DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/15/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/15/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9000 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL FD - 38.18 DK - 21.54 You know it's a weird night for pitching when our top pitcher gets a huge park downgrade heading into Coors Field. What stands out the most and reason for his lofty PTS/$ projection is the fact he is near season-low pricing on both sites sitting 3rd/4th in pricing on DraftKings and FanDuel. While the K upside has been up and down, Darvish has been consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts this season. If you can get past the ballpark the matchup is a plus one as the Rockies have scored a league-low 91 runs over the last month and have an ugly 67 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching. Fire up Darvish in all formats. Trevor Rogers FD - P 10000 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - STL (Undecided) Park - STL FD - 34.96 DK - 18.8 The optimizer often pairs two top pitchers on DraftKings and that will most likely be the case tonight with a lack of pitching and Rogers/Darvish combined salary being under $20K. Rogers has also been terrific to start his second season averaging almost six innings per start and has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in seven straight and 12 of his 13 starts(3 ER in the other). He has not only been consistent but provided but upside as well with a 30% K rate/15% swinging-strike rate and now faces a struggling Cardinals team that has posted a 80 wRC+ and 26% K rate over the last two weeks. I will have exposure in all formats. Also Consider: Casey Mize(DET) as value SP2 option who has posted a 2.45 ERA over his last seven starts Catcher/First Base Daniel Vogelbach FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3800 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - MIL FD - 9.36 DK - 6.92 It another Coors night and I really like the matchup or the Padres which means we are going to need some value if we want to stack them. One team I have turned to quite a bit recently for value has been the Brewers and specifically the top of the lineup. While hitting just .221 on the season, Vogelbach has been consistent in the short term with hits in...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/14/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/14/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - CHW (Lance Lynn) Park - CHW FD - 42.14 DK - 24.01 Lance Lynn FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - CHW FD - 33.46 DK - 17.7 We have the grim misfortune of having the two aces on the slate A) squaring off with each other and B) facing off against good opposing offenses. The White Sox and Rays have the fourth and thirteenth best offenses in the Majors, respectively, and the Rays are slight -135 favorites in this one. Glasnow is a better pitcher than Lynn, but the White Sox are a decidedly tougher match-up as well. Still, these two are in a league of their own today, and your first stop for cash game options. Our system leans Glasnow, even as a slight underdog. Adam Wainwright FD - P 8000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 32.87 DK - 16.54 If you find yourself unable to pull the trigger on a top-tier guy, you find yourself without the money for both on DraftKings, consider Adam Wainwright. The aging Cardinal has his best xFIP since 2015 on the back of a reasonable K rate and a 2.32 BB/9. For DFS purposes he's also attractive because he's averaging better than 6 innings a start in 2021. The match-up is excellent as well, with the Marlins ranking in the top 5 in strikeout percentage and the bottom 5 in wOBA. Also considered: Alex Wood. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 12.75 DK - 9.59 We'll start our position players with the aging Goldschmidt, who is undoubtedly having the worst season of his career. While it's generally exciting to run hitters during their decline phase, I think we have reason to take a risk here. Goldschmidt's BABIP is .050 points below his career levels, and while some of the power is gone, he's still got pop. Then there's the match-up. Braxton Garrett has been flat out terrible in his 20 or so Major League innings, with a walk rate in the mid 5s per 9. With the platoon advantage in his favor, Goldschmidt should farm him here. C.J. Cron FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday, 6/14/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 6/14/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. It's a weird night of NBA DFS, with both of these games coming off of a game three blowout. If Conley plays, there is a relative lack of value since most of these teams have been playing set rotations since the playoffs began. That said, let's do our best to find some value. Point Guard Reggie Jackson FD - $5500 DK - $5200 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 28.52 DK - 29.82 Reggie Jackson's role looked in doubt in game one, with the Clips opting to try and chase Mitchell around with Patrick Beverley. It sure seems like the offensive is more stagnant with Jackson off the floor, though, and he immediately took 19 shots in game two. He lost minutes in the game three blowout, but if he's on the court for his full run (about 36 minutes) he should be what passes for a value play on a two-game playoff slate. The rest of the position is all over the place. If Conley sits, Clarkson becomes playable, but not exciting. Trae Young has been on pace for decent games on his prices, but Atlanta has been unable to hang. With a gun to my head I'd prefer Clarkson, but Young is passable if you have the money left over. I think I'd rather spend up on other stars, though. Shooting Guard Paul George FD - $9200 DK - $8600 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 48.94 DK - 51.27 George has come close to paying these prices in back to back games in spite of both being lopsided affairs, and Kawhi taking some of the defensive burden against Mitchell certainly helps matters. PG is looking confident for the first time this playoffs, to me, aggressively going into the paint but not forcing things just to keep his shot count up. If you can extrapolate last game's performance to 40+ minutes you have a solid value on your hands. Seth Curry FD - $5500 DK - $5100 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 24.59 DK - 25.58 Curry has really exploited Atlanta's defensive holes in a way the Knicks were never able to, draining jumper after...