Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 1 The 2022 NFL season is back and we are ready to deliver all of our DFS content week in and week out. Doug got things started earlier in the week with his cash game picks and now it's time to look at some GPP stacks that may could be under-the-radar and help us get to the GPP pot of gold. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! New Orleans Saints Jameis Winston FD 6700 DK 5300 Opponent ATL Proj Points FD - 17.56 DK - 18.2 Alvin Kamara FD 8500 DK 7600 Opponent ATL Proj Points FD - 15.96 DK - 17.6 Chris Olave FD 5000 DK 4500 Opponent ATL Proj Points FD - 6.76 DK - 8.14 Let's kick things off with the Saints who have one of the best matchups in week one against a Falcons defense that ranked 29th in both rushing and passing DVOA in 2021 and made minimal improvements in the offseason. While you would think with this matchup they would be higher owned I just don't think that will be the case with the lowest totals(41.5) on the slate combined with so many other great options that won't be hard to stack given the very fair week one pricing. Let's start with Jameis Winston who is no stranger to chucking the ball downfield with 12+ yards per completion in all six seasons in which he has started at least seven games. He comes into the 2022 season with better weapons including the return of Michael Thomas(questionable for week one) and the Saints also drafted Chris Olave with the 11th pick and with Thomas and Landry expected to dominate the underneath routes, Olave should get a lot of work downfield which brings with it a ton of fantasy upside. If he comes out and shines in week one, there is a chance his price takes a huge jump into week two so this could be the time to buy low and get in before he becomes a household name. There is a chance Michael Thomas misses week one as he is dealing with an injury and that has me wanting some exposure to Alvin Kamara. I am not normally stacking running backs with my QB/WR stacks but Kamara fits as he is one of the best pass-catching backs in the league. What I like most about Kamara in GPP as he will provide some leverage off the very...

Week 15 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy Coming off a 5-3 week last time around in Week 14 and getting pumped for another slate of Sunday action. Let’s dig into some bets. Enjoy gambling online? Check out JackpotCity Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer. Miami Dolphins Opponent NE MIA -2 MIA -130 This line has been moving anywhere from MIA -3 to MIA -1 depending on the site. But for now, it’s sitting consistently at MIA -2. Though the Dolphins and Patriots are separated by only two wins on the record board, the two teams have had decidedly different seasons on paper. The Dolphins have outscored opponents by 85 points this year while the Patriots have a -2 point differential on the season. Miami is coming off a game against the Chiefs in which they played really well on the road by couldn’t quite keep pace. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had extended rest playing last Thursday though they got thrashed by the Rams 24-3 and that score makes the game appear even closer than it was. This could be tough sledding for a Patriots team that ranks 28th on offense with the pass against the Dolphins who are top-5 defending it. They’ll have to stick to the ground game where there’s some advantage, but it’s hard to imagine New England mustering a ton of offense. The Dolphins, at home, really need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive while the Patriots could wrap their season up here with a loss. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent ATL TB -5 The Bucs stumbled for a few games, losing three out of four before turning things around in Week 14 with a win over the Vikings. It’s worth noting though their three losses in that stretch were to Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and New Orleans Saints, teams with a combined 31-8 record on the season. That’s a tough stretch. Things ease up considerably here against the Falcons. Atlanta has looked better overall since firing Dan Quinn but are still 1-3 over their last four games. Two of those were to the Saints, but they also dropped a game to the lowly Chargers. Now they’ll face the Bucs who are top five in both offense and defense this season. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks 14th on defense and are considerably worse against the pass than the run. With the Falcons eliminated from the playoff and the Bucs possibly locking up a playoff berth with a win, this game could...

