Daily Fantasy PGA Showdown Strategy and Picks for DraftKings – Farmers Insurance Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Showdown Strategy and Picks for DraftKings – Farmers Insurance Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. Welcome back golf fans. If you are familiar with my work, you know I do a weekly article breaking down the course, key stats, and provide some core plays for DraftKings and FanDuel for full tournament contests. You may have also noticed that since the calendar flipped to 2020, I have also been providing not only the cheatsheet I have for years but have also started providing a DraftKings showdown sheet for each round of the tournament. For those of you knew, I just wanted to go over some of the scoring differences between the three contest formats on DraftKings(regular full tournament, one-round showdown, weekend golf). I will then go over my strategies for both Showdown and Weekend Golf and provide a few picks for the final two rounds at the Farmers Insurance Open. Scoring & Strategy The first thing to note is you are playing Showdown and/or Weekend Golf is that there are no finish position points handed out to golfers making it scoring heavy with a few bonuses. While Weekend Golf awards fewer points for eagles and the same amount of points for birdies, Showdown awards more points in every area while also punishing you more for bogey or worse. The bonuses on Showdown are also two points more for Bogey Free round and three-birdie streak. In terms of strategy, there are multiple things that go into it and like every week changes, so does every round. First of all, with no leaderboard points to worry about, it comes down to scoring so Birdie or Better % gets a huge boost in my model, no matter the course or setup. This week and the other weeks with multi-course rotations also adds an additional element that can provide an edge. The North Course at Torrey Pines played between 2.5-3 strokes easier than the South Course so that had me targeting almost exclusively North Course players for the first two days. I also start feeling more comfortable as the week goes on as the data sample size grows. I often look for players who are gaining...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Farmers Insurance Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Farmers Insurance Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. The small California swing continues this week as the PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open. As it always does, this year's event draws a loaded field led by Tiger Woods who has won this event seven times along with a victory at the 2008 US Open. Joining Tiger are Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, and defending champ Justin Rose, all of which rank inside the Top 10 in the Official World Golf Rankings. One of the big draws this season is the fact the South Course will host the 2021 US Open. Much like last week, we get a multi-course rotation but more traditional as each player will get a round at both Torrey Pines South and North courses before the cut(Top 65 & ties) is made on Friday. Those making the cut will then play their final two rounds on the South Course. Even with the renovation on the North course back in 2016 which opened the course up while adding over 200 yards in length, there is still a one to two-stroke difference in average scoring. This is especially important when playing Round 1 & 2 Showdown contests as you will want to concentrate most of your core on players playing the North course. In terms of stats and player profiles that fir the course, distance is king this week. It comes down to the fact that everyone is going to miss fairways(average driving accuracy just over 50% last five years combined) and then combine that with thick, penal rough and the bombers get an advantage using less of a club on approach. This all depends on the weather, of course, as windy conditions like we saw in 2016 can bring the shorter players back into play. This doesn't mean we shouldn't immediately dismiss shorter hitters, it just means tread lightly and make sure those players have good long irons especially from the rough and/or a good around the green game. Speaking of that weather, which can change how we approach key stats and ultimately build...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. The American Express After an exciting Hawaii swing that saw both Justin Thomas(Tournament of Champions) and Cameron Smith(Sony Open) win in a playoff, the PGA Tour heads to La Quinta, California for The American Express. The event has taken on a new sponsor this year and you may be more familiar with one of its many former names(Desert Classic, CareerBuilder Challenge, Humana Challenge, and Bob Hope Classic). With the combination of this being a Pro-Am event and the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship on the European Tour, we get a weaker field that includes just 11 of the Top 50 players in the world. With a large amount of players on the course due to the Pro-Am, this event is also a three-course rotation with each player/Amateur getting one round on each course(La Quinta Country Club, Nicklaus Tournament Course, Stadium Course). The cut of Top 65 and ties will be made after Saturday's third round with all players making the cut playing their final round on the host Stadium course. All three courses are Par 72 setups and while all three have consistently ranked outside the Top 30 in difficulty, the Stadium Course is the hardest of the three. Either way, I will be keeping my model fairly simple this week and concentrating more on the approach shots and iron play when breaking down the ball striking metrics and looking for players who excel on the Par 4's, especially from 400-450 yards. Par 5 scoring and overall birdie or better % will be weighted very high as well with an average winning score of -23 over the past five years. With the three-course rotation, we do have some interesting strategies we can employ for both tournament contests as well as the showdown contests. For starters, on the full week contests, I will be looking very closely at players who will be playing the Stadium course on Saturday giving them(if they make the cut) back to back rounds on the harder course which has shown to be advantageous in the past. Also, for Showdown contests try...