Week 15 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy Coming off a 5-3 week last time around in Week 14 and getting pumped for another slate of Sunday action. Let’s dig into some bets. Enjoy gambling online? Check out JackpotCity Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer. Miami Dolphins Opponent NE MIA -2 MIA -130 This line has been moving anywhere from MIA -3 to MIA -1 depending on the site. But for now, it’s sitting consistently at MIA -2. Though the Dolphins and Patriots are separated by only two wins on the record board, the two teams have had decidedly different seasons on paper. The Dolphins have outscored opponents by 85 points this year while the Patriots have a -2 point differential on the season. Miami is coming off a game against the Chiefs in which they played really well on the road by couldn’t quite keep pace. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had extended rest playing last Thursday though they got thrashed by the Rams 24-3 and that score makes the game appear even closer than it was. This could be tough sledding for a Patriots team that ranks 28th on offense with the pass against the Dolphins who are top-5 defending it. They’ll have to stick to the ground game where there’s some advantage, but it’s hard to imagine New England mustering a ton of offense. The Dolphins, at home, really need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive while the Patriots could wrap their season up here with a loss. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent ATL TB -5 The Bucs stumbled for a few games, losing three out of four before turning things around in Week 14 with a win over the Vikings. It’s worth noting though their three losses in that stretch were to Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and New Orleans Saints, teams with a combined 31-8 record on the season. That’s a tough stretch. Things ease up considerably here against the Falcons. Atlanta has looked better overall since firing Dan Quinn but are still 1-3 over their last four games. Two of those were to the Saints, but they also dropped a game to the lowly Chargers. Now they’ll face the Bucs who are top five in both offense and defense this season. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks 14th on defense and are considerably worse against the pass than the run. With the Falcons eliminated from the playoff and the Bucs possibly locking up a playoff berth with a win, this game could...

Week 14 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/10/20 We are starting Week 14 off with some action on the Thursday night game between the Rams and the Patriots.   Los Angeles RamsOpponent NERams -4.5 The Patriots are coming off a massive, 45-0 stomping of the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13. And they have played better of late, winning four of their last five. But two of those wins were against a couple of the worst teams in the league, the Chargers and the Jets. They also somehow dropped one to the Texans. And of course, they still own a bottom-third defense. The Rams are an incredibly balanced team on the season. They rank 4th in offensive DVOA and 5th on defense. And the best part of their offensive game, running the ball, lines up well against the Patriots’ biggest deficiency: stopping the ground game. The Patriots rank 28th against the rush on the season. It stands to reason Sean McVay and company will grind down New England with the rush. All season, New England has tried to grind down teams with their own running game, trying to use Cam Newton’s legs while also leaning on guys like Damien Harris. And of late it’s worked having won four of their last five games. It hasn’t felt great (ever) betting against Bill Belichick, but let’s do it here. WIN   New Orleans SaintsOpponent PHISaints -7 The Saints head into Philadelphia this week with at least one more game of Taysom Hill under center. In the last three weeks, Hill has gone 3-0 though admittedly it wasn’t the toughest run of competition. They beat the Falcons twice and the Denver practice squad once. That being said, it doesn’t get much harder this week against the Eagles and Jalen Hurts’ first start. On the Hill side, there hasn’t been much of a drop-off in the offensive efficiency for the team and though the offense looks different, they’ve still managed to put up points relatively speaking. Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled this season (understatement) and are now moving to a rookie quarterback in Jalen Hurts. Though Hurts did put tip yards through the air in his Week 13 debut, he was incredibly inefficient going 5-12. The Eagles likely reduce some of their sack issues, but it’s hard to imagine the offense taking a big leap here. New Orleans has the second-best defense in the league and should take advantage of Hurts’s inexperience.   Indianapolis Colts Opponent LVColts -3 Though the Colts and the Raiders are only separated in the standings by one game (Indy 8-5, LV 7-5) the seasons have been very different on paper. The Colts have outscored opponents by 55 points while...

Week 13 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/1/20 Enjoy gambling online? Check out Jackpot City Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots available to play, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer.   Tennessee Titans Opponent CLETitans -6 This line started at -4.5 (which we got in early on) and then climbed to -6 in the span of about 36 hours. It isn’t enough. The way things are trending, you’ll likely be able to get it at -5.5 when you read this. That works too obviously. The thing here is the Browns are the biggest smoke and mirrors team in the NFL. They are 8-3 with a negative point differential. Read that again: They are 8-3 and have been outscored by 21 points this season. The reason for this is they have played the second-easiest schedule in the league. They have one win against a team with a record of better than .500 (the Colts). When they’ve played actual *good* teams, like the Ravens and Steelers, they’ve been smoked. They rank 19th in defense, non-schedule adjusted which is a travesty considering their offensive opponents have ranked their D as the second-easiest schedule. Should I keep going here? Sure, Tennessee’s defense is no great shakes, but the offense ranks 3rd overall. The Browns are average or below on both sides of the ball. Absolutely love the Titans here not giving enough because the opponent has a mirage of a record.   San Francisco 49ers Opponent BUF49ers +2.5 The 49ers have played most of the season without their original starting quarterback and have had basically every running back get hurt at some point. They’ve had injuries on the defensive end as well with guys like Richard Sherman just coming off the IR last week. And yet, in spite of bad runs all around on the injury front and a 5-6 record on the season, they still have a positive (+7) point differential. That’s because the coaching is among (or just is) the best in the league. This week is a little weird with the 49ers having to move out of California and into Arizona because of COVID-related regulations. After three-straight tough games against the Seahawks, Packers, and Saints they pulled out a win over the Rams in Week 12. San Fran has the 9th-ranked defensive DVOA on the season and have held opponents to 20 or fewer points in eight of their 11 games this season. Meanwhile, the Bills has merely a +17 point differential despite playing the 19th most difficult schedule (SF is 6th...

