Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 Sunday 11/17/24 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Brock Purdy FD 8400 DK 6600 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 21.06 DK - 21.06 The 49ers are operating at close to full strength on offense now, even without Brandon Aiyuk, and that’s good news for Brock Purdy, who has a complement of weapons at his disposal. He threw 36 times last week, going for 353 yards and two touchdowns. The Seahawks are below average in opponent pass attempts and passing yards allowed per game, with this game’s 48 total the second-highest of the slate. Purdy has a high floor and could be the cash game play on DraftKings once again. Bo Nix FD 7400 DK 6200 Opponent ATLProj Points FD - 20.57 DK - 20.57 Not the typical kind of guy we throw out here for cash games, but there’s a decent amount to like about Bo Nix heading into Sunday. The Falcons rank 24th in opponent passing yards allowed per game, and the Broncos are actually home favorites here. Nix isn’t all that efficient, with just a 63% completion percentage, but the Broncos will throw the ball, and he also has four rushing touchdowns on the season. Running Back Christian McCaffrey FD 9800 DK 8300 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 23.07 DK - 26.16 Any concern about Kyle Shanahan and company easing Christian McCaffrey back into action was erased last week. CMC played 88% of the San Francisco offensive snaps, getting 13 carries and seven targets on his way to 107 total yards. The DraftKings price especially hasn’t corrected enough for him back at 100%. It’s a little closer on FanDuel, but you can play him there as well. This is a game and team we want pieces of in cash for sure. Chase Brown FD 6800 DK 6500 Opponent LACProj Points FD - 16.01 DK - 18.27 Against the Ravens in Week 10, Chase Brown was a full bellcow back in terms of usage, getting 13 carries and a monster 11 targets as well. Sure, Joe Burrow threw the ball 56 times in the loss, but you never see that kind of target distribution to a running back. We’ll take it, and these prices aren’t anywhere close to where they should be if he’s on the field 87% of the time like he was last week. Audric Estime FD 5400 DK 4500 Opponent ATLProj Points FD - 12.31 DK - 13.32 It looks like Audric...

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 10 Sunday 11/10/24   Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Brock Purdy FD 8100 DK 6500 Opponent TBProj Points FD - 21.21 DK - 21.21 The 49ers are getting closer to full health this week with Christian McCaffrey coming back into the mix. Yes, they are still without Brandon Aiyuk, but Juaun Jennings will be back as well. That puts Brock Purdy in a good spot on the road against the Tampa Bay Bucs. This game has a 50.5 total, the highest on the slate with Tampa Bay ranked 28th in opponents yards per pass attempts and third-to-last in opponents passing yards per game. This is a place to play Purdy in cash. Justin Herbert FD 6900 DK 5200 Opponent TENProj Points FD - 16.84 DK - 16.84 Justin Herbert is coming very cheap on DraftKings in a week where we might really need the savings elsewhere. The Titans have been an above-average defense on the season, ranking ninth in Defensive DVOA, but the Chargers have let Herbert air it out more in recent weeks, totalling 34, 39, 37, and 27 attempts over the last four. Over that stretch he has five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Plus, he’s run the ball 3+ times a game. Again, on DraftKings, this is a price play. Running Back Bijan Robinson FD 8800 DK 7700 Opponent NOProj Points FD - 20.9 DK - 23.31 The Saints have been below average on defense this season and have been particularly susceptible to the rush, allowing a ton of opponent yards on the ground this season. Bijan is coming off a week in which he saw 74% of the teams’ snaps with 26 total touches. The 19 carries and seven targets are elite usage and he piled on with 144 total yards. Tyler Allgeier vultured a touchdown, but we can live with it. This is a smash spot with the Saints in flux after firing their coach this week. Breece Hall FD 8200 DK 7600 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 18.98 DK - 21.89 The Cardinals are below average in opponents' yards per rush and rushing yards per game this season. And the Jets really need a win here. Breece Hall played 75% of the snaps in Week 9, getting 19 touches (15 carries and four targets), though he turned it into fewer than 80 total yards. He needs to be better than that to justify the price, but I’m trusting that the Jets...

