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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/15/14

Posted by on May 15, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/15/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Pitchers Michael Wacha DraftKings 10,000 Wacha was a top play yesterday and with the rain out the considerations are the same. So here is the writeup from yesterday. The only issue is that he isn't listed (at present) on FanDuel The Cubs poured it on the other night, lighting up the Cardinals and boat-racing them out of the park. Don't fear, that won't happen again any time soon. At least not against a guy like Wacha. Wacha is bringing the heat this season, striking out nearly 11 batters per 9, limiting the walks and holding on to an xFIP under three. And the Cubs, even with that offensive outburst, remain very close to the bottom of the league in team wOBA against righties while striking out about 22% of the time. Nathan Eovaldi FanDuel 7200 DraftKings 9300 DraftStreet 20998 Has been borderline terrific to start the season. Eovaldi has elevated his K rate about 30% this season, which doesn't seems to be smoke and mirrors. His xFIP is 3.15 (trailing the ERA by just a tad) and his walk rate is teeny tiny. This plus the Giants are in the bottom third of the league in team wOBA against righties with a .296. He's the most expensive pitcher on DraftStreet (I'd still play him), an absolute steal on FanDuel and seeming like a strong cash game play on DraftKings. After these two the pitching gets a little weird. There are upside guys like Salazar and Ventura, but I don't love their matchups. Tyson Ross FanDuel 6700 DraftKings 9000 DraftStreet 17779 A solid, if unspectacular play against Cincy today. Ross has been a decent pitcher to start the year. Doing nothing outstandingly, but not struggling in any real areas. His xFIP is in line with his low 3's ERA and he gets enough strikeouts to be DFS relevant. Walks a few too many batters which can hurt him getting deep into games. But the Reds are about league average against righties. Lance Lynn FanDuel 7800 DraftKings 9300 DraftStreet 20766 Targeting matchup here almost exclusively. With some pitching coming cheaper today, Lynn grabs the Cubs, a team ranking near the bottom of the league in OPS and wOBA against righties....

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/14/14

Posted by on May 14, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/14/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr.   Pitchers Masahiro Tanaka FanDuel 9700 DraftKings 11900 DraftStreet 24815 Though the Mets have actually hit pretty well in their time in Yankee Stadium this series, they haven't faced a pitcher like Tanaka. In no uncertain terms Tanaka has been amazing this season. He is striking out more than 10 batters per 9 and is rocking a crazy low xFIP of 2.18. The Mets, despite some recent successes are still near the bottom of the league in hitting against righties. On sites like FanDuel, Tanaka is still completely reasonable in terms of price. On the other sites your decision is a little harder as he'll cost a bit more. But this is a great cash game play. He's been too good, and the Mets too bad to not have him in there as a safe play. Johnny Cueto FanDuel 9800 DraftKings 12500 DraftStreet 26384 Your other cash game option. I think for my preferences I'd save a few dollars and go Tanaka, but Cueto is right there too. Gets the terrible Padres offensive that, even while running a little bad, is still pretty dreadful. Cueto has been nails this season even if his ERA is a little luck fueled. He has an insane 99.5% strand rate. That my friends will not remain so high for much longer. It simply cannot. He also has a .161 Babip that will begin to regress. This kind of luck is actually why he is a little overpriced. But still a solid, safe-ish option today. Michael Wacha FanDuel 8500 DraftKings 10000 DraftStreet 22006 The Cubs poured it on the other night, lighting up the Cardinals and boat-racing them out of the park. Don't fear, that won't happen again any time soon. At least not against a guy like Wacha. Wacha is bringing the heat this season, striking out nearly 11 batters per 9, limiting the walks and holding on to an xFIP under three. And the Cubs, even with that offensive outburst, remain very close to the bottom of the league in team wOBA against righties while striking out about 22% of the time. Madison Bumgarner FanDuel 9200 DraftKings 9900 DraftStreet 21269 This is a boom or bust play because of the opponent....

