Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Honda Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Honda Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page After a pit stop in Mexico for the second World Golf Championship fo the season, the PGA Tour will begin the four-event Florida swing in Palm Beach Gardens with The Honda Classic. I mentioned last year about the weaker field at this event with it being sandwiched between a WGC event and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. We get a similar situation this year as the field is a bit weaker at the top with Brooks Koepka(#3) the only player currently ranked inside the Top 10 Official World Golf Rankings teeing it up this week. The PGA National Champion Course has hosted this event going back to 2007 so there is plenty of course history trends to look at this week. The course itself is a Par 70 that is posted at 7,140 yards on the scorecard and is annually one of the toughest tests on Tour. Over the last five years, PGA National has ranked Top 5 in difficulty(stroke average) four times with a winning score reaching double digits below par just once. We are also back to a 36-hole cut this week which will include the Top 65 & ties with the past five cutlines being above par(+3, +6, +1, +4, +5). One of the things we will be hearing a ton about this week is the Bear Trap which consists of Holes #15, #16, and #17 which make up one of the toughest three-hole stretches on Tour. That is not the only tough stretch on this beastly course, however, as holes #5, #6, and #7 are also a daunting task and ranked 1st, 5th, & 7th hardest last year(Bear Trap ranked 6th, 11th, & 10th hardest). The fairways are fairly tight here but the biggest defense that forces a lot of players into a "less than driver" strategy off the tee is the thick, gnarly rough. This has led to a...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – WGC Mexico Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – WGC Mexico Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page It wasn't exactly the finish I had hoped for at the Genesis Invitational but it was awesome to see Adam Scott grab his first PGA Tour win since 2016 as he edged out Sung Kang, Matt Kuchar, and Scott Brown by one stroke. This week is one of four weeks this season with multiple tournaments going on so buckle up and get ready for tons of golf action. In this article, I will be concentrating on the WGC Mexico Championship which has, by far, the best contests this week. That is largely due to the elite field which shows up for the WGC events and this one gives us seven of the Top 10 and 20 of the Top 25 golfers in World(via OWGR). This WGC event has been played in Mexico at the Club de Golf Chapultepec since 2017 so we are starting to get a nice sample size of course history and that narrative is most definitely led by the top players in the field as Rory, DJ, and JT have yet to finish outside the Top 10 in eight combined appearances. The par 71 course is listed at 7,330 yards on the scorecard but playing at almost 7,500 feet of elevation has it playing more like 6,500 yards. This shows in the average driving distance as only six players last year averaged under 300 yard for the tournament. Running the stats over the three years, I have also noticed Strokes Gained: Approach to be a little more correlated than Off the Tee and Par 4 Scoring almost double as important as par 5 scoring. This would be due to a couple of things including there only being three par 5's and around 56% of all birdies coming on the Par 4's. There are also six of the 11 par 4's that are under 410 yards so that will be...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Genesis Invitational
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Genesis Invitational Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page. The West Coast swing continues this week as the PGA Tour visits Riviera Country Club for the Genesis Invitational. Before this season it was a 144-man open field but will now consist of 121 invited players(119 in the field) in an absolutely stacked field led by nine of the Top 10 players in the World. From a DFS standpoint especially, this week feels like a major in terms of pricing as there are a ton of players who have seen $500 to $1000 drops in price compared to the other events to start the season. This most definitely opens up a more balanced lineup construction but it also helps in stars and scrubs builds as the scrubs aren't that scrubby(compared to other weeks). The thing I am most excited about this week is that we are back to a single course and 54-hole cut(Top 65 and ties) after another multi-course rotation last week. Riviera Country Club has been the host course at this event going all the way back to 1973 when it was the Northern Trust Open. It held that name up until 2017 when it changed to the Genesis Open for each of the last two years. In terms of difficulty, the course has ranked as a Top 10 hardest course on Tour in two straight and three of the past five years, ranking 21st and 23rd in the other two years. The fairways are tight, the Kikuyu rough can be tricky to play out of in certain spots, and the greens are also smaller than Tour average which leads to a tougher event overall. Looking at some stats over the last five years of play here, the average fairways hit has been between 50-55% and the average Greens in Regulation in the 55-60% range. Despite this, the winning score has hit double digits in each of the last four years...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page After a four-day party in Phoenix, the PGA Tour heads back to California for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This means we are back to a multi-course rotation with three being used this week much like the Desert Classic. Each player/pro-am partner will get one round on each of Pebble Beach GL, Monterey Peninsula CC, and SpyGlass Hill GC with a cut of Top 60 and ties being made after the third round on Saturday. The final round will be played on Pebble Beach GL. The field is led Dustin Johnson(#5) and Patrick Cantlay(#7) who are the only two players teeing up this week ranked Top 10 in the World. Overall, the field is much weaker than it was last season but a large part of that was players using this event as a tune-up for the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach in June. One thing is for sure, no matter the field strength, this is a frustrating event to track either on TV or online. Pebble Beach is the only course of the three with Shot Tracker and watching the telecast is painful as it comes with constant sub-par swings from celebs combined with constant shots of the ocean and interviews of CEO's. I suggest plugging a lineup in and tuning in Sunday for the final round. Looking at the courses, all three come in under 7,000 yards and from a complete tournament standpoint has seen fairways hit and greens in regulation around 70% or more in both areas. This easier setup has led to an average winning score of -19 over the last five years. Pebble Beach has played as the hardest of the three in each of the last two years and in three of the last six but the gap between it and SpyGlass Hill...