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. Sony Open After a very exciting start to 2020 with the Tournament of Champions, the PGA Tour now heads to North a bit to Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open and the first full-field event of the year. Overall, the field is on the weaker side with just 15 of the Top 50 players but is headlined by World #4 and former winner of this event, Justin Thomas and joining him is the defending winner, Matt Kuchar. Like it has since the tournament began back in 1965, Waialae Country Club will host this year's event. The course is a 7,044 yard Par 70 setup with four Par 3's, 12 Par 4's, and just two Par 5's. The fairways are smaller than average and with the combination of some doglegs, creates a lot less than driver strategies off the tee. Even with that strategy for most of the golfers, the average fairways hit over the last five years is under 55% which puts some emphasis on Rough Proximity as the average Greens in Regulation hit is still over 70% over the last five years. With the additional Par 4's and less Par 5's on this Par 70 track, I will be focusing on Par 4 scoring and Birdie or Better % with an average winning score around or lower than -20 every single year. The other thing to pay attention to here at Waialae is the weather as it is one of the biggest defenses. As of Tuesday morning, the pre-cut rounds on Thursday and Friday look to be the most brutal with steady winds over 30 mph both days. This has me looking very closely at players who play well in windy conditions and to do this I use the tools over at FantasyNationalGolfClub. With all that info, let's now take a look at the course, top stats, and dig into the picks. Waialae Country Club Par 70 - 7,044 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2019 - Matt Kuchar(-22)...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sentry Tournament of Champions
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sentry Tournament of Champions Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Chris also provides a DFS PGA Cheatsheet which looks at odds, form, course history, and much more. Sentry Tournament of Champions After a long off-season(not really) we are back and ready to kick off the 2020 portion of the season in style. It starts with a trip to Hawaii for the Sentry Tournament of Champions. The field is open to all winners from the previous season and this year we get 33-man field led by Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, and Justin Thomas who have combined to win the last three events here. We will also get to see the red-hot John Rahm who has jumped up to #3 in the Official World Golf Rankings since the Tour Championship with two wins and a runner-up on the Euro Tour. The course is fairly unique in that it is a Par 73 with just three Par 3's, 11 Par 4's, and four Par 5's. The other unique part that leads to some of the low scoring is that six of the 11 Par 4 holes are under 400 yards. The par 5's are where most of the scoring comes from, however, with three of them coming in or under 555 yards. Even the beastly 663-yard par 5 18th hole plays almost a half-stroke under par. The event quickly turns into a birdie fest with wide fairways, huge greens, and normally excellent weather. Because of this, I am keeping my model fairly simple this week and looking at Strokes Gained: Approach with an emphasis on Proximity with the giant green complexes. After that, I am heavy on Birdie or Better %, Par 5 Birdie or Better %, and Par 4 scoring which can help players separate themselves as they are the hardest holes on the course(still not that hard). With that, let's jump into the picks. The Course Plantation Course at Kapalua Par 73 - 7,452 yards Greens - **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2019 - Xander Schauffele(-23) 2018 - Dustin Johnson(-24) 2017 - Justin Thomas(-22) 2016 - Jordan Spieth(-30) 2015 - Patrick reed(-21) Top Stats in the Model Strokes Gained: Approach Proximity Birdie or Better % Par 4 Scoring Par 5 Birdie or Better % When breaking down the top...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The RSM Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The RSM Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. The RSM Classic The final full-field event of 2019 is here as the PGA Tour travels to the Sea Island Resort in Georgia for the RSM Classic. With a strong field in Dubai for the DP World Tour Championship, this event lacks the star power but is still led by Webb Simpson(#12) and Matt Kuchar(#22) who are both ranked inside the Top 25 in the Official World Golf Rankings. This is also a week where a multi-course rotation is used for the first two days. Each golfer will play one round on the Seaside course and one round on the Plantation course on Thursday and Friday and all golfers who make the cut(Top 65 & ties) will play their final two rounds on the Seaside course only. The two-course rotation at this event started back in 2015 with just the Seaside course used in previous years. Let's take a look at the courses with the most emphasis going into the Seaside which will host three of the four rounds. Sea Island Resort(Seaside Course) Par 70 - 7,005 Yards The Seaside Course is a Links-Style Par 70 that comes in on the shorter side at just over 7,000 yards. The fairways are average width but with a ton of danger lurking outside the fairway(water, thick rough, native areas), golfers will once again be heavy on a "Less than Driver" strategy off the tee. Because of this, we have seen the average driving accuracy over 70% almost every year since. The greens are also larger than average(7,200 sq feet) which drives up the Greens in Regulation number putting emphasis on not only Proximity but we also see, for the most part, good or at least above average putters do well here. It is the harder of the two course's but there will be bridies as it has ranked outside the Top 25 in difficulty in...