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/13/14

Posted by on May 13, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/13/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr.   Pitchers David Price FanDuel 8900 DraftKings 10400 DraftStreet 21879 I know he got rocked by the Orioles last time out. These things happen of course. He had an impossible time putting hitters away late in counts and got torched by the long ball (his biggest flaw this season). But there is still time for him to regress to his mean. Because man has he been running bad this year. The HR/FB rate is way, way out of whack, at close to 16%. This will come down. His xFIP is almost a full two runs lower than his ERA and, outside of last game, he's been racking up the K's. I thought after last game we'd get him on a little discount. Not really, but he is only the fourth most expensive pitcher on most sites, and has a way better matchup than anyone above him. The Mariners are near the bottom of the league against lefties this season and if Price is going to regress this is the game. Josh Beckett FanDuel 6300 DraftKings 9100 DraftStreet 18676 Hasn't been as good as his sub 3.00 ERA would suggest, but Beckett has definitely shown signs of life. He's striking out almost a batter an inning, and been decent. Again, some of his ERA numbers are behind a minuscule .224 Babip and a hopelessly high 84% strand rate. Those won't stay at those levels for long. But the Marlins are a weaker offensive team, especially on the road. I outlined some of this yesterday in my writeup on Haren. Cliff Notes: They've been lucky at home and unlucky on the road. They probably fall somewhere in the middle. But Beckett is real cheap in some spots today (especially FanDuel) and seems safe-ish. Adam Wainwright FanDuel 10100 DraftKings 12500 DraftStreet 25474 For the dollars I definitely like Price more today. But Wainwright represents a somewhat safe play against the Cubs who rank near the bottom of the league against righties. The Cubs strikeout about 24% of the time and Wainwright can get his share of punchouts. Again, for the money I'd go Price, but this is a fine play. Mike Leake FanDuel 6800 DraftKings 8200 DraftStreet 15611 Have to love...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/12/14

Posted by on May 12, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/12/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr.   Pitchers Felix Hernandez FanDuel 9700 DraftKings 11300 DraftStreet 23366 He is top of the list for a few reasons, many of which need no explanation but I'll bore the shit out of you any way with them. He is, by far, the best pitcher from a talent standpoint out there today. There's a precipitous drop after him. He has the highest total point expectation of anyone out there, and for cash games, he represents some modest safety. His downside today is the opponent. The Rays are super patient and really don't strike out a ton. They will grind out Hernandez over the course of the game. But King Felix's talent tells the story here and he has 10K upside almost every time he hits the mound. Dan Haren FanDuel 8000 DraftKings 10000 DraftStreet 21436 Haren has had a great start to the season, mostly because he's limited the home runs in a pretty significant way. The question there is whether his HR/FB% is sustainable. It probably isn't the 5% rate being about half his career average. So expect some regression in that department. But even with some long balls heading out of the stadium, his strikeout numbers are strong and he's kept the walks down. He faces a Marlins team that is among the worst offenses in the league on the road. Some of this is Babip fueled (compared to their insane home Babip). The truth probably lies somewhere in between. They are no longer a bottom-feeding offense, but they aren't the team that currently sits near the top of the league against righties. I think Haren is a pretty safe play today. Hiroki Kuroda FanDuel 7500 DraftKings 8400 DraftStreet 14789 The big story here is the Mets, who suck. They rank at or near the bottom in pretty much every category you can think of against righties this season. They are also terrible against lefties, but Kuroda doesn't throw with that arm. They strikeout a lot, don't hit any home runs (or even extra base hits) and the lineup has glaring holes which the DH slot tonight will do little to solve. Kuroda has been a little better than average this season with an xFIP of...

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/11/14

Posted by on May 11, 2014 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/11/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr.   Pitchers Pitching is a minefield today and they are priced accordingly. So few high-priced pitchers is a warning sign that few optimal plays exist. Here were go. Giddy up. Clayton Kershaw FanDuel 10200 DraftKings 13000 DraftStreet 24754 On a day of many, many question marks it often makes the most sense to go with the guy who is far and away the best pitcher on the board. Kershaw is nails, plain and simple. Even with a matchup against a Giant team that doesn't strike out a ton this is probably your cash game play, at least on FanDuel. His numbers remain just stupid good, K-ing more that 10 guys per 9 and limiting the walks to less that one per nine. That should be illegal. The Giants are an average hitting team against lefties. But Kershaw isn't really a lefty. He's a pitching machine that happens to throw with his left hand. Gio Gonzalez FanDuel 8800 DraftKings 10200 DraftStreet 19311 Like I said before, I don't feel great about anyone below Kershaw (and I don't even feel great about him). Gio is a guy I'm going strictly on K upside and little else. He is averaging more than strikeout an inning and he's pretty much the pitcher he was last season. The A's are about league average against lefties in terms of OPS and wOBA. Not safe by any means but he could get rolling down hill and turn in a solid performance. Edwin Jackson FanDuel 6900 DraftKings 7700 DraftStreet 11515 Just so you know, I pick some Braves later on in this article. So take this with a but of a grain of salt. Jackson seems the type of pitcher who gives either a lights out performance or gets bombed mercilessly. This will be one of those two performances. The Braves rank near the bottom of the league against righties, striking out 23% of the time and ranking 28th in team OPS. That's a recipe for upside on a strange day for pitching. Again, not safe any means, but there are a lot of points to be had here if Jackson starts missing bats. John Lackey FanDuel 7900 DraftKings 9500 DraftStreet 15626 Oof, how bad do...

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