Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 4 – 9/29/19
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 4 - 9/29/19 In Week 3, it was a good week to be a fill-in, possibly future franchise, quarterback. The young guns like Daniel Jones and Kyle Allen crushed it. What do we have in store for Week 4? Let's take a look at some cash game options. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Russell Wilson FD 7800 DK 6100 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 21.28 DK - 22.12Through the first three weeks of the season, the Cardinals defense has allowed two of the top eight overall QB performances on DraftKings: Lamar Jackson - 33.8 DK pts and Matthew Stafford - 31.6 pts. And they are fresh off a week making Kyle Allen look like the second coming of Joe Montana in only his second start. Now they’ll get Russell Wilson coming off the best QB performance of the season in which he went for 406/2 through the air and 51/2 on the ground playing catchup against the Saints. Wilson is a positive steal on DraftKings at only $6100 and is in play on FanDuel as well. This could be a smash spot considering Arizona is allowing the second most opponent plays per game and have been decimated by opposing signal callers. I suspect Wilson is something like the chalk on both sites. Patrick Mahomes FD 9200 DK 7500 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 24.63 DK - 25.7Imagine if opposing teams actually pressed the Chiefs and Mahomes to keep their foot on the gas for an entire game? I suppose Baltimore sort of did that in Week 3, though the game had more a grind out feel from the Ravens side and Mahomes still chucked up 374 yards and three touchdowns in *only* 37 attempts. He leads the league in passing TDs (10) despite ranking just 7th in pass attempts. Dude just makes it look easy and I don’t think we are at the peak of his price considering the amount of safety he seems to offer week in and week out. Detroit is allowing the most opponent plays per game this season and KC comes in with the second-highest team total of the week. The only question really is if you can afford Mahomes and I think since we might be going a bit cheaper on some RBs and WRs, the price on Mahomes is fine. Matt Ryan FD 7900 DK 5900 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 19.87 DK - 20.84I’m typically hard pressed to...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 3 – 9/22/19
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 3 - 9/22/19 Two weeks are in the books and now we head into Week 3 with some uncertainty around injuries for a bunch of different teams. But there's still plenty of cash game value out there and we've got you covered for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks We live in weird and wacky times. Injuries have hit the quarterback position unusually hard to start the season with 19% of teams’ projected opening week starters on the shelf, out for the season or simply retired. That’s leaving us with a fair amount of backups taking the starting nod and us left to wade through the leftovers. One more quick note: Clearly, Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes are the upper tier of cash game projected plays. That’s not necessarily news. But in the vein of being intellectually honest and realistic, it’s not feasible to pay up for either of them AND go expensive at running back. Things change over the course of the week, and if a punt option or two emerges at another position then let’s bite the bullet and spend all the way up. For the time being, I’m going to recommend some cost-effective arms. Cool? Cool. Kyler Murray FD 7200 DK 5800 Opponent CAR Proj Points FD - 19.57 DK - 20.8 From an efficiency perspective, Murray’s first two weeks in the NFL haven’t been anything to text home about. He’s completed only 57% of his passes. But man, the volume is more than making up for it. With an OT game in there Week 1, Murray has already attempted 94 passes through the first two weeks, leading to 657 total passing yards. He only has two TDs to speak of, but that does feel like some run bad considering the Cardinals were down and close a few times against the Ravens and settled for field goals. The Kliff Kingsbury offense is mostly what we expected from a pace standpoint with the Cards averaging the fifth-most offensive plays per game this season. Now Arizona will face a possibly-Cam Newton-less Panthers team that’s ranked fourth-fastest in pace against through the first two weeks. Murray is coming cheap enough on DraftKings to play in cash games and I do think there are still some gains to made on the ground for him. Jameis Winston FD 7300 DK 5400 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 19.12 DK - 19.56 Oh boy. See what...
Passing Attacks to Target for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 2 on FanDuel and DraftKings
Passing Attacks to Target for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 2 on FanDuel and DraftKings James broke down his top DFS game plays earlier in the week and James Doug broke down every game in the Mega Podcast. Now it's time to look at some passing attacks to target in GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 7500 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 22.08 DK - 23.71 Travis Kelce FD 8000 DK 7300 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 14.17 DK - 17.81 Mecole Hardman FD 4700 DK 4800 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 6.96 DK - 8.56 Not much has to be said here from a talent standpoint as MVP Mahomes and company picked up right where they left off in 2018. They opened the 2019 season facing the 6th ranked DVOA defense from last year, the Jacksonville Jaguars, and pretty much waxed the floor with them despite losing Tyreke Hill in the first quarter. Mahomes went off for 378 yards and three touchdowns, all of which went to Sammy Watkins who stepped up in a big way with Hill's absence. He caught nine of a game-high 11 targets for a whopping 198 yards and pretty much broke the slate. As you can see from the list of players above I am going in a different direction this week and will be mostly fading Watkins and his likely high ownership due to recency bias. Instead, I will take the projected ownership discount and roll with rookie Mecole Hardman who should step into the Tyreke Hill role. There is definitely risk here as he is a rookie in his second game in the NFL and ended week one dropping his only target in a game where the Chiefs scored 40 points. The best part here is that he comes cheap under $5K on both sites and pairing him with Mahomes still allows you to pay up at running back and/or tight end. Speaking of, if Hardman appears to be mega chalk come Sunday morning(check FanshareSports) I will be pivoting a ton of exposure over to Kelce. Yes, he will be popular as well but is a proven elite player and the combination of Mahomes and Kelce is very expensive and likely outside the Top 3 highest owned two-man stacks which to me seems like a mistake considering the enormous upside. New Orleans Saints Drew Brees FD 8000 DK 6200 Opponent LAR Proj Points FD - 18.33 DK -...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 2 – 9/12/19
