Exclusive ScoreStreak Picks for 5/27/14
DFSR is proud to announce that we are partnering with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling (not that we have much, but for you presumably) that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. Your goal is to hit outcomes. The higher the number, the more points you get. Choose players who will hit their marks and you win. Deposit through DFSR now and you'll get an extra $10 to play with. Come play us. We are putting in picks every night. We are also giving you some of our top plays each day. Two are on us, the third is all you. Or go your own way. ScoreStreak makes it easy to mix and match outcomes. As always, if you are new to daily fantasy baseball, make sure read our Free Baseball e-book. It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do. Total Bases Paul Goldschmidt He's all over our daily picks today for a few reasons. He is among the elite hitters in the game, but he's especially good against lefties. He's even better against garbage lefties like Eric Stults. If I needed to guarantee at least two total bases today, he's my guy. His K% is low and the OPS is nearing 1.000 over the last year. Of course, the walks don't help you here, but when we parse out our system to project for just total bases, he's a top play. Ryan Braun Goes without saying that he's one of the best hitters in the game. Today he gets a lefty in Wei-Yin Chen, a decent, but not great pitcher. I want a guy who feasts on the platoon split and rakes extra base hits. Braun is your guy. PEDs-Schmee-EDS (or however that saying I just made up goes). He's a favorite (relative to the field) to come away with at least two total bases today. Hits Andrew Mccutchen Was hard to decide whether to put him in the total bases or hits category. I'm rolling with him here because CitiField plays just slightly worse for power, but leaves plenty of room in the gaps. Cutch beasts on lefty pitching and Jon Niese is, well, Jon Niese. Cutch will have his bat on the...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/27/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/27/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie. Pitchers Yu Darvish FanDuel 11000 DraftKings 11200 DraftStreet 26256 Among the elite pitchers in the game. That isn't in question. It only becomes a question of how much you are willing to pay. The price on DraftStreet, for me, is pretty much a non starter. I don't think you can allocate that percentage of your cap for a guy who isn't facing a bottom feeding offense. But everywhere else he's in play. The Twins have a 22% K% and are light hitting especially around the bottom of their order. Darvish strikes out nearly 10.5 per 9 and is actually walking less batters this season. Walking less guys and striking out a few less guys this year has led to some more hits. So his xFIP is a little higher than his ERA. But he's still a stud. (Update: Darvish is scratched tonight. Bump up Zack Greinke as the next stud in line after Sale.) Chris Sale FanDuel 9400 DraftKings 11600 DraftStreet 23715 I really wish they struck out more, but even with the contact, the Indians rank 27th in the league in team wOBA against lefties. Their K% is low, which might limit Sale's ultimate upside. But they've been a weak hitting bunch in their lineups versus lefties. In his limited action this season, Sale has been nails. Striking out more than 10 per 9, keeping the BB's under 2 per 9 and rocking an xFIP in the mid 2's. He's a little worse than his 1.89 ERA, but not by any significant margin. The Babip is only .213, so some regression coming, but like Darvish this guy's an ace and the Tribe are weak. Jon Lester FanDuel 8300 DraftKings 9800 DraftStreet 16174 The Braves are so weird. They rank first in the league against lefties in team wOBA with a .377 (this is a full .014 points higher than number two). But at the same time they rank dead last in strikeout percentage at 24.6%. Making Mr.Lester a GPP play if ever one existed. Lester is having his best season as a professional pitcher. His K's are through the roof, well outpacing his career averages. He's striking out almost two more batters per nine. That's...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/26/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/26/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie. With the holiday and people heading out to their Memorial Day plans we will do a quick rundown today. Want you to get set, get those lineups and get to the barbecue. So a brief (for us) holiday set of picks coming. Enjoy the day everyone! Pitchers Prices are kind of all over the place so it's hard to make blanket statements on pitchers today. That being said, I'm not inclined to pay up for Cueto anywhere. We will have to make due with everyone else. Yordano Ventura FanDuel 7900 DraftKings 9700 DraftStreet 15852 He's been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season and the prices just refuse to catch up. He strikes out more than a batter an inning and keeping his walk rate down. Ventura's xFIP is right in line with his sub-3 ERA and nothing about his performance suggests what he is doing is luck. He's been great. The Astros have the highest K% in the league against righties at 24.2%. Ventura is in play in all formats today and is coming at discount pretty much everywhere. Drew Hutchison FanDuel 6100 DraftKings 