Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 17 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back The Chalk - David Montgomery, Jonathan Taylor The Pivot Aaron Jones FD 8000 DK 7100 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 15.11 DK - 16.61 There is absolutely no safety here with Jones in Week 17 as not only is Williams coming back but AJ Dillon is coming off a breakout rookie performance, albeit in a blowout. With the Packers in a "win and take division title" scenario and Aaron Rodgers/Devante Adams on a complete rampage of the league, Jones is going to come in very low owned especially with chalk Montgomery on the other side and Jonathan Taylor for the Colts. There is a ton of risk here but he is more than capable of 100+ yards multiple touchdowns in this offense and is a terrific leverage play off the passing game in which we don't need a ton of exposure to take advantage. Quarterback The Chalk - Lamar Jackson, Ryan Tannehill, Aaron Rodgers The Pivot Josh Allen FD 8200 DK 7600 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 19.06 DK - 19.82 I am all aboard the risk train in GPP this week and this pick highlights that. The Bills are in great shape to capture the #2 seed but would lose it with a loss and Steelers win so I see them playing the starters here and that is great news as they are likely very low owned. Allen is having an MVP-like season and comes into this one red-hot throwing for 320+ yards in three of his last four games with a total of 14 touchdowns(12 passing, 2 rushing). It helps he has one of the best wideouts in the league in Stefon Diggs who I will be stacking him with this week. With Cole Beasley out, I will also be looking at value with Gabriel Davis and Dawson Know. The matchup is a tougher one as the Dolphins rank 5th in DVOA defense vs. the pass and 7th...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 15 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Wide Receiver The Chalk - DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, Cooper Kupp The Pivot Justin Jefferson FD 7600 DK 7300 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 14.15 DK - 16.84 Adam Thielen FD 7500 DK 7100 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 12.74 DK - 15.38 In cash games and even in limited entry contests I will have lots of exposure to the chalk wideouts this week as they are all in terrific spots. For larger GPP's, however, I will be making some pivots to try and leverage some of my builds. This leads me to the Vikings duo who have been crushing value all year as Jefferson sits 7th in receiving yards and Thielen is 3rd overall in receiving touchdowns. This is pretty incredible considering the Vikings have one of the best running backs in the game in Dalvin Cook. Cook will be high-owned this week and for good reason and that is why I love pivoting to the passing game. While the Bears do rank 3rd in fantasy points per game to wideouts, they have given up some big games lately. Last week they shut down the Texans but they were without their Top 3 wideouts so let's overlook that performance for a second. Before that, they had allowed at least one wideout to reach 100+ yards or gave up multiple touchdowns to wideouts in four straight games. This includes the 19-13 win for the Vikings back in Week 10 in which Jefferson tallied 135 yards receiving and Thielen tallied 43 yards and two touchdowns. Most of my builds with these wideouts will be one or the other with a couple of stacks with them both and Kirk Cousins. For the lowest possible ownership, you will want to focus on Thielen who could very well be sub 5% owned this week. Running Back The Chalk - Derrick Henry, Cam Akers, Jonathan Taylor, Leonard Fournette The Pivot Miles Sanders FD 6800 DK 6900 Opponent...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! QB/WR Stack The Chalk - Patrick Mahomes/Tyreek Hill, Justin Herbert/Keenan Allen, Aaron Rodgers/Davante Adams The Pivot Kyler Murray FD 8100 DK 7200 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 21.88 DK - 22.63 DeAndre Hopkins FD 8200 DK 7600 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 16.25 DK - 19.94 Christian Kirk FD 5500 DK 4700 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 6.89 DK - 8.46 While I will likely have heavy exposure to the chalk stacks above as they are all in great spots, I love pivoting the Cardinals in bigger GPP's like the Milli Maker. Going off recency bias, you likely think I am crazy here but going off the beaten path can often create a very unique core that would allow you to solo take down a GPP. Kyler has struggled to get the yardage and production we were accustomed to seeing early in the season but is coming off a stretch of three games in which he faced the Rams and Patriots which are tough pass defenses and an improved Seahawks pass defense. That stretch of below-average performances have helped lower his price on both sites and we have seen him hit 6x value on DK at these prices a few times already. It helps he has one of the best wideouts in the game to throw to and despite Hopkins showing a ton of frustration, he still put up 19 points last week and like Murray, his price is down leading to big PTS/$ upside. If you want to go even lower owned with this stack, roll out Christian Kirk. He is more of a deep shot threat and doesn't see the target share to make you feel warm and fuzzy but is most likely 1-2% owned and with a high 13.0 aDOT, he only needs a couple catches to crush his value. Looking at the matchup, the Giants have been better as of late during their four-game winning streak but...