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 2 - 9/12/19 Week 1 is in the books and now it's time to look ahead to Week 2. Take a look at some cash game plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 8200 DK 6700 Opponent ARI Proj Points FD - 21.68 DK - 20.91 Well, he went and did the damn thing didn’t he? Laying (somewhat) to rest his ability as a pure pocket passer, Jackson put up a Week 1 to be remembered, completing 17/20 passes for 324 yards and 5 touchdowns in three quarters against the Miami Dolphins. It was something of a statement game even if it was against a team actively trying to lose games this season. Moving forward it’s a little difficult to make heads or tails of what the Ravens ultimate plan is with Jackson. Last season he averaged 13 rushing attempts per game after taking over as starter. In Week 1, he carried the ball once. Did they not run because they didn’t have to? Or is the plan moving forward to strictly keep him in the pocket? For our purposes this may be something like having your cake and eating it too. The idea that he can do both at a moment’s notice means we could be looking at the highest-floor quarterback around. He’ll face an Arizona team that, predictably, allowed the second-most offensive plays (OT-aided) to their opponent. The price comes up for sure but it might not be enough if he’s just a complete weapon behind center. Oh, and did I mention the Ravens have the second-highest implied total (30) on the day? Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 7500 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 22.08 DK - 23.71 Tyreek Hill played all of 12 snaps on Sunday and saw 2 targets. Patrick Mahomes still finished with 25/33 (75%), 374 yards passing and 3 TDs. I’m not saying the Chiefs are the same without their most feared skill position guy, but the KC offense did just keep chugging along without him. They’ll be without Hill for Week 2 and beyond, but Mahomes is still very much a top cash game option at these prices. The Chiefs come in with the highest implied total on the slate, he still has weapons in Watkins and Kelce, the running backs catch balls out of the backfield and Andy Reid’s scheme is designed to make things potent for the quarterback. Considering...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 – 9/5/19
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 - 9/5/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 7400 DK 6000 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 20.86 DK - 21.14 We're starting the season with Lamar Jackson under center? It's looking that way. After Jackson took over in week 11, he ran for 536 yards in 7 games. If you extrapolate that rate over 16 games, he would have had 1,225 yards, which would have been good for 4th best in the entire NFL. It would have been 26 yards fewer than Todd Gurley, who is more expensive than Jackson going into this week. Oh, and Jackson also passes the ball. It's reasonable to suggest that we'll see some regression from Jackson in the running game this season, simply because we have never seen a quarterback run so prolifically without getting injured. That being said, isn't it also reasonable to assume that he'll probably improve somewhat in the passing game? Any of that would just be the icing on the cake, here. The Ravens are in a fantastic spot against the Dolphins, who allowed the second most rushing yards per game last season and have already mailed in the season. I like Jackson in just about every format this week. Carson Wentz FD 7600 DK 5700 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 19.63 DK - 20.15 If you don't trust Jackson to continue his breakneck (perhaps literally) rushing pace, Wentz is a very interesting QB to consider. While it's true that Wentz is running a lot less than it looked like he would early in his career, he's quietly a much bigger force in the passing game than he gets credit for. While his end of year stats aren't phenomenal, is rate stats are excellent. His 69.6% completion rate ranked 3rd best in the league, and his 279.6 yards per game was sixth best among returning starters. He's got a solid core of receivers that's been bolstered by the arrival of DeSean Jackson, who provides a deep threat that the Eagles haven't really had in Wentz's time there. The running game should be improved with Howard and Sanders, both of whom can catch balls out of the backfield as well. Wentz threw for 306 yards while completing 27 of his 39 passes against the Skins last year, and again, his offense should be better this season. I like Wentz as a breakout candidate, and he his price could rise sharply if...
Passing Attacks to Target for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings
Passing Attacks to Target for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 is breathing down our necks, but we are going to have you all set with plenty of time to spare before that first kickoff on Sunday. We've given an early look at some way-too-early values and optimal lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings. There was also a look at rushing attacks and running backs to target based at Vegas Spreads and volume. Now, let's take a look at some of the top passing attacks who stand out as strong plays for week one. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers Jameis Winston FD 7500 DK 6600 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 19.81 DK - 20.49 Mike Evans FD 7900 DK 7900 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 15.16 DK - 17.59 Chris Godwin FD 6900 DK 6200 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 12.24 DK - 14.45 The Buccaneers posted a disappointing 5-11 record in 2018 but from a fantasy perspective, they were nearly an every-week target in the passing game. With one of the worst defenses in the league allowing 29 points per game (31st overall), they trailed so many games, forcing them to throw a ton (4th most attempts) and ended up leading the league with an average of 320.3 passing yards per game. Their defensive outlook is not a whole a lot better in 2019 so fire up the Bucs early and often. Their Week 1 matchup against the 49ers has the third-highest total (49) on the board. It starts at the quarterback position with Jameis Winston who is coming off an inconsistent season overall but finished strong (fantasy-wise) with back to back 300+ yards games. In fact, since taking over as starter again in Week 11, he had three 300+ yard games, four multi-TD games, and only three interceptions in the final six games (did not play week 17). From Week 11 on, Jameis was QB5 in DraftKings points, and was an elite fantasy option. With a Bucs run game led by Peyton Barber, I am expecting a ton of attempts and Winston loves to chuck it deep (annually Top 10 in yards per attempt) adding to his upside. Despite finishing 13th in targets per game(8.7), Mike Evans ended up third behind only Julio and Hopkins with an average of 95.3 receiving yards per game and also posted a career-high 62.3% catch rate(53% average going into 2018 season). He makes contested catches...