Week 8 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/27/20 Plenty of early NFL betting action to get in on before lines more before Week 8. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Los Angeles Chargers Opponent DENChargers -3 The Chargers didn’t make it always look easy, but they did end up with a 10-point road win over the lowly Jaguars on Sunday. It was their first win since Week 1 and Justin Herbert’s first W since taking over behind center for Tyrod Taylor. The team’s offense has looked more than confident over the last three weeks with close losses to very good Buccaneers and Saints teams in Weeks 5 and 6 respectively. But don’t overlook the defense, while the losses point to a unit looking for an identity, the schedule has been on the tougher side. This defense ranks 12th in defensive DVOA on the season even though the record would seem to point a different direction. This week, they’ll get the Broncos in Denver which has historically been a tough place to travel. But like we said last week with the Chiefs, this Broncos teams’ deficiencies more than offset any downgrade teams get going into the Mile High air of Denver. They got destroyed by the Chiefs last week following two straight wins, but those were over the Jets and the increasingly suspect looking New England Patriots. While the defense has looked competent at times, last week notwithstanding, the offense has been horrific no matter who’s been under center. Sure, it’s been a shaky ride with Lock out of the lineup for some games and the running back situation is hit or miss because of injuries (and otherwise). But this is a team without a ton of hope for improvement on the offensive end. They rank 31st in offensive DVOA. Meanwhile, I still think there’s room for growth on the Chargers’ end as Herbert becomes increasingly more comfortable. Even heading out on the road, it’s hard to imagine the Denver offense getting much of anything going here.   Tampa Bay BuccaneersOpponent NYGBuccaneers -10.5 We are starting to get to the point of the season where the separation between the haves and have nots becomes increasingly glaring. Such is the case with the Bucs and the Giants. While 10.5 is a huge number to give on the road, it’s worth noting that this season road teams are slightly outscoring home teams so the advantage of...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2 If you are looking for football content, you have come to the right place. Our DFS NFL team has already gone over our top Cash Game Plays, discussed our Top Bets, went over all of the Injury News, and broke everything down on the Game by Game Podcast. In this article, I will now be looking at a few GPP plays that we can use for leverage to try and take down a big contest. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Saquon Barkley FD 9000 DK 8400 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 17.72 DK - 20.16 If you are not paying up for McCaffrey you are likely running one or two of Zeke and Henry in the top tier and that leaves a giant gap of ownership with Saquon Barkley. Last week's performance(15 carries for 6 yards) definitely isn't going help me make a case here from a performance perspective but the good news is that he did catch six of nine targets for 60 yards, somewhat salvaging his price tag. We know the upside he provides as one of the best running backs in football and gets to now go up against a Bears defense that is not as scary as some make it out to be as they just gave up 93 rushing yards to a 35-year-old Adrian Peterson on just 14 carries(6.6 yards per rush). At the end of the day, I am not going to trust him in cash games but if we are getting him around 5% ownership, I think he makes an excellent GPP play. At that kind of ownership, we also don't need a lot of exposure to have more than the field and take advantage of his ceiling game.   Philip Rivers FD 7100 DK 5900 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 15.24 DK - 16.17 T.Y. Hilton FD 6300 DK 5700 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 11.7 DK - 14.33 Parris Campbell FD 5300 DK 4500 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 10.04 DK - 12.57 From a stacking perspective, I love the Colts this week and don't think they see a whole lot of ownership with Lamar, Dak, Kyler, Rodgers, and even Matt Ryan in good spots. When looking at the Colts team and projected ownership, I think Nyheim Hines has a chance to be the highest owned on the team with Marlon Mack hitting the IR and Jonathan Taylor in only his...

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview & Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Return to Racing at Darlington Chris Durell will be bringing you his weekly race breakdown, top trends, and top targets to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. He also provides a comprehensive cheatsheet looking at current and career track history, current form, fantasy averages, trends, practice/qualifying information, and then puts it all together with a customizable model. Get your copy in our member's chatroom. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page. Return to Racing at Darlington It's finally here and I have close to the same kind of feeling as Daytona week as we have pretty much went through an entire second offseason. NASCAR will be one of the first sports back in action this weekend at Darlington which will start a stretch of four races for the Cup Series in 10 days on two tracks(Charlotte the other). Like I mentioned in my "NASCAR Update Article", there will be no practices as these will be one-day events and the only race with qualifying will be the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte next Sunday. As of Monday, May 11, NASCAR has yet to release how qualifying will work but my guess is that we will have this data days before the race giving us plenty of time to analyze the data and build lineups. There will be an added variance from a fantasy perspective with the return to racing with no practice or qualifying but given we have playing iRacing DFS which was a whole new level of variance, I am not worried at all. It's all about the data and we have lots of it here at Darlington and in NASCAR in general. Let's dig in and look at some of the data leading up to the race and make sure to tune in Sunday morning for the pre-race/pre-lock Live show on my YouTube channel. Darlington Raceway Track - 1.366 Mile Oval Intermediate 25° of Banking in Turns 1 & 2 23° of Banking in Turn 3 & 4 Last 10 Winners at Darlington 2019 - Erik Jones(started 15th) 2018 - Brad Keselowski(started 13th) 2017 - Denny Hamlin(started 9th) 2016 - Martin Truex Jr.(started 8th) 2015 - Carl Edwards(started 12th) 2014 - Kevin Harvick(started 1st) 2013 - Matt Kenseth(started 7th) 2012 - Jimmie Johnson(started 2nd) 2011 - Regan Smith(started 23rd) 2010 - Denny Hamlin(started 8th) Track History  Darlington is one of the toughest tracks on the circuit as it is abrasive and...