Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Sanderson Farms Championship The fall season continues with a trip to the Country Club of Jackson for the Sanderson Farms Championship. While the field is a bit stronger than last year when the event was played a month later, it is still a weak-field event(average 471 OWGR) and has seen more than one long shot winner. The course is a Par 72 setup that stretches over 7,400 yards and has ranked just outside the Top 20 in difficulty in each of the last two years. While the fairways hit % is lower than average here, the rough is not very challenging(about 2" on average) which puts a ton of importance on the iron game. This shows in the stats as well as Strokes Gained: Approach has been a major factor in players separating themselves here despite there being both bombers(Champ averaged 334 in 2018 win, Gribble averaged 312 in 2016 win) and plodders(Armour averaged 268 in 2017 win, Malnati averaged 271 in 2015 win) who have been successful here. With the driving accuracy number in the mid 50% range on average, I will also be looking at Rough Proximity in my model as well. You can see all my top stats below and in the model on the sheet, now let's get into the picks. The Course Country Club of Jackson - Jackson, MS Par 72 - 7,440 Yards Greens - Champion Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2018 - Cameron Champ(-21) 2017 - Ryan Armour(-19) 2016 - Cody Gribble(-20) 2015 - Peter Malnati(-18) 2014 - Nick Taylor(-16) Top Stats in the Model Strokes Gained: Approach Rough Proximity Birdie or Better % Par 4 Scoring When breaking down the top stats I use a combination of my own cheatsheet and the tools over at FantasyNational.com. Top Tier Targets Scottie Scheffler World Golf...
Daily Fantasy NASCAR Race Preview & Picks for DraftKings – Bojangles Southern 500
Daily Fantasy NASCAR Race Preview & Picks for DraftKings - Bojangles Southern 500 Chris Durell will be bringing you his weekly race breakdown, top trends, and pre-qualifying targets to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. You can also grab a copy of his free DFS NASCAR Cheatsheet that includes a ton of stats and a customizable model. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Bojangles Southern 500 The final bye-week of the 2019 season is now behind us and the focus now shifts to the final two races of the regular season. The last time cars were on track, Matt DiBenedetto almost flipped the Playoff picture upside down leading 93 laps late at Bristol but was eventually passed by Denny Hamlin with just 11 laps to go. Instead, we have what appears to be a four-horse race when it comes to points and the playoff bubble. Daniel Suarez sits in that coveted 16th position with 591 points with Ryan Newman just 12 points ahead in 15th, Clint Bowyer just two points behind in 17th, and seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson just 26 points behind in 18th. No driver in and around the bubble will be feeling safe with two very unique tracks to close out the regular season and it starts this weekend with one of the Crown Jewels of the sport. Darlington Raceway has hosted a race on Labour Day weekend going all the way back to 1950 where there were 75 cars who battled the track "Too Tough to Tame". While the field has been greatly reduced(39 cars entered) the track is still one of the most unique and challenging on the circuit. It is more egg-shaped than oval, has different degrees of banking at each end of the track, and is rough and very hard on tires. While the winner hasn't come from the pole position since Kevin Harvick's 2014 win, Darlington has a very high correlation to starting position which makes sense as passing can be a challenge on the narrow, high-groove track. This puts a ton of emphasis on track position and that correlates very highly with the dominator as there have been seven drivers to lead 100+ laps in the last six races, three times coming from the pole, and six times coming from a Top 5 starting position. Let's now take a look at some race trends, the weekend schedule, and...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks – Tuesday 4/16/19
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks - Tuesday 4/16/19 NBA Playoffs are heating up and we have a three-game slate to dive into. Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer our player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or MLB? Be sure to read our free NBA and MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pacers (7.5) vs. Celtics (-7.5)Vegas Projected Score: Celtics: 105.75 - Celtics: 98.25Series: Boston 1-0Vegas Over/Under: 204 The Celtics beat the Pacers 84-74 in about as slow and methodical a modern-day NBA game you’ll ever see. This score was absurdly slow thanks to a grind it out pace on both ends and overall poor shooting. The teams combined to shoot only 35% total from the field and took on a combined 43 trips to the free throw line. We are bound to see both of those numbers tick up for game two and I expect it to be at least higher scoring. Boston took over the game with a 26-8 third quarter run that basically put the game out of reach for Indiana who will likely continue struggling on the offensive end. They have few reliable scorers and that was readily apparent in Game 1. I know this game looks *close* from the final score, but it’s worth noting that the Celtics were up 22 at about the 3:30 mark in the fourth quarter when they effectively pulled their starters. Indiana Value Bojan Bogdanovic FD - $6200 DK - $5500Opponent - BOSProj Pts FD - 29.25 DK - 30.52 He struggled in Game 1 (along with the rest of his team) but I’m still buying on Bojan at these prices. In a close game, he’s a candidate to push towards 40 minutes (played 35 in the blowout) and while not a dynamic scorer is one of the few somewhat reliable options the Pacers have. He averaged 18 per game during the regular season and shot 43% from three. I have to imagine the Pacers are going to work overtime trying to get him looks in Game 2. Darren Collison FD - $5000 DK - $4900Opponent - BOSProj Pts FD - 30 DK - 29.96 He also struggled from the field in his 25 minutes, going 3-11 and scoring only six points. It helps we are getting him cheaper and if the game stays closer I do think that run pushes over 30+. That’s probably a little bit of wishful thinking but it...