Daily Fantasy Golf Showdown Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open
Daily Fantasy Golf Showdown Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. This week the PGA Tour visits TPC Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. I previewed the course and some key stats for the full tournament in my early week article and will now combine that research with some stats and info from the first two rounds and give you some players I am targeting for Round 3 and 4 Showdown contests. With no finish position points for Showdowns(except Round 4), I have adjusted my model to really emphasize Birdie or Better %. Once you grab a copy of sheet in chat make sure to also check out my tutorial video going over the stats I use, how you can customize your own model, and how to best utilize the tool. When breaking down the top stats I use a combination of my own cheatsheet and the tools over at FantasyNational.com, including the live leaderboard. Let's get into the picks. Showdown Picks Xander Schauffele After opening with three bogey's in his first five holes, Xander rebounded in a big way going bogey-free over his final 13 holes with a whopping seven birdies. After two rounds, he ranks 7th in SG: Ball Striking(4th OTT, 33rd APP) while only ranking 43rd in SG: Putting gaining about a .5 stroke per round less than his long term form in that area. He came into this event ranked high in my model thanks to some plus form to start the season(3 Top 10's in 4 events) and top course history with Top 20 finishes in each of the last two years. He is my top player to build around this weekend in Showdown and may be worth a live outright bet at 14-1. Webb Simpson Webb is #1 in my Round 3 model after re-adjusting the stats model a bit. He had a huge bounce-back in round two with a bogey-free round and eight birdies while hitting 78% of fairways and 89% of greens. The biggest difference from round one to two was the putting as he gained over two strokes today and lost over two strokes yesterday. Like Xander,...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. This week the PGA Tour travels to Phoenix, Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open and one of the biggest parties in golf........for the fans. That's right, thousands of people lining up before the sun comes up to not just get into the course, but specifically the iconic 16th hole that is completely enclosed like a stadium. It is a fairly straight forward 163-yard, Par 3 but with 20,000(grandstands only) raucous fans surrounding, it is much more difficult than it appears. This year's field is another strong one led by Arizona State alum and #3 player in the World, Jon Rahm. He has yet to win this "home event" but has finished T16 or better in all four career trips including a T5 back in 2015 as an amateur. Joining him are nine other players inside the Top 25 OWGR including the winners from each of the last four years in Rickie Fowler(2019), Gary Woodland(2018), and Hideki Matsuyama(2017, 2016). The host course for this event is TPC Scottsdale which is a Par 71 setup that stretches out to 7,261 yards. In terms of difficulty, it has ranked middle of the pack(21st, 32nd, 33rd, 20th, 22nd) over the last five years and has generated a very consistent winning score between -14 and -18. It is definitely "gettable" with just one of the Par 3's over 200 yards, six of the 11 Par 4's are also under 450 yards including the driveable 17th hole. The remaining five par 4's fall between 450 and 500 yards with four of them exceeding 470 yards. The three Par 5's are all in the same range(558, 558, 552 yards) and are, by far, the easiest holes on the course making up for between 33% and 38% of the overall birdies each year and all three have above average to high eagle rates being reachable by almost the entire field. From a stats model perspective, one thing I have been doing this season more than others is keeping my model fairly consistent on a week to week basis. I have...