9000 DraftStreet 14468 Here's another guy who has been so solid this year, but very few people have taken notice. His xFIP is in the mid threes and his K/9 gives him upside at these prices even facing the Rays who don't K a ton. It's actually only the opponent who gives me pause here as I love what I've seen from Hutchison. Nathan Eovaldi FanDuel 6600 DraftKings 8300 DraftStreet 10947 His early season strikeout rate may have been a blip on the radar, but I'm still willing to buy on the guy. His K's are way down the last two games, but the Nats are 12th in the league in K% and in the bottom half of the league in wOBA against righties. Nice spot and price for Eovaldi. Ervin Santana DraftStreet 13375 Not recommending him everywhere, but on DraftStreet you can more than swing the salary. The Red Sox have had their troubles this season, and aren't nearly the World Series champion you'd expect. Santana has been super solid with an xFIP in the low threes. ...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/25/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/25/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie. Pitchers Masahiro Tanaka FanDuel 10400 DraftKings 12200 DraftStreet 23411 If between Tanaka and Wainwright today (because they are the definitive aces taking the mound) I'm going Tanaka. They are similarly priced super high so rolling both on multiple SP sites will be real tough. In fact, for the prices, I think you want to see your opponents roll Wainwright. Quick comparisons: Tanaka: 10.27 K/9, 1.13 BB/9, 2.14 xFIP Waino: 8.01 K/9, 1.85 BB/9, 3.10 xFIP These are pretty substantial differences. But the reason they are the same price is Wainwright's Babip and HR/9 are looking super lucky while, if anything, Tanaka has probably been running bad in that latter stat. Tanaka gets a slightly better opponent in the White Sox, but they are still without Jose Abreu and strikeout a ton as a team. Tanaka is the play. Hope your opponents pay up for Wainwright at less than optimal price points. Madison Bumgarner FanDuel 9000 DraftKings 9600 DraftStreet 21291 He isn't flashy, but he gets the job done. Bumgarner has been putting in the kind of season he seems to always put in. Low 3's ERA, striking out a batter an inning, about 2.5 walks a game. If you look back at his last few seasons they all just appear identical. It's pretty amazing really. Today he faces the Twins who strikeout 23% of the time against lefties and sit about middle of the pack in team wOBA. Bumgarner is a solid cash game play if you want to save a few bucks from the big boys. Dallas Keuchel FanDuel 7700 DraftKings 10300 DraftStreet 21146 He was pushed back from yesterday to today. Here are my thoughts from Saturday. Really nothing has changed. Our system hasn't caught up to his performance yet, but that's fine. Sometimes you need to use some just good only genius-level judgment (works for me, try it) and roll with a dude who is bringing it this season. The big thing for Dallas this season has been limiting the walks. He's taken his BB/9 from 3.05 to 1.75, keeping needless batters from reaching base. It's working. His ERA and xFIP are below 3 and he's keeping the ball in the ballpark. The...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/25/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/25/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie. Pitchers Going to get a little weird at pitcher tonight. Stephen Strasburg FanDuel 10000 DraftKings 11400 DraftStreet 21203 Much is made of Strasburg's home/road splits. With good reason. His numbers are significantly better at home than on the road. But there are reasons to like him tonight. First of all, his price is reflective of his ERA and not the underlying numbers that paint a slightly different picture. His xFIP is 2.56 and he's getting nickeled and dimed with a .356 Babip that is allowing innings to extended on him. His K's and BB's are very much in line with his career averages and he's limiting the home run. The Pirates are a fine enough offensive team, but not worth avoiding. I think people will be turned off on Stras because of some either bias (he's screwed them recently) or the H/R thing. I'm putting him in there tonight. Pittsburgh is a pitcher's park and Stras has been unlucky. David Price FanDuel 9300 DraftKings 11200 DraftStreet 19763 I still very much believe. Price is, on paper by some simple metrics, having the best season of his career. He's rocking an unbelievable 13:1 K:BB ratio. He has 77 K's and 6 walks. If you are new to baseball let me bring you up to speed: This is fucking amazing. The problem from price is that the lack of walks has turned into a huge spike in home runs. The latter I don't think is sustainable. His HR/FB% is way out of line with his career averages. But alas, this along with a high Babip against has his ERA in the low 4's while his xFIP is 2.56. The Red Sox are in the top third of the league against lefties, but they also strikeout 22% of the time. I'm taking Price, at home, as an upside play tonight. Dallas Keuchel FanDuel 7700 DraftKings 9900 DraftStreet 17366 Our system hasn't caught up to his performance yet, but that's fine. Sometimes you need to use some just good only genius-level judgment (works for me, try it) and roll with a dude who is bringing it this season. The big thing for Dallas this season has been limiting the walks....