Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/21/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/21/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Pitchers Michael Wacha FanDuel 8700 DraftKings 10300 DraftStreet 22536 Wacha has been so money this season and I suspect he knows it. Dude is racking up some impressive strikeout numbers with over 10 per 9. That's among the top in the league and goes nicely with his sub 3 xFIP. He's definitely the best arm going today from a raw number standpoint. The DBacks are middle of the road against righties which isn't too exciting. They are just ok. That being said, for cash games I think he represents some safety without a price tag that breaks the bank. Hyun-Jin Ryu FanDuel 7100 DraftKings 8200 DraftStreet 18558 The Mets, while not at the bottom of the league against lefties (more middle of the pack) strike out a ton against them. Close to 25% of their at bats against southpaws end in a strike out. That, my friends, is a lot of whiffing. Ryu comes at somewhat of a discount because he's returning from injury. This would typically make the situation a stayaway for me, but on a night of pitching question marks, I can stomach it. Ryu is a good, not great pitcher who generate K's and limits the walks. Pitching in a ballpark that depresses power helps and this makes a nice midrange option. Tanner Roark FanDuel 6300 DraftKings 9000 DraftStreet 16366 Cincinnati wasn't that good with Votto around. Without him they look pretty thin and have an abysmal second half of their lineup that is about as light hitting at it gets. Names like Heisey, Cozart and Santiago start popping up and that's before you even get to the pitcher slot. In other words, now is the time to target pitchers facing the the Small Red Machine. Roark has been serviceable in eight starts, striking out about 8 per 9 innings. His xFIP is under 4. and the walks aren't out of control. Not huge upside, but I doubt he gets bombed considering the state of the Reds. Nathan Eovaldi FanDuel 6600 DraftKings 8800 DraftStreet 17369 His last two starts were rough. But there is nothing in his Pitch F/X profile that suggest he's dealing with any kind of issue. And while the opponents were lackluster,...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/20/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/20/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Pitchers Justin Verlander FanDuel 8900 DraftKings 10400 DraftStreet 17408 He's not the Verlander he was, and that much is plain. The reduced Ks and increased walks are absolutely troubling. But follow me for a second. Cleveland is already in the basement of the AL Central, and they are tossing the bedraggled Trevor Bauer. Furthermore, they had an OPS 40 points higher against left handed pitching, and Verlander's right handed stylings don't mesh well with that. It's kind of weird to think of the future Cy Young winner as a match up play, but that's what you're looking at here. Bauer has looked good in AAA and his 1 start this year, but he's a season away from a season in which he walked almost 9 guys per 9 in the majors and 5.5 per 9 in the minors. Josh Beckett FanDuel 6700 DraftKings 8800 DraftStreet 17249 Beckett has been absolutely fantastic this year, and the Mets have been Metslike. Rafael Montero pitching for the Home team isn't helping matters. Do you really need a lot of advanced stats, here? You can make a great case for Beckett as the #1 overall pitcher today, but a lot of people will prefer to invest more salary at favorable multipliers. A.J. Burnett FanDuel 7100 DraftKings 8100 DraftStreet 15290 The Marlins look renewed this season, without any doubt. But a lot of their renewal comes from crushing the souls of left handers. Their park still plays well for pitchers, and Burnett is still capable of racking up the Ks. He's not looked himself in the last couple of games, but if you want a cheaper option today, Burnett couple pay off quite handsomely. He's also facing off against someone named Anthony DeSclafani, who only .01% of people in Anthony DeSclafani's family have ever heard of. Masahiro Tanaka FanDuel 10500 DraftKings 12200 DraftStreet 24067 The price is SUPER steep, and the system isn't totally buying the hype on Tanaka just yet, but I am. The lowly Cubs have a tough time scoring runs, and have won only 35.7% of their games this season (!). A lot of that is bad luck, and they actually have a better run differential than the Yankees...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/19/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/19/14 Really slow day in baseball. We'll just do some quick picks for those playing the short slate tonight. Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr or @dougnorrie. Pitchers Stephen Strasburg FanDuel 10200 DraftKings 11100 DraftStreet 21998 Feel like I'm obligated to put him first and well he should be. Strasburg's numbers this season are some of the best of his career. What sways public opinion on Stras is that his blow ups early in the season were high profile and he didn't last more than five innings in each. The rest of his season he's been nails. He carries big time home/road splits for his career that probably just are a real thing. His home ERA is a full run less in Washington and today gets the Reds, a middle of the pack team against righties who become even worse without Votto at the top of the lineup. Stras will be a huge cash game start and it is risky to fade him in this spot. Garrett Richards FanDuel 7200 I would consider him everywhere but on FanDuel he is a crazy steal. Priced 30% less than Strasburg. This makes the cash game consideration here a bit closer. Richards