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 9 Sunday 11/3/24 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Jalen Hurts FD 9300 DK 7800 Opponent JAXProj Points FD - 26.6 DK - 26.6 The Jacksonville Jaguars rank dead last in defensive DVOA this season and Jalen Hurts is QB6 in fantasy with the other five guys above him all having played one more game. With the way they use him around the goal line, combined with the rushing yards (255, 6th among QBs), the floor is just so high here. It’s tough between him and Lamar Jackson in the highest price tier, but I’ll take the matchup here on the tiebreaker. Jameis Winston FD 7000 DK 5400 Opponent LACProj Points FD - 18.5 DK - 18.5 He’s just too cheap on DraftKings, where the savings really matters if you can find it at quarterback. We usually don’t recommend non-running quarterbacks in cash games, but Jameis Winston stepped right in last week for Deshaun Watson and threw the ball 41 times for 334 yards and three touchdowns. Sure, there were interceptions, but that’s to be expected in his profile. I can live with it assuming the plan is for the Browns to throw a bunch in this game. Running Back Alvin Kamara FD 8800 DK 7800 Opponent CARProj Points FD - 19.83 DK - 22.83 One thing that’s worked all season, is playing guys against the Carolina Panthers. They are just so, so awful having allowed 271 points to opponents. The next-closest team, the Jags, have *only* allowed 224. That’s simply insane. The Saints get Derek Carr back for this game and are without Rasheed Shaheed as a pass-catcher. I think playing Kamara and stacking him with Chris Olave (who we’ll get to in a second) is a very high floor cash play. Aaron Jones FD 7500 DK 6600 Opponent INDProj Points FD - 18.75 DK - 20.78 Kind of out of nowhere, Aaron Jones played 92% of the Vikings' offensive snaps in Week 8 and touched the ball 21 total times (19 carries, two targets). It only led to 95 total yards and no touchdowns, but the usage and on-field time was about as good as you’ll see these days. With he Vikings -5.5 home favorites against the Colts, I’ll take Jones at a discount if this is anywhere near the kind of usage he sees. Bijan Robinson FD 8500 DK 7400 Opponent DALProj Points FD - 19.54 DK - 21.41 The 51.5 total for the...

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 8 Sunday 10/27/24   Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 8800 DK 8000 Opponent CLEProj Points FD - 25.48 DK - 25.48 While I might like Bo Nix a bit more for cash games because of the pricing and just how great he’s been this season, we’ll start things off with Lamar Jackson. The Browns season is pretty much over, and Lamar has been the near-runaway leader in scoring fantasy points this season. The 15:2 TD: INT rate is as good as it gets, plus the 455 rushing yards rank 11th in the league among all players. That’s just ridiculous. He has as high a floor as you’ll see on a week-to-week basis. Bo Nix FD 6900 DK 5600 Opponent CARProj Points FD - 21.01 DK - 21.01 Opposing offenses have completely slaughtered the Carolina Panthers this season, and this game should be no different. The 243 points allowed is by far (and I mean by far) the most in the league, like full games more than the next closest team. Nix isn’t that expensive on either side and could very well be the DraftKings chalk, at least. Yeah, the completion percentage is only 61%, but again, these are the Panthers we’re talking about. And Nix has averaged eight runs a game over the last three, keeping the floor high enough with his legs. This is all about the matchup, folks. Running Back Breece Hall FD 7900 DK 7300 Opponent NEProj Points FD - 20.12 DK - 23.04 The Jets season is pretty much on the line here, coming into this game 2-5 and likely already on the outside looking in where the playoffs are concerned. But they get the Patriots on the road as -7 favorites. Hall’s ceded plenty of carries to Braelon Allen this season, but in the last game, Breece played 82% of the snaps, seeing 12 carries and nine targets. They should lean on him heavily here in a game they pretty much need to win. De'Von Achane FD 6800 DK 6200 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 16.71 DK - 19.11 The Miami Dolphins will get Tua Tagovailoa back this week, and basically, everyone on their offense will be mispriced because of the last few disaster weeks. But now things should start operating “normally” again and we have a chance to buy all of them way low. De'Von Achane is the RB1 here, carrying the ball 15 times last week...

