Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14 Main Slate 12/10/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 Main Slate 12/10/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Justin Fields FD 7900 DK 6800 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 20.56 DK - 20.56 The quarterbacks coming in the upper salary tier are basically all in great spots this week and it could be tough picking between and among them. Really, I could have written up anyone in this group and it would have been fine. From that perspective, we could see ownership spread out some on both sites. But I do think Justin Fields has one of the higher floors here in a home matchup against the Lions. From a floor perspective, Fields has one of the higher ones around. He runs a ton, averaging 12.25 rushes per game over his last four. He hasn’t found the end zone with all that time on the ground, though that could be something of an outlier. Plus, the Bears will air it out if playing from behind which could, for sure, be the case against Detroit here. I especially like the price on DraftKings coming sub-$7K. Brock Purdy FD 8100 DK 6500 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 20.51 DK - 20.51 Man, who has been better than this guy over the last four weeks? In that span. Brock Purdy has completed 74% of his passes and averaged 288 yards through the air. Plus he has 11 total touchdown passes. It’s been a fantastic run and has actually vaulted him up into the MVP discussion. Now, he’ll get another great matchup at home against the Seahawks with the 49ers coming in as -10.5 favorites. There was a bit of a struggle two weeks ago in this same matchup, but even with that you saw the numbers posted above. He’s coming off a major chalk week on DraftKings and that could be the case again. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 10500 DK 9200 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 24.67 DK - 27.25 It feels like one of the highest floor plays you can make this week is to stack Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey in cash and just let the 49ers offense take you all the way there. After all, this group has put up points in bunches, and really it’s looked pretty easy for them of late. When these teams played two weeks ago on Thanksgiving, Christian McCaffrey went for 114 yards on the ground and another 25 through the air. He finished with a couple of touchdowns,...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 13 Main Slate 12/3/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 13 Main Slate 12/3/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks C.J. Stroud FD 8000 DK 8100 Opponent DENProj Points FD - 21.18 DK - 21.18 Another week, another chance to play CJ Stroud who has been one of the truly cool stories in the NFL this season. The 2nd overall pick is going to win Rookie of the Year and was even flirting (albeit prematurely) with the MVP odds as well. Now he’s a home favorite against the Broncos who, while better of late, still rank 25th in average yards per pass from opponents this season. This game has the second-highest total on the slate and for good reason. The Texans have been in shootouts and are clearly happy having Stroud sling it in games. The price has climbed with the performance so he is no longer a bargain. But he has a high floor all things considered. Kenny Pickett FD 6700 DK 5100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 16 DK - 16 I can’t even believe I’m writing this but I think you need to take a strong look at Kenny Pickett in cash games on DraftKings this week. There is a lot working in his favor. For starters, in the first game without Matt Canada as OC in Pittsburgh, the Steelers put up over 400 yards of offense, something they hadn’t done, well, at all. Pickett threw 33 passes, going for 278 yards and scrambled five times as well. With the offense having a new look and the matchup against a Cardinals defense that’s among the worst in the league, rostering him at $5100 on DK is a (gasp) safe play. Running Back Zack Moss FD 5600 DK 4600 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 18.96 DK - 20.19 Jonathan Taylor is going to miss significant time with the bad thumb injury and that should but Zack Moss all the way back in the feature role for the Colts. Go back to Week 5 when Jonathan Taylor was just coming back and we saw Moss play 80% of the snaps and carry the ball 20 times with two targets. And the weeks before that it was roughly the same story. Moss was the guy and the Colts were fine leaning all the way in on his usage. That should be the case here against the Titans and the price isn’t anywhere close to where it should be for the opportunity. He is likely the highest-owned player...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 12 Main Slate 11/26/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 Main Slate 11/26/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks C.J. Stroud FD 7700 DK 7700 Opponent JAXProj Points FD - 20.25 DK - 20.25 We could be in a situation where stacking a particular game in cash even on a bigger slate. CJ Stroud has been nothing short of amazing in his rookie season racking up 330 or more passing yards in each of the last three weeks and about to walk away with the Rookie of the Year. Now he’ll face the Jaguars in what could be another shootout and the price, unbelievably, hasn’t gotten all the way there yet. I like the FanDuel price a bit more than DraftKings all things considered. He’s priced just below the elite tier of Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, etc but has just as much upside as that group. Trevor Lawrence FD 7800 DK 6400 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.43 DK - 19.43 This game has the second-highest total on the slate so having some exposure here makes sense. We had Trevor Lawrence as a bounce-back candidate last week and that more than worked out. He threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns while also running in for two more. It was a slate-breaking performance from Lawrence who had been struggling a bit in the short-term. The DraftKings price is way too cheap in my opinion and if the rushing attempts hold then his floor is plenty high enough. Strongly consider Jalen Hurts here, especially on FanDuel. He could be a chalkier option there. Running Back Bijan Robinson FD 7400 DK 6500 Opponent NOProj Points FD - 18.95 DK - 20.72 Arthur Smith finally saw the light of day in Week 10 when he trotted Bijan Robinson out there for 75% of the running back snaps, giving him 22 carries and two targets as well. If this is the new plan (and let’s hope that it is) then he’s way, way too cheap on both sites. From the talent pedigree to the every down role, he has an incredibly high floor that is essentially script independent. Again, Smith can’t totally be trusted here, but for this game, I think we can run him out in cash against the Saints. Jonathan Taylor FD 7500 DK 6900 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 19.25 DK - 20.74 Jonathan Taylor gets a rougher matchup against the Bucs who have been only allowing 3.7 yards per carry to opponents this season, but there’s an...