FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday 5/6/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday 5/6/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Stephen Curry FD - $9900 DK - $10600 Opponent - OKC Proj Pts FD - 53.65 DK - 57.02 Man, this one is exceedingly tempting, even when you account for the blowout risk. Curry is on a well-documented tear at this point, plowing toward a first-team All-NBA designation. Meanwhile, the Thunder have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards this season, and those numbers build in times when they had their actual good perimeter defensive players. It's tough for the Dubs to blow people out without Curry's offense, though, so I think he's a great play regardless of the game script. Alex Caruso FD - $3900 DK - $4100 Opponent - LAC Proj Pts FD - 20.83 DK - 20.38 This is truly an easy one. With Schroder still in the Covid protocol, Caruso is a near lock for 26+ minutes in what rates to be a tight contest with the Clippers. He paid 6x on these prices last game, and honestly, there is upside for more, even in a tough match-up. Also considered: Reggie Jackson. Shooting Guard Fred VanVleet FD - $8000 DK - $8000 Opponent - WAS Proj Pts FD - 43.18 DK - 43.75 VanVleet is a funny recommendation because while the recent game log paints a picture of a fantastic value at these prices, it's easy to forget that both of those games were without Lowry. With Lowry left off the injury report for tonight's game, we can't expect FVV to be at quite those levels, so what do we do? Well, we readjust our expectations for the match-up. The Wizards have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards this season, and this game has the second-highest total on the slate. There isn't huge upside here, but there is enough floor that you can run him in cash. Paul George FD - $8800 DK - $9500 Opponent - LAL Proj Pts FD - 46.87 DK - 48.86 Shooting guard gets thin quickly, but this FanDuel price on George might be too good to pass up. George sat near 10k for weeks, and our model isn't ready to...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Wells Fargo Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Wells Fargo Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Quail Hollow Club Par 71 - 7,600 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2019 - Max Homa(-15) 2018 - Jason Day(-12) 2016 - James Hahn(-9) 2015 - Rory McIlroy(-21) 2014 - J.B. Holmes(-14) This week the PGA Tour heads back to Quail Hollow Club for the Wells Fargo Championship for the first time since 2019 after last years event was canceled due to the pandemic. A very strong field including seven of the Top 10 in the World will take on the beast that is Quail Hollow Club. It has ranked Top 10 hardest courses on Tour(including majors) in three straight and four of the last five times it has hosted this event. I say that because in 2017 it was Eagle Point hosting the event while Quail Hollow prepared for the PGA Championship. The first thing that jumps off the page when looking at the Par 71 setup is the 7,600 yards listed on the scorecard meaning you best be wearing your big boy pants this week if you seek to contend. Looking at the last two Wells Fargo Championships(2019, 2018) only two players who finished Top 10 averaged under 300 yards off the tee, and those who finished Top 5 averaged just over 312 yards off the tee. When breaking down Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, Driving Distance is right up there this week. Not only do you need to be long off the tee but you better be good with the long irons as well with three of the four Par 3's coming in over 200 yards including the monster 249 yard 6th hole. That leads into some of the hardest Par 4's on Tour with eight over 450 yards, five over 480 yards, and three over 500!! Strokes...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday 5/3/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday 5/3/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Stephen Curry FD - $9700 DK - $10800 Opponent - NO Proj Pts FD - 52.75 DK - 56.27 Curry's late MVP campaign soldiers on, with Steph leading the Dubs to yet another win against the hapless Rockets on Saturday. The shot volume for Curry is through the roof right now, with Curry topping 13 three point attempts in 8 of his last 10 contests. The real icing on the cake? This incredible match-up. The Pels have allowed the very most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards this season, and their defensive indifference could lead to another memorable performance from the greatest shooter the world has ever seen. Damian Lillard FD - $8900 DK - $9200 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 45.8 DK - 48.37,p> It's looking like a day to pay up at point guard, with Lillard sliding into the number two spot in our point guard rankings tonight. This is the rare opportunity where an expensive option can be a value play, with Lillard being largely priced to a slightly limited post-injury role. Well, he broke out in a big way against Brooklyn (including that ridiculous logo shot), and if he's firing on all cylinders, he's probably 10% too cheap. A Trae Young-led backcourt defense isn't going to scare Dame either, and you can bet he'll be looking to knock this young'n down a peg. Also considered: Ben Simmons, if you think the Bulls can keep it close. Shooting Guard Jordan Clarkson FD - $6500 DK - $7300 Opponent - SA Proj Pts FD - 34.5 DK - 36.53 Some people will take a "once bitten, twice shy" approach with Clarkson, but not me. No, he didn't live up to the DFS community's lofty expectations for him against Toronto with Conley and Mitchell out, but it very easily could have broken differently for him. He shot just 6 of 18 from the floor, and lost a handful of assists to poor shooting from his teammates. He's still too cheap, and we love running him against the Spurs here. Andrew Wiggins FD - $7000 DK - $7100 Opponent - NO Proj Pts FD -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 