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 5 Sunday 10/13/24   Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Jayden Daniels FD 9100 DK 7600 Opponent CARProj Points FD - 27.64 DK - 27.64 It’s crazy that we are writing a rookie in Week 7 who also happens to be about as expensive as they come on either site. But here we are with Jayden Daniels, who’s been one of the best QBs in the league, rookie or now. He’s facing off against an abysmal Carolina Panthers defense that gets shredded basically every single week. They’ve allowed 34 or more points to opponents in each of the last three weeks, and it could be the case again here. The Commanders are -8 home favorites, and Daniels has been the third-best fantasy quarterback this season behind only Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield (right?). It’s a smash spot and we are going to want pieces of this offense for sure. The Panthers are just that bad. Sam Darnold FD 7500 DK 6200 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 20.64 DK - 20.64 We usually only want to roster QBs who can get out there and run, but there’s a case for Darnold here, especially at his DraftKings price. He offers decent savings compared to Daniels and this could be a high-scoring affair with the Lions. The game has perfect conditions in the dome and the Vikings will have to keep pace with that high-powered offense. Darnold had a rough game against the Jets, but before that had thrown 11 TDs and just three INTS through his first four games. I think we can run him here if pivoting off Jayden. Running Back Bijan Robinson FD 8200 DK 7100 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 19.2 DK - 21.12 Are we worried that Tyler Allgeier still gets a lot of carries in this offense? Of course, the dude actually out-carried Bijan 18-115 last week, even though the snap count was 56% to 41% in favor of Robinson. It still just means that Bijan isn’t a bell-cow back or anything on this squad. But that’s also okay because he’s also averaging right around 14 carries and four targets a game in one of the game’s better offenses. The price is up there, but I think we’ll be able to find enough savings at the WR position to make it worth our while. And the Falcons are -3 favorites at home in a game tied for the highest total on the slate. Kyren...

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 5 Sunday 10/13/24 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 9500 DK 7800 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 27.11 DK - 27.11 This game has the second-highest total on the slate, and Lamar Jackson has been the best fantasy player in the NFL this season. Do we need much more explanation than that? Probably not. Through five games, Lamar has eight touchdowns through the air and three on the ground. He’s completing 66% of his passes and the 53 rushing attempts are second among QBs. The Commanders are a bottom-third defense and are second-worst in the league in opponent yards per rushing attempts. This is a dream spot for Jackson. Jordan Love FD 8500 DK 6600 Opponent ARIProj Points FD - 21.84 DK - 21.84 More of a DraftKings play than FanDuel because of the pricing, I do like Jordan Love in this matchup against the Cardinals. Arizona owns the 7th-worst defensive DVOA in the league this season, and this game’s 47.5 total is the third-highest of the slate. I do wish Love ran a bit more just to provide a safer floor, but the Packers should be able to work against this defense. Running Back Saquon Barkley FD 9200 DK 8200 Opponent CLEProj Points FD - 20.65 DK - 22.07 We want to target running backs at home as big favorites. That’s the case with Saquon Barkley who’s very expensive but is also coming off the bye in Week 6. He ranks 10th in rushing attempts despite playing one fewer game than everyone above him on the list. And he’s seeing plenty of work in the passing game as well. In the right game script, he’s a smash play against an average Cleveland defense. Derrick Henry FD 9100 DK 8000 Opponent WASProj Points FD - 19.43 DK - 20.08 It’s expensive, but stacking Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson in cash games would appear to have a tremendous floor, especially considering what the Commanders let up on the ground this season. Only the Bills are allowing more rushing yards per play. Henry has averaged 20.5 carries per game over the last four, putting up a crazy 526 yards in that stretch. He hasn’t lost a step, and this is a sick spot. Rico Dowdle FD 6100 DK 5900 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 12.21 DK - 13.87 It sure looks like he’s the RB1 in Dallas, and Ezekiel Elliott is looking increasingly old. He carried...