Week 15 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy Coming off a 5-3 week last time around in Week 14 and getting pumped for another slate of Sunday action. Let’s dig into some bets. Enjoy gambling online? Check out JackpotCity Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer. Miami Dolphins Opponent NE MIA -2 MIA -130 This line has been moving anywhere from MIA -3 to MIA -1 depending on the site. But for now, it’s sitting consistently at MIA -2. Though the Dolphins and Patriots are separated by only two wins on the record board, the two teams have had decidedly different seasons on paper. The Dolphins have outscored opponents by 85 points this year while the Patriots have a -2 point differential on the season. Miami is coming off a game against the Chiefs in which they played really well on the road by couldn’t quite keep pace. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had extended rest playing last Thursday though they got thrashed by the Rams 24-3 and that score makes the game appear even closer than it was. This could be tough sledding for a Patriots team that ranks 28th on offense with the pass against the Dolphins who are top-5 defending it. They’ll have to stick to the ground game where there’s some advantage, but it’s hard to imagine New England mustering a ton of offense. The Dolphins, at home, really need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive while the Patriots could wrap their season up here with a loss. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent ATL TB -5 The Bucs stumbled for a few games, losing three out of four before turning things around in Week 14 with a win over the Vikings. It’s worth noting though their three losses in that stretch were to Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and New Orleans Saints, teams with a combined 31-8 record on the season. That’s a tough stretch. Things ease up considerably here against the Falcons. Atlanta has looked better overall since firing Dan Quinn but are still 1-3 over their last four games. Two of those were to the Saints, but they also dropped a game to the lowly Chargers. Now they’ll face the Bucs who are top five in both offense and defense this season. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks 14th on defense and are considerably worse against the pass than the run. With the Falcons eliminated from the playoff and the Bucs possibly locking up a playoff berth with a win, this game could...

Week 14 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/10/20 We are starting Week 14 off with some action on the Thursday night game between the Rams and the Patriots.   Los Angeles RamsOpponent NERams -4.5 The Patriots are coming off a massive, 45-0 stomping of the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13. And they have played better of late, winning four of their last five. But two of those wins were against a couple of the worst teams in the league, the Chargers and the Jets. They also somehow dropped one to the Texans. And of course, they still own a bottom-third defense. The Rams are an incredibly balanced team on the season. They rank 4th in offensive DVOA and 5th on defense. And the best part of their offensive game, running the ball, lines up well against the Patriots’ biggest deficiency: stopping the ground game. The Patriots rank 28th against the rush on the season. It stands to reason Sean McVay and company will grind down New England with the rush. All season, New England has tried to grind down teams with their own running game, trying to use Cam Newton’s legs while also leaning on guys like Damien Harris. And of late it’s worked having won four of their last five games. It hasn’t felt great (ever) betting against Bill Belichick, but let’s do it here. WIN   New Orleans SaintsOpponent PHISaints -7 The Saints head into Philadelphia this week with at least one more game of Taysom Hill under center. In the last three weeks, Hill has gone 3-0 though admittedly it wasn’t the toughest run of competition. They beat the Falcons twice and the Denver practice squad once. That being said, it doesn’t get much harder this week against the Eagles and Jalen Hurts’ first start. On the Hill side, there hasn’t been much of a drop-off in the offensive efficiency for the team and though the offense looks different, they’ve still managed to put up points relatively speaking. Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled this season (understatement) and are now moving to a rookie quarterback in Jalen Hurts. Though Hurts did put tip yards through the air in his Week 13 debut, he was incredibly inefficient going 5-12. The Eagles likely reduce some of their sack issues, but it’s hard to imagine the offense taking a big leap here. New Orleans has the second-best defense in the league and should take advantage of Hurts’s inexperience.   Indianapolis Colts Opponent LVColts -3 Though the Colts and the Raiders are only separated in the standings by one game (Indy 8-5, LV 7-5) the seasons have been very different on paper. The Colts have outscored opponents by 55 points while...

