Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The Honda Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The Honda Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course PGA National(Champion) Par 70 - 7,125 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Matt Jones(-12) 2020 - Sungjae Im(-6) 2019 - Keith Mitchell(-9) 2018 - Justin Thomas(-8) 2017 - Ricke Fowler(-12) The Florida swing gets underway this week as the PGA Tour heads to the PGA National(Champion Course) for The Honda Classic. After seeing each of the Top 10 in the Official World Golf Rankings last week at the Genesis Invitational, we see none of them this week and just 12 of the Top 50 teeing it up at one of the toughest courses on Tour. That is partly due to the Bear Trap(Holes 15-16-17) which is the fourth hardest three-hole stretch(non-majors) dating back to 2007. There is an abundance of water(ask Ryan Palmer who has 17 water balls on the Bear Trap) which puts an emphasis on precision tee to green. On these tough scoring courses with danger lurking at every corner, it takes a full tee-to-green game if you want to be on the leaderboard on Sunday and contend for a win. For fantasy, here are a couple of my top-weighted stats in my model: Strokes Gained: Ball Striking This is a very broad stat in my model that can be broken down different ways for different courses. This week, it starts with Strokes Gained: Off the Tee with danger lurking seemingly everywhere and driving accuracy(fairways gained on Fantasy National) should be the focal point. The boost important part and highest weighted part of my ball striking model is Strokes Gained: Approach which is highly correlated to winning year after year. Breaking it down a little further, I am looking at Proximity ranges from 150-175 and 175-200 yards which makes up almost 50% of all approach shots here...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Genesis Invitational
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Genesis Invitational Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Riviera Country Club Par 71 - 7,322 Yards Greens - Poa **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Max Homa(-12) 2020 - Adam Scott(-11) 2019 - JB Holmes(-14) 2018 - Bubba Watson(-12) 2017 - Dustin Johnson(-17) It was one hell of a sweat last week, but I grabbed a second outright of the season and a nice return in DFS thanks to Scottie Scheffler's win over Patrick Cantlay in a playoff. The only thing that could have made it better was being there to see not only the win but the chaos of raining beer cans on Hole #16 with a hole in one on both Saturday(Sam Ryder) and Sunday(Carlos Ortiz) as well as the crazy celebrations by Joel Dahmen and Harry Higgs after birdie putts. Overall, another tremendous WM Phoenix Open. This week the players face a much harder test as an elite field, which includes each of the OWGR Top 10, heads to Riviera Country Club for the Genesis Invitational. Riviera has rated as a Top 10 hardest scoring courses in three of the last four years and that includes the Majors! The course is demanding off the tee(average around 51% fairways hit last 5 years) and just as demanding on approach(average 58% GIR last 5 years) despite average-sized greens. On the greens, the golfers will once again see firm and fast poa greens. My stats model on the sheet this week is heavily geared towards form and players with a solid tee to green game. I don't think hitting the fairway is essential(Top 10 finishers last year averaged under 50%) but if targeting a less than accurate driver just have a closer look at rough proximity or good drive %. This usually goes hand in hand with the longer hitters as they...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Waste Management Phoenix Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course TPC Scottsdale Par 71 - 7,261 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Brooks Koepka(-19) 2020 - Webb Simpson(-17) 2019 - Rickie Fowler(-17) 2018 - Gary Woodland(-18) 2017 - Hideki Matsuyama(-17) The 2021-22 season has been underway since the fall but the real party starts this week as the PGA Tour heads to Phoenix and TPC Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. As it usually does, this event has drawn another strong field which includes World #1 Jon Rahm and six of the World's Top 10 golfers. TPC Scottsdale is an average length(7,261 yards) Par 71 set in the Arizona desert which comes into play almost every hole with native areas lurking not far from the fairways. While hitting the fairway is always important in giving yourself consistent shots at hitting greens and making birdies, it is the approach shot that has the highest correlation in my research and leads the way in my ball striking model. Par 4 scoring is also about double that of par 5 scoring as there is only three Par 5's on this course. Overall, there are always different ways to win a golf tournament and it comes down to who checks the most boxes mixed with a little luck. Let's get into the picks. Top Targets Justin Thomas/Jon Rahm They are in a tier of their own this week checking every box and while I will exposure to both, I am slightly leaning JT who could give us some leverage this week in terms of ownership. Neither have won here in 13 combined appearances but both have excellent course history. Rahm has not only made the cut all six times but he has also not finished worse than T16 while JT has...