Week 14 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/10/20 We are starting Week 14 off with some action on the Thursday night game between the Rams and the Patriots.   Los Angeles RamsOpponent NERams -4.5 The Patriots are coming off a massive, 45-0 stomping of the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13. And they have played better of late, winning four of their last five. But two of those wins were against a couple of the worst teams in the league, the Chargers and the Jets. They also somehow dropped one to the Texans. And of course, they still own a bottom-third defense. The Rams are an incredibly balanced team on the season. They rank 4th in offensive DVOA and 5th on defense. And the best part of their offensive game, running the ball, lines up well against the Patriots’ biggest deficiency: stopping the ground game. The Patriots rank 28th against the rush on the season. It stands to reason Sean McVay and company will grind down New England with the rush. All season, New England has tried to grind down teams with their own running game, trying to use Cam Newton’s legs while also leaning on guys like Damien Harris. And of late it’s worked having won four of their last five games. It hasn’t felt great (ever) betting against Bill Belichick, but let’s do it here. WIN   New Orleans SaintsOpponent PHISaints -7 The Saints head into Philadelphia this week with at least one more game of Taysom Hill under center. In the last three weeks, Hill has gone 3-0 though admittedly it wasn’t the toughest run of competition. They beat the Falcons twice and the Denver practice squad once. That being said, it doesn’t get much harder this week against the Eagles and Jalen Hurts’ first start. On the Hill side, there hasn’t been much of a drop-off in the offensive efficiency for the team and though the offense looks different, they’ve still managed to put up points relatively speaking. Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled this season (understatement) and are now moving to a rookie quarterback in Jalen Hurts. Though Hurts did put tip yards through the air in his Week 13 debut, he was incredibly inefficient going 5-12. The Eagles likely reduce some of their sack issues, but it’s hard to imagine the offense taking a big leap here. New Orleans has the second-best defense in the league and should take advantage of Hurts’s inexperience.   Indianapolis Colts Opponent LVColts -3 Though the Colts and the Raiders are only separated in the standings by one game (Indy 8-5, LV 7-5) the seasons have been very different on paper. The Colts have outscored opponents by 55 points while...

Week 13 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 12/1/20 Enjoy gambling online? Check out Jackpot City Online Casino! They offer a wide range of online and mobile casino slots available to play, from jackpot slots to exciting video slots. They also offer more than 400+ online casino games! Head on over and check out what they have to offer.   Tennessee Titans Opponent CLETitans -6 This line started at -4.5 (which we got in early on) and then climbed to -6 in the span of about 36 hours. It isn’t enough. The way things are trending, you’ll likely be able to get it at -5.5 when you read this. That works too obviously. The thing here is the Browns are the biggest smoke and mirrors team in the NFL. They are 8-3 with a negative point differential. Read that again: They are 8-3 and have been outscored by 21 points this season. The reason for this is they have played the second-easiest schedule in the league. They have one win against a team with a record of better than .500 (the Colts). When they’ve played actual *good* teams, like the Ravens and Steelers, they’ve been smoked. They rank 19th in defense, non-schedule adjusted which is a travesty considering their offensive opponents have ranked their D as the second-easiest schedule. Should I keep going here? Sure, Tennessee’s defense is no great shakes, but the offense ranks 3rd overall. The Browns are average or below on both sides of the ball. Absolutely love the Titans here not giving enough because the opponent has a mirage of a record.   San Francisco 49ers Opponent BUF49ers +2.5 The 49ers have played most of the season without their original starting quarterback and have had basically every running back get hurt at some point. They’ve had injuries on the defensive end as well with guys like Richard Sherman just coming off the IR last week. And yet, in spite of bad runs all around on the injury front and a 5-6 record on the season, they still have a positive (+7) point differential. That’s because the coaching is among (or just is) the best in the league. This week is a little weird with the 49ers having to move out of California and into Arizona because of COVID-related regulations. After three-straight tough games against the Seahawks, Packers, and Saints they pulled out a win over the Rams in Week 12. San Fran has the 9th-ranked defensive DVOA on the season and have held opponents to 20 or fewer points in eight of their 11 games this season. Meanwhile, the Bills has merely a +17 point differential despite playing the 19th most difficult schedule (SF is 6th...

