MLB Betting Preview – Taking the under on the Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Betting Preview - Taking the under on the Arizona Diamondbacks Welcome to our MLB preseason series in which we'll highlight some season-long win/loss prop bets on a number of different teams. With Opening Day breathing down our neck (less than a month away. Look for these coming out over the course of the next few weeks, with 6-8 teams highlighted as potentially strong bets on projected win totals going into the season. We've already covered the Reds and how their new additions could lead to a strong season. Now let's take a look at the Diamondbacks. Arizona Diamondbacks 2018 Record: 82-80 2018 Pythagorean Record: 86-76 2019 Over/Under Wins: 75.5 Key Additions Luke Weaver Wilmer Flores Key Losses Paul Goldschmidt Patrick Corbin Projected Lineup Ketel Marte - OF Eduardo Escobar - 3B David Peralta - OF Steven Souza - OF Jake Lamb - 1B Wilmer Flores - 2B Nick Ahmed - SS Carson Kelly - C Projected Starting Rotation Zack Greinke Robbie Ray Zack Godley Luke Weaver Merrill Kelly After making the playoffs in 2017, the Diamondbacks barely finished over .500 in 2018. Hate to break it to Arizona fans, it’s going to get worse. For starters, they traded away their best hitter in Paul Goldschmidt and lost their best pitcher in Patrick Corbin to free agency. Goldschmidt was on his fourth-consecutive 5+ WAR season (despite being a minus in the field) thanks to a .922 OPS, 33 home runs and 13% walk rate. They’ll replace him with Jake Lamb at first, Eduardo Escobar in a more full-time role at third and Wilmer Flores should start at second. Lamb is coming off his worst season as a major leaguer that saw him strike out at a 27% rate while finishing with an OPS under .700 in 286 plate appearances. Injuries were an issue, but he’s now a middle of the order hitter with a career 46 (!) wRC+ against lefties. Maybe continued growth out of David Peralta (3.8 WAR, .868 OPS) helps stem some of the offensive attrition, but I have my doubts with the guy entering his age 31 season. He ran incredibly hot on the Hr/FB rate (23%) so there’s a reason to suspect he dips back down to reality. In fact, basically the whole middle of the lineup is a platoon disaster. Peralta and Lamb can’t hit lefties and Steven Souza can’t hit righties. Should be fun. And then there’s the loss of Patrick Corbin. The lefty is coming off easily the best season of his career, turning in a 2.61 xFIP (3.15 ERA) with an 11.07 K/9 rate and a 6.3 WAR (4th-best in the league). They replace him, essentially, with Luke Weaver who took a definitive...
Podcast – Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19
Podcast - Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19 Listen to "Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19" on Spreaker. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the NBA podcast discussing a nine-game NBA slate for FanDuel and DraftKing, plus some betting action. They go game-by-game discussing cash game plays for both sites, plus some lines that look a little bit off. There are the Sixers still without Joel Embiid against the Rockets. They talk about whether guys like Ben Simmons and Jimmy Butler are cash game viable plus if we are starting to get discounts on some of the Rockets. They also look at the Pistons’ big men of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond against a very weak Chicago front court and whether stacking them in cash games is the play. And finally, does Klay Thompson coming back for the Warriors mean some of the other big names on the team are out of consideration now? Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on...
Podcast – Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/22/19
Podcast - Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/22/19 Listen to "Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/22/19" on Spreaker. The DFSR crew of Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the podcast discussing a full slate of NBA action for FanDuel and DraftKings. This is the first big slate coming back from the All-Star break and there’s plenty to discuss as the guys go game-by-game. They look at the lack of big money payoffs and why it might make sense to pay up for Paul George even against the Jazz. There’s the idea of stacking Blake Griffin, Andre Drummond and possibly even Luke Kennard and Reggie Jackson against the Hawks. All of this and plenty more on a full Friday NBA break down for DraftKings and FanDuel. Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on...
Podcast – Thursday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/14/19
Podcast - Thursday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/14/19 Listen to "Thursday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/14/19" on Spreaker. The DFSR crew of James Davis and Doug Norrie take to the podcast discussing a three-game NBA slate for FanDuel and DraftKings. They start off talking about if Valentine’s Day is any factor in the guy’s life (hint: it isn’t). Then they break down the slate which has a fair amount of bad teams with serious questions about the minutes and rotations. The Knicks and Pelicans come to mind in this respect. There’s also projected ownership on Paul George and Russell Westbrook, plus if you can play backups in cash games. Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on...
Wednesday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/13/19
Wednesday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/13/19 Listen to "Wednesday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 2/13/19" on Spreaker. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the podcast discussing a full slate of Wednesday action for FanDuel and DraftKings. It’s a big night of hoops action with plenty to discuss in terms of injuries, opportunities and how recent performances should influence projections. The guys discuss, and compare, some of the bigger money plays like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kawhi Leonard, Joel Embiid and even James Harden coming near peak prices. There are positive and negatives with each of them. They roll game-by-game discussing the fantasy implications and how to attack the last big NBA slate before the All-Star Break. Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on...