Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 16 Christmas Day Slate
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 16 Christmas Day Slate The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Aaron Rodgers FD 8300 DK 7400 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 18.73 DK - 19.11 Take 2 for a Saturday slate as last weeks was blown up with the Browns game being pushed back to Monday due to Covid. Coincidentally, those same Browns are back in action this Saturday but this time facing the NFC's #1 seed in the Green Bay Packers. Leading the way is reigning MVP, Aaron Rodgers, who is also the current odds leader to win it again which would make him the first back-to-back winner since Peyton Manning(2008, 2009). While Rodgers has been great all season, he has been at his best in the short term throwing for over 300 yards in three of his last four games(325.3 avg) with a total of 12 touchdowns. In that time, he has scored 24 or more fantasy points in each game while averaging 30.6 DK/28.1 FD points per game. He now faces a short-handed Browns team that already ranks 23rd in DVOA against the pass. Look for Rodgers to deliver gifts to all the fantasy players who roster him. He is easily my top quarterback on this slate. Also Consider: Kyler Murray(ARI) as a GPP pivot off Rodgers or Backer Mayfield(CLE) who is slated to return this week and is the cheapest QB on the slate Running Back Jonathan Taylor FD 10500 DK 8300 Opponent ARI Proj Points FD - 22.98 DK - 24.43 While the MVP race likely comes down to a battle between veteran quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady, Jonathan Taylor is most definitely making his case and not that far off sitting at +800 right now. He comes into Week 16 tallying 100 or more yards rushing in seven of his last nine games(132.3 avg) and has totaled 97 or more yards from scrimmage in 11 straight(146.6 avg). & BUF). That alone has me feeling a lot better about this below-average matchup against the Cardinals who rank 8th overall in DVOA against the rush. Believe it or not, there is even a path to playing a...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 15 Saturday Slate
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 15 Saturday Slate The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Derek Carr FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 1.56 DK - 1.56 By default, Derek Carr is our top quarterback on Saturday. Baker Mayfield tested positive for Covid, Carson Wentz faces the #2 overall defense in New England, and Mac Jones is coming off a two-attempt performance and is averaging just 20 attempts per game over his last five. Volume has not been an issue for Carr who is averaging 40.1 attempts over his last three games and has been accurate, as well, completing 70% of those passes. The matchup doesn't jump off the page as the Browns have allowed the 7th fewest passing yards but do rank 20th in DVOA against the pass. Making the matchup more appealing this week is the fact the Browns are not only dealing with injuries but also a C-19 breakout which has both starting safeties and two of their top three corners questionable. Fire up Carr in all formats. Mac Jones FD 7000 DK 5200 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 13.72 DK - 14.25 There is much less safety with this pick as Jones is coming off an almost unbelievable three-pass-attempt performance against Buffalo. While that is likely a one-off due to the wind and heavy run gameplan, Jones has still been inconsistent in his rookie season but what I do like is the potential 4-5x upside and his price which allows you to load up at RB/WR/TE. The matchup is also very intriguing as the Colts rank Top 5 in run defense but 17th in DVOA against the pass. It is very risky as the floor is very low but for GPP formats, I am on board considering the upside and ability to spend up elsewhere. Running Back Jonathan Taylor FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 22.01 DK - 23.42 With Derrick Henry out with injury, the often underrated Jonathan Taylor has quickly taken on the "best running back in football" tag, and for good reason. He has rushed for 100 or more yards in seven of...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Game Stack - Dallas Cowboys/Washington Football Team Dak Prescott FD 8100 DK 6700 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 22.83 DK - 23.67 CeeDee Lamb FD 7800 DK 7200 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 12.63 DK - 15.24 Antonio Gibson FD 7400 DK 6000 Opponent DAL Proj Points FD - 12.32 DK - 13.33 Let's get things started this week with a game that is perfect for a multi-entry game stack. There are a ton of different ways to run this one but the above stack is by far my favorite. Let's start with the Cowboys passing game which ranks 8th in passing DVOA and 4th in passing yards per game coming into Week 14. The schedule has also been kind to them as of late facing some weaker defenses against the pass and this week is no different facing a Washington defense that ranks 30th in DVOA against the pass, have allowed the 4th most passing yards and most fantasy points to QB's, and the 6th most receiving yards and 3rd most fantasy points to wide receivers. Prescott has been a bit inconsistent lately(under 15 fantasy points twice in the last three games) but that has helped create a buy low with the price and looking at ownership projections, he could also be outside the Top 5 this week. I love pairing him with Lamb who has been not only the most consistent of the Cowboys wideouts but also shown the most upside with 19+ DK points in five of his last seven games. On the other side of the ball, there are multiple options and it really comes down to if you think Washington can keep this game close and I agree with Vegas that it will. This has Antonio Gibson at the top of my Washington exposure list. He comes in red-hot totaling 111 and 146 scrimmage yards in each of the last two games and has averaged 27 touches a game over the last four. The one hesitancy here is that the Cowboys rank 2nd in fantasy points against wideouts as...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 13