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate 11/23/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 Thanksgiving Slate 11/23/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Dak Prescott FD 8500 DK 6800 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 22.36 DK - 22.36 The Cowboys come in with Thanksgiving’s biggest point total as -11 home favorites against the Commanders. Prescott is coming off a rougher game against the Panthers from the statical side, but it was also an easy win for Dallas and the starters were pulled in the 4th quarter. The three games before that saw him throwing for more than 300 yards in each with 11 total touchdowns to just two interceptions. Now he’ll face a weaker defense from Washington and there’s a reason the Boys are big favorites. Dak has a high floor and the DraftKings price doesn’t make you think too hard. Brock Purdy FD 7700 DK 6100 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 18.02 DK - 18.02 With the 49ers offense back at full strength in the skill position department over the last couple of weeks, Purdy has been awesome, completing 78% of his passes and throwing six touchdowns to no interceptions. It’s been as efficient as a quarterback can really and he’s coming off a week that saw him as the chalk QB option on DraftKings. That could be the case again here considering there’s savings off of Dak in order to fill out the rest of the lineup. Running Back Tony Pollard FD 7200 DK 6700 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 17.6 DK - 19.64 It happened folks! Tony Pollard actually found the endzone again in Week 11 after not touching pay dirt since Week 1. He was also as efficient as he’s been all season, averaging more than five yards per carry on his 12 carries. Plus there were five targets in the passing game as well. Now, he’s coming into this one in the running back sweet spot again as big home favorites against a bad defensive line. Let’s run Pollard out there again and hope he can keep it going. Zach Charbonnet FD 5800 DK 5300 Opponent SFProj Points FD - 16.3 DK - 17.97 It’s not amazing rostering running backs from big underdogs, but if the back projects to be used in all facets of the game then it makes it a bit easier from a script standpoint. That should be the case with Zach Charbonnet who projects to be the workhorse for Seattle with Kenneth Walker likely not playing. Charbonnet saw 85% of the...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 11 Main Slate 11/19/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 Main Slate 11/19/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Sam Howell FD 7700 DK 6300 Opponent NYGProj Points FD - 19.64 DK - 19.64 The top QBs, in terms of overall scoring, aren’t on this slate and CJ Stroud who’s been amazing has really shot up in price. It leaves us in an interesting spot at the position for this week. I think we can turn to Sam Howell who is in a great spot at home against the Giants. Big Blue stinks, just got lit up by Dak Prescott and has basically called it on the season. Meanwhile, Washington is still (somehow) kind of in the NFC playoff hunt and could use a layup win here. Howell has attempted 42 or more passes in each of the last four weeks and has averaged a few rushes as well. His price doesn’t break the bank on either site and I think we can stack him with a Commanders’ running back as well for cash. Trevor Lawrence FD 7000 DK 6000 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 18.52 DK - 18.52 This one is going to take a little stomach to manage, but there’s definitely a case to be made for Trevor Lawrence in cash. He’s had a bad run of late, running up against the Saints, Steelers, and 49ers in the last three weeks. But now he’ll face a below-average Tennessee Titans secondary who rank well below average against the pass. The Titans are something of a funnel defense and this is a get-right spot for Lawrence who shouldn’t be as bad as he’s been in recent weeks. Plus, we are getting him on a price drop as well. Kyler Murray FD 7600 DK 6100 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.01 DK - 19.01 Kyler Murray’s return paid dividends even if the efficiency wasn’t amazing. He attempted 32 passes, completing 19 and going for 249 yards. Plus he scrambled six times for 33 yards and a touchdown. This week he’s up against the Texans who’ve had no problem getting into shootouts this season. Opponents play at an above-average pace and the conditions here line up well for cash. Kyler hasn’t been totally price-corrected for what we can expect from him going forward, and not throwing any TDs last week kept the salaries relatively in check. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 10000 DK 9300 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 22.79 DK - 25.62 Christian McCaffrey is second in...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 10 Main Slate 11/12/23
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 10 Main Slate 11/12/23 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Joe Burrow FD 8200 DK 6800 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 19.5 DK - 19.5 Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes are on byes while Lamar Jackson is facing up against the Browns. That leaves some of the bigger fantasy QBs out of the cash mix but there are plenty of ways to go here. Joe Burrow is clearly over the calf injury and has been humming with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions total over the last four weeks. He’s facing a below-average Houston Texans defense allowing more than average opponents plays from scrimmage this season. I like Burrow’s price on DraftKings a bit more and think there’s a chance that pairing him with Joe Mixon (who we’ll get to) could be the move in cash on this slate. Taylor Heinicke FD 7000 DK 5100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 18.17 DK - 18.17 Taylor Heinicke got his first start for the Falcons in Week 9 and the team promptly lost an embarrassing one to the Cousins and Jefferson-less Vikings. He completed only 55% of his passes but did get 268 yards while also adding another 20 on the ground. The key here is less about Heinicke and more about the matchup. The Arizona Cardinals rank 28th in pass rush and 31st in overall defense according to PFF. For his DraftKings price, I think he makes a cash game play even though I hate the Falcons in general on a week-to-week basis. Running Back Joe Mixon FD 7700 DK 6200 Opponent HOUProj Points FD - 16.33 DK - 18.41 With our running backs we love to have home favorites as a good place to start. Check and check for Joe Mixon with the Bengals -7 in Cincy against the Texans. Houston is below average against the run this season and Mixon is unchallenged in the backfield for this team right now. He’s not efficient on the carries, going for fewer than four yards a touch so far, but he’s always on the field and Burrow will target him in the passing game. I really like his price on both sites considering the opportunity. Tony Pollard FD 7800 DK 7300 Opponent NYGProj Points FD - 17.88 DK - 19.96 Ugh, when do we quit this guy? Just when you think he’s got the perfect scenario, the production just doesn’t come. And yet here we are in Week 10 with...