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Waialae Country Club Par 70 - 7,044 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Kevin Na(-21) 2020 - Cameron Smith(-11) 2019 - Matt Kuchar(-22) 2018 - Patton Kizzire(-17) 2017 - Justin Thomas(-27) The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii this week but jumps north to O'ahu Island for the Sony Open and the first full-field event of 2022. The field got a little weaker on Monday with Bryson DeChambeau dropping out with wrist soreness. With that, the field is led by last week's winner Cameron Smith who joined a shortlist of players who have won both Hawaii events(Furyk, Els, Singh, ZJ, JT) and also broke into the OWGR Top 10 for the first time in his young career. The host course, as it has been since the inaugural event back in 1971, is Waialae Country Club. It will be a much different test than last week in that we move from a Par 73 with wide fairways and some of the largest greens on Tour to a Par 70 with tight fairways that include several doglegs and average-sized greens. It's very much a positioning style golf course and for that I will rely heavily on Strokes Gained: Ball Striking in my model. The second stat I will be looking at in my model this week is Par 4 scoring which becomes a focus on a Par 70 with just two Par 5's. Looking at last year, it also had an extremely high correlation to success. Finally, the other main stat in my model is Birdie or Better % as the winning score has averaged right around -20 which even includes the very windy 2020 event in which Cameron Smith won. This year's forecast looks very similar to last week which saw winds...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Monday 12/27
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 12/27 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard James Harden FD - $11000 DK - $11200 Opponent - LAC Proj Pts FD - 54.9 DK - 60.27 The stars were out on Christmas Day as James Harden took over for the short-handed Nets squad dropping a triple-double(36-10-10) to lead the Nets to their Eastern Conference-leading 22nd win. Harden will once again have to put the team on his back as Kyrie remains out and Durant is set to miss his third straight, as well. With that, Harden feels a bit underpriced considering his usage spikes up to nearly 35% while tallying 1.5 fantasy points per minute with Durant off the court. The Clippers have a Top 5 defense but are also short-handed so I fully expect this game to stay relatively close allowing Harden to get another full run. Fire him up in all formats. Eric Bledsoe FD - $5500 DK - $6000 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 31.91 DK - 34.2 On the other side of this matchup, we have Eric Bledsoe who was pushed back into the starting rotation with Reggie Jackson falling on the Covid list. He has been lights out with the added opportunity playing at least 36 minutes and dropping at least 18 points in both games. He has also added a ton of secondary scoring equaling 1.2 fantasy points per minute which have absolutely crushed for value on both sites. The price has gone up slightly but as long as he is in the starting rotation, it is still a massive buy-low opportunity on both sites. Also Consider: LaMelo Ball(CHA) who has seen his price drop back down into the mid $9K range on both sites and gets a terrific matchup Shooting Guard Zach LaVine FD - $8600 DK - $9600 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 40.66 DK - 45.02 This game has the lowest total on the slate so likely doesn't get as much attention but still has a ton of value throughout. For me, it starts with LaVine who returned yesterday from a two-week absence and looked great dropping 12 of 18 shots for 49 DK/46.3 FD points against the Pacers. He now gets an even better...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course El Camaleon Golf Club Par 71 - 7,017 Yards Greens - Paspalum **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Viktor Hovland(-20) 2020 - Brendon Todd(-20) 2019 - Matt Kuchar(-22) 2018 - Patton Kizzire(-19) 2017 - Pat Perez(-21) From Bermuda to Mexico, the PGA Tour holiday season continues this week with the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. While this year's field has just one player(Justin Thomas) ranked inside the Top 10 of the Official World Golf Rankings, it is a sneaky strong field with 48 of the Top 100 players. The course is a Par 71 that is listed at 7,017 yards on the scorecard and is made up of four Par 3's, 11 Par 4's, and three Par 5's. This naturally puts emphasis on Par 4 scoring and when breaking that down further, five of those Par 4's are over 450 yards with one over 500 yards. I will also be looking at an off the tee model similar to last week which includes good drive %. Looking at past results and stats, there are plenty of players who hit between 50-60% of fairways but still hit over 70% of greens and finish near the top of the leaderboard. The biggest weight in my model goes towards approach shots and birdie or better % as the average winning score is right around -20 each year. Let's get into the picks. Top Tier Targets Abraham Ancer World Golf Ranking (#14) Vegas Odds (20/1) Draftkings ($10,700) FanDuel ($11,400) Choosing between the Top 3-4 golfers this week is splitting hairs and I will have exposure to all of them in my multi-entry builds but if you are making me choose one(and I know you are), it's Abraham Ancer. After a missed cut and...