack up an OPS this high without an inordinate amount of skill (luck or no luck). He faces T.J. House today, a lefty much worse against righty bats. Great ballpark and great matchup. Melky Cabrera Going a little off board from our system in this Melky pick. Not a ton of other players were standing out to me near the top of our board. And though Melky is a hits machine, I think you can put him in the total bases category against Rubby de la Rosa who struggles mightily against lefty bats. This is the better side of the split for Melky and he's a real tough out for righty pitching. He strikes out only 11% of the time and walks 7%. That leaves a lot of percentage points for contact.   Hits Robinson Cano Kyle Seager Nick Martinez has been a better pitcher of late, particularly in the strikeout area. But I'm considering him over his season-long numbers. And when you look at those, you want to target hitters against him. Martinez has only struck out 5.13 batters per nine and has an xFIP over five. Both Cano and Seager are near the top of the league in OPS against righties this season, and both their historical numbers back up this success. Cano is particularly difficult for...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/25/14

Posted by on Aug 24, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/25/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making!   Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks.   Pitchers This position is fraught with peril today. No doubt about it. You'll be spending on hitting. Jeff Samardzija - FD 8100 DK 9200 DD 17100 DFSTR 5400 If you are looking to target just a little K upside this is your stop. The Astros are in the bottom half of the league in team wOBA against righties and strike out more than 23% of the time. I don't love the ballpark as Minute Maid does allow power to both sides of the plate at a higher than league average rate. Samardzija has been good, not great this season, but that's all you can ask for on a pitching day like this one. His K rate is right around eight batters per nine and he keeps his walks at an acceptable rate. The xFIP is in the low threes and I'm trying my damndest to find the positive plays today. Jake Odorizzi - FD 8100 DK 8500 DD 15700 DFSTR 9500 Has a tough matchup in a tougher park but Odorizzi has been a K machine this season and I don't mind buying the better pitcher in the worse matchup rather than the other way around. His K rate is over 10.5 per nine and the xFIP is in the mid three's. The O's are good against righties but Odorizzi's prices make the upside there and able to accept the possible downside. Francisco Liriano - FD 7100 DK 9700 DD 13800 DFSTR 8100 Eep. It's getting weird in here. You feel it? It doesn't feel great. The good news for Liriano is his strike out rate is over 9.5 batters per nine and his xFIP is about three quarters a run lower than his ERA at 3.43. That's the good news. The bad news is that the Cardinals come in the top half of the league against lefties. They do strike out some and their power is limited, but they can hit in dribs and drabs. Liriano could go six with some K's or he could get chased, but I like the upside on a weird day. Consider Kyle Lohse...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/25/14

Posted by on Aug 24, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/25/14 DFSR has partnered with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. New users who deposit through DFSR will get an extra $10 to play with. We are putting in picks every night and giving you some of our top plays each day. Two are on us, the third is all you. Or go your own way. As always, if you are new to daily fantasy baseball, make sure read our Free Baseball e-book. It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do.   Total Bases Giancarlo Stanton This dude completely dominates lefty pitching. He's been among the league leaders in annihilating the inner souls off southpaws taking the mound against him. Stanton's 1.128 OPS against lefties to go with a 209 wRC+ are about as high as you'll ever see. Wade LeBlanc has actually been better against righties for his career. But that doesn't mean much considering he isn't good against anyone really. Stanton is a premium play in this spot today. Mike Trout What makes Trout such an enticing play on a day in/ day out basis is that he's platoon neutral so as long as he's facing someone average to below average he's in play to snag bases. He's having a down season only by his own Hall of Fame numbers. He's a favorite, as much as anyone on a regular basis, to collect enough total bases to win a tier. Jarred Cosart is pretty garbage-y and Trout is Trout.   Hits Robinson Cano This is of course assuming he plays today. Cano checked himself out of last game with dizziness, but if he plays today against Mikolas then Cano is a great play for a multi-hit game. Cano has been raking righties this season and the upshot is that he keeps his K% and BB% relatively low all things considered. Oh, and Mikolas stinks. He can't strike batters out with any consistency and though his ERA is higher than his xFIP, the latter isn't all that great. Here's to hoping Cano can give it a go in this one. Buster Posey Speaking of guys with great contact rates, Posey has a 8.6 K% and 7.1 BB% against lefties. That means 85% of...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/23/14 – Late Games

Posted by on Aug 23, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 8/23/14 - Late Games Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making!   Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel and DraftKings. And try out our partner ScoreStreak and our exclusive exclusive ScoreStreak picks.   Pitchers Zack Greinke - FD 9700 DK 10800 DD 19450 DFSTR 8700 Seems a pretty simple play really. Greinke's having a great year, looking very much like the pitcher he was a few season's ago during his Cy Young run. He's striking out close to ten batters per nine and his 2.65 xFIP is right in line with his minuscule ERA. He's a heavy favorite against the Mets today who rank 27th in the league against righty pitching. They strike out more than 20% of the time against righties and are just generally bad. Greinke will be a popular cash game play across the industry and it's tough to find many reasons to fade him. Danny Salazar - FD 7000 DK 7200 DD 13700 DFSTR 6400 If you enjoy playing with fire, then consider your pyromaniac ways with this guy. What's to like? Salazar has big time strike out stuff and can rack them up real quick. He K's more than 9.5 batters per nine and can look awesome for short stretches. The operative word there is "short". He'll be facing a squad in the Astros that strike out the second most in the league against righties at an insane 23.1% clip. The problem with Salazar is consistency. He will look awesome and then "that inning" happens and the wheels come completely off. You saw what Carrasco did to the Astros yesterday so the upside is there for Salazar, but it's so risky.   Catchers Miguel Montero - FD 2400 DK 3400 DD 8200 DFSTR 3000 Went yard last night (one of our picks, so phew) and is in another solid spot today against Cashner. Cashner is better than Despaigne by a wide margin, but he isn't an elite pitcher. I tend to think he's a bit overrated. Chase Field favors lefty power and Montero can really only be considered when facing righties. But his numbers in that split are strong and the DBacks running a little light in hitting, he's stuck in the middle of the order. Liking his prices all around. Derek Norris - FD...

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