Week 11 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 11/18/20 After another strong Week 10, going 2-0-1 (HOU miracle push) and 4-1-1 over the last two weeks, we have Week 11 lining up for some solid NFL betting value. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Tennessee TitansOpponent BALTitans +6.5 Titans +240 .5 units This is an interesting game between two 6-3 teams who’ve reached their respective records in decidedly different ways. For starters, the Ravens haven’t had anything close to the offensive punch we saw in 2019, ranking 24th in DVOA on that side of the ball. Lamar Jackson appears to have regressed to his personal mean and the numbers have dropped dramatically off his MVP season. But on the defensive side of the ball, they’ve been stout once again, ranking 6th and even better against the rush at 3rd. That, for sure, could be a problem for Tennessee who wants to get things going with Derrick Henry early. On the other hand, we have the Titans who’ve made hay on offensive ranking 4th overall and, most importantly, 2nd in their passing attack. This is an important piece here against Baltimore who’ve been worse in their passing defense. All things considered, the Titans have a balanced offensive attack that can exploit holes in the Ravens’ front. Sure, the Titans’ defense has been an issue this season ranking 24th overall. But when it plays out through the numbers, these teams are closer to even than the 6.5 spread would indicate. Take the Titans’ points here in what should be a closer game.   Arizona CardinalsOpponent SEAARI +3.5 ARI +140 Here we have another road team getting points. Let’s take them. This season, home teams have a slight advantage when it comes to scoring, but it’s ever so slight. On the season, they are outscoring visitors by less than half a point per game. It’s not nothing, but it’s a far cry from what we’d seen in say 2018 when that number was more like 2.2. Arizona is coming off the Hail Mary win over the Bills in Week 10 and are now in a three-way tie at the top of the NFC West. They have the best point differential of the group (which includes Seattle) though arguably have played the easiest schedule. But this is still a team with a top-10 defensive DVOA and the 12th ranking on offense. The losses to the Panthers and Lions...

Week 10 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 11/12/20 Plenty of NFL betting action to get in on for Week 10 after a 2-1 record in the article. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Texans Opponent CLEHOU +3It’s tough taking teams who have been, well pretty bad this season. That’s definitely the case with the Texans who fired their head coach/GM midseason and sport a 2-6 record with the only two wins over the lowly Jaguars. That is far from a great resume though it’s worth noting they had a brutal stretch to start the season against the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers, and (to some extent) the Vikings.By opposing record, the Texans have the 8th most difficult schedule this season. It’s for sure been a rough go of it. But they remain an above-average DVOA offense and still have Deshaun Watson under center. This is worth something. The defense ranks poorly, but they’ve had the second-hardest schedule in terms of the offensive opponent which does help explain some of that. Meanwhile, the Browns' 5-3 record is a lot of smoke and mirrors. They have a -31 point differential on the season despite the 20th most difficult schedule on the season. Both the offense (17th in DVOA) and defense (19th) are below average this season. Records aside these two teams aren’t all that different with the Houston passing offense making up for the lack of effort on the defensive end. I’m a little concerned with the Houston motivation her considering the record has gone off the rails, but by the numbers, I see this as more of a pick’em. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opponent CARTB -5.5 It was a rough scene for the Buccaneers in Week 9 with them losing control of the game early against the Saints and ultimately getting dumpstered 38-3. It’s hard to know what to make of that game and whether it’s just a blip on the radar for a team that was 6-2 coming in. It’s not excusable, but one game doesn’t a season make. They struggled to get going on the ground and really couldn’t do anything on offense. But despite that performance, this Bucs team still ranks first overall in DVOA defense on the season and are well above average on offense. This is still a very good team that had a very bad week. Meanwhile, Carolina has sported one of the league’s worst defenses this season, ranking 26th while...