Week 10 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 11/12/20 Plenty of NFL betting action to get in on for Week 10 after a 2-1 record in the article. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Texans Opponent CLEHOU +3It’s tough taking teams who have been, well pretty bad this season. That’s definitely the case with the Texans who fired their head coach/GM midseason and sport a 2-6 record with the only two wins over the lowly Jaguars. That is far from a great resume though it’s worth noting they had a brutal stretch to start the season against the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers, and (to some extent) the Vikings.By opposing record, the Texans have the 8th most difficult schedule this season. It’s for sure been a rough go of it. But they remain an above-average DVOA offense and still have Deshaun Watson under center. This is worth something. The defense ranks poorly, but they’ve had the second-hardest schedule in terms of the offensive opponent which does help explain some of that. Meanwhile, the Browns' 5-3 record is a lot of smoke and mirrors. They have a -31 point differential on the season despite the 20th most difficult schedule on the season. Both the offense (17th in DVOA) and defense (19th) are below average this season. Records aside these two teams aren’t all that different with the Houston passing offense making up for the lack of effort on the defensive end. I’m a little concerned with the Houston motivation her considering the record has gone off the rails, but by the numbers, I see this as more of a pick’em. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent CARTB -5.5 It was a rough scene for the Buccaneers in Week 9 with them losing control of the game early against the Saints and ultimately getting dumpstered 38-3. It’s hard to know what to make of that game and whether it’s just a blip on the radar for a team that was 6-2 coming in. It’s not excusable, but one game doesn’t a season make. They struggled to get going on the ground and really couldn’t do anything on offense. But despite that performance, this Bucs team still ranks first overall in DVOA defense on the season and are well above average on offense. This is still a very good team that had a very bad week. Meanwhile, Carolina has sported one of the league’s worst defenses this season, ranking 26th while...

Week 2 NFL Betting Strategy 9/17/20 Last week we gave out three bets in our Member’s only chat. BAL -7.5 (W), LAR +2.5 (W) and CAR +130 .5 units (L). This week let’s put some of them live. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Arizona CardinalsOpponent WASARI -6.5 Arizona handled some business on Sunday, taking down the 49ers on the road in one of the bigger upsets of opening weekend. Though was it really all that surprising? This is a team that worked to upgrade a major area of need (WR) in the offseason while giving up a guy who basically dragged them down while on the field (David Johnson). It was almost additional by subtraction just on the DJ part but they also got back a top 3 WR in football for their efforts. It paid off. Kyler Murray was even freer to be a playmaker with the Hopkins threat looming and a full season of Kenyan Drake is also a major upgrade. All of this plus they handled a major area of weakness, defending the pass, against an admittedly beat-up 49ers’ WR group. And the run defense was strong, holding Raheem Mostert to 3.7 yards per carry (15/56) after he finished at a 5.6 YPC clip in 2019. Meanwhile, Washington pulled off an upset win over the Eagles in Week 1 thanks in large part to continually pressuring a foot-in-cement Carson Wentz and facing an Eagles’ team that played with its third-string RB from the second quarter on. Dwayne Haskins was still a moderate mess (17/31 for 178 yards) and the running game averaged a putrid 2.2 yards per carry on 36 attempts. Washington is still a bad team and now need to fly across the country to play the Cardinals. This line appears a little too built on Washington's Week 1 win.  Minnesota VikingsOpponent INDBet: Minnesota +3, Minnesota +142 (.5 units) What exactly did we see from the Colts that rate them as a three-point favorite against anyone, even if it is at home in Week 2? They lost Marlon Mack with an Achilles tear, admittedly not a line mover but not all that great from a top-down perspective. And they are coming off a Week 1 loss to a team who everyone universally agreed (except for them I suppose) would be the worst team in football this season, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The defense looked rough, allowing Gardner Minshew to complete...

Special Episode - PGA Memorial Tournament DFS and Betting 7/14/20 It's another special episode of DFSR's DFS PGA Podcast with the guys breaking down PGA's Memorial Tournament. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA, NFL and NHL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! PGA is back again for another week of golf action and it’s a loaded field at the Memorial Tournament. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and Chris Durell take to the podcast discussing the DFS lineup implications and betting strategies for a tournament that could play a lot like a major. They break down the upper tier of golfers which is a who’s who including Bryson deChambeau, Patrick Cantlay, Webb Simpson, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy. But there’s plenty of discussion around the group below, especially on DraftKings where the pricing seems too be a bit soft. They get into Xander Schauffle, Daniel Berger and Abraham Ancer among other. And finally, both talk about some of the value plays who could round out cash lineups. Check out Chris’s Patreon Page at https://www.patreon.com/jagerbombs as well as www.dailyfantasysportsrankings.com/membership. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...