5/3/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 5/3/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 39.49 DK - 21.78 It's a day without a lot of fantastic pitching options, and I think you could do a lot worse than Walker Buehler. The strikeouts have gone down a tic this year, but his incredible command (.57 BB/9!) has more than made up the difference in terms of his overall effectiveness. The Cubs are not a conventionally fantastic match-up, with a lot of household names in their lineup. They have been about league average in terms of wOBA this season, but importantly, their 27% K rate is the third-highest in the Majors. Buehler and the Dodgers are almost -200 favorites, as well. On a day without many headliners, Buehler should see significant cash game ownership. Kenta Maeda FD - P 6900 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - MIN FD - 39.19 DK - 21.08 Maeda has, quite simply, been really bad his year. Basically every available metric paints the picture of an aging pitcher declining. So why would we consider him for cash games? There are a couple of reasons. First of all, while Maeda has declined, he hasn't turned into a true-talent 6.56 ERA guy overnight. He might not be the Cy Young candidate he was last year, but even in this diminished state he's probably league average. With career high BABIP allowed and HR/FB rate, he's due for some positive regression soon. Then there's the match-up. The Rangers have struck out at the 2nd highest rate in the Majors while posting a below-league-average .303 wOBA. It's not without risk, but at these prices we can afford a little risk in our lives. Also considered: Frankie Montas. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD - C 3300 DK - C 5300 Opponent - MIL (Adrian Houser) Park - PHI FD - 10.9 DK - 8.25 I'll often write up a catcher with a caveat like, "If you have to play a catcher, think about this guy." In the case of Realmuto, this is an unqualified recommendation, at least on FanDuel. Realmuto is an on-base machine with more power than you think, and he's going up against a pitcher in Adrian Houser who gives opposing batters a lot of chance to get on base with his low K rate and relatively high walk...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday 4/29/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday 4/29/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Stephen Curry FD - $9600 DK - $10300 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 55.1 DK - 58.72 Steph's MVP campaign took a hit in a blowout loss to the Mavs, but he should be back with guns blazing in a great spot against the Timberwolves. This game has the highest total on the slate, and the Wolves really don't bring a single guy to even attempt to cover Curry. Minnesota has allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season, and we should prepare ourselves for a monster performance here. Kyle Lowry FD - $6400 DK - $7100 Opponent - DEN Proj Pts FD - 36.4 DK - 38.16 This one is a straight-up old-fashioned value play. Lowry is priced like he's going to play 29 minutes a game, but the 37 minutes he played last game tips the Raptors' hand: Lowry is back for his full run. He's averaged almost 6x points per dollar on these prices for the season, making him in play against all but the very best opposing defenses. The Nuggets are solid, but are thin enough in the backcourt that Lowry should have plenty of room to operate. Also considered: Malcolm Brogdon. Shooting Guard Andrew Wiggins FD - $6700 DK - $7000 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 37.2 DK - 37.49 Revenge game? Yes, but that's not why we're actually pushing Wiggins here. The reality is that he's been rolling out 5x points per dollar performances game in, game out, and has a terrific match-up against his hapless former team. The Timberwolves have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season, and if the Wolves manage to keep it close Wiggins should have a great game here. Landry Shamet FD - $4100 DK - $4100 Opponent - IND Proj Pts FD - 22.44 DK - 23.79 With Brown already ruled out of Thursday's game, Shamet should be in line for the 32-36 minute rotation we've become accustomed to in close games. He's not immune to the occasional stinker, but he's also got 8x+ upside, as he demonstrated against the Heat two weeks ago. Yes,...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Valspar Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Valspar Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Innisbrook Resort(Copperhead Course) Par 71 - 7,340 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2019 - Paul Casey(-8) 2018 - Paul Casey(-10) 2017 - Adam Hadwin(-14) 2016 - Charl Schwartzel(-7) 2015 - Jordan Spieth(-10) This week the PGA Tour returns to Florida and heads to Innisbrook Resort for the Valspar Championship. The event had been played annually at Innisbrook going back to the year 2000 until last year when it was canceled due to COVID-19. This year's field is loaded at the top led four of the Top 10 in the World Golf Rankings including #1 Dustin Johnson and #2 Justin Thomas. Back in the Florida Swing means another tough test as Innisbrook Resort has ranked as a Top 10 hardest course five times in six years from 2014 to 2019 and ranked #6 four times. To put that into perspective, those rankings also include the four majors. The difficulty comes with a combination of small tree-lined fairways, doglegs forcing landing zones off the tee, tougher rough than we have seen lately, and very small greens(5,800 avg sq ft). Looking at the last five trips here, the field has averaged under 60% in both fairways hit and greens in regulation. This puts a huge emphasis on Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and that is, by far, my top stat in my long-term and short-term models this week. With small greens and low GIR numbers, I will also be looking at Scrambling/Strokes Gained: Around the Green as those who can save par from off the green more often are going...