has been super solid this season, striking out more than a batter an inning. I think he's running a little hot and is a bit overpriced on other sites because of it. The Astros strike out a ton but they aren't complete dogs. For instance, Richards is more than Stras on DraftStreet. This is probably a mistake. He's been good, but not that good. On FanDuel roll it without hesitation. When he's priced same as Stras, go Stephen. Mike Minor FanDuel 7800 DraftKings 8300 DraftStreet 16666 Coming at a crazy discount on a short day. Minor has been super solid in his first three starts back from injury. He's striking out about 8.5 batters per nine, keeping the walks down and a crazy HF/FB rate is what's keeping his ERA high. That's great news for you because others will look at the ERA and suspect he's a dud. He's not. The Brewers strike out the third most in the league against lefties at close to a 25% rate. Minor has great upside today even with a...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings for 5/18/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings for 5/18/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Pitchers David Price FanDuel 9500 DraftKings 11700 DraftStreet 22309 It's a day to spend on pitching. Price squares off against Matt Shoemaker, who had a 6.31 ERA in Triple A this year. Price's ERA is riduculously inflated, and his insane 70 K: 6 BB ratio on the season should turn that ERA around right quick. Anaheim is one of the very best places to pitch in the majors. Price will be a huge start today. Felix Hernandez FanDuel 9800 DraftKings 11800 DraftStreet 24949 King Felix has sort of... not been himself recently. But the guy still has a sub 3 xFIP and more than a K per inning. The Twins haven't been a doormat when it comes to hitting this year, but Nolasco has been an absolute mess, and this one looks like one of Felix's best opportunities for a W with some Ks on the side in a while. A bunch of guys with upside & question marks. It's an odd day for pitching. Aside from the two big guns, you have guys with things going for them and things really weighing against them. Cingrani faces the Phillies - who are much worse against lefties... but he opposes Cliff Lee. Anibal Sanchez has been striking guys out in heaps, and gets to face the struggling Jake Peavy, but has those pesky Red Sox hitters to contend with in Fenway. For my money? I'm spending on pitching today. Catchers Jonathan Lucroy FanDuel 3600 DraftKings 4200 DraftStreet 6729 Lucroy is a really strange player. And by strange, I mean awesome. He's a true lefty crusher, but he does it in such a unique way for guys who play behind home plate. His 900 OPS and 145 wRC+ against lefties should tell you all you need to know as to why Lucroy tops the catcher ranks today. Brian McCann FanDuel 3100 DraftKings 3800 DraftStreet 5969 All aboard the Brian McCann train! A disciplined hitter like McCann shouldn't be too fooled by Morton's trickery, and taking the slugging left handed catcher in Yankee stadium vs. any righty can never be a bad thing. Jarrod Saltalamacchia FanDuel 2600 DraftKings 3400 DraftStreet 4666 Salty ended a recent hitless streak with...
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/16/14
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftStreet, and DraftKings 5/16/14 Our Free Baseball eBook is live! Check out the details, and get your copy now! Don't make another lineup before reading this book! It contains one mistake that basically everyone in the daily fantasy baseball industry is making! Tired of shedding bankroll? Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Pitchers Yu Darvish FanDuel 10800 DraftKings 12000 DraftStreet 23009 First start since almost completely blanking the Red Sox last Saturday. Darvish had a few games in which he was letting up more than his share of hits, but the game against Boston highlighted that he's one of the elite pitchers in the game (not really news mind you, but his stock was down heading into that affair). Today it's the Blue Jays, a squad about middle of the pack against righties who strike out in the league average range. I am taking Darvish today on his ultimate upside combined with a semi-low floor just because swings and misses he generates. The Blue Jays live off the long ball. If that expectation is dimished through increased strikeouts then Darvish has some huge upside in this one. Zack Greinke FanDuel 9700 DraftKings 11300 DraftStreet 23315 Greinke and Darvish are about neck and neck for me today. I think Darvish is a better pitcher but Greinke has the better matchup. He's been a different pitcher this season. And by different, I mean shit loads better than the last few seasons. His early numbers are almost identical to his last full season with the Brewers in 2011. The big thing for him is the strikeout. He's back up to averaging more than a K an inning and walking a career low. His xFIP is right in line with his sub 3 ERA and all signs point to him having "it". The D-Backs are below average against righties, much in part to a drop off in their order basically after Goldschmidt. Run Greinke out there today. On DraftStreet, pairing Greinke with Darvish and a RP is a pretty high upside play that still leaves a few bucks for hitters. Lance Lynn FanDuel 7800 DraftKings 9000 DraftStreet 15241 Do you know who ranks second to last in the league in wOBA against righties? The Braves. The Mets have been better. The Mets. The Braves are getting crushed by righties, mostly because they have a couple of guys (I'm looking at you Upton brothers) who are significantly worse against that hand. Gattis and Simmons and Johnson too. Basically, except for Freeman and Heyward, this...