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 13 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back/Defense Stack Alexander Mattison FD 8700 DK 7600 Opponent DET Proj Points FD - 20.24 DK - 22.59 MIN FD 4600 DK 3200 Opponent DET Proj Points FD - 7.92 DK - 7.92 I never like writing up my favorite team and not because I am biased. It's more due to the fact they seem to play up or down to their opponents and have been very inconsistent, hence a 5-6 record. The reason this stack shows up at #1 for me this week is that it can be used in all formats as the Vikings are in a great spot here checking all the boxes. They are pretty much in a must-win situation sitting as the 7-seed and no better matchup than against the winless Lions who will also be without their best player, D'Andre Swift. With Dalvin Cook ruled out, Alexander Mattison will once again take on the lead role in the backfield and he has a track record in this situation. His last three starts with Cook out(Week 5, week 3, & week 16 2020), he has averaged over 150 yards from scrimmage and that includes heavy involvement in the pass game. I project him getting 18-20 touches for a floor with upside of 25+. He is likely a little lower owned on FanDuel where he is the 3rd most expensive option at the position(6th on DK). I like stacking the defense with Mattison in this matchup, especially with Swift and his late game fantasy explosions out of the equation. The Vikings D has actually provided a decent floor all season as they have tallied multiple sacks in every game with at least one interception in six of their last seven games. I will have exposure to this stack in all formats this week. Projected Low Owned Leverage Stack Taylor Heinicke FD 7100 DK 5600 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 20.31 DK - 21.21 Terry McLaurin FD 7200 DK 7400 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 15.01 DK - 18.31 If you are one to look at ownership projections and try and make some leverage pivots, this one is...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 12
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 12 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Philadelphia Eagles Stack Jalen Hurts FD 8400 DK 7300 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 22.32 DK - 23.03 Miles Sanders FD 6100 DK 5100 Opponent NYG Proj Points FD - 14.97 DK - 16.03 Doug mentioned both of these guys in his cash game article this week and not only do they give us a high floor and some projected safety, but they also provide a ton of upside. It starts with Hurts who hasn't been great with his arm(61%) but has more than made up for it with his legs averaging over 10 rushing attempts 56 yards per game which are both second to only Lamar Jackson. While the passing has been inconsistent, he has tallied five games with multiple passing touchdowns and did have two 300+ yard games earlier in the season. It's the run game where I think the biggest upside lies as the Giants rank 30th in DVOA vs the run and have yet to face a true rushing threat from the quarterback position. Pairing him with Sanders has the upside of 150+ rushing yards combined and it was nice to finally see something from Sanders who ran for 94 yards on just 16 carries last week(5.9 per rush). More good news as the price continues to sit in the low $5K range on DraftKings while he has the upside of a 6-7K back. If multi-entering and want multiple Eagles stacks this week, I love adding in some passing game action with Dallas Goedert and Devonta Smith. Goedert will be the chalkier option as Hurts top option lately and the Giants have struggled vs. tight ends recently. Contrarian Stack - Vikings Pass Game Kirk Cousins FD 7500 DK 6300 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 17.13 DK - 17.84 Justin Jefferson FD 8100 DK 8300 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 17.31 DK - 20.76 There is a lot of terrific pay-up options this week so if you are looking to leverage a bit and pivot to a lower owned stack, the Vikings pass game makes a lot of sense. First of all, I don't see Dalvin Cook getting...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 11
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays for DraftKings/FanDuel and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Carolina Panthers QB/RB Stack Cam Newton FD 7500 DK 5100 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 18.02 DK - 18.93 Christian McCaffrey FD 10000 DK 8900 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 22.59 DK - 25.71 This week I will start with a stack we can use in all formats, at least on DraftKings where both Cam and CMC are underpriced. Newton was named the starter after taking first-team reps in practice this week and while he is priced among the Top 10 QB's on FanDuel, is near min price on DraftKings which opens up a ton of room for top running backs and pass-catchers this week. He scored in his first touch last week announcing to the world he was back and then threw for a touchdown later in the game. He is, in no way going to be 2015 Cam Newton so temper your expectations but at these prices I will take a 3x floor with 5x+ upside against a Washington defense that ranks dead last in total yards(314.4) and fantasy points to the quarterback position. I will be pairing Cam with Christian McCaffrey in an attempt to capture all of the Panthers touchdowns. Newton back does hurt the implied touchdowns but in terms of total yardage, it think it really helps open up the defense as Cam is a real threat to run, as well. Newton's best passing season, in terms of accuracy(68%), also came in 2018 which was McCaffrey's second season and first with 100+ receptions. This is a buy-low for one of the best running backs in the league who was nearly $10K on DraftKings earlier in the season. Cowboys Passing Game Stack Dak Prescott FD 8400 DK 7200 Opponent KC Proj Points FD - 21.25 DK - 21.98 CeeDee Lamb FD 8000 DK 7600 Opponent KC Proj Points FD - 15.62 DK - 18.78 Michael Gallup FD 5400 DK 4200 Opponent KC Proj Points FD - 11.34 DK - 13.59 How can we not target the game of the week which has a total(55.5) that is nearly a full touchdown higher than any other game on this slate? This...