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday, 6/10/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday, 6/10/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. The big question for tonight surround's Mike Conley's status. We're going to proceed with this article as though he's out, but if he winds up playing that throws a significant monkey wrench into things. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $9700 DK - $9700 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 57.12 DK - 58.23 Jrue Holiday FD - $8200 DK - $7600 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 41.81 DK - 42.17 Point guard is really hard tonight. Kyrie and Jrue are really the only safe options (unless Conley sits, more on that in a second), but neither is a classic value on these prices. The expensive price tags only complicate things, as you're playing sub-optimal plays for high price tags. Still, it's not all a disaster. Kyrie has been absolutely up to the task of going up against Holiday, and Holiday himself has a very nice match-up with Brooklyn. We can't expect the Bucks to be this bad (or the Nets to be this good) forever, so I think you just plug these guys in and try to find savings elsewhere. You'll have to make your own mind up about the Clippers point guards. I'd like to trust Reggie Jackson, but it's terrifying that he saw just 17 minutes in a close game 1. If Conley is out, Jordan Clarkson is close to a must play if he's going to play 28 minutes and take 18 shots off the bench. Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell FD - $9500 DK - $8900 Opponent - LAC Proj Pts FD - 45.24 DK - 47.51 With Conley out, Mitchell launched 30 shots into the air en route to 47 points from the field. It's clear that the Jazz think this is the main vector they can attack the Clippers' defense on, and if Beverley is only going to play 6 minutes per game the Clippers clearly don't have anyone to keep him in check. It's tough to spend up everywhere, but Mitchell looks like a must-play. Bruce Brown FD - $5900 DK - $4200 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 24.78 DK - 24.42 Brown was terrific in game two, compiling...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/7/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/7/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Adbert Alzolay FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - SD (Ryan Weathers) Park - SD FD - 30.94 DK - 16.14 This might be the worst set of pitching options I can remember. I wouldn't be excited to play Alzolay on a normal slate, but this is no normal slate. And Alzolay, honestly, has been pretty good. His 3.35 xFIP is his best figure since rookie ball, and while it might not maintain all season, we're going to try and ride the wave today. San Diego is basically a league-average offense, and getting Alzolay out of his tough home park and into one of the best pitcher's parks in the Majors can only be a good thing. Nick Pivetta FD - P 9300 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - BOS FD - 29.48 DK - 14.68 Pivetta and the BoSox are the biggest favorites on the slate today against this Miami team. The 28 year old righty is showing glimpses of his 2018 form, posting a double-digit K/9 and a sub 4 ERA. It's nothing to write home about at these prices, but again, it's a three game slate with no amazing pitching options. Miami finds themselves in a familiar position as one of the league's best DFS match-ups for opposing pitchers, pairing the league's 4th highest K% with the 10th worst wOBA. Position players You have one game with an 8.5 point total, and two others with a 7.5 point total. This might be the smallest number of runs per game on a main slate ever, and it puts us in a very sticky position when it comes to forecasting player performance today. I'll try to provide you with a few options, but on a small slate your mistakes will be amplified, so where there is a clear-cut option I'm only going to give you one. Catcher/First Base Jesús Aguilar FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4300 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOS FD - 9.2 DK - 6.92 Yep, it's looking pretty thin out here today. Still, Aguilar isn't a terrible option. He's been a hair worse than platoon neutral over the course of his career, so we're not too worried about him not having the platoon in his favor. He strikes out too often, but he also is a serious long-ball threat, with 11 homers...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday, 6/7/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 6/7/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $9700 DK - $9200 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 57.12 DK - 58.23 With Harden out today, it's going to be a race to try and fit Kyrie and Durant together. Chances are good you won't be able to play both, though, so some tough decisions will have to be made. Both were similar in terms of their fantasy points per dollar on these prices, and while Kyrie has a tougher match-up than KD, he also played more minutes. My guess is that Kyrie is slightly more important given that he'll assume most of Harden's ball-handling duties, and given the cheaper price point I'd like to have him out there. Jrue Holiday FD - $8400 DK - $7800 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 41.81 DK - 42.17 Most point guards are flat-out unplayable today, so if we don't get a chance to play Mike James (more on him in a minute), we might be "stuck" playing Jrue. I actually like Jrue at this price point, and going up against Kyrie is a terrific match-up, but if we spent $18k on point guards we live ourselves very little for the other positions, which makes things very tough on a two game playoff slate where most players are efficiently priced. A fundamental question for today's slate is what will happen with James Harden's minutes. Brown started the second half for the Nets, but it was Mike James who played 31 minutes total. If James gets the start, he's a terrific DFS play. I could also see playing Brown if he gets the start, though it would be a little closer. Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $8700 DK - $8500 Opponent - DEN Proj Pts FD - 47.51 DK - 49.7 Austin Rivers FD - $4900 DK - $4000 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 23.72 DK - 24.41 Normally I wouldn't lump these guys together, but there are essentially no other options at the position today. Neither Brooklyn nor Milwaukee will field a starter that qualifies at shooting guard on FanDuel, and if Bruce Brown does get the start he's not...