MLB Betting Preview – Can Machado save the pathetic Padres?
MLB Betting Preview - Can Machado save the pathetic Padres? This is DFSR's MLB preseason series in which we'll highlight some season-long win/loss prop bets on a number of different teams. Look for these coming out over the course of the next few weeks, with 6-8 teams highlighted as potentially strong bets on projected win totals going into the season. We've already covered the Reds and how their new additions could lead to a strong season. Then there's the Diamondbacks who could be in line for a really rough season. And of course, the Phillies with the addition of Bryce Harper. Now let's take a look at the San Diego Padres and how Manny Machado changes the team's outlook. Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer for Opening Day, our MLB Optimizer, and our Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. San Diego Padres 2018 Record: 66-96 2018 Pythagorean Record: 65-97 2019 Over/Under Wins: 78.5 Key Additions Manny Machado Ian Kinsler Key Losses Nobody good. Projected Lineup Ian Kinsler Wil Myers Manny Machado Hunter Renfroe Eric Hosmer Manuel Margot Luis Urias Austin Hedges Projected Starting Rotation Joey Lucchesi Robbie Erlin Eric Lauer Matt Strahm Jacob Nix (but there are a lot of options here). Welcome back to our preseason MLB betting series. Hopefully, you’ve been following along, and you caught my piece on how we should bet the Phillies given their bevy of off-season additions. Well, I decided I’d go from one coast to the other and cover the other team that landed a $300 million dollar free agent: the San Diego Padres. The 2018 Padres were about as unexciting as you could possibly imagine, netting the second worst run differential in the NL on the back of scoring the third fewest runs in the majors. Their 65-97 Pythagorean record was just a win lower than their putrid 66-96 record, so we’re looking at a team that was just as bad as their record appeared to be. It’s interesting, though, with these truly terrible teams. When you have this many bad players, often times adding just league average production can mean a big improvement in the wins department. They added Machado, which is all well and good, but as we know by now no single player is worth a 14 win upgrade over his predecessors. So how many wins should we project the Dads for going into...
MLB Betting Preview – Taking the under on the Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Betting Preview - Taking the under on the Arizona Diamondbacks Welcome to our MLB preseason series in which we'll highlight some season-long win/loss prop bets on a number of different teams. With Opening Day breathing down our neck (less than a month away. Look for these coming out over the course of the next few weeks, with 6-8 teams highlighted as potentially strong bets on projected win totals going into the season. We've already covered the Reds and how their new additions could lead to a strong season. Now let's take a look at the Diamondbacks. Arizona Diamondbacks 2018 Record: 82-80 2018 Pythagorean Record: 86-76 2019 Over/Under Wins: 75.5 Key Additions Luke Weaver Wilmer Flores Key Losses Paul Goldschmidt Patrick Corbin Projected Lineup Ketel Marte - OF Eduardo Escobar - 3B David Peralta - OF Steven Souza - OF Jake Lamb - 1B Wilmer Flores - 2B Nick Ahmed - SS Carson Kelly - C Projected Starting Rotation Zack Greinke Robbie Ray Zack Godley Luke Weaver Merrill Kelly After making the playoffs in 2017, the Diamondbacks barely finished over .500 in 2018. Hate to break it to Arizona fans, it’s going to get worse. For starters, they traded away their best hitter in Paul Goldschmidt and lost their best pitcher in Patrick Corbin to free agency. Goldschmidt was on his fourth-consecutive 5+ WAR season (despite being a minus in the field) thanks to a .922 OPS, 33 home runs and 13% walk rate. They’ll replace him with Jake Lamb at first, Eduardo Escobar in a more full-time role at third and Wilmer Flores should start at second. Lamb is coming off his worst season as a major leaguer that saw him strike out at a 27% rate while finishing with an OPS under .700 in 286 plate appearances. Injuries were an issue, but he’s now a middle of the order hitter with a career 46 (!) wRC+ against lefties. Maybe continued growth out of David Peralta (3.8 WAR, .868 OPS) helps stem some of the offensive attrition, but I have my doubts with the guy entering his age 31 season. He ran incredibly hot on the Hr/FB rate (23%) so there’s a reason to suspect he dips back down to reality. In fact, basically the whole middle of the lineup is a platoon disaster. Peralta and Lamb can’t hit lefties and Steven Souza can’t hit righties. Should be fun. And then there’s the loss of Patrick Corbin. The lefty is coming off easily the best season of his career, turning in a 2.61 xFIP (3.15 ERA) with an 11.07 K/9 rate and a 6.3 WAR (4th-best in the league). They replace him, essentially, with Luke Weaver who took a definitive...
Podcast – Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19
Podcast - Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19 Listen to "Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/8/19" on Spreaker. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the NBA podcast discussing a nine-game NBA slate for FanDuel and DraftKing, plus some betting action. They go game-by-game discussing cash game plays for both sites, plus some lines that look a little bit off. There are the Sixers still without Joel Embiid against the Rockets. They talk about whether guys like Ben Simmons and Jimmy Butler are cash game viable plus if we are starting to get discounts on some of the Rockets. They also look at the Pistons’ big men of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond against a very weak Chicago front court and whether stacking them in cash games is the play. And finally, does Klay Thompson coming back for the Warriors mean some of the other big names on the team are out of consideration now? Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on Spotify Subscribe to this Podcast on...