Daily Fantasy NFL Early Look Games to Target for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 Welcome back football fans. To start Week 14, I will be taking a look at a couple of games that stand out. This comes early in the week so make sure to check out all of our content as the week rolls on leading up to lineup lock on Sunday. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Game Line --- TEN -7.5 Game Total --- 53 This game doesn't have the highest total of the week but could very well end up with the most points. The first thing that stands out is the defense rank 29th(TEN) and 31st(JAX) in DVOA defense and both rank 25th or worse in fantasy points per game to EVERY positon. At least early on, this makes this matchup easily my top game to stack in GPP formats and you should probably consider multiple pieces for cash games, as well. Here are a few of my top plays: Cash Games Derrick Henry FD 10000 DK 9200 Opponent JAC Proj Points FD - 21.71 DK - 22.67 King Henry is coming off his worst game of the season totaling just 69 yards against the Browns but is easily the top play in this game. The Titans are big favorites and Henry averages over 23 touches per game and has rushed for 100+ in seven of his 12 games. While that gives him an elite floor he also provides elite upside as he has averaged 142.8 rushing yards and 27.5 DraftKings points per game in those seven games. He is also $600 and $700 cheaper than Cook on DraftKings and FandDuel this week so roll him out in all formats. James Robinson FD 7800 DK 7300 Opponent TEN Proj Points FD - 17.4 DK - 19.51 Despite playing on a terrible 1-11 Jaguars team, James Robinson has been extremely productive and placed himself in the Rookie of the Year conversation. He is averaging 21.2 touches(4th most among qualified) and 106.5 yards(5th most) per game and is literally in a terrible game script each and every week. He has broken 100 yards rushing four times this year including against these Titans back in Week 2. The price is much higher this time around but the matchup remains strong as the Titans have given up 100+ yards rushing and 350+ yards total in three of their last four games. GPP Stack Ryan Tannehill FD 7800...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 13 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback The Chalk - Mitchell Trubisky, Ryan Fitzpatrick The Pivot Philip Rivers FD 7000 DK 5900 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 17.19 DK - 18.24 First of all, seeing Mitchell Trubisky being possibly one of the highest owned quarterbacks on this slate makes me want to vomit. That immediately makes me want to pivot in GPP formats and one of those will be Philip Rivers who should not only be low-owned but also provides that salary relief allowing you to load up elsewhere. you never have to worry about volume with Rivers as he comes in averaging 40 pass attempts over his last four games and is on a bit of a heater with five touchdown passes in his last two games. There is no one pass-catcher that is my favorite to stack with Rivers as the target share is fairly spread out between Pittman Jr, Hines, Hilton, and Pascal. Of those, Pittman's target share has been trending the most as he is averaging 6.8 targets per game over the last four weeks. The other part of this leverage play that makes sense is the matchup as the Texans have been much worse against the running back. After missing a week due to COVID, this should enhance the ownership for Jonathan Taylor who is coming off one of his best games but he has been anything but consistent this season. I love pivoting to the pass game and the Texans have allowed the 10th most passing yards and 13th most fantasy points to the QB position. Running Back The Chalk - Nick Chubb, James Robinson, Austin Ekeler The Pivot Aaron Jones FD 8400 DK 7200 Opponent PHI Proj Points FD - 16.24 DK - 17.92 Along with the chalk(high-owned) running backs listed above, you can also include Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry who are likely the two highest owned running backs despite their sky-high price tags. Even with a falling price, Aaron Jones...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back The Chalk - Wayne Gallman, Salvon Ahmed The Pivot  Nyheim Hines FD 5700 DK 4600 Opponent TEN Proj Points FD - 9.04 DK - 10.73 I will start off with a perfect example of recency bias and how we can attack it in GPP formats. At his highest ownership of the season last week(12-13% in GPP), Hines let everyone down with just 33 total yards and eight fantasy points. He is now in the same price range as projected chalk value running backs Wayne Gallman and Salvon Ahmed which should easily have his ownership back down in the 5% range and if that's the case, I definitely want a piece of the action. He went off two weeks ago against these very Titans and at these prices has hit 4x or greater value on DraftKings three times. It is a crowded backfield but the low ownership also means we don't need a ton of exposure to get leverage on the field.   Wide Receiver The Chalk - Tyreek Hill, Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, Justin Jefferson The Pivot Calvin Ridley FD 8100 DK 7100 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 15.33 DK - 18.39 The wide receiver position provides us an excellent opportunity for leverage in top tier as Calvin Ridley sits right in the middle of multiple chalk plays in terms of pricing. He made his return last week against a very good Saints defense adn caught five of nine targets for 90 yards. He and teh Falcons now get a home matchup vs. the Raiders in a game with the second-highest total(55) on the slate. As for the matchup, the Raiders have allowed the 12th most receiving yards and 15th most fantasy points to the wide receiver position. Since the game when the Raiders completely shut down the Browns, things have gotten worse as they have given up the following to the opponents top pass catchers over the last three weeks:...